THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

MATT RIVERS

For Thursday take the A's on the run-line.

Adam Eaton has not been terrible of late but the righty is far from what he used to be with the Padres and will allow too many runs today to give his reeling Phils a chance.

When it comes to talent Charlie Manuel's lineup quite possibly may be second to none.

Rollins, Utley and Howard are as good as they come and throw in Burrell and a few others and this Philadelphia team can mash with the best of them. But right now for whatever reason the Phillies are awful. They don't hit, they don't move runners over and overall have been horrific for the last few weeks and if not for the Mets and Braves being just as bad would be far from the top in the NL East.

The A's continue to overachieve this season despite not having a bunch of blue chip players and at home are perenially pretty good. Factor this in with their ace in Rich Harden on the hill against the struggling Phils and there is no reason we will not see a 6-1 type of an Athletics victory thanks to yet another solid Harden outing.

When healthy the Oakland starter is as good as they get. The guy has all of the stuff and today should be flat out too good.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Dave Cokin.

MIN Twins and SD Padres
Take MIN Twins

I finally lost my daily free opinion Wednesday following nine straight winners. New run begins today! Josh Banks has been tremendous for the Padres since his recall. He was basically called up as an emergency fill-in and has pitched his way into a regular rotation spot. This is a pretty big shock to me, as Banks had never exhibited the type of stuff that would play well at the big league level. Fact is, I'm still not convinced, whereas I'm of the belief that what we're seeing from Twins righty Scott Baker is absolutely the real deal. I'm going to back the guy I'm more sure of here, and that makes Baker and the Twins the choice.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Jim Feist.

SF Giants and CLE Indians
Take Under

A couple of weak offensive teams meet, along with two above average pitchers. Cleveland simply hasn't hit the ball all season, and they are on a 4-2 run under the total. Slugger Victor Martinez hit 25 homers last year and has zero this season! The Giants are on a 6-3-1 run under the total. Starters Matt Cain and Cliff Lee have been impressive all season and they have ERAs under 3 their last 3 starts. Don't look for much offense, Play the Giants/Indians under the total!

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Rocco Spacamuro

100* Spain +115

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

TONY MATHEWS 

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
Selection: Minnesota/San Diego Under 8

Explanation: We expect a low-scoring game as the Minnesota Twins face-off against the San Diego Padres in Thursday's MLB contest.

The Minnesota Twins will use starting pitcher Scott Baker. Scott Baker has pitched very well this season. In fact, Scott Baker has a 3.47 ERA this season. In addition, Scott Baker has a 2.37 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Scott Baker pitching another great game today.

The San Diego Padres will use starting pitcher Josh Banks. Josh Banks has also pitched very well this season. In fact, Josh Banks has a 1.62 ERA on the season. We see Josh Banks pitching another great game today.

The bottom line, we see a low-scoring game today!

Take the Minnesota Twins/San Diego Padres Under 8

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

ROSS BENJAMIN

Yankees @ Pittsburgh
Play On: Pittsburgh +125

The Yankees are just 12-24 in their last 36 games on the road versus a left-handed starting pitcher. The Pirates are a solid 24-17 at home this season and 11-5 in their last 16 at home versus a team with a winning percentage of better than .500. The Pittsburgh starter Paul Maholm is 10-2 with his last 12 team starts at home including a perfect 7-0 versus a team with a winning percentage of better than .500. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

TRIPLE THREAT SPORTS
 
NY Yankees over Pittsburgh

Mike Mussina has been excellent this season and especially on the road, and his road numbers outweigh the admittedly strong numbers for Pirates starter Maholm here. Also, Yanks won 10-0 yesterday, and the last time they posted a double digit win they came back to beat the same team 8-0 the next day. Yankes are hot, and stay that way.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

JOHN FINA

Selection: Cincinnati Reds -115

Today the Cincinnati Reds will be on the road as they take on the Toronto Blue Jays. We will side with the Cincinnati Reds! One reason why we will side with the Cincinnati Reds is because they will be sending to the mound the much better starting pitcher. This says it all... The Cincinnati Reds Starting Pitcher (Edinson Volquez) has a 1.71 ERA this season, while Toronto Blue Jays Starting Pitcher (Jesse Litsch) has a 4.06 ERA this season. As you can see, the Cincinnati Reds will have the much better starting pitcher on the mound. We see the Cincinnati Reds getting another win tonight! Take the Cincinnati Reds!

