FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

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Mr A

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

The struggling Padres have lost nine of their last 10 games, 1-6 on the road and six of its last eight versus Arizona. The Diamondbacks have dropped nine of their last 13 games, but have won four of its last 6 at home.

San Diego's Cha Seung Baek (1-3, 5.46) is 0-2 with a 6.38 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander has never faced Arizona.

Arizona's Dan Haren is 2-0 with a 0.43 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 1-0 with a 1.17 ERA. in four career outings, including three starts against the Padres. The Diamondbacks have won five of Haren's last 6 starts and seven of his last 9 at home.
Take the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The Padres have been an awful road team, just 12-27 away from home this season and will face right-hander Dan Haren, who is 7-1 with a 2.41 ERA at home this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks - 210

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GINA

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins

The Twins have won 13 of their last 15 games overall and 10 of its last 12 at the Metrodome.  Meanwhile, the Indians have lost five straight and four of its last 5 on the road.Minnesota will send right-hander Livan Hernandez (8-5, 5.22 ERA) to the hill. Hernandez is 2-1 with 2.57 ERA in his last three starts. He allowed seven runs on 12 hits in a 12-2, defeat in his only career start against the Indians at Jacobs Field on June 12. Cleveland counters with Paul Byrd (3-9, 5.26 ERA), who has lost his last four starts. Byrd is 10-4 with a 3.74 ERA in 18 career starts against Minnesota The Indians and Byrd have been successful against the Twins, winning ten of the last 13 meetings and five of the last 7 in Minnesota. However, the Indians presently are playing poorly and so is Paul Byrd. Cleveland has lost the right-hander’s last 4 starts, and eight of his last 9 on the road. Go with the hot Twins. Minnesota is 8-2 in Hernandez’s last 10 home starts.

Minnesota Twins -135

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LT Profits

New York Yankees +110

There is a lot of negativity surrounding the New York Yankees these days, and deservedly so, but you may never see them cast as home underdogs the rest of this season, so we feel compelled to go for the value today vs. the Boston Red Sox.

Besides, while Josh Beckett is regaining his great form, Yankee Stadium has never been one of his favorite stopping grounds since he wrapped up the World Series for the Florida Marlins here way back when. Becket has a robust 6.55 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in his last four starts in the Bronx, covering 22 innings.

Granted, Darrell Rasner has been brutal lately, but all of his bad starts have come on the road. Believe it or nit, he had a 2.08 ERA and an excellent 1.08 WHIP in four home starts. For comparative purposes, Beckett has a 3.19 ERA and 1.16 WHIP on the road. It may also help that Rasner has never faced Boston before.

Finally, the Red Sox won the series opener here last night, and it is getting to the point in the season now where the Yankees could ill afford to fall much further behind their bitter division rivals.

Pick: Yankees +110


Los Angeles Dodgers -105

The Los Angeles Dodgers have suddenly won three straight games on the road, and we look for them to continue that streak with the hot Derek Lowe on the hill today when they visit the San Francisco Giants.

Lowe has reeled off seven Quality Starts in his last eight outings, and he is coming off of a very unlucky 1-0 loss to John Lackey and the Angels where he allowed just five hits in seven innings. Lowe also has an impressive streak if six consecutive Quality Starts vs. San Francisco, including one start this season where he allowed two runs in six innings. He is supported by a Dodgers bullpen that is second in the National League with a 3.04 pen ERA.

Now Jonathan Sanchez has also pitched well in his last three starts, but he seems to bet getting too much respect that this price for a pitched with a limited track record of success and one that is still just 5-8 this season. Plus the Giants bullpen has been unreliable with a collective 4.17 ERA.

All things considered, this seems like a cheap price for the better team with a proven starter and the better bullpen.

Pick: Dodgers -105

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GOLDEN CONTENDER

Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves
Play: Under 8½

For the 4th of july the free pick is on the under in the atlanta-houston game.interesting stats for this game includethe astros under 9 out of 10 times as a road dog to+150.For the braves thye are 9-27 under vs sub 500 opponents and 2-10 under on fridays. pitching for the braves is tim hudson.In his home team starts he is 6-2 with a 2.24 era and oppnents are hitting .224 on the season against him.The astros send brian moehler to the hill know in he is in fine current form with a 1.47 era in his last 3 starts,and an overall 2.95 road era. stay under the total for your comp winner.

