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Priceless Picks

1 Unit on LA Dodgers +115

The Dodgers' sticks did not show up yesterday as they tallied just 3 hits and were shut out.  Expect an offensive explosion from the Dodgers today.  Combine that with a solid pitching performance from their ace and we have ourselves a nice underdog winner.  The Dodgers are 13-3 in Penny's last 16 road starts vs. a team with a losing record and 23-6 in Penny's last 29 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Dodgers have won 5 of the last 7 meetings in this matchup and I like them to get their revenge here.

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Black Magic Sports

1 Unit on L.A. Dodgers +111

We’ll take Brad Penny in this spot every time as a road underdog against an inexperienced starter.  Eddie Bonine gets his first action of the year for the Tigers who are really struggling to find health in their rotation.  The Tigers’ bats won’t be able to make up for the struggles that Bonine will face on the mound early and often today.  Detroit is 8-17 against the money line in day games this season.  Brad Penny is a scorching hot 26-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.  Penny will limit the Tigers as the Dodgers come through with a nice road victory Saturday.  Cash in with L.A. as the underdog.

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Black Widow Sports

1* on Texas Rangers +147

Texas is the ultimate value pick as a free play Saturday.  Pedro Martinez still hasn’t proven he has fully recovered from injury.  There is no reason the Mets should be this big of a favorite considering they have lost 6 of their last 8 games overall.  Pedro Martinez has allowed 11 earned runs on 21 hits through 14 innings for a 6.91 ERA on the season.  Texas is 16-6 (+12.9 Units) against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.  Kason Gabbard is 6-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.  The Mets are 2-11 (-15.2 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons.  Gabbard is also 10-1 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.  Take the Rangers on the Money Line.

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mvbski wrote:


Kelso

10 units Oakland A's

5 units  Red Sox
4 units  Tampa Bay
3 units  Yankees

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Rocco Spacamuro

100* A's


Big Stuff Sports Inc

5 units Seattle
5 units Toronto


Nick Parsons

Indians


LT's LOCKS

Astros


floridabookybusters    

Boston


PowerPlayWins    

Indians


GAMEDAY SPORTS NETWORK

NY Yankees @ Houston OVER 9.5


SportsAction365

Atlanta @ LA Angels OVER 9


MIKE NERI 

Pirates +120


LPW SPORTS FORECAST 

Red Sox


Pure Lock

Oakland A's -135


Silver Key Play

WHITE SOX


Youngstown Connection

Orioles

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Wayne Root

Chairman- Tigers
Millionair- A's
Insiders Circle- Astros

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Louie Mayo

MLB
(5*) Florida +150
(3*) Pittsburgh +117
(1*) Colorado +173

WNBA
(50*) Phoenix +2

AFL
(50*) Georgia -2½
(50*) KC +5½

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GamblersWorld

TIP OF THE DAY

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Baltimore Orioles
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Baltimore Orioles will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Camden Yards. The Pirates will give the ball to starter Zach Duke in this one. Lefthander Duke is 4-4 this season with a 4.10 ERA. Duke's opponent in this one will be Radhames Liz. The Orioles righthander has a 3.48 ERA to go along with a 1-0 record this season. Oddsmakers currently have the Orioles listed as 130-moneyline favorites versus the Pirates, while the game's total is sitting at 9½. The Orioles erased a five-run lead to defeat the Pirates 9-6 in the opener as -115 favorites on Friday. The game's 15 runs sailed OVER the posted over/under (9.5). Kevin Millar drove in two runs, and Melvin Mora went 3-for-4 at the plate with one RBI for the Orioles. Brian Burres got the win, and George Serrill tossed a scoreless ninth for his 22nd save. Jason Michaels belted a three-run homer and Jack Wilson drove in two runs for the Pirates, who were +105 underdogs in that game. Franquelis Osoria allowed two runs in relief and was tagged with the loss. Team records: Pittsburgh: 33-35 SU Baltimore: 33-33 SU Pittsburgh most recently: When playing on Saturday are 6-4 Before playing Baltimore are 3-1 After playing Baltimore are 3-0 After a loss are 8-2 Baltimore most recently: When playing on Saturday are 6-4 Before playing Pittsburgh are 2-2 After playing Pittsburgh are 1-2 After a win are 4-6 A few trends to consider: Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games Pittsburgh is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

