MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Drew Gordon

Seattle +155 at NY METS 

There's few times you can confidently back this Mariners team on the road, but that being said, one of those times is tonight, when you're getting one of the hottest pitchers in baseball at plus money. But let me explain further...

Its not just that Seattle's Felix Hernandez is hot, he's gone nuclear, going 4-0 with a miniscule 0.95 ERA over his last 4 starts! Opposing offenses are batting just .184 over that span against him, and when you consider 3 of those wins came against the (resurgent) Tigers, the Red Sox, and Marlins, it's that much more impressive. Then, throw in the fact the Mariners are 5-1 all-time against the Mets, and all of a sudden, that plus money is starting to look real good!

Mets Johan Santana gets the start, and while he's also pitched well of late, he hasn't got the same winning results as Hernandez, going 0-2 with a 2.37 ERA over his last 3 starts - all of which were Mets losses. He did not look good in his last start, getting tagged for 4 earned over 6 innings at the Angels. And despite the fact he has a solid career numbers against the Mariners, he'll have to be next to perfect to outpitch the surging Hernandez in this one.

Finally, while many of you already know about the Mets prowess against lefties this season, there's two things you might have missed. First, although they bat .297 against southpaws at Shea, they average only 4.3 runs in that spot. And second, despite all the Mariners woes at the plate, they happen to hit lefties well, batting .276 against them away.

Look guys, I'm not saying the Mariners win this series, but what I am saying is they've got one of the hottest arms in the Majors pitching tonight, at a price that's simply too good to ignore. We'll make this one a small play, but make no mistake, grab the plus money with the Mariners and King Felix in this one!

Take the Mariners behind Hernandez over the NY Mets and Santana in this MLB match up.

1* SEATTLE

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Scott Delaney

I thought about taking Ben Sheets in this contest, thinking he could pitch the Brew Crew to a rare win at Turner Field. After all, the Brewers have won his last five starts against Atlanta. But the fact they’re 1-4 the last five times they’ve visited the A-T-L left me leery. Instead, I noticed plenty of reasons to play the low number in this one, believing Sheets and Jo Jo Reyes could keep this one low.

First and foremost is this series, which has stayed under six of the last seven meetings, and 17 of the last 25 meetings in Atlanta. Now I know the over has gone over more times than not when Sheets is facing the NL Tribe, but he’s an entirely different pitcher this season, displaying the type of talent that was envisioned when he was drafted in the first round in 1999. The under is 17-5 in the Crew’s last 22 against the NL East and 11-3 in the opener of the Brewers’ last 14 series.

On the other hand, there are a slew of factors with Atlanta and Reyes, as the under is 9-2 in his last 11 overall, 44-18 in the team’s last 62, 20-8 in series openers, 4-1 in the Braves’ last five at home and 24-7 in their last 31 against the NL Central. We may have to lay a price to stay under 9, but that’s fine, as this one stays low.

2* UNDER

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Matt Rivers

For Monday take the Diamondbacks at Fenway.

Let me just say that there is really only one play that I love today and that is in the game from Turner Field so make sure you purchase that fire-hot lock. But with a gun to my head I will take my chances with the snakes plus this number in Beantown.

Obviously Boston is a juggernaut and despite the rare series loss to the Cardinals are still more than capable to do some damage today against the struggling and ice cold boys from the desert. But with Big Papi still out and against a guy in Dan Haren who is more than capable I will back the visitors and take this fairly healthy price.

Josh Beckett is definitely a stud and looked great in that last start and may very well here against a reeling opponent but Haren is a former American Leaguer (A's) who should hold his own as well today as the guy is really really good. The Arizona starter is not chopped liver and was a Cy Young candidate a season ago.

Arizona has talent with Young, Upton, Reynolds and others and plus this number with a quality hurler in Haren is enough to make a small play on the Diamondbacks!

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Jake Timlin

Your Monday selection is the Los Angeles Angels.