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WINNERS EDGE

SAN FRAN GIANTS -110, 2 UNITS

NY YANKEES +110 , 2 UNITS

HOUSTON ASTROS + 165 , 1 UNIT

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Mike Handzelek

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Pick: Boston Red Sox  : Pennant-Push Game Of The Day

Take the Red Sox as they've been streaking of late. However, the streak will now be going in the winning direction. Boston has more than ruled on grass going 56-24. Red Sox are 23-9 with total between 9.0 & 10.5. Boston 39-17 as a favorite between -110 & -150. Boston is 18-11 in Game 2's & NY is 13-15. Beckett has a solid Whip his last 3 games @ 1.09 while Rasner has a ballooning 1.93! Beckett is a perfect 3-0 vs. NY & 10-2 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. He is also 21-7 vs. winning teams & a perfect 4-0 on Fridays. The Yankees are 1-6 as a home dog 7 0-5 as a home dog of +110 to +150. Rasner is 0-5 with total 9.0 to 10.5 & also 0-5 off of 4 days rest. Whether NY's back is against the wall or not, the Red Sox are still the class of the division.


Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox
Pick: Over  Rare O/U : Play Of The Month

Take the Over here as the A's Blanton has been hit around of late & the Over is 6-2 when Blanton is found in a dog role. When Blanton takes to the road, the Over is a solid 9-4. The Over is 24-7 when the White Sox are home favorites of -151 to -200. When Buehrle is a home favorite in that price range, the Over is 4-0! When Buehrle is @ home vs. winning teams, the Over is 7-2. Grab The Over as our O/U Play Of The Month.


Toronto Blue Jays vs. LAA Angels
Pick: Toronto Blue Jays : Live Dog Of The Board

Take the Blue Jays as they've rocked RHP of late going 5-2. In comparison, Toronto is hitting .320 the last 10 games vs. RHP while we see the hometown Angels hitting just .225 vs. RHP their last 10. Burnett is 7-3 after the Blue Jays score 2 or less. A major plus this evening is the performance of the LA Angels pen @ home. Their ERA @ home is 5.01! The Angels have been more than rusty coming off an idle day to go 3-10. Weaver has come back off a Quality Start to pitch to a record of 1-5. If you're asking how Weaver shoots out in opening Game 1's for the Angels, the answer is 0-7! The dog is "a barking loud" on the west coast tonight with Toronto now 6-4 their L10.

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Jeff Hochman

Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox
Play: Chicago White Sox : Jeff's Top-rated 10* MLB Game of the Month

10*Chicago White Sox (Blanton/Buehrle) Mark Buehrle has faced Oakland once this year and pitched far too well to have earned the loss. He allowed two earned runs in seven innings and exited the game trailing 2-1.

Mark Buehrle is 24-17 with a 3.35 ERA at US Cellular Field since 2005. Have you seen his career numbers lately? Mark is 113-81 with a 3.80 ERA as you read this. I love him off a team loss too. Joe Blanton is 2-3 with a 6.75 ERA on the road this year and just 20-19 with a 4.98 ERA since 2005. Batters are hitting a robust .292 against him.

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Chris James Sports Afternoon Play

2* Boston Red Sox


Comp Play (5-0 L5)

Rangers/Orioles Under

This 4th of July afternoon is when the Texas Rangers and Baltimore Orioles will meet in Game 1 of their 3 game series. The Orioles send Jeremy Guthrie to the mound today who has a 3.50 ERA so far this year. He has an ERA of 2.57 in his last three starts. Guthrie is only allowing an average of 8.1 hits/walks per 9 innings which is pretty good these days. The Under is 4-1-1 in Guthrie's last 6 starts as a favorite and the Under is 9-2-1 in his last 12 home starts where the total is set between 9-10.5! The Rangers counter with Vicente Padilla who is 10-4 on the year with a 4.13 ERA. Padilla is only allowing 9.9 hits/walks per nine innings. The Under is 9-4-1 in the Rangers last 14 games overall. The last 4 meetings between these two teams have gone under the posted total. I expect it to be a 5th straight time today as these two pitchers allow very few base runners and the bullpens should be able to keep them in check! My free play today is the Rangers/Orioles Under.