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Vegas Experts

San Francisco Giants at Cleveland Indians

Look for Cleveland to get back on track this evening behind the one reliable commodity they have left - southpaw Cliff Lee. Lee is unbeaten at home this year and has a 2.00 ERA here at Progressive Field, not to mention the Tribe has won all seven of his starts this season when the total is either 8 or 8.5. While Lee remains one of the best pitchers in baseball, Matt Cain remains one of the worst. The Giants have lost 33 of his last 48 starts overall, including 22 of 32 at night.

Play on: Cleveland

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Matt Fargo

Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers    
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers   

I will be riding the Dodgers once again. The pitching has been solid yet again at home, posting a 3.36 ERA which is best in the National League following the four-hit shutout last night from Eric Stults. The bullpen has been the main reason for the solid pitching as that ERA is at 2.65 and now they are coming off a day of rest. The bats are hitting at a .269 clip at Dodger Stadium while of late, they have averaged 4.8 rpg over their last nine games after scoring a total of 11 runs in the previous five games.

The White Sox are struggling away from home this season and this current road trip has not helped. They are 1-4 on this trip and prior to the win on Tuesday, they had dropped nine straight games on the road and are now a dismal 1-10 over their last 11 games away from home. Chicago is hitting .253 on the road and it is averaging a mere 4.0 rpg away from home which is 21st in the Majors. The White Sox have averaged 3.4 rpg over the last five games and they are hitting only .236 against lefties this season.

Clayton Kershaw will look to redeem himself following a below average performance last time out against the Indians. He allowed four runs in just five innings and that came after giving up two runs or fewer in three straight outings. Of his six starts this season, three have been during the day and three have come at night. He has a 6.43 ERA at night while posting a 2.40 ERA during daylight hours. He remains winless but can breakthrough here backed by some solid run support.

Chicago counters with John Danks who has been very solid this season but is still a little inconsistent. Nine of his 15 starts have been quality outings and the reason more have not is due to the fact he has not been able to last long in a lot of games. He has gone past six innings only once in his last 10 starts. Also, the White Sox do not score a lot of runs for him as they are averaging just 4.0 rpg in those 15 starts. Despite allowing just one run over his last two starts, Chicago dropped both games. Play Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5 Units

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

DUNKEL

NY Yankees at Pittsburgh   
The Pirates will look to take the rubber game of the series and build on their 13-8 record at home when the total is listed at 9 to 9 1/2.  Pittsburgh is the underdog pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored straight up by 1.  Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130).  Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, JUNE 26

Game 951-952: Tampa Bay at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Garza) 14.727; Florida (Hendrickson) 15.276
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+110); Over

Game 953-954: St. Louis at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 15.373; Detroit (Robertson) 16.836
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Over

Game 955-956: Baltimore at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Lis) 16.069; Cubs (Marquis) 14.806
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-155); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+145); N/A

Game 957-958: Chicago White Sox at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.693; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 13.947
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+105); Under

Game 959-960: Minnesota at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 16.859; San Diego (Banks) 14.643
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-105); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-105); Over

Game 961-962: Philadelphia at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Eaton) 14.328; Oakland (Harden) 16.153
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-170); Under

Game 963-964: San Francisco at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.377; Cleveland (Lee) 15.600
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-160); Under

Game 965-966: NY Yankees at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Mussina) 13.908; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.902
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130); Over

Game 967-968: Cincinnati at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Volquez) 15.661; Toronto (Litsch) 13.646
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-110); Over

Game 969-970: Texas at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Millwood) 14.019; Houston (Rodriguez) 15.632
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-120); Over

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Templer's Sports Picks

Oakland    


floridabookybusters    

Toronto


Global Sports Picks    

Toronto


Unionmans Picks

CINCINNATI -105


BetbetWin

Detroit Tigers -135


JOE WIZ

Florida +105


Brandon Banks

Florida Marlins


Kyle Baugues

Cleveland Indians -161


TRACE ADAMS

Minnesota Twins


Insider Sports Report

Chicago White Sox


HUDDLE UP

Florida Hendrickson +115


TOTALS 4 U

RANGERS/ASTROS OVER


DARKHORSE

Texas +120


#1 SPORTS

CINCINNATI -120


SCOUT

Houston -125


MIKE WYNN

Oakland -125


EASY MONEY

SAN FRANCISCO +145


PLATINUM PLAYS

GIANTS + 150


NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER

WHITE SOX +105


BIG TIME SPORTS

YANKEES/PIRATES OVER 9


MIGHTY QUINN

Rays


Paul Leiner

10* White Sox -105


Jeff Scott
2 Units Minn/SD Under
1 Unit Each Cubs And Tigers


Matty Oshea

Astros


Cappers Access

Tigers
Rangers


Glen Mcgrew

White Sox


JACK CLAYTON

Rangers


N.I.S. Sports

Tampa Bay/Florida OVER 9
Cincinnati - 107

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

VicMonte

100* Cubs

100* Yankees

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Oddswiz

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres    
Play: Minnesota Twins   

