MLB TRENDS JUNE 23

MLB TRENDS JUNE 23

MLB LONG SHEET

MILWAUKEE (41 - 34) at ATLANTA (38 - 39) - 7:10 PM
BEN SHEETS (R) vs. JO-JO REYES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 17-28 (-15.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 48-70 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 46-69 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 50-79 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 19-35 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-37 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 27-12 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 27-12 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 17-5 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 30-15 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 122-117 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 28-48 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 84-85 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 95-102 (-26.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.1 Units)

BEN SHEETS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SHEETS is 8-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.307.
His team's record is 8-3 (+6.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.4 units)

JO-JO REYES vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
REYES is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 0.892.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)


ARIZONA (39 - 37) at BOSTON (47 - 31) - 7:05 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. JOSH BECKETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 5-13 (-10.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 23-26 (-9.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 9-19 (-13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 154-100 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 12-1 (+10.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 this season.
BOSTON is 29-9 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 40-12 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 46-22 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 35-13 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 132-113 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 132-110 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 95-75 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 318-241 (-47.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DAN HAREN vs. BOSTON since 1997
HAREN is 1-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.187.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. ARIZONA since 1997
BECKETT is 1-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.65 and a WHIP of 1.570.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)


LA ANGELS (46 - 30) at WASHINGTON (30 - 47) - 7:10 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. JASON BERGMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 61-37 (+27.9 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 46-30 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 24-12 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA ANGELS are 8-1 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in road games in June games this season.
LA ANGELS are 41-25 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 17-9 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 107-76 (+14.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 18-6 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOHN LACKEY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LACKEY is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

JASON BERGMANN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.


SEATTLE (26 - 49) at NY METS (37 - 37) - 7:10 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JOHAN SANTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 26-49 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 22-47 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 18-34 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 5-13 (-10.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 18-30 (-13.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SANTANA is 87-36 (+31.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 73-23 (+39.2 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 68-19 (+34.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 125-111 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 13-22 (-21.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 61-54 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 125-111 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 40-38 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 22-28 (-11.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 17-21 (-8.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

JOHAN SANTANA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SANTANA is 7-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.29 and a WHIP of 1.085.
His team's record is 8-1 (+7.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.3 units)


COLORADO (32 - 44) at KANSAS CITY (33 - 43) - 8:10 PM
JEFF FRANCIS (L) vs. BRIAN BANNISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 31-44 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 50-70 (-27.6 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 31-44 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 21-36 (-16.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 15-28 (-14.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 35-31 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 26-21 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 19-11 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 28-18 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 92-83 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
FRANCIS is 48-35 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FRANCIS is 48-35 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FRANCIS is 20-8 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 17-31 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JEFF FRANCIS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
FRANCIS is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.88 and a WHIP of 0.977.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

BRIAN BANNISTER vs. COLORADO since 1997
BANNISTER is 0-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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Re: MLB TRENDS JUNE 23

MLB WRITE-UP

AL teams were 8-6 yesterday, are 96-71 against NL this season. Over is 58-61-7 since over last 10 days in interleague games.

Hot Pitchers
-- Reyes is 1-0, 2.40 in his last couple starts. Sheets is 4-0, 2.13 in his last six starts.
-- Arizona won last four Haren starts (2-0, 2.00). Beckett is 2-0 in his last three starts, with a 2.37 RA.
-- Angels won last four Lackey starts (3-0, 1.80).
-- Mets won four of last five Santana home starts, but lost his last three starts overall, scoring a total of six runs. Hernandez is 4-0, 1.59 in his last four starts.
-- Francis is 3-1, 3.24 in his last four starts. Bannister is 2-0, 2.63 in his last four home starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Bergmann is 0-4, 8.72 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Brewers won six of their last seven games.
-- Angels won 12 of their last 15 road games.
-- Mets won five of their last seven games.
-- Royals won seven of last eight games. Rockies are 12-7 in last 19 games, 4-1 in last five on road.

Cold Teams
-- Braves are 6-10 in last 16 games, but won last two.
-- Arizona is 6-17 in its last 23 road games. Red Sox lost last five series openers.
-- Nationals are 5-15 in their last twenty home games.
-- Mariners lost 19 of last 24 road games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Arizona games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Washington home games.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners' last five games.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Colorado road games; five of last six Kansas City home games went over the total.

