FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

EZWINNERS

CFL
1 STAR: (406) MONTREAL (PICK) over winnipeg
(Risking $110 to win $100)


MLB

3 STAR: (971) TEXAS (+$118) over Baltimore
(Listing Padilla only) (Risking $300 to win $354)

2 STAR: (967) BOSTON (-$119) over NY Yankees
(Listing Beckett only) (Risking $238 to win $200)

2 STAR: (955) LA DODGERS (-$107) over San Francisco
(Listing Lowe only) (Risking $214 to win $200)

2 STAR: (957) NY METS (-$134) over Philadelphia
(Listing Santana only) (Risking $268 to win $200)

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

DAVE MALINSKY

6* NY Yankee/Boston Red Sox Under 9.5

6* LA Dodgers/SF Giants Under 7

3* TB -155

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Bob Balfe

Whitesox -155 over A's
Buehrle/Blanton

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Ben Burns

San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks
PICK: Arizona Diamondbacks

In order to get it's season moving in the right direction, often a struggling team just needs to have something "extra special" to happen to it. I'd say yesterday's ninth inning fits that description for the Diamondbacks. After jumping out to an early lead in the NL West, the Diamondbacks had fallen on hard times recently. In fact, after losing a game that they easily could have won on Wednesday, they fell to just 3-9 their previous dozen games and dipped below the 500 mark for the first time since Opening Week. The Diamondbacks appeared headed towards another loss yesterday, as they trailed 5-0 entering the bottom of the 9th inning. That's when the magic started. Indeed, the D-Bax managed to score six runs without even recording an out. The game would have been a tough one to lose, as Brandon Webb had started and they're "supposed" to win the games which he starts. Instead of another painful defeat, the D-Bax are now back to the 500 mark and coming off a momentum-building win.

Even without the 'momentum' in their favor, the D-Bax were already going to have a major advantage on the mound for tonight's game. San Diego sends Cha Seung Baek to the hill. The converted reliever comes off back to back losses, allowing 10 combined runs in 11 1/3 innings. He's now 0-4 in six starts, with an ugly 6.00 ERA and 1.516 WHIP. On the other hand, Haren enters tonight's game with an 8-4 record with an excellent 2.85 ERA and 0.976 WHIP. He's been at his best at home, too. Indeed, he's 7-1 in nine starts here, recording an outstanding 2.41 ERA and 0.922 WHIP in those games. most recently an 11-1 win over Oakland, his former team. Including that result, Haren has an amazing 0.43 ERA his last three starts. (Baek has a 6.38 ERA over his last three!) It's also worth noting that Haren has been excellent in three career starts against the Padres. In those games, he had a stellar 1.42, most recently tossing seven shutout innings, en route to a 9-0 win, back in April. His teams won those games by a combined score of 18-6.

Not that he generally needs much help but Haren has the better bullpen backing him up. The Diamondbacks relievers have a combined 3.61 ERA and 1.247 WHIP. Despite playing in a pitcher-friendly park, the Padres releivers have a 4.22 ERA and 1.371 WHIP. Take them out of Petco park and those numbers get worse. In fact, in 118+ road innings, they San Diego relievers have a poor 4.64 ERA and 1.504 WHIP.

The Diamondbacks also figure to have the advantage in the hitting department. Including yesterday's win, they're now averaging 5.2 runs per game at home on the season, hitting for a .281 average in those games. On the other hand, the Padres are batting .251 on the road, averaging only 3.8 runs per game. The Padres have been at their worst underneath the lights, too. In 61 night games, they've gone 21-40 (-22.9!) averaging only 3.5 runs per game while hitting .247.

Yes, at first glance the line is a little on the steep side - the reason that this isn't a "guaranteed" selection. However, with the Diamondbacks enjoying several significant advantages (pitching, hitting, homefield, momentum etc) I feel that the price is justified and I look for Haren to continue his dominance in this park and against this opponent. Consider laying the price with ARIZONA

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Terron Chapman

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Play: Boston Red Sox   
 
The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox will continue their weekend series this afternoon with a holiday matinee. The Red Sox took game 1 last night as a pup 7-0 and find themselves in pretty good position to take control of the series and put more distance between them and their hated rivals from the Bronx.

The Sox hope Josh Beckett can continue his strong pitching this year against the pinstripes this afternoon. Beckett is 2-0 with a 3.68 ERA in two starts against the Yanks this season. He has been the victim of poor run support recently as the Sox have scored only three runs in his last two starts but that could change this afternoon.

The Sox exploded for seven runs last night, four off of starter Andy Pettite in just the first two innings. Expect them to have a good showing at the plate this afternoon with Yanks starter Darrell Rasner taking the hill. Rasner won his first three meetings to start the season, but has gone 1-6 in his seven starts since. This will be his first appearance against the Sox.

