MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

John Ryan

Florida Marlins vs. Seattle Mariners     
Play: UNDER

Ai Simulator 3* graded play UNDER Florida/Seattle – AiS shows a 73% probability that 9 or fewer runs will be scored in this game. Florida is 27-12 UNDER (+13.9 Units) in home games versus NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. Both teams are not playing well offensively in their recent run of games. Seattle is batting just 223 and scoring 2.6 RPG over the past 7 games and Florida a horrid 195 and scoring 4.0 RPG over the past 7 games. Strikeouts have been a huge problem with both teams as Seattle has struckout 50 times in 236 AN and Florida has struck out 55 times in 221 AB. Seattle is batting 238 and scoring 4.2 RPG versus LH starters in 16 games this season. Seattle starter Silva must keep his pitches low in the zone and allow his “heavy” pitches to induce groundball opportunities for his infield. In his last start he went 7 IP allowing just 3 ER and recorded 15 GB outs to just 3 FB outs. Silva has a very good change that sinks with late movement. This type of pitch sees many hitters think FB only to hit on top of the ball when it is seen late as an off speed pitch. This change will serve him well against the Marlins lineup. Take the UNDER

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

JOHN FINA

San Francisco Giants -115

Reason: Put us down on the San Francisco Giants (-115) for our Free MLB Selection on Monday. Today the Detroit Tigers will be on the road as they take on the San Francisco Giants. We will side with the San Francisco Giants! One reason why we will side with the San Francisco Giants is because they will be sending to the mound the starting pitcher who has been pitching a lot better as of late. This says it all... The Detroit Tigers Starting Pitcher (Justin Verlander) has a 3.13 ERA in his last 3 starts, while San Francisco Giants Starting Pitcher (Tim Lincecum) has a 0.86 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Detroit Tigers are 3-12 in Justin Verlanders last 15 starts, while San Francisco Giants Starting Pitcher (Tim Lincecum) has an 8-1 record this season. As you can see, the San Francisco Giants will be sending to the mound the much better starting pitcher. To say the least, we see the San Francisco Giants getting another win tonight! Take the San Francisco Giants!

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MATT RIVERS

For Monday take the Mariners at home.

Andrew Miller is a solid young lefty and the Marlins have proven this season they are better than most expected. On the opposite extreme this Seattle team has been an absolute joke losing game after game after game including just getting swept at home by the semi lowly Nationals.

With the above said we are still getting a tremendous value with the Mariners at home at this bargain basement price. At some point the M's have got to start winning games as they are just too good for this nonsense. JJ Putz may be out and these guys are looking terrible as the season is probably lost already but Ichiro, Sexson, Johjima, Beltre and the M's at home should win this game more times than not. In other words it will be harder for the Fish to go on the road here and win this game when compared to the home Mariners.

I like how scrappy Florida has been playing and love Hanley Ramirez but it's still a Seattle team that was expected to win around 85 games vs. a Marlins club that was expected to win about 70. Those numbers have been proven to be wrong but things will even up a bit and this is a great time to see that happen.

Carlos Silva is not great but is a professional pitcher who should give us six decent innings in a 6-4 type of a victory!

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Louie Mayo

MLB
(5*) 35-40 -60.40 Boston +148
(3*) 40-36 -13.93 Mets +138
(1*) 44-34 +4.34 Atlanta +105

WNBA
(50*) Houston -10½

AFL
(50*) Over 111½ Arizona

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

DUSTIN HAWKINS

REDSOX

Anytime you can get the Boston Red Sox at + 150, is a great deal. This team knows how to win and have done alot of it the last few years!! They do have a tough task in COLE HAMELS (6-4) (3.27 ERA). He has been better then that record, but today the Red Sox find away to win. Take the Red Sox + the money to the Bank!!!

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Carlo Campanella

Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies

Boston finds themselves in the Big Dog role on Monday as they open their series with Philadelphia. Might be tempted to take the VALUE with Colon starting, but have to pass knowing that this Red Sox team finds themselves in one of their WORST Situations this season, posting a 2-11 record on the road against teams above the .500% Win Percentage, losing those games by an average of 3 Runs! With the Phillies at 41-29 on the year, including 21-13 at home, they're one of the strongest foes Boston could face in this role.

7* Play On Philadelphia

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

  TONY MATHEWS

Florida Marlins vs. Seattle Mariners
Selection: Florida/Seattle Over 9

Explanation: We expect a high-scoring game as the Florida Marlins face-off aganast the Seattle Mariners in Monday's MLB contest.