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Re: MLB TRENDS JUNE 23

Trend Sheet

7:05 PM ARIZONA vs. BOSTON
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Boston is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home


7:10 PM LA ANGELS vs. WASHINGTON
LA Angels are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home


7:10 PM MILWAUKEE vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home


7:10 PM SEATTLE vs. NY METS
Seattle is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
NY Mets are 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home


8:10 PM COLORADO vs. KANSAS CITY
Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing Colorado

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Re: MLB TRENDS JUNE 23

MLB SHORT SHEET

National League

Milwaukee at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Ben Sheets (R) vs. Jo Jo Reyes (L)
Sheets: Mil 7-21 Away off BB home games
Reyes: Atl 17-5 at home vs. righties

Interleague Play

Arizona at Boston, 7:05 ET ESPN
Dan Haren (R) vs. Josh Beckett (R)
Haren: Ari 53-15 Away when the total is 8.5 to 10
Beckett: Bos 13-1 as a home favorite of -150 to -200

LA Angels at Washington, 7:10 ET
John Lackey (R) vs. Jason Bergmann (R)
Lackey: 3-0 TSR, 1.64 ERA L3 starts
Bergmann: 0-3 TSR, 6.58 ERA L3 starts

Seattle at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
Felix Hernandez (R) vs. Johan Santana (L)
Hernandez: 9-2 TSR as an underdog
Santana: Mets 10-24 off BB road games

Colorado at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Jeff Francis (L) vs. Brian Bannister (R)
Francis: Col 15-28 after a loss
Bannister: 14-3 Under in home starts

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Re: MLB TRENDS JUNE 23

Tips and Trends

Arizona Diamondbacks at Boston Red Sox [ESPN | 7:05 PM ET]

Diamondbacks: The Diamondbacks have emerged victorious the last four times Dan Haren has taken the hill. Over that span, Haren has allowed just six runs over 27 innings of work. Haren hasn't been getting the job dome on the road this season, where he's 0-3 with an ERA of 4.62 in six starts away from home. Haren faced the Red Sox once last season as a member of the Oakland A's, taking a no-decision after allowing two runs in 7.2 innings pitched. The UNDER is 7-3 in Haren's last 10 starts.

Diamondbacks are 2-6 in their last 8 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-3 in Haren's last 10 starts.

Key Injuries - OF Eric Byrnes (.219; hamstrings) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Red Sox (-175, O/U 8): Josh Beckett has been nasty in three of his last four starts. Take out a bad outing against the Orioles and Beckett has only allowed three runs in 19 innings pitched. Beckett has received tremendous run support at Fenway Park this season, helping him to a perfect 4-0 record, despite a not-so impressive 4.81 ERA. The OVER is 3-1 in Beckett's last four starts at home.

Red Sox are 49-13 in their last 62 interleague games.
Red Sox are 40-12 in their last 52 home games.

Key Injuries - DH David Ortiz (.252; hand) is on the 15-day DL.
RP Mike Timlin (3-3; knee) is on the 15-day DL).

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)


Seattle Mariners at New York Mets [ESPN | 7:05 PM ET]

Mariners: Felix Hernandez has been close to unhittable in winning his last four starts. King Felix has allowed just five runs in his last 28.1 innings on the mound. Hernandez hasn't received much run support on the road, which is unfortunate seeing his ERA is a stellar 1.90 away from home. Betting the UNDER with Hernandez on the mound has been like visiting an ATM machine. The UNDER is 9-1 in King Felix's last 10 starts, with the one loss going over by just one run.

Mariners are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague road games.
The UNDER is 11-1 in Hernandez's last 12 starts.

Key Injuries - 3B Adrian Beltre (.240; finger) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 2 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Mets (-170, O/U 7): Mets ace Johan Santana takes to the hill trying to get out of a mini-slump. The Mets have lost his last three starts with Santana going 0-2 with one no-decision over that span. It's not like Santana has pitched horrible in his previous three outings, allowing seven runs in 19 innings pitched. However, the Mets offense has done little to help out, scoring a total of seven runs in Santana's last three outings. The UNDER is 5-1 in Santana's last six starts.

Mets are 9-2 in their last 11 interleague games.
The OVER is 8-3-2 in New York's last 13 games following a win.

Key Injuries - OF Ryan Church (.300; concussion) is on the 15-day DL.
OF Moises Alou (.367; calf) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3


Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves [7:10 PM ET]

Brewers (-120, O/U 8): Ben Sheets is making his case to be the All-Star game starter. He hasn't dropped a decision since May 10. Since then, the Brewers are 5-1 in games that Sheets has started. Over his last six starts, Sheets has allowed two runs or less five times. He's perfect on the road so far this season, going 5-0 with a 2.62 ERA in nine starts. However, the OVER is 4-2 in Sheets' last six starts on the road.

Brewers are 10-2 in Sheets' last 12 road starts.
The OVER is 9-3 in Milwaukee's last 12 games as a favorite.

Key Injuries - OF Mike Cameron (.222; toe) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

Braves: Jo-Jo Reyes has pitched extremely well in his two most recent outings, allowing just four runs in 15 innings of work. The Braves won both of those games by a score of 5-2. Reyes has an even 2-2 record at Turner Field but his ERA is a less than impressive 5.17. Reyes has allowed 17 runs in his last four starts at home. Even though he's struggled overall, the UNDER has been a moneymaking proposition with Reyes on the mound of late. The UNDER is 4-1 in his last five starts.

Braves are 3-9 in their last 12 games following a win.
The UNDER is 22-4 in Atlanta's last 26 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - 3B Chipper Jones (.393; quad) is questionable.
SS Yunel Escobar (.299; hip) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

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