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The Experts Guaranteed Selections

ULTIMATE EXPERTS BASEBALL WINNER
Cleveland w/Byrd -115

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Wunderdog

WNBA

Indiana at Houston
Pick: Under 141

Indiana played their last game in New York where both teams played into the 100s. It was a game that by the raw score looked like a high-scoring affair and may have added a few points to this total. The Fever has played five other road games, and has held the opponents to 68.8 points per game. They obviously don't get themselves into a full-court game. Houston opened the season with five straight losses, but has patched things up on the defensive end, and the last five home games have seen the opponent average less than 70 ppg. This game has the makings of a game played in the 60s, and we will back the UNDER in this one.

MLB

Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers
Pick: Los Angeles Angels +114

Chad Billingsley has followed his rookie success into this season, and has established himself as a quality starter. The problem he faces, as do many of the Dodgers' pitchers, is the lack of run support. The Dodgers' offense has sputtered all season, and has already produced 24 games scoring one run or less! That means even a good pitcher like Billingsley has managed to lead the Dodgers to only a 6-9 mark in his 15 starts. The Angels have played well over the last month or so posting a 22-13 mark in their last 35 games. Jered Weaver pitched poorly to start the season as the Angels posted wins in just two of those eight starts. They have reversed that fortune as Weaver has been more like the pitcher that carries a 31-16 career mark into this game. The Angels have now posted wins in six of his last eight starts. The Angels are the better team, and the Dodgers can't be trusted offensively, so we back the Angels to even the series tonight.

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PRICELESS PICKS

1 Unit on Kansas City Royals -125

The Royals are rolling in interleague play and they are having their way with their in-state rivals.  The Cardinals are a pathetic 2-10 in their last 12 interleague games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 1-7 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Royals are 11-1 in their last 12 overall, 6-0 in their last 6 home games, 14-3 in their last 17 interleague games, and 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The Cards have now lost 4 straight to the Royals.  Take KC here.

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GINA

San Francisco Giants at Oakland Athletics

Oakland has won four of their last 5 home games and has taken the last five meetings against San Francisco. Meanwhile, the Giants have dropped 9 of their last 13 games, 2-4 in its last 6 on the road. San Francisco will send Tim Lincecum (8-1, 2.54) to the hill. The right-hander is 0-0 with a 4.26 ERA in his last three starts, but has been successful away from home, 6-0 with a 2.10 ERA in his last eight on the road. Oakland counters with right-hander Justin Duchscherer (8-4, 1.99 ERA), who is 3-0 with a 1.19 ERA in his last three starts. The A's are 6-0 in Duchscherers last 6 home starts. 

Go with Oakland at home to continue their dominance over San Francisco. The Giants have lost nine of the last 10 meetings against the A's and seven of the last 10 meetings in Oakland.

Oakland Athletics  -135

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Chris James Sports (14-3 L7 Days, Won 9 of 10 Days)

3* Minnesota
2* Boston
2* Phillies

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Jeffmoney

A's -140 (pod)
Indians -115
Nats Ev

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ROBERT FERRINGO

GAME OF MONTH

7-Unit Play. Take Chicago White Sox (-135) over Chicago Cubs
Note: This is our Game of the Month.

After taking the first game of the series last night I think the White Sox keep it rolling over their Crosstown Rivals in a big way today. Javy Vazquez got knocked around a little bit against the Cubs on Sunday, but he was also the victim of a weak home run and the fact that the Sox hit into three DP's in the first three innings. Vazquez is 13-3 in his last 16 home starts and is 22-10 in Chicago in his career. Further, the Sox have won six straight Vazquez starts when he gets an extra day of rest and 16-5 backing him as a favorite. Finally, Vazquez has a sparkling 1.26 ERA in day games this year (2-0) and has been a solid day starter in his career.

Sean Gallagher has dumped four straight road starts and in his career he is 0-3 with a 5.23 ERA. He has never faced the White Sox, so he's never performed in this type of environment, and he is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA in day games over the past two years. He hasn't started in over a week, and that lack of a normal routine means that he could go either way either he's on his (very average) game today or he doesn't have the feel and could be bounced by the third inning against an ornery Sox lineup.