The Florida Marlins will use starting pitcher Andrew Miller. Andrew Miller has been struggling this season. In fact, Andrew Miller has a 5.17 ERA on the season. We see Andrew Miller giving up many runs today.

The Seattle Mariners will use starting pitcher Carlos Silva. Carlos Silva has been struggling this season. In fact, Carlos Silva has a 5.79 ERA on the season. In addition, Carlos Silva has a 8.62 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Carlos Silva also giving up many runs today.

The Over is 7-1-3 in the Florida Marlins last 11 interleague games, while the Over is 12-2-4 in the Florida Marlins last 18 road games.

Take the Florida Marlins/Seattle Mariners Over 9

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Hot Lock Sports

Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies
Play: Under 9

The Under is 11-2 L 13 overall for Philly, Under is 5-1-1 L7 for Boston vs a Lefty, Under is 4-1 in Colon's L 5 starts, Under is 8-2 in Hamels L 10 starts vs a winning team.  Manny will most likely sit as he did yesterday so Boston loses some punch there.  Both Starters have pitched well this year and are 8 over and 11 unders combined.  We see a 4-2 type game.  Under for 3 units

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

MadduxSports

Florida -113


Jack Clayton

Red Sox/Phillies Under


floridabookybusters    

NY Mets/LA Angels Over 8.5


Mighty Quinn

Phillies


Cappers Access

Rockies
Tigers


Vegas Steamline

Det/SFUnder


Glen Mcgrew

Angels


Joe Wiz

Braves
Giants


Razor Sharp Sports

Fla/Sea Under


Arthur Ralph

Fla/Sea Over


Ollie's Picks

LA Angels -150


PRIORITY SPORTS INFO

Angels


Paul Leiner

10* Giants -110


Nostradamus

Philadelphia -160


VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Boston/Philadelphia OVER 9*


TRACE ADAMS

Boston/Philadelphia UNDER


COMPUTER SPORTS

SEATTLE


DR VEGAS

Seattle -135


NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER

GIANTS


PLATINUM PLAYS

ROCKIES - 115


BIG TIME SPORTS

METS/ANGELS OVER


HUDDLE UP

Colorado -110


TOTALS 4 U

ATLANTA/COLORADO UNDER


MIGHTY QUINN

Phillies


DARK HORSE

Boston/Philadelphia Under


SCOUT

NY Mets +140


#1 SPORTS

TIGERS


MIKE WYNN

Atlanta

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Ben Burns

Detroit Tigers @ San Francisco Giants
PICK: Under

REASON FOR PICK: Verlander's overall stats for the season still aren't particularly impressive. In fact, he's just 3-9 with a 4.65 ERA. His WHIP has remained in the respectable range, however, at 1.297 for the season. Additionally, he's really been coming around lately, as evidenced by the fact that he tossed a complete game 4-hitter against the White Sox last time out. He allowed just one run in that game and didn't walk a single batter. The 5-1 victory brought the UNDER to a perfect 4-0 his last four starts and a profitable 8-1 his last nine. Looking back a bit further and we find that Verlander has allowed four earned runs or less in six straight starts, allowing two or less in four of them. He averaged seven innings per start in those six games, going a minimum of six in each. He'll have the advantage of facing the Giants for the first time, a team which averages a mere 3.7 runs per game against right-handed starters.

While Verlander's recent stats are very impressive, Lincecum's are even better. Indeed, he's got a minuscule 0.86 ERA his last three starts, most recently a 1-0 game at Coors Field, which saw him throw seven shutout innings. For the season, he's 7-1 with a 1.97 ERA. Like Verlander, he'll have the advantage of facing the Tigers, a team which averages just 3.6 runs per game on the road, for the first time. The Tigers have seen the UNDER go 5-1 in Interleague play while the Giants have seen the UNDER go 4-1-1 in their six IL games. Expect a well-pitched game and consider a play on the UNDER

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Tom Freese

Detroit Tigers at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: Under

San Francisco starter Tim Lincecum has allowed 2 runs total in his last 21 innings of work over his last 3 starts. The Giants are 4-0-1 UNDER their last 5 games when the total is 7.0 to 8.5. Detroit is 6-0 UNDER their last 6 Interleague road games and they are 7-1-1 off a win. The Tigers Justin Verlander has allowed 10 runs total in his last 5 starts. PLAY ON 'UNDER'

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

LT Profits

Colorado Rockies -115

The Atlanta Braves just took two out of three games in Anaheim vs. the Angels, but we look for their road struggles to return when they visit the Colorado Rockies tonight.