We used the Twins last night as a Premium Play and will ride them once again today. The Twins are on fire. They have won 8 in a row and 11 of their last 13 games outscoring their opponents by a whopping 52-16! The Padres are just the opposite. They have lost 4 straight and 8 of their last 10. They send rookie pitcher Josh Banks to the hill who has been playing well, but the key word here is rookie. He faces Scott Baker who has been sharp as well. Baker has an ERA of 2.63 over his last 4 starts. This play is simply a matter of price. Under these circumstances, a red hot twins team facing an ice cold Padres team and a rookie pitcher, if they were to play 1000 times, the Twins are going to win more than 50% of the time. We get them at even money here today so this is a long term winner, which is what we look to play in baseball. Twins +100

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Larry Ness IL Game of the Month

The Giants own MLB's worst home record at 14-24 but are now 20-20 on the road after taking the first two games of this their three-game interleague series with the Indians in Cleveland. San Fran has won both games, despite scoring just seven runs. The Indians, who last year won 96 games and led Boston 3-1 in the ALCS (one win away from a World Series appearance), are now 35-43 on the season. They'll open the day in last-place in the AL Central but still just 7 1/2 games back of the first-place White Sox. While tonight's 'price' is a little higher than I usually like to lay, I love the pitching matchup here as well as the game situation. Most are familiar with Matt Cain, who followed a solid rookie year (13-12 in 2006) with a 'nightmare' 2007 season. He didn't pitch all that poorly (7-16 with a 3.65 ERA) but the Giants went 9-23 in his starts and at minus-$1,803 vs the moneyline, ranked dead-last among all MLB starters last season! He's made 16 starts this year and will take a 4-5 mark (team is 6-10 in games) with a 4.32 ERA into this game. His last seven starts have been typical, as he's 2-2 (team is 2-5) with a 4.47 ERA. Going for Cleveland is Cliff Lee. Lee was a mainstay of the Cleveland rotation from 2004-06, winning 46 games with the Indians going 59-39 (.602) in all his starts during that span. Injuries slowed him last season (he didn't make a start after July 26), as he finished 5-8 with a 6.29 ERA. However, Lee has come back healthy this year and has been one of MLB's top pitchers. He allowed just one ER through his first four starts, just four ERs over his first seven and takes a 10-1 (2.45 ERA) over 14 starts (team is 11-3 and plus-$718) into this game. He's 4-0 with a 2.41 ERA over his last six starts (team is 5-1) and while the Indians have struggled at the plate for most of this season (.244 team BA is 29th of 30 teams), they've played well behind Lee, averaging 6.0 RPG in his starts in '08. The Giants are hitting 20 points higher than the Indians as a ateam (.264) but remain one of MLB's lowest scoring teams (4.12 RPG to Cleveland's average of 4.44). Both teams have played poorly in interleague play (each are at 4-10) but after two straight home losses, it's the Indians (behind Lee), who are the play in this one. IL Game of the Month 20* Cle Indians.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Jason Lowry

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Florida Marlins
Play: Florida Marlins

Our free pick today is on the Marlins, as they look to avoid the sweep over against the Rays. The Marlins are 35-15 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 to 4.70 since 1997, and are 21-11 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive home games this season. The Rays haven't done so good capturing the sweep on the road as they are 3-23 against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Take the Marlins

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Sebastian

20 Detriot Over
20 Cinci
30 Yankees
50 Cleveland -1.5
100 Cubs -1.5

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

LT Profits

Tampa Bay Rays @ Florida Marlins Over 9.5 

The Tampa Bay Rays beat the Florida Marlins 15-3 here last night, and while this may not be as big a blowout today, we do expect another high scoring game.

If you recall, we mentioned a while back that Mark Hendrickson of the Marlins was pitching over his head in the early going, and that he would return to being his mediocre self eventually. Well, Big Mark has made us look like geniuses lately, as he has gone six straight starts without recording a Quality Start. He has a whopping 10.08 WHIP and a disgusting 1.95 WHIP over those last six outings. The southpaw is facing a Rays lineup that is coming on vs. lefties lately, hitting .292 against them the last 10 games.