We have some other solid recent indicators here at work as well. The Cubs have been pretty average on the road lately, dropping four straight away from home and have gone 2-8 on the road as a dog of +110 to +150. They have also lost four straight games in A.L. parks. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 35-17 at home, 10-1 at home against an N.L. team with a winning record, and 17-7 against a right handed starters (20-6 at home). Finally, the Sox have been a great favorite. They are 17-4 as a home chalk and they still have the revenge factor on their side after losing three straight to the Cubs last week. The A.L., as a whole, has dominated the N.L. this year, particularly at home, and I think we get a W today with our Game of the Month.


3-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-125) over Texas
If Texas' offense has a weakness, it's been against left-handed pitching. Cole Hamels, the Philly ace, is being called on here to help the Phils get back on track and I think he's going to answer with an ace performance. The Phillies are in danger of losing first place today. I think they understand this and I think they pounce all over their former mate, Vince Padilla. This will be a lower-scoring game (I have a lean on the 'under') and I think the difference will be the Philly bullpen late in this one.

2-Unit Play. Take Los Angeles Angels (+115) over Los Angeles Dodgers
I'm still into fading Chad Billingsley. Neither the Angels nor the Dodgers have shown an ability to come back from an early deficit this year and I expect the Angels to get out front early. This one will be a grinder, but we're getting a great price on the more talented team. The Dodgers are working a patchwork lineup right now (especially in the infield) and I just don't believe that they have enough to sweep the Halos in this series. Therefore we'll be on L.A. or A until they get one.

2-Unit Play. Take Detroit (-165) over Colorado
The Rockies are now 2-10 in their last 12 road games against the American League. Jeff Francis has been shaky, at best, this year and won't be getting any help from the ump behind the dish. He's facing a red-hot Detroit lineup that's been feasting on lefties for two years now (40-18 in their L58). Justin Verlander isn't all the way back, but he's looked good enough that I feel comfortable backing him.

1.5-Unit Play. Take Tampa Bay (-130) over Pittsburgh
Ty Taubenheim was 4-9 with a 4.90 ERA in Triple-A and now is being called on to stop one of the hottest lineups in the Majors. I think we have to expect similar results to last night's Pitt spot starter - not good.

1.5-Unit Play. Take Oakland (-135) over San Francisco
The weather is heating up, which means that the A's are getting hot as well. Justin Duchscherer has been one of the best bets in the business. And while I do hate going against Tim Lincecum, the San Fran ace has been touched up a little in his last three starts. But the red flag is that his velocity was down in his last start. Oakland is 18-6 in the last 24 meetings and 7-3 in their last 10 at home against the Giants.


Today's Totals

Remember Wednesday when we went 5-2 with our totals? Well, we have a similarly strong crop of umps today so I'm hoping for a 5-1 or 4-2 performance out of this group:

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.0 Arizona at Florida

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh

2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 St. Louis at Kansas City

2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Boston at Houston

2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Baltimore at Washington

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Milwaukee at Minnesota

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Jimmy Price Saturday

All plays for 2 units each.

San Francisco
Philly
Minny
LA Angels
Arizona

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SAPKOWSKI  6-0 premium picks run

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BOS Red Sox
DET Tigers

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ATL Braves
KC Royals

Tips:For Euro 2008 spain to win

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Computer Crushers

Chicago White Sox

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C Jordan

300 Detroit Run Line
100 Boston
100 Twins

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DAVE MALINSKY

Arizona Diamondbacks at Florida Marlins
PICK: Florida Marlins 4*

Is it as easy as simply playing the better team in the role of the home underdog? It is, particularly when the marketplace does not appreciate how wide the gap is, and also how far off of his “A” game that Brandon Webb is.

After that “strong” start, Arizona has now fallen all the way back to .500. We put quotations around strong because the reality turned out to be more a case of the weaknesses of the N.L. West than the strengths of the Diamondbacks. It continues to show as they get exposed on the road, with an abysmal 8-22 record as a non-division traveler. And in the 23 games they have played either home or away against teams that currently sport winning records, it is even worse at a hideous 5-18. Webb may bring enough past reputation to be given the mantle of favorite here, but not enough to the mound to turn that form around.