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SEABASS

20 – Dodgers under
20 – Red sox under
20 – Mets under
20 – Baltimore
20 – Seattle
50 – BC (CFL)

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VEGAS RUNNER

PHI (+129) vs NYM  1* ML WAGER

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The Hammer Guaranteed Selections

PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB BASEBALL RUN LINE WINNER
Milwaukee w/Sheets -1.5 +100 

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LT Profits

2* Nationals/Reds under 9.5

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Fairway Jay

5* Dodgers/Giants Under 7.5

3* KC Royals

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DAVE MALINSKY

Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins
PICK: Over 4*

The early Holiday marketplace has been kind to us on this one - they can not quite pull it all the way down to a ‘9’, but now we can go Over 9.5 at no vigorish, and can even take a few pennies in some spots, That is outstanding value in a game in which the hitters will get good swings throughout.

Where do we start? Minnesota tagged Paul Byrd three starts back, knocking him out after just three innings, and that was at home, where he has worked to a 3.40 tune this season. Now he takes to the road with that 1-7/6.89 as a visiting moundsman anchoring him down, and it should only get worse here. Why did the Twins rack him? Partially because just about everybody is these days, but also because they pack so much left-handed punch. Lefties are mashing him to an awful .330 so far, with 13 home runs in only 182 at-bats, and this has nothing to do with being a small sample - they also hit him to a .322 tune LY, and .369 in 2006. As his career declines, getting left-handers out has become an insurmountable challenge. It means another early exit, and then a parade of struggling Cleveland relievers the rest of the way, with Eric Wedge now reduced to a “Closer by Committee” challenge, should that role be needed.

Wedge may need a closer because his team will score. The Indians battered Livan Hernandez for seven runs on 12 hits over just three innings at Cleveland four starts back, showing that they could read his limited stuff on the first look. That is significant, because if Hernandez can not fool you, he will not get you out. He did manage to hold down punchless Kansas City on a 2nd look on a cold day back in early April, but since then three teams have had a return go-round, including those Royals, and here is the dismal count - 15.1 innings, 21 runs (18 earned), 31 hits. It is one thing for a WHIP to top 2.00 for a stretch of three games or longer, but yet another when it is merely HIP. For this season his ratio of Hits to Strikeouts is 157-39, a most awkward place to be on the historical baseball charts. It shows that a lot of contact is being allowed, and that the more hitters see him, the better the contact is.

With the prospects of big early innings from both teams, this is a most fair price range for us to work with.

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Keith Martin Computer Plays

Top Play
Pittsburgh Pirates    Over 8.5    5

Medium Play
Arizona D-backs (-1.5 +113.0)      3

Regular Plays
New York Yankees (M: 110.0)         
Boston Red Sox    Under 9.5   
Washington Nationals    Under 9.5       
Seattle Mariners (M: -138.0)   
Baltimore Orioles (M: -126.0)   
Chicago White Sox (M: -154.0)   
Minnesota Twins (M: -129.0)   
Arizona D-backs (M: -196.0)       
Los Angeles Dodgers    Over 7.0       
Kansas City Royals    Under 9.0       
Oakland Athletics    Under 8.5       
Houston Astros    Under 8.5       
Florida Marlins    Under 10.5   

Yesterday     7-7  -3.3
Last 7 Days    39-17 +34.2 

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Matty O'Shea

On the 4th of July, we're going back to the well for one of my favorite plays over the last couple seasons - backing Boston ace Josh Beckett on the runline.The reasoning behind this is quite simple: In the last 35 wins for the Red Sox with Beckett on the mound dating back to 2006, 32 have been decided by 2 runs or more (91%).Let's just say I like those odds

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Oscarxena Sports

Kansas City +1.52 (3 Unit Play)

The Royals take on the surprising Rays today in Tampa Bay where Tampa Bay has been nearly unbeatable but I am going to take a shot on the gutty Royals here. Brian Bannister will take the mound for the Royals and he is having a tough year so far but in his one career start last year against Tampa Bay he won the game and recorded a 1.13 ERA and had a 0.25 WHIP. Meanwhile Tampa Bay will have Edwin Jackson on the mound and his stats aren't much better than Bannister's this year and in his one start last year against Kansas City he was pounded in losing the game and recording a 16.22 ERA and a 3.003 WHIP. Tampa Bay is off of an emotional series against Boston and placed their starting shortstop Bartlett on the DL and the Royals just continue to hit. Worth a shot on this big dog here today for me.