It may take more than a closed door meeting to get the Yanks bats swinging today. They have scored just four runs in their last four losses and their best player, Alex Rodriguez is just 5-25 against Boston this season. The Yanks are just 1-6 in their last 7 games as a home pup.Play on the Boston Red Sox for 1 unit.

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Stevie Y

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Play: Boston Red Sox     

Can You Say "Josh Beckett" gang & a smooth 3.65 ERA overall & a 2-1 mark with a 2.45 ERA in his last 6 starts. Josh is also 7-4 with a 4.74 ERA in his career vs the Yanks, including a sparkling 3-0 mark with 2.90 ERA in his last 3 starts.let's fade Darrel Rasner & the Yankees and after a 3-0 start with a 1.89 ERA in his first 3 games of the season, he has gone just 1-6 with a 5.68 ERA in his his last 7 starts. look @ that .392 OPB and a 1.93 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Too many baserunners to give the Sox. The Boston offense scores just 4.4 rpg on the road, but they have hit .286 with a .381 OBP, while scoring 4.9 rpg in their last 7 games, plus they put 5.5 rpg on the board in day games, hitting .302 in the process. The Yanks put 18 runs on the board vs Texas a few days ago, but they have only put up 7 total runs in the 4 games before that one and the one game after. Boston early boys 

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SAPKOWSKI         

Premium
CHI White Sox
MIN Twins

Free picks
NY Mets
MIL Brewers
WAS vs. CIN Under

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LARRY NESS

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants
PICK: San Francisco Giants

"They're both ready to go," manage Joe Torre said. The "they" Torre is referring to are Nomar Garciaparra and Andruw Jones, who will be activated from the DL on Friday. Garciaparra has been on the DL since April 26 with a strained left calf, while Jones has been on the DL since May 25 with a right knee injury. However, I'm not sure why Torre is so excited? Garciaparra has hit .226 in nine games this year (1 HR / 5 RBI) and will be asked to fill in at shortstop for Furcal. However, he has not played shortstop since August of 2005 with the Chicago Cubs. As for Jones, when he went on the DL, he was hitting .165 (43 games) with just two HRs, seven RBI and 45 strikeouts! The Dodgers and Giants both average 4.09 RPG (two of MLB's lowest scoring teams) and in the pitching matchup (Lowe vs Sanchez), I'll back the red-hot Sanchez over the inconsistent Lowe. Since a poor start at Pittsburgh on May 6 (4.1 IP / 7 ERs), Sanchez has allowed three ERs or less NINE times, with the Giants winning EIGHT of his 10 starts. They've won SIX of his last seven starts, with him allowing two ERs or less five times. If you were to throw out his June 12 start at Colorado, a 10-7 San Francisco win in which Sanchez allowed seven ERs, his ERA in the other six games is 1.96. The Giants are 13-4 in his starts this year and at plus-$1,232 vs the moneyline, Sanchez is MLB's second-biggest "money-maker." As for Lowe, he's blown hot and cold all season. He never allowed more than three ERs in any of his first six starts in '08 (LA went 5-1) but then allowed 22 ERs in 21.1 innings over his next four starts (9.28 ERA). He got back on track beginning on May 23, as he's allowed three ERs or less in seven of his last eight starts. However, the Dodgers have dropped three of his last four starts, scoring just one run in the three losses. LA will have trouble getting to Sanchez this afternoon (Dodgers are 10-18 in day games this year, averaging 3.0 RPG), as Lowe will again find himself looking for but not getting, offensive support. Take the Giants.

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Wunderdog

Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
Pick: Pittsburgh +183

What has happened to Tom Gorzelanny? His ERA is well into the 6's. He has been closer to his true self lately, as his last six starts have seen him allow no more than four runs. After a quick start Ben Sheets has been a bit more ordinary. The Brewers have posted wins in just six of his last 11 starts, and two of those by the slimmest of margins - one run. The Pirates also got a lift offensively by beating Edinson Volquez on the road while scoring 15 runs in their last two games. We will take the long odds with value here and back the Pirates.

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Jeff Benton

Josh Beckett is a stud, we know this, and he’s been pitching his tail off recently (1.64 ERA in his last three starts), but the Red Sox ace doesn’t have much to show for his efforts. Boston last his two most recent starts (2-1 at home to Arizona; 3-2 at Houston); they’re 1-3 in his last four outings; and they’re only 8-7 in his 15 starts this season, including 4-5 on the road. So why are the struggling Sox such a big favorite in this one? Mostly because New York rookie right-hander Darrell Rasner has come crashing back to earth – the kid has gone four straight starts without a quality outings, and New York is 1-6 in his last seven starts.