The Arizona right-hander is on an 0-2/8.22 slide over his last three starts, with the Diamondbacks also losing the no-decision. He will correct over time, but this is not the ideal place for it. Like most sinker-ball pitchers, the more he works the more effective he is, but like the others he also has trouble getting the ball down when his arm is too fresh. That has been the culprit in this slide. He threw only 58 pitches against the Mets on June 11th, which took him out of rhythm, and it got exacerbated when he had five days in between starts before taking on Oakland. He had nothing that day in his worst performance in several years, and because of that his stint was just 84 pitches. It was another loss at Minnesota on Sunday, when his pitch count again stayed below 100, and now once again he has to work after having five days off. It is easy to project his struggles to continue here, particularly against the quality of left-handers in the Florida lineup (they continue to hit him significantly harder than right-handers)

Meanwhile there is also value to be found from Andrew Miller, whose 5-6/5.03 in the pitching forms obviously scares potential investors away. But we have written about the Miller story before - he indeed got off to a terrible start, which can happen for a guy with excellent stuff, but little seasoning. He was thrown to the wolves because of Marlin injuries, instead of being able to develop in the Minor’s. But over his last 10 starts it has been a solid 3.21, with nearly as many strikeouts (45) as hits allows (48). His confidence will be at a high level here, having held the Phillies to one run over seven innings of his last home start (seven strikeouts, four hits), and also having shut these Diamondbacks out over seven innings of an easy win on May 22nd (nine strikeouts, five hits). And with Ricky Nolasco working deep into the night on Friday, all key Florida bullpen arms are rested and ready.


New York Yankees at New York Mets
PICK: Under 4*

With the bulk of the starters for each team playing both end of Friday’s draining double-header, which included some rushed travel between games, the last thing that they need is to have to come back for this afternoon affair, particularly against the likes of Andy Pettitte and Johan Santana. It means some general fatigue all the way around, particularly for a Yankee team that did not get the usual rest on Thursday night, after getting a late flight out of Pittsburgh. So with the key arms in the bullpens also fresh off of the Friday blowouts, and the shadows in Shea that will be cause by this starting time, we have excellent value here.

Pettitte has show that he is a “Pro’s Pro” in recent outings. Four starts back he had one of the more embarrassing outings of his career against Kansas City, culminated by a Jose Guillen grand slam in the seventh inning, but he has rebounded brilliantly since then - it has been a 3-0/0.43 run over 21 innings in which he has more strikeouts than base-runners allowed, and we can confidently call for him to continue that run against a Met lineup that has been able to beat up on bad pitchers, but has truly struggled vs. quality with Moises Alou and Ryan Church. Meanwhile Santana has worked to a 4-0/2.98 lifetime tune against the Yankees, including an earlier win in the Bronx this season, and can continue their difficulties against left-handers this season, a logical issue for them because of the make up of their lineup.


Rockies (RL) at Tigers (RL)
PICK: Tigers (RL) 6*

It should not come as any surprise at all that we are involved here. We have been backing the Tigers with regularity on their turnaround (now 15-4 and counting, and with our own run being 6-0 behind them over the last 13 games), particularly when Justin Verlander is involved. A slumping Colorado team does not get in the way tonight.

Verlander still only shows a 4-9/4.49 as his season bottom line, but his stuff is back. In his last start he had a season high of 10 strikeouts at San Diego, and the last time he worked from this mound he pitched a complete-game beauty against the White Sox in which he only allowed one run on four hits, without walking a batter. His last four starts from this mound have produced a 1.74 ERA, and we only expect him to get better as his confidence returns. Scott Podsdednik is the only Colorado player with more than three career at-bats against him, and seven of the projected starters have never faced him at all, which makes the Rockies hard-pressed to break out of an offensive funk that has seen them score only 10 runs in the first four games of this road trip. When the likes of Luke Hochevar and Eddie Bonine reach their career-high of innings pitched (both went a solid eight) in back-to-back games, a guy like Verlander is the last thing that you want to see. And with Jim Leyland now having a full arsenal of bullpen weapons, the latter innings are in good hands as well.

