Thursday Service Plays

Re: Thursday Service Plays

TONY MATHEWS

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
Selection: Milwaukee/Houston Under 9

Explanation: We expect a low-scoring game as the Milwaukee Brewers face-off against the Houston Astros in Thursday's MLB contest.

The Milwaukee Brewers will use starting pitcher Ben Sheets. Ben Sheets has been pitching very well as of late. In fact, Ben Sheets has a 1.74 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Ben Sheets pitching another great game.

The Houston Astros will use starting pitcher Brian Moehler. Brian Moehler has also been pitching well as of late. In fact, Brian Moehler has a 2.50 ERA in his last 3 starts. We also see Brian Moehler pitching another great game.

Take the Milwaukee Brewers/Houston Astros Under 9!

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

MATT RIVERS

For Thursday take the under at Staples.

I'm feeling like being in a giving mood so I'll give you the low right here in game four. I do admit that there certainly was a swift reaction with this total as it is around five or so points lower than game three, which is not great, but the way the Celtics are playing defense and the way the Lakers did play defense on Tuesday, I just do not see all of a sudden an explosion.

Boston has played phenomenal defense all season long and really do not look to fast break all that much. Even if the Lakers want to run and gun things are made a tremendous amount tougher when the opponent is not only extremely capable on the defensive end but does not really try to score all too quickly. The halfcourt game is perfectly fine with Doc Rivers and his squad and even on the road should be able to control most of the pace.

Kevin Garnett was the defensive player of the year and all in all the C's may have been the best defensive team this season. Let's not forget about all of the garbage time Boston was involved in this campaign because they led so many games by so many points. That has skewed the stats a bit out of their favor not making people understand just how dominant defensively they have been.

Kobe is a beast and the greatest player on the planet who could put up 40 against anybody. Shoot the guy scored 80 against the Raptors, I think, in one game a season ago. But a total around the 190's means that we should have a team hit the century mark and that is just asking too much.

We may see a few more points today as 87-81 was tremendously under but in the end I do not see both teams getting above 90.

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BIG AL's AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH!

At 7:05pm our selection is on the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Indians 'under' the total.  With both Jake Westbrook (elbow) and Fausto Carmona (hip) out for Cleveland, 23 year-old lefthander Aaron Laffey has filled in very well and has definitely earned the right to stay in the Indian rotation.  You may notice that his ERA in his last three starts is 5.60, but this is very misleading, as he had a very bad start two outings ago at Texas, but that is actually his only bad start of the entire season (since his first start back on April 28 against the Yankees).  Laffey is not really an overpowering strikeout pitcher, but rather a control specialist, and he has yet to give up more than two walks in a game all season.  He gets the perfect assignment to keep it going tonight vs. the Twins, as Minnesota has had serious problems scoring runs lately.  Livan Hernandez, the ageless wonder, will oppose Laffey, and he continues to pay big dividends as the Twins have won ten of his fourteen starts this year.  Oddly enough, although Hernandez seems to have been pitching in the Majors forever, he has not faced Cleveland since the 1997 World Series.  The 'under' is 13-5 in Cleveland's last eighteen home games, and 21-8-2 in the last 31 meetings of these two teams.  AL Total of the Month on the 'under'.

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JEFF BENTON

For Thursday, we'll look at some daytime baseball action and play the Rangers as an underdog at the Royals

I can't believe I just typed that: A major-league team is an underdog against Kansas City a team that is 4-19 in its last 23 games! That includes consecutive home losses to the Ranges by scores of 6-5 on Tuesday and 11-5 on Wednesday. As those scores would indicate, the Royals pitching has been a mess lately, as they've given up six runs or more in seven of their last nine games all seven being losses.

Today, K.C. is going with the once-promising Brian Bannister, who started the season 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA and is since 2-6 with a 6.51 ERA in 10 starts, with the Royals going 2-8 during the stretch. And the fact is Bannister has pitched more than 5 1/3 innings in just half of those 10 starts is scary, because K.C.'s bullpen has been a disaster lately.As for the Rangers, they've won three in a row overall and three of four on the road.

