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Dunkel Index

Today's MLB Picks

Cleveland at Minnesota
Minnesota starter Kevin Slowey is 3-0 with a 0.93 ERA over his last four starts and will look to take advantage of Cleveland's 4-13 record as a road underdog between +100 and +125. The Twins are the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has Minnesota favored by 3 1/2.

Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120).

Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, JULY 5
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lilly) 15.788; St. Louis (Lohse) 14.866
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+105); Over

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Maine) 15.101; Philadelphia (Moyer) 16.799
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Over

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 16.799; Milwaukee (Bush) 14.704
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130); Under

Game 907-908: Houston at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Sampson) 13.465; Atlanta (Reyes) 14.782
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Over

Game 909-910: Washington at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Redding) 14.595; Cincinnati (Fogg) 13.590
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+115); Over

Game 911-912: Florida at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Tucker) 13.914; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.651
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-130); Over

Game 913-914: San Diego at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Peavy) 13.417; Arizona (Davis) 14.910
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-105); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-105); Under

Game 915-916: LA Dodgers at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Park) 15.160; San Francisco (Zito) 16.319
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+100); Under

Game 917-918: Boston at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Masterson) 15.188; NY Yankees (Mussina) 15.460
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130); Over

Game 919-920: Texas at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Hurley) 14.965; Baltimore (Burres) 14.763
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+110); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Smith) 14.890; White Sox (Floyd) 15.524
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-125); Over

Game 923-924: Kansas City at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 16.330; Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 15.556
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Under

Game 925-926: Cleveland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 13.904; Minnesota (Slowey) 17.210
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Under

Game 927-928: Toronto at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 15.644; LA Angels (Lackey) 14.738
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+115); Under

Game 929-930: Detroit at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 15.803; Seattle (Dickey) 15.598
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 9

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JEFF BENTON

Playing the Rangers-Orioles contest OVER the posted price.

These teams pounded out 14 runs and 21 hits yesterday, and with the pitchers scheduled in this one, I wouldn?t be surprised to see those numbers get eclipsed here. First off, Baltimore's Brian Burres sports a 5.09 ERA in his 15 starts this season, and that ERA jumps to 6.18 in his eight outings at Camden Yards (six of which have gone over the total).

As for Rangers Scott Feldman, he is coming off three straight decent starts. But the fact remains he's got a 6.00 ERA in six road starts this season. Also, he hasn't lasted a full six innings in any of his last three starts. You have to figure that trend will continue tonight, and if it does, that means the Rangers bullpen one of the worst in baseball with a 5.06 ERA will be called upon for extra duty. And as it is, Feldman is going up against a Baltimore offense that's cookin right now (the O's have tallied five runs or more in the first five games of this current homestand, scoring 34 runs in all over this stretch).

And of course, the Rangers, with Josh Hamilton, Milton Bradley, Michael Young, Ian Kinsler, etc., certainly know how to make it around the bases. In fact, no team in baseball has scored more runs than Texas. Finally, with yesterday's game easily topping the posted total, nine of Baltimore's last 12 games at Camden Yards have gone over. Make it 10 of 13!

5♦ Rangers-Orioles OVER

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ARMVIN SPORTS 

HOUSTON ASTROS +146

CLEVELAND INDIANS +110

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Black Widow Sports

Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners    
1* on Detroit Tigers -130

Detroit is 13-1 (+11.9 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.700 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Detroit is 17-3 (+13.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse over the last 3 seasons. As you can see, the Tigers clearly don’t feel sorry for the worst starting pitchers in this league. Instead, they pound ‘em like the pussies they are. R.J. Dickey is 0-3 with a 10.80 ERA in all home starts this year. Dickey will get pounded by a hot Tigers’ lineup scoring 5.5 runs per game in night games this season. Detroit is 44-17 (+19.4 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 3 seasons. Take the Tigers on the Money Line.

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Info Plays

Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins    
3* on Cleveland Indians +117

Cleveland got it handed to them by Minnesota yesterday. The Indians threw one of their worst starters in Paul Byrd, but they come back today with one of their better starters in Aaron Laffey to try and revenge that loss. Laffey’s 3.24 ERA in 12 starts this season ranks up there with the best on the Indians staff. Eric Wedge is 46-23 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season as the manager of Cleveland. The Indians know that if they are to get back into the AL Central race, they cannot afford to lose today’s game to the Twins who are well ahead of them already. Bet Cleveland on the road.