Even with that winning series, the Braves are still just 9-25 on the road this season, including a three-game series sweep by the Rockies here in April. Furthermore, Atlanta starter Jair Jurrjens has been bothered by a troublesome finger that has no doubt contributed to his 8.40 ERA and 2.53 WHIP in his last three starts. If Jurrjens does not regain his form in the altitude tonight, the Atlanta bullpen has also been in disarray since John Smoltz was lost for the season, especially with his closer replacement Rafael Soriano currently on the Disabled List.

The Rockies have had a disappointing season after overachieving on their way to the World Series last year, but they must be feeling better about themselves after winning the last two games in Chicago vs. the White Sox. Their starter Ubaldo Jimenez has pitched much better lately after an atrocious start, as he has a 3.50 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in his last three outings. The Colorado bullpen is also slowly returning to its excellent form of last year, as the Rockies have now risen to the top half of the National League in bullpen ERA at 3.72, which ranks them seventh in the NL.

Taken back further, the Rockies are 7-2 in their last nine head-to-head meetings with the Braves in Colorado, and we look for them to build on that tonight.

Pick: Rockies -115


New York Mets +135

Michael Pelfrey of the New York Mets may be just 2-6 on the year while Jered Weaver is 6-6, but it is Pelfrey that has the better current form of these two starters.

Pelfrey has reeled off three straight Quality Starts, posting a sparkling 1.71 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 21 innings in the process. The last time he pitched on the road, he allowed one run in eight innings in San Diego, and he is now facing an Angels lineup that has been a disappointment lately, averaging just 3.80 runs per game while batting a mediocre .255 as a team over the last 10 games.

Weaver has been erratic for the Angels, looking unhittable at times but simply brutal at other times. He has allowed double-digit hit totals in two of his last three starts while posting a 5.50 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over those outings, and his inconsistency makes him a dicey proposition laying this much juice.

It seems that the Mets have all the value here given the current form of tonight’s hurlers.

Pick: Mets +135

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Nelly

Boston + over Philadelphia

The Red Sox may own a losing record on the road but they remain a dangerous team in any situation and they have won eight of the last nine meetings with the Phillies. Boston has won six of the last eight games overall and the Phillies are just 2-4 in the last six games. Cole Hamels was hit hard in two of his last four starts and he is just 4-3 in home starts so likely not deserving of this high of a line against the World Series champions. Boston is one of the best teams in baseball against left-handed pitching with a .295 team average and Bartolo Colon has been tremendously effective for the Red Sox. Boston is 4-1 in his starts and he has great numbers so hanging with Hamels is a serious possibility.

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Sammy Jankus, The Reverse Barometer!  big_smile

Always play the OTHER SIDE of my game writeup.

Boston at Philadelphia
Play PHILADELPHIA

I think I need a new pair of glasses because this line couldn't possibly be right! How do you make the Phillies – who just lost 2 of 3 from the Cardinals – a huge favorite over a Boston team that ANNIHILATED Cincy yesterday in a 9-0 ROUT? Answer: YOU CAN'T! Hey, if the Phillies win this, I'll leap off a building like one of those construction workers in 'The Happening'! I'm LOADING UP on the Red Sox to take ALL THE FIGHT OUT OF THE PHILS – so your play (and I feel lower than dirt for doing this to you) is on PHILADELPHIA.

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

FRANK ROSENTHAL

MLB

BRAVES OVER 9.5
BOSOX+150
ANGELS-150
SEATTLE-105
OVER 9
TIGERS-105

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

David Malinsky 3*

New York Mets @ Los Angeles Angels
PICK: Los Angeles Angels

Although East-to-West travel is not as major of a factor in professional sports as when teams have to journey in the other direction, we believe the Mets are in a most difficult setting here. Because of the pressure they faced vs. Texas yesterday, particularly with Willie Randolph believing that his job may have been on the line, there was no ability to all to prepare the lineups for this trip. We believe that it will take a toll for a team that was already reeling, and is put in the most rare setting of traveling to the West Coast for the second time in two weeks.

The problems for Randolph started in yesterday’s opener vs. Texas - it was one thing for the game to drag out to 3:23, but it was another for that late rally to come up short. So that meant an urgency for Game #2, which put Jose Reyes, Luis Castillo, David Wright, Carlos Beltran, Carlos Delgado all into the starting lineup again. And it also meant a full game for Damion Easley, who played half of the opener. And while they were able to at least get out 1-1 for the day, it means a heavy toll as they head to the airport for this long trip. For a team that is only 13-21 on the road this season, and 11-21 when leaving New York (they swept the Yankees 2-0), and with Michael Pelfrey’s awful 0-2/7.06 from visiting mounds helping to create that tally, this is a most difficult setting.