And even though they're going with a rookie call-up in right-hander Eric Hurley, his 65-27 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 68 innings Triple-A Oklahoma City is pretty damn impressive. And considering the Royals weak lineup, plus the nice plus-price we're getting, and Texas is a strong play here.

3* TEXAS RANGERS

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

TONY WESTON

Of course I'm getting things back on track today as we're staring down a National League West battle between the San Francisco Giants and Colorado Rockies in a game the Giants will take.

The teams have played each other eight times so far this year and have split, going 4-4 against one another.

But today's game will be about Giants projected starter Jonathan Sanchez. Sanchez comes into this game having been really strong his last six games. In that six-game stretch the Giants are 5-1 and Sanchez's ERA has gone from 4.89 to 3.70.

Over his last five games he's allowed two earned runs in each of four of those starts and allowed no earned runs his last time out.

Over his last three road games Sanchez is 2-0 and the Giants are 3-0 as he's allowed only four earned runs in 19 1/3 innings of work.

Pencil in Sanchez as your starting pitcher and take the Giants on the road today.

3* GIANTS

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STEVE JANUS

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

The Nats are officially slumping and it's a great time to stare fading them. Over their last ten games overall, Washington is just 2-8. The Pirates aren't a traditional team to follow, but they've achieved a modest 19-15 record at home this season, more than enough to warrant a play against the struggling Nationals on Thursday.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

JASON LOWRY

ST. LOUIS

ST. LOUIS is 25-15 against the money line against right-handed starters this season, and their starting pitcher PINEIRO is 10-3 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. While opposing starting pitcher ARROYO is just 8-21 against the money line in June games since 1997. Take the Cardinals!

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JOHN FINA

Selection: San Francisco Giants -105

Today the San Francisco Giants will be on the road (the San Francisco Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 road games) as they take on the Colorado Rockies. We will side with the San Francisco Giants! One reason why we will side with the San Francisco Giants is because they will be sending to the mound the much better starting pitcher. This says it all... The San Francisco Giants Starting Pitcher (Jonathan Sanchez) has a 1.80 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Colorado Rockies Starting Pitcher (Greg Reynolds) has a 6.48 ERA in his last 3 starts. As you can see, the San Francisco Giants will have the much better starting pitcher on the mound. To say the least, the San Francisco Giants should be able to beat the Colorado Rockies today. Take the San Francisco Giants!

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

EZ Winners Thursday Early

1* Arizona (Haren Only)
2* Kansas City (Hurley & Bannister)

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Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections

5000 UNIT BASEBALL CRUSHER WINNER
Detroit -110

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The Rock 5-0 so far in the EURO 2008 Soccer

Game #1
Germany -135.....Stronger of the 2 plays

Game #2
Poland +130

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Dr Bob

I'll take Boston in a 3-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more and for 2-Stars at +6 1/2 or +6 points.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

THE MILLER GROUP

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers
PICK: Under

REASON FOR PICK: This number is starting to drop so we'll get on the under while we can. In reality, we feel that this total should be sitting at a flat nine, so there is still plenty of value to be had. Look for strong performances from both veteran southpaws today.

Mark Buehrle has really been on his game lately, allowing three earned runs or less in four of his last five starts. In his last three outings against the Tigers he has worked 22 innings and allowed only five earned runs. With a solid, and rested bullpen behind him, we don't believe the Tigers are in for a big day at the plate.

Kenny Rogers has had an up and down season so far, but right now he is on the incline. He has lasted seven innings in each of his last three starts, and allowed a grand total of only 16 hits and three earned runs. In nine career starts against the White Sox as a Tiger, Rogers has seen only two games total more than 10 runs, and only three more than nine. The White Sox bats have been relatively quiet in this series, and they've struggled against lefties all season, hitting just .233 as a team.

