SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

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BRIAN MARSHALL


Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians
Plays On: Cleveland Indians -1.5 Runs

Game Analyses: The Cleveland Indians should be able to beat the Cincinnati Reds by at least two runs in Sunday's MLB game. With that said, we will side with the Cleveland Indians -1.5 Runs!

The Cincinnati Reds will be lead by starting pitcher Bronson Arroyo. Bronson Arroyo has struggled this season. In fact, Bronson Arroyo has a 6.52 ERA on the season. In addition, Bronson Arroyo has a 10.80 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Bronson Arroyo pitching another bad game today.

The Cleveland Indians will be lead by starting pitcher Aaron Laffey. Aaron Laffey has been pitching very well as of late. In fact, Aaron Laffey has a 2.83 ERA on the season. In addition, Aaron Laffey has a 2.41 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Aaron Laffey pitching another great game today.

The Cleveland Indians have proven they can beat the Cincinnati Reds. In fact, the Cleveland Indians are 10-4 in their last 14 meetings against the Cincinnati Reds (when playing in Cleveland).

Take the Cleveland Indians -1.5 Runs!

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WINNING SPORTS

Seattle/San Diego Under 7

Reason: Put us down on the Seattle Mariners/San Diego Padres Under 7 for our Free MLB Selection on Sunday. Today we expect a low-scoring game as the Seattle Mariners do battle with the San Diego Padres. One reason why we expect a low-scoring game is because both these teams will be sending to the mound solid starting pitchers. This says it all... The Seattle Mariners Starting Pitcher (Erik Bedard) has a 1.93 ERA in his last 3 starts, while San Diego Padres Starting Pitcher (Jake Peavy) has a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 starts. In addition, these teams have been known to play low-scoring games when they meet. In fact, the Under is a Perfect 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. We expect to see another low-scoring game today. Take the Seattle Mariners/San Diego Padres Under 7!

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DAVE COKIN .

STL Cardinals and KC Royals.
Take KC Royals

The Royals finally lost one Saturday, but KC has been money in the bank in interleague play and they've got a good shot to rebound smartly today. Brian Bannister has excellent numbers at home, especially in day games. Braden Looper had trouble keeping the ball inside the park his last outing for the Redbirds. I'm on Bannister and the Royals to score the win.

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STEVE JANUS

LA ANGELS

The Angels are one of those rare teams that is better on the road than they are at home and that is why this line is so surprising. The Dodgers are only 5-22 in interleague play against a team with a winning record, and they've gone just 5-11 as a home underdog in their last 16 games in that situation. The Angels are 8-2 this year as road favorites between -110 and -150, and their starter Sunday, John Lackey, is 12-2 in his last 14 starts in the same situation.

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JIM FEIST

PHI Phillies and TEX Rangers.
Take Over

A couple of powerhouse offensive teams meet in a great hitter's park in Texas. Philadelphia is second in the NL in runs scored, while surprising Texas is tops in the AL in runs. The two pitchers on the mound are not aces, with ERAs over 4. Texas started 19-15 over the total at home, where they average 6 runs per game, far better than on the road. Look for an offensive show. Play the Phillies/Rangers Over the total!

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Jimmy Boyd

Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jays    
1 Unit on Blue Jays -148

We'll make a small play on the Blue jays Sunday behind the right arm of Mr. Burnett. The Blue Jays are a solid 5-2 in Burnett's last 7 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 9-2 in their last 11 Sunday games. The Braves are only 6-18 in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a losing record and a pathetic 8-20 in their last 28 road games. Expect Atlanta's road woes to continue here up against a good home starter.

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Dave Price

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins    
1 Unit on Milwaukee Brewers -128

It hasn't mattered where Sheets has pitched this season, he has been the best pitcher on the field in nearly every game. We'll get behind him Sunday as he will win his matchup again, giving the Brewers the edge. The Brewers are an impressive 13-3 in Sheets' last 16 road starts, 7-1 in Sheets' last 8 interleague starts, and 25-9 in Sheets' last 34 starts overall. The Twins have been playing well, but the Brewers are playing just as good. Bet the Brew Crew behind their ace.