Now Matt Garza does have great stuff for Tampa, but he has not been very consistent, especially on the road. He is 1-3 with a 6.25 ERA and an ugly 1.55 WHIP away from home, and he has failed to record a Quality Start in any of his last three road outings.

Finally, the Over is 9-3 in the last 12 Florida home games, and we look for a continuation of that pattern here.

Pick: Rays, Marlins Over 9.5


San Francisco Giants +150

Cliff Lee of the Cleveland Indians is certainly having a great season, but Matt Cain of the San Francisco Giants is on a nice little roll himself and he is facing a Cleveland offense that is struggling right now.

Cain has five Quality Starts in his last six outings, as he appears to have recovered his fine form of last year when he was arguably the unluckiest pitcher in baseball. He has a nice 2.95 ERA and an excellent 1.03 WHIP in his last three starts. Cain is facing an Indians offense that has scored just six runs in the last three games including a total of three runs in the first two games of this series.

Now nobody can quibble with what Lee has done, going 10-1with a 2.45 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. However, if you only look at the last three starts for each of these pitchers, Lee actually has the higher WHIP (1.23), and his ERA is not significantly better (2.41) than Cain over this span.

Thus, at this price, we feel that the Giants are worth an investment to get the upset and record the series sweep.

Pick: Giants +150

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

STEPHEN NOVER

Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres
PICK: Minnesota Twins

The Minnesota Twins are the hottest club in baseball, but they continue to fly under the radar screen as evidenced by this price.

The Twins have won eight in a row, winning by an average of more than four runs during this streak. They have dropped just one of their past 11 games.

They stand an excellent chance of sweeping San Diego in this day matchup. Twins starter Scott Baker has a 2.63 ERA in his last four games. He has been solid and dependable since coming off the DL. He's backed by a strong closer and an offense that knows how to manufacture runs.

The same can't be said for the Padres. They've scored the second-fewest runs in the Majors. They are averaging just three runs during their last nine games.

San Diego also has problems versus American League clubs, dropping 19 of its last 26 interleague matchups.

The Padres are hoping rookie Josh Banks, making his fifth big-league start, can halt the Twins. Banks has been excellent, particularly at Petco Park, during his limited action.

But I wouldn't stand in the Twins' way. During their past five games, the Twins have defeated Randy Johnson, Brandon Webb, Jake Peavy and Greg Maddux. Those guys have 11 Cy Young Awards between them.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

DAVID MALINSKY

Minnesota Twins at San Diego Padres
PICK: Under 4*

We saw a rare explosion of runs in Petco Park last night, which sets us up here in a couple of ways - 1. It keeps the value solid, for while it was an explosion of runs, it was not necessarily an offensive showcase (Minnesota had nine of 15 base-runners score, a rather efficient evening); 2. Because the game was not close in the latter stages, all key bullpen arms are rested and ready, and these two bring some quality arms. That leaves it up to Scott Baker and Jonathan Banks to get things started, and they bring plenty to the table.

We cashed a 4* ticket behind Baker in his last start vs. Arizona, and the best way to set his side of this equation is to go right back to that analysis - ”Scott Baker’s 2-2/3.71 does not raise a lot of eyebrows, and that works in our favor. His command has been outstanding, with a terrific ratio of 42 strikeouts vs. only nine hits allowed, and in terms of consistency, note that he has only allowed more than three runs once, a windy night in Texas in which Minnesota out-slugged the Rangers 12-6. We certainly do not hold that game against him. He is more than capable of keeping up that form against an Arizona offense that lacks patience (only two teams have more strikeouts), and also confidence away from Chase Field. So we are absolutely buying in at the right time with him, and do not be surprised if it is the first of many such investments to come.”

It indeed was the first of many investments. He continued his command of the strike zone against the Diamondbacks, with seven strikeouts vs. only one walk, and with 16 K’s in his last two starts it shows an emerging confidence in his stuff. If you throw strikes and force the Padres to make things happen with their bats you are on your way here in Petco.

Meanwhile Banks has been nothing short of brilliant since being called up. A 1.62 ERA over 33.1 innings speaks volumes, and as a starter he has had a sparkling ratio of 15 strikeouts vs. only one walk again. Once again we put that control emphasis into play in Petco - if nothing is given away to opposing offenses the challenge of getting around the basis is magnified, and Banks may catch an additional break with Joe Mauer likely to sit out - with a day game following a night game, no DH, and a long plane ride back to Minnesota afterwards, they are scheduling him for a day off (though that is subject to change, of course). And with all of those bullpen arms ready, Banks does not have to be asked to go more than a solid six innings, which he is capable of vs. a Minnesota lineup getting a first look at this stuff.

