WEDNESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

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GINA

Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals
 
Los Angeles has played outstanding away from home, winning 10 of their last 11 road games. Meanwhile, the struggling Nationals have lost seven of eight games and have been pitiable at home, dropping 11 of its last 13,  just 15-25 at Nationals Park this season. 

Angels' right-hander Ervin Santana is 9-3 with a 3.17 ERA in 15 starts this season, 6-1 in nine road starts.   

Nationals' right-hander Tim Redding is 6-3 with a 4.12 ERA in 16 starts this year and the Nationals have won his last 4 home starts.

Go with the Angels to take a three-game sweep against the struggling Nationals.

Los Angeles Angels -155

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Mr. A's

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago Cubs

The Chicago Cubs 14 game winning streak came to an end with a 7-5 lost to Baltimore on Tuesday, but doubt it will occur again tonight at Wrigley.Baltimore is 2-4 in their last 6 games on the road and will send Brian Burres to the mound. The lefty is 6-2 with a 3.95 ERA in 14 career appearances (12 starts) against the Orioles and Baltimore is 4-1 in his last 5 starts, but Burres is 2-3 with a 3.86 ERA in seven road starts this season and the Orioles have lost 10 of his last 14 starts away from home. Take the Cubs at Wrigley Field. Chicago is 32-9 at home this season and will start Ted Lilly. The southpaw has won six of his last seven decisions and the veteran is 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA in his last four starts. The Cubs have won Lilly's last 6 stars at home.

Chicago Cubs -180

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Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections

5000* BASEBALL WINNER
Florida w/Tucker +120 

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WUNDERDOG

4 Units: Kansas City
4 Units: Minnesotta

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Root

Chairman- White Sox
Millionaire- Rays
Money Maker- Astros
Insiders Circle- Padres

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VEGAS RUNNER

NYM -1.5 (+100) vs SEA  1* RL WAGER

CHC -1.5 (+105) vs BAL  1* RL WAGER

SFG 1.5 (-130) vs CLE

MIN (+120) vs SDP  2* ML WAGER

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KELSO

High Rollers Baseball Club

10 unit - Astros


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Larry Ness' 15* IL Underdog of the Week (40-28 with GOW plays since Opening Day)

My 15* play is on the Fla Marlins at 7:10 ET. The Rays and Marlins have made dramatic turnarounds in 2008 (Tampa's gone from 66-96 last year to 45-31 this year, while the Marlins are 40-36 in '08 after going 71-91 last season) and are playing a three-game interleague series for the second time in less than two weeks (Rays took two of three in Tampa from 6/13-15). The Marlins led 3-2 after seven innings last night but the Rays scored two runs in both the eighth and ninth innings, to give them a 6-4 win. Florida had been 32-2 this season when leading after seven innings, so the comeback by Tampa is worthy of note. The series resumes tonight with James Shields taking on rookie Ryan Tucker, who has made three starts since June 8, after not previously pitching in a game above Class A ball. Shields is considered a rising star (was 12-8 with a 3.85 ERA in '07) but his last win this year came back on May 9. He's 0-3 in seven starts since (team is 4-3), including an 0-2 mark with a 7.63 ERA (15.1 IP / 20 hits / 13 ERs) over his last three outings. Shields has been just terrific at home, going 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA in eight starts (team is 7-1), while allowing 44 hits in 58.2 innings. However, he's been a 'nightmare' on the road, going 1-4 with a 6.99 ERA in seven starts (team is 2-5), while allowing 52 hits in just 37.1 innings. I realize Tucker does not have much experience but he's 2-1 witha 4.50 ERA in his first three major league starts and in his lone home start (6/8 vs the Reds), allowed two hits and one ER over five innings of a 9-2 win. The Rays have gone 22-8 vs right-handers at home but only 10-14 against them on the road. As for the Marlins, they are only 12-13 vs righties on the road but 18-12 against them here at home, including a 16-9 mark in night games. Shields is extremely vulnerable on the road (that's an understatement!), so I don't expect any 'hangover' from the Marlins after losing last night in the late innings. IL Underdog of the Week 15* Fla Marlins.


Larry Ness' Weekly Wipeout Winner-MLB (8-2 L10 MLB reports!)

My Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Hou Astros at 8:05 ET. The Astros opened the season 6-12 but then won 24 of 35 games to reach 30-23 on May 27. However, the team then went into a terrible tailspin, losing 17 of 20 games. They've rebounded (somewhat) to win three of their last four, after last night's 4-3 home win over the Rangers. Texas owns MLB's second-best team BA (.279) and is MLB's highest scoring team (5.54 RPG) but comes in just 39-39. The Rangers could have major problems if Josh Hamilton is out for any length of time. He left last night's game midway through with a problem regarding his left knee, the same one he had two surgeries on in 2006. He is NOT expected to play tonight nor is Milton Bradley (possible pinch-hitting duties). That does not bode well for the Rangers and surely makes me less worried about their excellent 14-7 mark vs right-handed starters on the road in night games. Roy Oswalt is the right-hander Texas will face tonight and after coming on the scene in 2001 (14-3 with a 2.73 ERA), entered this season with a career mark of 112-54 (3.07 ERA), making him one of MLB's most successful pitchers this decade. However, Oswalt hasn't been 'right' this year, going 6-7 with a 4.84 ERA in 16 starts (team is 7-9). He had a terrible outing vs the Yankees on June 15 (5.2 IP / 8 hits / 7 runs, although just three were earned) in a 13-0 loss. However, in the start before that and the one since, he looked like the "Oswalt of old," allowing just three ERs in 14.2 innings (1.84 ERA), striking out 15 and walking two. While Owswalt may be 'off' somewhat this year, I still think this is a good spot for him, as his teammates get to go against Scott Feldman. Feldman began the '08 season in the minors and in his previous three seasons had not made a start in 73 appearances. He was called up on April 13 to make a start and went six innings, allowing eight hits and three ERs in a 5-4 loss (no decision). He was sent back down to the minors the next day but recalled in late April. After two relief appearances, he made two solid starts vs the A's (one home and one away), allowing eight hits and three ERs over 12.1 innings (2.19 ERA). However, over his next six starts, he was 0-2 with a 5.35 ERA, as the team lost all six games! He did pitch better in his last outing (home to Atlanta last Thursday), allowing five hits and two ERs in a 5-4 win (another no decision). However, the fact remains that while he's pitched well in Arlington (2.54 ERA in six starts), he's been terrible on the road, with a 7.33 ERA in four starts. I'll take Oswalt over Feldman anytime plus with Hamilton (and likely Bradley) not playing, this sets up as a rout! Weekly Wipeout Winner on the Hou Astros.


Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-MLB (16-9 since May 26 with MLB Insiders)

My Las Vegas Insider is on the SD Padres at 10:05 ET. The Twins are rolling, winning their seventh straight game last night and are now 10-3 in interleague play this year. Conversely, the Padres continue to struggle, as last night's 3-1 loss drops them to 32-46 overall, including a rather sad 3-10 in interleague play. The Padres wasted an excellent effort by Jake Peavy (6 IP / 5 hits / 1 ER), as Trevor Hoffman (now 1-4 with a 4.85 ERA this year), allowed back-to-back ninth-inning HRs, on consecutive pitches! Greg Maddux knows how Peavy feels, as Hoffman has blown a couple of games this year for him, as well. Considering Minnesota's current roll plus the fact that they are 13-6 on the road vs right-handed starters in night games, one could make the argument that playing 'on' Maddux is not a good idea. However, while Maddux hasn't won since getting his 350th career win on May 10, he's posted a 2.70 ERA over his last eight starts and the Padres have won FIVE of those eight games. I 'rode' Maddux in his last outing (home to Detroit on Friday), as he went seven innings while allowing five hits and just one ER, as the Padres won 6-2. That's really nothing new, as in eight home starts in '08, Maddux has allowed 38 hits and just nine ERs over 49.1 innings, for a 1.64 ERA. Now the Padres are struggling with a 3-10 interleague mark and face a lefty tonight (just 8-17 vs left-handed starters TY), but Glen Perkins is hardly one who they should have trouble with. Perkins began the season in the minors (had just 23 appearances his first two ML seasons / no starts) and was called up on May 10. He's made nine starts since, allowing 69 hits in 53.1 innings with a 4.39 ERA (he's 3-2 and the team is 5-4). He's allowed 42 hits in 26.1 innings at night, with a 5.81 ERA. Expect Maddux to come through with another excellent start and for the SD bats to get him enough runs for the win (please no Hoffman!). Las Vegas Insider on the SD Padres.

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Re: WEDNESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Indian Cowboy

Yankees / Pirates  UNDER 9 (POD)

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Bob Harvey

Arizona D-Backs vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Under   

Tim Wakefield has had no luck at all when it comes to run support. The veteran knuckleballer has won only once in six starts despite working at least seven innings in five consecutive outings. He's posted a 2.50 ERA while opposing batters have hit .203. Boston has scored an average of just 3.3 runs in the 15 games he’s started this year. I look for him to have another solid outing against the Diamondbacks who are averaging three runs per game in their last 11 outings. I love Boston in this spot but the vig is just too expensive for my blood. The UNDER appears to be the right play in this situation. 

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3Daily Winners 

Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Play: Toronto Blue Jays 

PLAY ON home favorites like Toronto with a money line of -110 or higher who are stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season, after scoring eight runs or more two straight games. (77-22,77.8 L5Y) 

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WILD BILL

Over 8 1/2 Braves-Brewers (1 unit)
Under 10 Indians-Giants (1 unit)
Arizona +155 (5 units)
Under 9 Yankees-Pirates (2 units)
Florida +130 (2 units)
Houston -145 (5 units)
Cubs -175 (1 unit)
Phillies +120 (2 units)
Over 8 A's-Phils (1 unit)
Padres -125 (3 units)
White Sox +105 (2 units)

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FRANK ROSENTHAL

902 BRAVES-135
904 TRIBE-170
906 JAYS-165
909 CARDS UNDER 9
915 RAYS-130
917 ANGELS OVER 8
920 ASTROS-150
923 ROCKIES-115
928 PADRES-125
930 DODGERS-105

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BRANDON LANG

15 Dime - Blue Jays (Run Line)
5 Dime - Pirates
5 Dime - Astros

-199.50 dimes in June yikes

Might be the best fade around  ;D

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System Sports Guaranteed Selections

Toronto w/Halladay -165

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Chris James Sports

3* Florida
3* SF

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KBHOOPS

5 units Boston -148 **POD**
5 units Kansas City +110
5 units Minnesota +120
4 units Pittsburgh +155
4 units Atlanta U/9 +100 Winner

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William Kidd Guaranteed Selections

QUADRUPLE BASEBALL HOME RUN WINNER
Chicago White Sox

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