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Ben Burns

MLB 4* Cincinnati Reds

MLB 3* SF Giants

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Alex Smart

MLB 2* Cincinnati Reds

AFL 2* Dallas Desperados

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KBHoops

5 unit parlay Toronto/Cleveland +143 **POD**
4 units Cincy Reds -150
4 units Toronto/Cubs UNDER 8

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Fairway Jay

MLB 3* Yankees/Astros Under 9.5

MLB 3* Royals/Diamondbacks Under 8.5

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Ted Sevransky 4*

San Jose’s offense has been good this year, but it’s been their defense that has carried them to a 9-5 record, putting them in position to secure another Western Division title with a victory here. The Sabercats D has forced an AFL high 38 turnovers (21 interceptions, 17 forced fumbles). All three starters in their secondary – Omarr Smith, Marquis Floyd and Clevan Thomas – have started every game together over the last two seasons, a true rarity in this league, giving the Sabercats far more defensive chemistry than the average AFL squad. And with Steve Watson, Alan Harper and Ronald Jones leading the way on a defensive line that has forced 23 sacks, it’s no surprise that the San Jose defense ranks second in their conference in red zone defense, consistently holding foes out of the end zone.

No team in the league attempts more field goals than San Jose, with head coach Darren Arbet settling for three again and again. AJ Haglund is a great kicker, but any time a possession ends with anything less than a touchdown, under bettors smile. Tampa Bay, too, has the second best red zone defense of any team in their conference, so the potential for fewer Sabercats touchdowns and more Sabercats field goals this week is rather high, particularly considering that San Jose is coming off their bye week, taking their offense out of rhythm.

Tampa Bay head coach Tim Marcum was not pleased with his defense last week when they allowed a season high 363 passing yards and a season high 9.1 yards per pass attempt against Orlando. QB Brett Dietz has not performed particularly well against the quality defenses that he’s faced, a good part of the reason why the Storm are 5-2 to the Under in their last seven ballgames and 5-2 to the Under in their seven road games this season. In fact, both of these quarterbacks rank in the bottom half of the starters in the league in terms of their QB ratings, and both defenses are much stronger than average at creating a pass rush and forcing turnovers. And let’s not forget Tampa kicker Seth Marler, who ranks fourth in the league in FG attempts, clearly indicating that Marcum, too, is content to settle for three points on a consistent basis, which is exactly the offensive approach Under bettors are looking for. 4* Take the Under. Current total: 110.5, reduce wager size to ½ unit at 107.5 or lower.


Ted Sevransky 4*

I made a large bet on Dallas last week, but it went down in flames in the final minute, following the Desperados second special teams miscue of the game. The bad news is that we lost that bet; the good news is that we’ll get the chance to make some of it back right here. Last week’s loss effectively ended the regular season for the Desperados. Barring a Philadelphia collapse, the Soul will have homefield edge in the playoffs after sweeping the season series from Dallas. And, after going 15-1 last year but getting bounced out of the playoffs in the first round, and having a league best 13-3 record in 2006, but also falling short in the playoffs, this team has absolutely nothing to prove here in the regular season – their success will be entirely determined by what they accomplish once the playoffs begin.

To make matters even worse for Dallas here, their defense has collapsed in recent weeks, allowing 8.1 yards per pass attempts against Cleveland two weeks ago and 8.7 yards per attempt last week, while giving up ten touchdowns on eleven meaningful drives. When the Desperados played New York back in Week 5, they suffered four sacks and scored only 33 points, their second lowest output of the season. Throw in some injury concerns (and the lack of a bye week if Philly wins the division, as expected), it’s far more important for head coach Will McClay to get his team healthy and focused for a playoff run than it is to win this game at all, let alone win it by any sort of a margin.