No doubt a bit of a high number with this one, but due to a limited card today this one is my second best play of the day as I look for the Angels to bury the slumping Nationals. After all thanks to the Angels impressive sweep over the Phillies it’s Los Angeles who rolls into tonight with major momentum. Momentum that will continue tonight in our Nations Capital against what is a very bad Washington team that has lost their last two games, 5 of their last 6 and sit just 15-23 at home this season. Even worst tonight for the National will be the fact that they will be at a huge disadvantage on the hill with Bergman 1-5 on the year as Washington is just 1-8 when the righty starts. Meanwhile for the Angels Lackey comes in hot at 3-0 with an ERA of 1.64 over his last 3. Flat out this one has mismatch written all over it and I am a bit surprised that the Angels are not an even bigger favorite.

All Los Angeles!

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Priceless Picks

1 Unit Play on Colorado Rockies -103

The Rockies have won 5 of the last 7 meetings in this interleague matchup and they have the edge tonight with the southpaw Francis on the hill.  The Rockies are 9-2 in Francis' last 11 Monday starts, 12-3 in Francis' last 15 road starts vs. a team with a losing record, and 20-6 in Francis' last 26 starts vs. a team with a losing record period.  The Rockies are also 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games and 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the American League Central.  The Royals are just 16-49 in their last 65 Monday games.  In other words, this team does not start series' well historically. The Royals are also just 20-41 in their last 61 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the Rocks tonight.

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

EZWINNERS

1 STAR: (902) ATLANTA (+$110) over Milwaukee
(Action) (Risking $100 to win $110)

1 STAR: (907) SEATTLE (+$164) over NY Mets
(Listing Hernandez only) (Risking $100 to win $164)

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Chris Jordan

400* Angels (RL)

100* Rockies

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Brandon Lovell

10* Mil/Atl under 8

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Tony Karpinski

LAA Angels vs. Washington Nationals    
Play: LAA Angels   

LA Angels at Washington (Baseball action) 7:10pm ET Since missing the begin of the season with injuries the Angels were glad to get their ace back John Lackey, who is 4-1 with an ERA of 1.73. Look for the Angels to continue to have success on the East coast against the Nationals as these two teams square off in game one of the series on Monday, overall the Angels are the best road team in baseball and have one of the best bullpens. Look for the LA Angels to win yet again, as they have also won 9 of their last 10 series. Play LA Angels

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

James Patrick

Brewers vs. Braves

Ben Sheets has had little trouble in his career versus the Bravos as he is 5-0 versus Atlanta and he has cashed 10 of 12 road starts to date. Atlanta struggles against the National League Central as they are winless in six games. Our Monday selection in Major League Baseball action is Milwaukee Brewers.

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

FRANK ROSENTHAL

901 BREWERS-120
OVER 8
905 ANGELS-170
UNDER 7.5
908 NYM-170
910 KC-105

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

LARRY NESS

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox
PICK: Boston Red Sox

The D'backs were "sitting pretty" at the end of April, the proud owners of MLB's best record (20-8). Things have not been as 'pretty' since, as the D'backs will limp into Fenway Park tonight (on ESPN), having gone 19-29 since May 1, including only 6-17 on the road. That hardly bodes well here, as only the Cubs (32-8) own a better home mark in '08 than the Red Sox, who are 29-9 (plus-$1,580) in Fenway this season.The pitching matchup is a good one, with Dan Haren going for Arizona and Josh Beckett for the defending champs. Beckett has not dominated in '08 like he did last year but he is 4-0 in his five Fenway starts (team is 4-1), despite a surprisingly high home ERA of 4.81. Haren has pitched well in Chase Field this year (7-1 with a 2.41 ERA in eight starts / team is 7-2) but he's struggled on the road, going 0-3 with a 4.62 ERA in six starts (team is 2-4). Boston does well vs righties here in Fenway (23-8, averaging 5.7 RPG), while Arizona has struggled on the road vs right-handers, going 6-14 (averaging just 3.7 RPG). The price is a little high but the D'backs are struggling away from home and having to beat Beckett in Fenway is not exactly the easiest way out of a slump. Lay the price with the Red Sox.