However, Rasner wasn’t that bad against the Mets on Sunday, giving up just two runs in five innings of a 3-1 loss. Also, Rasner has been dynamite at Yankee Stadium this year, going 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA in four starts – the only defeat being a 2-1 setback to the Royals. Throw in Beckett’s 5.87 career ERA against the Yankees (5.90 in five starts at the Stadium), and I’ll look for the Bombers to bounce back from Thursday's ugly 7-0 loss to the BoSox.

3♦ N.Y. YANKEES

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Jake Timlin

Milwaukee Brewers -1 1/2 Runs

Looking to erase their tough loser on Thursday I look for the Brewers to roll big time minus the Run Line today. After all thanks to being back home where they have been a big money maker posting a 25-13 season record as Milwaukee has won their last 6 at home it’s the Brewers who hold all of the advantages today. You see what today comes down to is pitching where Milwaukee with Sheets who is 9-2 with a sub 3 ERA has a huge edge over the Pirates who counter with Gorzelanny who has been awful on the road this year going 1-5 with a road ERA of 8.63. Flat out Milwaukee is going to be on a mission to forget about their ninth inning collapse in the desert yesterday and due to that look for the Brewers to destroy the weak traveling Pirates.

All Milwaukee

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Tony Weston

Baltimore Orioles will get over on the Texas Rangers.

Over their last 19 games the Orioles are a modest 11-8, but are 7-3 at home in that stretch. They’re 8-3 their last 11 home games and are an impressive 24-13 at home this season. But the difference for Baltimore tonight will be starting pitcher Jeremy Guthrie, who is only 4-7 this season, but has an impressive 3.50 ERA.

Over Guthrie’s last six starts he’s 2-1 with three no decisions and the Orioles are 4-2. He also has a 3.25 home ERA this season in eight starts in front of the home crowd.

Opposite Guthrie will be Rangers starting pitcher Vicente Padilla, who has allowed 18 earned runs in his last 31 innings of work as Texas is only 3-2 in that stretch.

Padilla has been giving up a lot of earned runs and a lot of home runs (eight in that five game stretch) and he’ll get lit up again tonight.

Pencil in Guthrie as your starting pitcher and take Baltimore at home.

3♦ ORIOLES

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Erin Rynning

Playmaker: Washington / Cincinnati Over 9.5

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ROBERT FERRINGO

5-Unit Play. Take Over 10.0 Florida at Colorado
Note: This is our Total of the Week.

Let's start at the beginning. First, this is the third day in a row that the Rockies are facing a left-handed pitcher. Scott Olsen is not going to show them anything they haven't already seen. Olsen has a 6.76 ERA in his last four road starts and he's facing a team that is No. 6 in the league at hitting southpaws. Florida, on the other hand, hits much better against righties and should have some fun with young, erratic Greg Reynolds. I like Reynolds. He has some good stuff and will be a solid starter in this league. But he's had some walk issues and he?ll be dealing with an up with a tight, tight zone. Chad Fairchild is as tight as they come and five of his last six games have gone over. However, his last game went under and only once this year has he posted two straight unders, and that's through nearly 20 trials. Fairchild doesn't seem to like soft-tossing lefties, either. He's done 11 games with at least one lefty starter (discounting one C.C. Sabathia start that went over) and yielded an average of 8.8 walks and 12.5 runs. He is also 8-4 overall in games started by at least one lefty.

Florida is an over team. They have been all year. Every meaningful trend on this team screams over. That's 35-16-6 overall, 35-17-7 on the road, 7-2 in Olsen's last nine starts, 20-7-2 in his last 29 road starts, 16-6-4 against a righty starter, 16-5-3 against totals in this range, 19-7-5 as a road dog, 21-7-2 against a starter with a WHIP over 1.30, etc., etc. Colorado has been an under team. And that?s the only reason this play isn't a 6-Unit Total of the Month or 7-Unit Total of the Year.

We have a nice light breeze out. And hopefully the humidor is broken. The fans want fireworks on the 4th of July. Here?s to hoping that they get them lots of them in a vintage, high-scoring Coors Field game


2.5-Unit Play. Take Minnesota (-130) over Cleveland

2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Pittsburgh at Milwaukee

1.5-Unit Play. Take Chicago White Sox (-160) over Oakland

1.5-Unit Play. Take Texas (+120) over Baltimore

1.5-Unit Play. Take St. Louis (+110) over Chicago Cubs

1.5-Unit Play. Take Atlanta (-1.5, +120) over Houston

1.5-Unit Play. Take Florida (+115) over Colorado

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Greg Shaker

2 Units Brewers -1.5

2 Units Yankees

2 Units Indians

2 Units Mets -1.5

2 Units Cardinals

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Kingmaker

1.5 Unit Red Sox
1 Unit Sea/Det Over
1 Unit Sea Team Total Over 4 Runs

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Jeff Scott Top Play

4 Units Twins

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