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Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Carlo Campanella

Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals

Baltimore (40-38) finds themselves in the road Favorite role as they square off against Washington on Sunday afternoon. In my recent article, "MLB: Behind the Numbers" I mention that while Baltimore is barely above the mendoza line, their most profitable role is at 13-5 as Favorites this season! We'll back them in this situation on Sunday as they start Guthrie on the mound, who's held Washington to just 3 Earned Runs in 21 Innings Pitched during his last 3 starts against them.

Play on: Baltimore

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VEGAS EXPERTS

Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers

Two Angels pitchers combined to no-hit the Dodgers yesterday, but the team still somehow managed to lose. A MLB best 26-14 on the road this season, we don't see the Halos getting swept by their cross-town rivals. This afternoon, they send out John Lackey, who has been stellar since coming off the DL posting a 5-1 mark with a 1.65 ERA. His team has won all five of his starts this year when he's working on 5 or 6 days rest.

Play on: LA Angels

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Alex Smart

San Diego Padres -141

The San Diego Padres starting hurler today and the ace of their pitching staff, and National Leagues reigning Cy Young award winner Jake Peavy (5-4, 2.77 ERA) prepares to mow down the opposition today in front of the home town fans. With this being his 4th start ,after a lay off ,because of an elbow injury, Im expecting he could easily be in the best shape of his current campaign, which is not a good omen for opposing batting orders. Note: Peavy has allowed just 4 Ers in his L16 innings of work. With the Mariners sending the often injured and ineffective Erik Bedard to the hill in response, I very much like the Padres chances of winning. Note: Bedard is currently less, than 100% and has rarely thrown more than 100 pitches in a game this season. Final notes & Key Trends: Peavy is 4-0 when starting against Seattle along with an ERA of 1.56 and a minuscule WHIP of 0.779 . Mariners are 2-9 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record . Play on the Padres

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Matt Fargo

St Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals
Play:St Louis Cardinals   

St. Louis broke through with a victory last night which snapped a three-game skid including two walk-off wins for the Tigers. St. Louis has been successful on the road this season and since mid-May, the Cardinals are 14-9 in their last 23 road games and they have won six of seven series over that span. The pitching has been solid, posting a 3.99 ERA through 42 games which is second best in the National League. The offense is hitting .272 which is tops in the league and tied with Boston for best in baseball.

The Royals had their six-game winning streak snapped on Saturday and now it is time to begin a new streak. It has been a very streaky season for Kansas City who had been 11-1 over its previous 12 games but before that was 5-20 in its prior 25 games. Somehow the pitching has come to life, allowing three runs or fewer in 10 of its last 14 games. The offense was held to fewer than four runs last night for the first time in nine games and we will continue to see that again today against a solid starter.

Braden Looper gets the call for St. Louis and he has hit one of his best stretches of the season. He had tossed three straight quality starts before allowing four runs in Detroit last time out. His ERA is 2.67 over those five games and his record sits at 3-1 only due to poor run support in the lone loss. Looper has allowed three runs or fewer in six of his last eight starts and he has actually had a much better season on the road where he is 5-2 and his ERA is 3.91 compared to 4.50 at home.

Brian Bannister has tossed two straight quality outings so this is where we want to go against him as he falls into the category of a lower tiered starter going for a third straight quality outing. It has been a season of inconsistencies for Bannister and it was a rough end of May and start into June. Over a six-game stretch, he had an ERA of 6.82 with the Royals going 2-4 in those games. In his last outing, he allowed only three hits but walked six and that will be something to keep an eye on. Play St. Louis Cardinals 1.5 Units

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Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Tom Freese

Boston at Houston

Boston is 8-0 their last 8 games when playing Game 3 of a series and they are 43-9 their last 52 Interleague games vs. righty starters. The Red Sox are 8-1 off a loss and they are 7-0 the last 7 starts made by Josh Beckett on the road vs. losing teams and they are are 10-2 in the last 12 Interleague starts made by Beckett. Houston is 21-49 their last 70 Interleague games as underdogs and they are 8-20 their last 28 games overall. The Astros are 1-8 off a win and they are 1-4 with Brian Moehler on the mound as an underdog.