That leaves it up to the Detroit offense to get after Jeff Francis, and they should relish this opportunity. As logic would dictate they have been mashing left-handers this season, and in the current cycle they have been mashing everyone - how about 45 hits over the last three games? This offense is going to wear opposing pitching staffs out over the warmer summer evenings, and Francis brings a most fragile psyche to the matchup. He has worked to an ugly 1-3/6.07 on the road this season, which does not include that early outing at St. Louis in which he was hammered, but rain washed away the inept showing from the “official” statistics. In those road miseries he has been tagged for nine home runs in 46 innings, and in truth it has been even worse than that - consider that he threw seven shutout innings against weak division opponents Los Angeles and San Diego, and has been pelted in all other outings, with the punchless Royals tagging him for seven runs over 4.1 innings of his last start, including a pair of home runs.

The Rockies are 5-15 in non-division road games this season, with 12 of those losses coming by multiple runs. The fact that we can get an underdog payback in a game that we expect to break wide open has us stepping the investment up here, to maximize the great value that the situation brings.

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BRYAN LEONARD

Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers
PICK: Detroit Tigers

The Rockies are averaging 3.26 runs per game on the road vs right-handed starters. They are just 12-29 on the road this season. Tonight they send struggling Jeff Francis to the hill with his 6.07 road ERA. Colorado has won just twice in his eight road starts this season. In his last four starts Francis has a terrible 9 to 10 strikeout to walk ratio. He very likely will be lit up by this veteran Tiger offense if he can't better his control problems.

He will be facing a Tigers team who is starting to make a move up the standings. Detroit has won seven of their last nine games and the bats look to breakout tonight against Francis. Detroit is averaging 6.38 runs per game here vs left-handed starters. The Tigers have won nine of ten here at Comerica Park and this one could get ugly real early for the Rockies. PLAY DETROIT

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Greg Shaker

Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros 
Play Astros +134  2 Units

Atlanta Braves at Toronto Blue Jays
Play Bluejays +115  2 Units


San Francisco Giants at Oakland Athletics
Athletics -1.5 (Heavy Hitter) +160  3 Units

Play this game at 1/2 Runline and 1/2 Moneyline of -139 to assure a Push on a 1 Run Win.

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Ethan Law

PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON PHILADEPHIA -$130

PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON DETROIT (-1.5) +$120

PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON HOUSTON +$130

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Jeff Bonds

TOR (+113) vs ATL

CWS -1.5 (+155) vs CHC

WAS (-110) vs BAL

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Andre Gomes WNBA

Indiana Fever @ Houston Comets

For today's game I go with a total and I expect not to be unlucky again, as the last two times I took a total plays, I lost both due to the games going to overtime. One of these games was exactly the last game of Indiana. If you remember I took under 143 and the game with just 6 seconds to go was 72-69, but the Liberty scored a 3pts shot and sent the game to overtime. Well, that game went to a triple overtime and occasionally, New York ended up winning by 102-96. This circumstance creates a very tough spot for Indiana tonight, not only due to this triple overtime game (four players of Indiana played more than 40 minutes), but also the schedule itself. Indiana played @LA at 22, returned home to face Sacramento at 24, then traveled to NY at 26 and they crossed the country again to play at Houston today (28). The team will come to this match tired and certainly they won't be at their best level offensively. They will have just their strong defense as a weapon for this game, which has been helping the Fever a lot to win some ballgames.

Houston in the other hand is right now one of hottest teams in the league, winning 5 of their last 6 games and they just come from beating San Antonio twice in an home-home series. Their last win by 77-71 was obtained in a fashioning and weird way, as their leading scorer Tina Thompson didn't play due to an injury but the team not only fared very well without her, but they also managed to do their best offensive performance of the season by shooting 55.6% FG! Sancho Lyttle who replaced Thompson was amazing with 10-12 FG, 6reb, 3ast, 3stl and 1 block! Of course this kind of performance doesn't happen many times and in fact I expect an offensive letdown of Houston tonight. In the last game Houston's offense was great, but the truth is that the key for this streak has been the defense. In the last 5 games, all Comets' opponents have shot below 40% FG. I expect both defenses to step up and make this game a low scoring game, reaching low 130's. Take the under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Regular Play) Under 142


Andre Gomes MLB free plays

Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Under 9

Cleveland Indians vs Cincinnati Reds Cleveland -1

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Root

Chairman - Angels
Millionaire- Padres
Money Maker - Cardinals
Perfect Play- White Sox

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