New York has been nothing short of outstanding since their awful 1-4 start, reeling off seven wins in their last nine games. It’s surely worth noting that the Dragons two losses during that span came by five and two points, each contest coming right down to the wire – this is not a team that gets blown out, even in hostile environments. Weylan Harding’s defense is coming off a season best performance, holding New Orleans to 4.7 yards per pass attempt last Saturday, while QB Aaron Garcia now has the fifth highest QB rating in the league, with a truly impressive 72-7 touchdown-to –interception ratio, far better than Desperados QB Clint Dolezel in all three statistical categories. And, unlike Dallas, New York has no margin for error with Philadelphia on tap next week – they absolutely, positively, need the victory here, while Dallas does not. 4* Take New York. Current line: NY +7.5, reduce wager size to ½ unit at +5 or lower.


Ted Sevransky 4*

Columbus is a ‘dead’ team right now, the only team out of nine in the National Conference with no hope of making the playoffs heading into Week 16. Frankly, the Destroyers have been dead for months, 1-7 SU in their last eight games. Remember, this team went to the Arena Bowl last year; their disappointment with the 2008 campaign is almost palpable. Their lack of effort has been most apparent on the defense side of the football, allowing 9.5 and 10.0 yards per pass attempt in their last two ballgames while giving up 17 touchdowns in 19 meaningful drives. And, as we clearly saw against Georgia last week, the Destroyers are not responding well to adversity at this stage of the campaign – one bad break and the roof starts to fall in.

We bet against Quincy Carter making his first career start last week, and were paid off rather easily, as Carter’s KC Brigade lost by 39 points as a favorite! In this game, we get to bet against Justin Zwick making his first career appearance. Zwick, the former Ohio State Buckeye was a dud in college, but he’s a hometown fan favorite and attendance is lagging. He won’t be the only backup getting playing time here – the Destroyers coaching staff plans to use their final two games of the season to look at a number of other second tier prospects.

Meanwhile, Grand Rapids is coming off a brilliant performance against Colorado, putting them in position to actually clinch a playoff spot with a win and some help this week despite their 4-10 record. The Rampage put on a truly impressive offensive showing, hanging 84 points on the Crush. First year head coach Steve Thonn promised a more aggressive approach following their home loss to Utah the previous week, and he certainly wasn’t bluffing. The Rampage had a season high 16 possessions against Colorado, averaging less than two minutes per possession. Three different Grand Rapids receivers had 100 or more yards and at least three touchdown receptions, the first time in team history they’ve accomplished that feat. One team cares about winning; the other squad is waiting for the season to be over. 4* Take Grand Rapids. Current Line: GR -4.5, reduce wager size to ½ unit at -7 or higher.

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LT Profits

MLB 2* Philadelphia Phillies

MLB 2* Pirates/Orioles Over 9.5

MLB 2* Minnesota Twins

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Mr A's

Florida Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays

Florida continues to struggle on the road, dropping five of their last six, 11 of its last 14 and has lost five of its last six interleague games. The Marlins will send Mark Hendrickson to the hill. The southpaw is 0-2 with a whopping 14.25 ERA in his last three starts.

Hendrickson is 2-2 with a 4.02 ERA in six career games, including five starts against the Rays. Tampa Bay counters with Matt Garza. The right-hander has lost his last two starts, but is 3-0 with a 2.40 ERA at home. Garza has never faced the Marlins. The Rays are 4-0 in Garzas last 4 home starts.

Take the Tampa Bay Rays and ‘over’ this evening at Tropicana Field. The Rays have won 21 of their last 24 games at home and both pitchers are currently struggling, managing their control. Florida's Hendrickson has allowed 20 runs in his last three starts, while Tampa Bay's Garza has allowed 10 in his last two.

Tampa Bay Rays -160 & Over -9½

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Teddy Covers

MLB 3* Red Sox/Reds Under 9

MLB 3* Oakland A's

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Ben Burns

BLOWOUT ALERT BIG CHALK GOM *7-0 L7

San Francisco Giants


7-0 RUN CONTINUES Burns Afternoon ANNIHILATOR

Cincinnati Reds

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Jeff Scott

2 Units Reds

2 Units Redsox/ Reds Under

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Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections

TOP RATED BASEBALL SURE THING
Arizona w/Johnson -166

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Cincinnati w/Volquez -145

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