Although this Park can play a little higher in summer day games, note that it is a mild day in San Diego - the high is not expected to top 67 degrees. That negates any daytime issues, and leaves us with solid value.


Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers
PICK: Under 6*

After cashing a 6* Under in the opener between these two on Tuesday it was a sin of omission to not come right back last night, but trusting Eric Stults, along with our belief that Gavin Floyd has been an over-achiever, kept us on the sidelines. So when a journeyman left-hander completely shut the White Sox down, not allowing a run or an extra base hit in working his first-ever (and last?) Major League complete game, it speaks volumes about the Chicago issues that we presented on Tuesday. Give the White Sox a setting in which the ball can carry, and they can mash with the best. But put them in a park in which it takes some offensive finesse to score, and it is simply not their game. And that is one of the prime reasons why we are set up for another low-scoring affair today.

How much have those windy offensive explosions on the South Side impacted the overall perception of the White Sox? How about this - they have gone Under in 10 of their last 12 road games, and 24 of the last 33. Now they are also facing Clayton Kershaw at the wrong time, as he slowly develops the polish to go with his outstanding stuff (26 strikeouts in 29 innings). And with Kershaw only allowing three home runs so far, we are not concerned with that aspect of the game, particularly with his lefty presence, and the lack of a DH, keeping Jim Thome sidelined again, to add to the absence of Paul Konerko. And the complete game from Stults leaves all arms available from an outstanding Dodger bullpen.

The Dodgers find runs difficult to come by as well. John Danks has not been raising eyebrows despite a 2.80 ERA over 86.2 innings. And in truth we might even be able to classify him as better than that. Division rival Minnesota saw him in three starts LY, and that helped the Twins to have some good approaches against him this season. But in the 12 starts against anyone other than Minnesota it has been a sparkling 1.72 allowance. So why is there not more respect? Largely because Danks has been in the wrong place at the wrong time in terms of distribution - he has only four wins, and in eight of 15 starts allowed two runs or less without winning. His most recent run has seen him hold the Rockies and Cubs to just one run over 12 innings in his last two starts, with more strikeouts than hits allowed in those games. Yet all he could walk away with were a pair of no-decisions. That helps to make him an under-valued commodity here, and his task could be made even easier if the Dodgers sit Jeff Kent and Russell Martin, as planned.

Like the Dodgers, the White Sox bring a bullpen that is not only strong, but has all key arms rested and ready. That ensures against any late-game shenanigans here in what will be a pitchers afternoon at Chavez Ravine.


Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
PICK: Cincinnati Reds 4*

If there were any questions about Edinson Volquez being able to maintain his lofty numbers they have been answered most affirmatively in his recent outings. Five starts back it was a solid home outing against an Atlanta team that has hit right-handers harder than anyone else in the National League. Four starts back he shut out what had been a sizzling Philadelphia offense at the time, on the road in a hitter’s park. Three starts ago he checked a Florida lineup on three hits, those same Marlins that are #1 in the Major’s in home runs. And the last two have been solid outings against the Red Sox and Yankees. So what are we left with? A pitcher that has clearly been the best in the game this season, taking on a mediocre lineup and a struggling mound opponent. That does not call for this price range.

Here are the Volquez bottom lines - a 10-2/1.71 in which he has been remarkably consistent; how about a 5-2/1.60 on the road and a 5-0/1.83 at home? He has not allowed more than three runs in any start, and in 11 of 14 outings gave up one run or none. A ratio of 110 strikeouts vs. only 66 hits allowed is off the charts, and in 93.1 innings as a starter he has only allowed two home runs. Now a Toronto offense that lacks experience against him becomes the next victim.

We went to the well with a 4* ticket against Jesse Litsch in his last outing, and the bottom line is that Major League hitters are catching up to his limited stuff. Yes, he has great control. But with only 96 strikeouts in 199.2 career innings there is not the kind of pop needed to be anything more than a journeyman. Now hitters are learning to lay off of those pitches on the edges of the strike zone, and when Litsch has to work towards the middle of the plate he is nothing special at all. Over his last four starts it has been an 0-3/6.46, with 33 hits allowed in 23.2 innings, five of them leaving the park. And his particular problems against left-handers (.306 so far in his career) becomes even more pronounced against a Cincinnati offense that will load up from that side.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44821
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
280712
Average Posts Per Hour:
4.2
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3559
Newest User:
Derek
Members Online:
2
Guests Online:
2795

Online: 
mw1030, Blade

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com