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

STEPHEN NOVER

Seattle Mariners @ New York Mets
PICK: Seattle Mariners

Can Seattle really upset the Mets and Johan Santana at Shea Stadium? At this price, and with Felix Hernandez on the mound, I'm willing to make a small investment and take a shot.

First off, Santana isn't invincible. The Mets are 0-3 in his last three starts. Santana has been good so far, but he hasn't been dominant. He has a 5.27 ERA in two interleague starts. The Mets' bullpen has been far from reliable. Aaron Heilman should be wearing a uniform made strictly of cotton and fire resistant material.

Hernandez has been dominant during his last four outings. He's 4-0 with a 0.95 ERA and a 29-to-five strikeout-to-walk ratio. Opponents are batting .184 against him during this span. We're not talking about a Kyle Davies or Jorge De La Rosa here. "King Felix" isn't on some lucky run. He's the real deal.

It's not a good situation either for the Mets, returning from six games out West. Now they're switching time zones again. The first game home from a long trip can create personal distractions and negatively influence concentration. It's also new manager Jerry Manuel first game coaching the Mets at Shea.

The Mets will be playing short-handed. Their outfield is missing Ryan Church and Moises Alou and they won't have catcher Brian Schneider (bruised hand) or second baseman Luis Castillo (sore left quadriceps). The Mariners, on the other hand, are expected to have back third baseman Adrian Beltre.

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

John Ryan

7*-MIL/ATL  Over 8
5*-Ari
5*-Wash
3*-Seattle

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS

Play:Atlanta Braves +112

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

SAPKOWSKI   

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Free picks
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Tips
For Euro 2008 play German is low line but very strong bet, turkey missing 6 first team players because of cards and Injuries, and in fact German are much better team and favorite to win Euro, now line is -250

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

ROBERT FERRINGO

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.5 Arizona at Boston

1-Unit Play. Take Boston (-170) over Arizona
Note: Don't play the Sox at more than -175.

1-Unit Play. Take Colorado (-110) over Kansas City

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Gamblers World

TIP OF THE DAY

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Mets
Prediction: New York Mets

The Seattle Mariners and the New York Mets will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday when they battle at Shea Stadium in an interleague contest. Righthander Felix Hernandez will take the mound for the Mariners to start this game. Hernandez is 6-5 this season with a 2.87 ERA. The Mets will counter Hernandez with ace Johan Santana. Lefthander Santana has a 3.04 ERA to go along with a 7-5 record this season. Oddsmakers currently have the Mets listed as 155-moneyline favorites versus the Mariners, while the game's total is sitting at 7½. Jeff Clement hit a two-run shot for Seattle in its 8-3 loss to the Atlanta Braves on Sunday. Atlanta won as -200 home favorites as the teams played over the 9.5-run total listed by oddsmakers. Carlos Beltran's two-run homer lifted the Mets past the Colorado Rockies 3-1 on Sunday. New York won as -105 road underdogs as the teams played under the 10.5-run total set by oddsmakers. Current streak: Seattle has lost 2 straight games. Team records: Seattle: 26-49 SU New York: 37-37 SU Seattle most recently: When playing on Monday are 4-6 Before playing NY Mets are 4-2 After playing Atlanta are 2-3 After a loss are 5-5 New York most recently: When playing on Monday are 7-3 Before playing Seattle are 2-4 After playing Colorado are 3-7 After a win are 4-6 A few trends to consider: Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing NY Mets Seattle is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games Seattle is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games on the road NY Mets are 5-2 SU in its last 7 games NY Mets are 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Seattle NY Mets are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle

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