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John Martin

Toronto Blue Jays vs. LAA Angels    
1 Unit on L.A. Angels -123

John Lackey has been virtually un-hittable this season. Yes, Roy Halladay has more than a handful of complete games, but his numbers don’t match up with Lackey’s. Lackey is 6-1 with a miniscule 1.44 ERA this year, 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA at home, and 3-0 with a 0.74 ERA over his last 3 starts. Lackey just keeps getting better as the season progresses. The Angels are 18-5 against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span this season. Anaheim is finding ways to win games by manufacturing runs and throwing another great starting pitcher each time out. Lackey is their Ace and he won’t lose at home to the Blue Jays. Cash in with the Angels as the favorite.

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Jimmy Boyd

Florida Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies    
1 Unit on Colorado Rockies -135

After a wild 18-17 win in game 2 of this series, I like the home Rockies to out slug the Marlins again today. The Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games as an underdog, 1-4 in their last 5 road games, and 9-24 in their last 33 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. The Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite, 10-4 in their last 14 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher, and 37-15 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Rockies are finally starting to play some baseball. I expect them to put a lot of runs on the board again today on their way to victory.

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SPORTS KINGZ

MINNESOTA -125

DETROIT -135

DODGERS -110

TAMPA BAY -130

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WILD BILL

Mets +105 (5 units)
Brewers -150 (5 units)
Nationals +120 (5 units)
Florida +130 (5 units)
Dodgers -125 (5 units)
Under 8 1/2 Dodgers-Giants (5 units)
White Sox -135 (5 units)
Detroit -130 (5 units)

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Carlo Campanella

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona (43-43) starts southpaw Doug Davis on the mound as they host San Diego (33-53) on Saturday. With the oddsmakers posting this game almost as a "Pick'em," there's a MUST play on Arizona, as these Padres are only 9-20 against Left-Handers and we know Davis is 8-0 starting against N.L. teams with a team Batting Average of .250 or lower!

Play on: Arizona

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Tom Freese

Toronto at Los Angeles

Los Angeles is 9-0 UNDER with John Lackey this year with an average of 4.7 runs a game being scored. The Angels are 9-1 UNDER their last 10 games vs. a starter who has a WHIP of less than 1.15 and they are 20-8-3 UNDER vs. losing teams. Toronto is 11-0 UNDER with Roy Halladay as an underdog of +110 to +150 and they are 18-8-2 UNDER vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15. The Blue Jays are 7-2 UNDER their last 9 games vs. AL West teams and Halladay is 8-1-1 UNDER his last 10 starts vs. the Angels. PLAY ON 'UNDER'

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James Patrick Sports

Indians vs. Twins

Our Saturday Major League Baseball selection is Minnesota Twins.

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MR A

Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay has won their last five games, five of its last six at home and have beaten the Royals in 12 of the last 14 meetings at Tropicana Field. Kansas City has lost five of their last 7 games, but has won seven of its last 10 on the road.

Kansas City's Zack Greinke (7-4, 3.65) is 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA in his last three starts.The right-hander is 0-1 with a 4.03 ERA in six career outings, including three starts against Tampa Bay, but hasn't faced them since 2005.

Tampa Bay's Andy Sonnanstine (9-3, 4.60 ERA) is 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander allowed three earned runs on six hits over seven innings in an 8-7 loss at Kansas City in his only previous start versus the Royals on July 7, 2007, but didn't factor in the decision.

Take Tampa Bay at home with Andy Sonnanstine on the mound. The Rays are 12-2 in the right-hander's last 14 starts and 6-1 in his last 7 at home.

Tampa Bay Rays -140

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Drew Gordon

Florida +120 at COLORADO 

I told you in this spot yesterday, that the Rockies were not to be trifled with at Coors against lefties, especially at night, when they're now 10-1 after Friday's win. However, its a different story with a righty on the mound tonight, as the Rockies are just 9-12 against them at Coors in night games.

Granted, rookie Ryan Tucker hasn't exactly been on point of late, but he's got two things going for him in this match up: A. His ERA is considerably lower on the road (5.73 away versus 7.71 at home), and that includes his best start of the season, at Seattle, where he allowed 2 runs over 6 innings for the win. And B. He's being opposed by Jorge De La Rosa, who's been garbage at Coors this season, posting an ugly 7.33 ERA there. In other words, you can expect plenty of room for error with De La Rosa on the mound.

Also, for all the talk about the Rockies offensive explosion yesterday, let's not forget the Fish scored 17 runs on 22 hits, and still posses one of the better power offenses in the Majors. They average nearly 5 runs per game against lefties on the highway, and the way De La Rosa is pitching, expect them to reach that numbers with ease tonight.