PLAY ON BOSTON

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Scott Ferrall

St.Louis (even odds) over Kansas City--Looper has been rock solid almost every start.  I hit the Cards Saturday and stopped the Royals hot streak-don't forget

SAN DIEGO -145 over Seattle--Peavy handles the soft Mariners and not so tough Eric Bedard

San Fran +120 over Oakland--Dirty Sanchez helps the Giants finally get one at the Coliseum.  Blanton has no luck either.  The A's just don't win when he's pitching

PHILLY -120 over Texas--Philly finally got back on track Saturday and Moyer gets them another win here

Dodgers +110 over Angels--Lowe needs this one against Lackey.  He's been average at best this year, but looks good at the Revine Sunday.  Everyone will be pouncing on Lackey as the favorite, but he's not lasting deep in to this one because the Dodgers will have the bats clicking to end the series on a bright note

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LUCKY LEPRECHAUN SPORTS

Arizona/ FLORIDA Under 8

The  5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games as a road favorite and 8-3 in Harens last 11 starts overall, while the Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a home underdog and 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Florida. Both teams are playing putrid offense right now as the D-Backs come in having scored just 2.3 rpg in the ir last 9 games, while the Marlins have averaged the same 2.3 rpg in thier last 6 games.For the year the D-Backs score just 3.7 rpg on the road, while hitting .214 in the process, plus they score just 4.5 rpg in day games, while hitting just .237 in those day games. Arizona's road games have averaged 7.8 rpg, while their last 9 overall have averaged just 6.2 rpg. The Marlins score just 4.3 rpg at home, while hitting .239 and just 4.4 rpg in day games, while hitting  just .243. Danny Haren will take the mound for Arizona and he has been rolling lately posting a 1.58 ERA in his last 5 starts, iincluding a 1.35 ERA in his last 3 starts, allowing a .203 OBP and a sizzling 0.65 WHIP. Danny has a 3.89 ERA on the road, with his road starts averaging just 7 rpg, while he has a nice 1.97 ERA in day games, with those games averaging just 7.6 rpg. Scott Olsen has a solid 3.44 ERA overall, a 3.46 ERA in day games and a 2.86 ERA at home, while allowing a .292 OBP in his home starts. This game features two solid starters and two struggling offenses and that will lead to a low scoring affair in the Sunshine State.

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Mike Anthony

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Texas Rangers    
Play: Philadelphia Phillies   

Philadelphia will be able to get the job done here today in Texas. The Phillies flat out crush right-handed pitching. The Phillies have not been playing well over the last few weeks but that all changed last night against the worst defensive team in the majors. See this is a team that gets it going and doesn’t stop. They are one of the few teams in baseball that can put up a dozen runs in a game.

The problem for Eric Hurley today is those left-handed batters. You begin with one of the best players in baseball. Jimmy Rollins is a tough out. He is finally getting in to a groove. After you see him you have to see the likes of Ryan Howard and Chase Utley whom are both lefties. Both of those players hit a long ball last night.

The Rangers can hit, we don’t argue with you there but look at Jamie Moyer. Is their a guy with more guts than this guy? Is there anyone that can match his craftiness? PHILS WIN BIG$$$$$$$$

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JB's COMPUTER PICKS

Detroit Tigers -170   * * *

Milwaukee Brewers -135

Los Angeles Angels -125


Best Bet * * *

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Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Drew Gordon

NY Yankees at NY METS -110

Despite both starters being unimpressive of late, there's no question you have to be fading the struggling Darrell Rasner in this one. He's 1-2 with a ugly 9.88 ERA over his last 3 starts, and that includes two meltdowns on the road - at Oakland (6 runs in 3 2/3 innings) and at Pittsburgh (7 runs in 5 innings)! Say what you will about his success at Yankee Stadium, but Rasner is nothing more than a liability on the road.

Opposing Rasner is the Mets Oliver Perez, who's coming off back-to-back disappointing starts. However, there's a big differences with Perez... He almost always brings his "A" game against the Bombers, going 4-1 with a 2.88 ERA in 5 career starts against them! That includes a nice win May 18th, allowing 2 runs over 7 2/3 innings, at Yankee Stadium no less! Look for Perez to bounce back nicely in this one.