Cleveland +1.26 (4 Unit Play)

I am riding some ugly pigs today but although it is hard to say I like the Indians and Paul Byrd today. Byrd has been awful this year as the Indians are only 4-12 in his starts and he has allowed 21 home run balls so far this year but the Twins are not a big home run hitting club and depend on team speed and defense to win. Byrd has been very good against the Twins in his career going 10-4 against them and recording a 3.94 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. The Twins will respond today with their own gas can in Livan Hernandez who has a 5.22 ERA on the year and has allowed a whopping 157 hits in only 110 1/3 innings of work and a 1.60 WHIP. Hernandez has a 8.10 ERA in his career against Cleveland and a 2.22 WHIP. The Indians GM and management met yesterday to discuss the state of their team and I am sure that changes are coming but I like their chances tonight.


Baltimore -1.22 (2.5 Unit Play) & Baltimore -1 1/2 Runs +1.67 (1.5 Unit Play)

The Orioles are off of a tough loss last night as they blew a big lead and dropped the game to Kansas City but have Jeremy Guthrie on the mound tonight. Guthrie is a pitcher that not a lot of people know about but he has great stuff and has been a victim this year of a lack of run support. Guthrie has a 3.50 ERA overall this year in 115 2/3 innings of work and a 1.20 WHIP. He has pitched once against Texas in his career and did not receive a decision as he recorded a 4.50 ERA in the game with a 1.333 WHIP. Vicente Padilla takes the mound for Texas and the Rangers have been very good with him on the mound as they are 13-4 but in his career against Baltimore Padilla is 1-3 with a 6.23 ERA and a 1.801 WHIP. The Rangers have been winning with Padilla because they are scoring nearly 7 runs per game in his starts but with Guthrie on the mound I don't think they score that today and the Orioles win big.


NY Mets/Philadelphia Over 9 -1.15 (3 Unit Play)

I normally only release three plays but because this is a holiday here is one extra one today. Johan Santana takes the mound for the Mets and he has pitched well against Philadelphia in his career but Philadelphia is a tough place to pitch for all pitchers. The Phillies are counting on J.A. Happ to fill in for Brett Myers as Myers was sent to the minors to work on his mechanics and Happ has some decent stats in Triple A but he has allowed 11 home runs on the year which could cause him some issues tonight in hitter friendly Philadelphia. He started one game last year against New York and was hammered pretty good so the Phillies will know they need to get some runs against Santana tonight in order to compete. I like this to go Over 9

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Vernon Croy

Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox
Pick: Under 20 Unit MLB Total of the Week

This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the O/U is 4-8 for Oakland on the road this season when the posted total is 8 to 8.5. Oakland has struggled against lefty starters this season averaging just 3.6 rpg and the O/U is 9-19 for Oakland when facing a lefty starter. The O/U is 3-6 in Mark Buehrle's (6-6, 3.79 ERA) last 9 starts and the O/U is also 11-20 for the White Sox when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Mark Buehrle (6-6, 3.79 ERA) has pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 1.17 while lasting an average of 7.7 innings per start and I look for him to shut down this Oakland line-up tonight. Take the Under as my MLB Total of the Week and make sure you get on my MLB NL Game of the Week as my long term MLB run continues.

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Bob Harvey Sports

San Francisco Giants


Texas Sports Syndicate

Philadelphia Phillies


bestnetpicksperiod

New York Yankees


One Thousand to One Million Dollars

Laa Angels


seeyouinthewinnerscircle

Chicago White Sox


Hollywood Eddie

Milwaukee Brewers


WildBill

Cincinnati Reds


GAMETIMEDECISION

Chicago White Sox


Tippster

Cincinnati Reds


SportsPickStore

Atlanta Braves


Harris Sports

New York Yankees


JEFF MONEY

Mariners


KM Sports Computer Sheet

New York Yankees 

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Root

Chairman - W.Sox
Mill - St Louis
Moneymaker - LA Dodgers

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