It gets even worse because they run into a hot Angel team, and one that also brings freshness to the table. The Angles are already 5-1 on this home stand, including a day off in between series, and not only is Jered Weaver off of a razor-sharp win over Tampa Bay (eight innings, one run, four hits), but all of the key arms in the bullpen are rested and ready behind him. After having to fight through both multiple infield injuries and slumps by other key parts of the batting order, the pieces are all back now, and fitting. The infield is at full health, which means finally having a legitimate leadoff hitter again in Chone Figgins, and after going through what may have been the worst slump of his career, Vladimiar Guerrero is is sizzling 11-22 so far on this home stand.

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

STEPHEN NOVER

Florida Marlins @ Seattle Mariners
PICK: Florida Marlins

When you get swept at home by the Washington Nationals, you have serious problems. The Seattle Mariners have serious problems.

Seattle has lost its last seven home contests. The Mariners have a dreadful 14-22 mark at Safeco Field. They are averaging 2.5 runs in their last eight games.

This is music to the ears of Florida starter Andrew Miller. Even though he's in the National League, he's faced the Mariners twice, including pitching at Safeco last season. Miller is off his finest performance of the season - holding the Phillies to one run on four hits with seven strikeouts in a 6-2 victory on Wednesday.

Carlos Silva goes for Seattle. He's 0-7 with an 8.79 ERA during his last eight starts. The Marlins lead the majors with 103 homers. Seattle is without All-Star closer J.J. Putz.

Maybe Silva steps in and stems Seattle's bleeding. But at around a pick'em price, the Marlins are an easy choice for me.

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Sportsbettingstats

Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies come into this big inter-league match up after losing to the St. Louis Cardinals 7-6, while the Red Sox beat the Cincinnati Reds 9-0. The Phillies were a smoking hot team coming into the St. Louis series and in the first game tagged the Red Birds up for 20 runs, but lost their last 2 games of the series. The Red Sox are hit right now, as they have won 2 in a row, are 7-3 in their last 10 games, and now lead the AL East by 2.5 games. This may be a possible World Series match up in October. Taking the mound for the Phillies is Cole Hamels (6-4 3.27 ERA), who has been steady in the Phillies rotation this year and in his last outing went 8 innings pitched giving up 2 earned runs in a no decision. In yesterdays loss to the Cardinals the Phillies scored 7 runs on 11 hits and left a whopping 15 men on base. It did not help the Phillies' cause, as they also committed 3 errors in the game. On defense the Phillies gave up 7 runs on 10 hits to the Cardinals. Taking the mound for the Red Sox is Bartolo Colon, who has found new life in Boston and in his last outing went 6 innings giving up only 1 earned run in a win. In yesterdays win over Cincinnati the Red Sox scored 9 runs on 11 hits and left 7 men on base. On defense the Red Sox gave up 0 runs to the Reds on 6 hits.

Staff Pick: The pitching match up is pretty even in this game, but Colon only has 5 starts for the season and they are against Kansas City, Baltimore, and Seattle, which are 3 of the worst teams in baseball this year. Hamels has never faced the Red Sox, so he may have a slight edge. The Red Sox finally started winning on the road, as they have now won 5 of their last 7 road games. Colon will have to pitch to a Phillies offense that ranks 3rd in the Majors in runs scored (381) and 2nd in home runs (100). Boson ranks 4th in runs scored in the Majors (362). The Red Sox will be without David Ortiz and possible Manny Ramirez, but J.D. Drew is swinging a hot bat and will need to carry the Red Sox offense. The Phillies have won 8 of their last 10 home games and need to stop their 2 games skid, as they have a slim 3 game lead in the NL East. This should be a close game and a pitchers duel, but look for the Phillies to regroup at home and take game 1 of this series.

Phillies 4 Red Sox 3

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

JB's Computer Picks

Philadelphia Phillies -160

Los Angeles Angels -155

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Re: MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Mr. A's

New York Met at Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles has won ten of their last 14 and will have Jered Weaver (6-6, 4.45 ERA) on the mound tonight to face the Mets and right-hander Mike Pelfrey (2-6, 4.24) at Angel Stadium. Weaver has won four of his last five starts, 3-3 with a 3.05 ERA at home. New York's Pelfrey will try to seize his first win in 11 starts. The struggling Mets are just 3-7 in their last 10 games and have lost four of their last five road games, 3-11 in its last 14.

Take the Angels in Anaheim. The LA Angels have won three of Weaver’s last four home starts, while the Mets have lost eight of Pelfrey's last 10 starts and his last 4 on the road.

Los Angeles Angels - 155

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