Finally, if there's one match up the Yankees powerhouse offense doesn't like, its facing a lefty on the road, where they average 4.5 runs per game. Still seems like plenty of offense, but fact is Cabrera, Damon, and Abreu are all struggling to hit southpaws right now, and with Oliver "Yankee-Killer" Perez due up this afternoon, the Mets can and will avoid the sweep in this one.

Take the NY Mets behind Perez over the NY Yankees and Rasner in afternoon MLB action.

2♦ NY METS

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Chris Jordan

Milwaukee -145 at MINNESOTA

There are only a few pitchers I’d consider going against a team that recently reeled off 10 straight wins, but Ben Sheets is certainly one of them this season. In 15 starts this year he’s 9-1 with a 2.59 ERA and since he hasn’t lost since May 15, I don’t have any reason to believe things will change in this contest. He’s 3-0 in the month of June, spanning four starts, as he’s given up a mere seven earned runs over 28 innings – producing a solid 2.25 ERA.

He comes in after tossing his National League-leading third complete game of the season, against the Braves last Monday, when he allowed four hits, struck out seven and retired the last 16 batters he faced. The power right-hander has now won five straight decisions and has pitched at least six innings in 10 consecutive starts, and in 13 of 15 starts this season. He’s been rock solid on the highway this year, posting a 6-0 mark in 10 road starts, to go along with a 2.41 ERA.

All due respect to Kevin Slowey, who has been dynamic for the Twins this month, but it’s hard to ignore the fact he was 0-4 with a 5.49 ERA in his first four starts. He beat this team earlier this month, so expect the Brewers to come out firing against the right-hander in the Homer Domer.

4♦ BREWERS

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Brian Gabrielle

Lenox Industrial Tools 301: Flat Tracks Break Skeins

Last Week: Brutal. We were looking really good for a double-win behind the road-course-savvy hands of Tony Stewart. Smoke had just jumped into second place at Sonoma with about 20 laps to go when a few knuckleheads behind him decided to make trouble, wrecking themselves and spinning out Stewart in the process. The No. 20 could only get back to 10th place, which wasn't enough to give him a win in our head-to-head match against Juan Pablo Montoya. And that bad luck puts us on our first three-race losing streak of the season. For the week, we lost 1.5 units; for the season, we've still profited 3.2 units on 23 units wagered, a return of 13.9%, and we've given you winning weeks in 12 of 16 events. (Note that if you'd eschewed the relatively conservative betting pattern we outline below, and simply bet one unit per wager we recommend, last week you'd have lost four units; for the season, that would leave you with a profit of 6.74 units on 63 units wagered, a return of 10.7%. But there's clearly a bit more week-to-week risk associated with that strategy.)

Take Denny Hamlin (+700), 1/6th unit. This weekend, we head to the flat track at Loudon. Now, Hamlin gives you a shot at a win every time he comes to a flat track. He won at Martinsville this season, he was third at Phoenix (with a legit chance to win that race) and he led 380 laps at Richmond before blowing a tire from the lead. Hamlin also has a career win at New Hampshire Motor Speedway, in this race last season. Something does always seem to happen to him while he's leading races late, but still, he's a very solid bet to be in contention on Sunday.

Take Kyle Busch (+500), 1/6th unit. There's no sense betting against this particular winning streak any longer. The younger Busch has five wins in not quite half a season, and it was pretty much unthinkable that he'd dominate a road course like he did at Sonoma last weekend. He's just absolutely on fire. Plus in his career he has four finishes of 11th or better at Loudon in six tries, including a victory back in the spring of '06. Think of this as insurance against yet another dominant effort by the Shrub.

Take Clint Bowyer (+1500), 1/6th unit. Bowyer has been the most consistent driver on flat tracks this year. He finished 10th at Martinsville, second at Phoenix, and he was able to pick up the scraps from Hamlin, Kyle Busch and Dale Earnhardt Jr. (+800) at Richmond, and take his second career win. Plus remember: his first career win came at this very track last September, when he dominated in the Car of Tomorrow, leading 222 laps, and momentarily taking the lead in the Chase for the Championship. This week, I'd scoop him up while his odds are this long.

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Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

SAPKOWSKI 7-1 premium picks run

Premium
CHI White Sox
CLE Indians

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BOS Red Sox
BAL Orioles

Tips:For Euro 2008 spain to win

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