We don't need a pitching duel to cash this ticket, but we might just get one anyway. Take the under.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

BEN BURNS

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres
PICK: San Diego Padres

REASON FOR PICK:  It doesn't matter if the Dodgers are swinging "red hot" bats, they've still never been able to hit Jake Peavy. Indeed, Peavy is an impressive 11-1 in 20 career starts vs. the Dodgers, recording a stellar 2.31 ERA and 1.014 WHIP. Last time they faced Peavy here at PetCo, the Dodgers were coming off a game in which they scored seven runs. Against Peavy, they managed only two hits (one run) the entire game! Including that start, the Padres' ace has a 1.46 ERA and 0.865 WHIP at home this season and is a perfect 5-0 with a 1.18 ERA in seven starts lifetime against them at Petco Park - all San Diego wins. Things figure to be even tougher for the Dodgers when they aren't swinging the bats very well. They scored just one run yesterday which marked the fifth time in their last 10 games in which they managed one run or less. With Kent (leads team in home runs) and Martin (leads team in average, tied for second in home runs) both potentially out of the starting lineup for the visitors, let's look for Peavy to make a triumphant return from the disabled list, continuing his domination in this series.

Consider a play on SAN DIEGO

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Rocketman Sports

New York Yankees vs. Oakland Athletics
Play: Oakland Athletics     

NY Yankees are 5-17 last 3 years when the total is 8 to 8 1/2. NY Yankees are 2-11 last 3 years on the road when the total is 8 to 8 1/2. NY Yankees are scoring only 4.5 runs per game overall and only 4.0 runs per game on the road this season. Oakland bullpen has a 3.09 ERA overall this year and a 2.52 ERA at home this season. Pettite has a 7.08 ERA his last 3 starts. Blanton has a 3.75 ERA at home this year. We'll recommend a small play on Oakland tonight! 

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

The Experts Guaranteed Selections

ULTIMATE EXPERTS BASEBALL WINNER
Philadelphia w/Moyer -120

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Cubs -135

The Braves have been awful on the road all season long so I don't think Soriano's absence in the lineup today will be enough to change the outcome in this one, especially with the Big Z on the hill.  The Braves are 8-20 in their last 28 games as a road underdog, 8-24 in their last 32 road games vs. a right-handed starter, and 0-5 in their last 5 overall.  The Cubs are 41-13 in their last 54 games as a home favorite, 10-2 in their last 12 games following a win, 8-3 in Zambrano's last 11 starts, and 11-5 in Zambrano's last 16 starts vs. the National League East.  I won't list Hudson for the Braves because I like the Cubs regardless if he goes or not, but it is worth mentioning that the Braves are just 1-6 in his last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the Cubbies.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Priceless Picks

1 Unit on Cincinnati Reds -122

This is a big bounce back spot for the Reds after getting crushed 10-0 yesterday.  Without Pujols in the lineup, the Cards are not going to consistently be able to put up this many runs.  The Reds have dropped the first two games of this series and I like them to salvage a win in game 3.  The Reds are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record and 12-3 in their last 15 home games.  The Reds are also 7-3 in Arroyo's last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Reds at home.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

BETTORSWORLD

GIANTS +105

CARDS +127

MARLINS +115

CHISOX +100

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Info Plays

3* on Pittsburgh Pirates -133

We cashed in Pittsburgh as out 10* Info Play on the premium card last night and we’ll take the Pirates again as a free play Thursday.  The Washington Nationals are playing without 4 starters in the field in 3B Ryan Zimmerman, 1B Nick Johnson, OF Austin Kearns and C Paul Lo Duca and they simply aren’t the same team without all of these guns.  We will Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 or worse on the season (NL).  This is a 132-62 ML System hitting 66.1% since 1997.  Even better, Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season (NL).  This is a red hot 66-17 ML System hitting 79.5% since 1997.  So the Nationals have a terrible starter in Jason Bergmann going and a sub-par bullpen.  This is a losing combination tonight.  Bet the Pirates at home.

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