Bottom line, look for the Fish to bounce back strong in this one, as the Rockies have been feasting on southpaws all season at Coors, but its a different story with the righty Tucker on the hill in this one. Granted, both teams should score plenty of runs, but in the end, Florida offers rock-solid value in this spot, especially when you consider how terrible De La Rosa was at home against the sorry-ass Padres offense in his last start (6 runs on 11 hits over 5 innings)! Play here is squarely on the Fish.

Take Florida behind Tucker over Colorado and De La Rosa in this MLB match up.

2♦ FLORIDA

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Matty O'Shea

Since Ted Lilly has screwed me in just about every game I have faded him this season, and I really like the Cardinals. I'm going with OVER 8.5

As some of you may recall, Lilly was on the winning side of a 9-3 victory at St. Louis back on May 3rd the last time he squared off against Kyle Lohse and the Cardinals. The OVER is 4-1 in Lilly's last five starts overall and 11-4-1 in the last 15 games St. Louis has been favored. The Cardinals have also been hitting lefties particularly well lately at .319 in their last 10 games. While my gut tells me St. Louis and OVER would make a nice two-team parlay, I will only stick with the OVER here and let some others talk you into that one

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Keith Martin Computer Plays

Top Play
None

Medium Play
Los Angeles Dodgers (M: -127.0)    3

Regular Plays
St Louis Cardinals (M: -109.0)         
New York Yankees (M: -128.0)       
Milwaukee Brewers (M: -145.0)       
Minnesota Twins (M: -127.0)           
Boston Red Sox    Under 9.5       
Kansas City Royals    Under 8.5       
Florida Marlins    Under 11.5

Yesterday     8-7 +1.2
Last 7 Days    47-24 +35.4

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VEGAS EXPERTS

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins

Minnesota over Cleveland looks like the easiest play on the board, at least to us, and that's simply based on how these two division rivals have been playing recently. Cleveland has dropped six straight while the Twins have won 14 of 16 and are showing no signs of slowing down following their dominant run in interleague play. Saturday starter Kevin Slowey has won each of his last three decisions with a miniscule 0.43 ERA over that same time frame.

Play on: Minnesota

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Nelly

Baltimore (Burres) - over Texas (Hurley)

Brian Burres allowed just one run in his last start and he owns a 4-2 record at home. As a lefthander he should have success against the Rangers as Texas is hitting just .211 in the past ten games against southpaws. Baltimore meanwhile is hitting .296 in the last ten games against right-handers and the Orioles continue to produce great results at home with a 25-14 record. Baltimore is 18-7 in the last 25 games as a favoirte and Texas is 1-3 behind starter Eric Hurley. Hurley struggled in his lone road start and pitching in this ballpark against a solid offense could be a rude awakening.

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Jimmy Moore

Philadelphia


Templer's Sports Picks

NY Mets/none +1.5    


KBWINS

Milwaukee    


The Sports Scholar    

San Francisco


Paul Leiner

10* White Sox -135


Cappers Access

Cubs
White Sox


BIG TIME SPORTS

SAN DIEGO / ARIZONA UNDER 8.5


DR VEGAS

Angels -125


SCOUT

San Diego -110


PLATINUM PLAYS

DODGERS - 125


HUDDLE UP

NY Yankees -130


RAZOR SHARP

DETROIT -130


#1 SPORTS

BALTIMORE -125


COMPUTER SPORTS

SEATTLE M's +120


MIKE WYNN

Detroit -135


ARTHUR RALPH

White Sox


VEGAS STEAMLINE

MINNESOTA


DARK HORSE

Boston +120


TOTALS 4 U

WASHINGTON/CINCINNATI UNDER


MIGHTY QUINN

Orioles
Indians


Pups and Chalk

CARDINALS -109


Matty O'shea

Cubs/Stl Over


Glen Mcgrew

Yankees


Joe Wiz

Yankees
DBacks


SOUTHSIDE SPORTS

WHITESOX


HOT LOCK SPORTS

Red Sox/Yankees Under 9.5


Kyle Baugues

Brewers -145


TONY MATHEWS

Arizona -105


JOHN FINA

White Sox -130


SCOTT SPREITZER

White Sox


Insider Sports Report

Pittsburgh/Milwaukee UNDER 9 


Frank Patron

Red Sox +120


MVP CAPPER

Cubs +105


Mrd Sports

Wash/Cincy Over


Mr. Parlay

Tampa Bay -132

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