WEDNESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

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SPORTS KINGZ

TORONTO -140

WHITE SOX  EV

CUBS -160

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JAMES PATRICK

Nationals vs. Pirates

Our selection in National League Baseball action is Washington-Pittsburgh OVER the TOTAL as we note that 8 of past 10 in the Steel City have gone Over the Total and the Nationals have gone Over in 11 of 16.

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Tom Freese

Atlanta at Chicago

The Cubs are red hot winning 12 of their last 15 games. The are 14-5 their last 19 games vs. righty starters. Chicago is 9-0 the last 9 starts made by Ryan Dempster and they are 48-22 after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game. Atlanta starter Jair Jurrjens is off a phony win in his last start where he allowed twice as many baserunners as innings pitched and still managed to get the win. The Braves are 8-23 their last 31 road games vs. righty starters and they are 1-5 their last 6 road games with Jair Jurrjens on the mound. PLAY ON CHICAGO

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GINA

Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs

The Atlanta Braves have dropped five of their last six games and have played awful away from home, 1-7 in their last eight road games, a nasty 7-22 this season. Opposite, the Chicago Cubs have won 12 of their last 13 games and have played sound at home, 5-0 in its last five at Wrigley Field, 27-8 this year, major-league best home record.

Atlanta's Jair Jurrjens (6-3, 3.77) has won his last two decisions, but is just 1-3 with a 4.84 ERA in six road starts this season. The right-hander will make his first appearance against the Cubs. The Braves have lost five of Jurrjens' last 6 starts on the road.

Chicago's Ryan Dempster is 1-10 with a 5.65 ERA in 24 career appearances, including 13 starts against the Braves, but hasn't faced them since 2003. Dempster is 7-0 with a 3.10 ERA at home this season and Chicago has won the right-hander's last 9 starts at home.

Go wit the Cubs against the major-league's worst road team, the Atlanta Braves.

Chicago Cubs -150

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JACK JONES

SAN FRAN / COL UNDER

Colorado is 14-5 UNDER (+8.2 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. San Francisco is 15-3 UNDER (+11.6 Units) vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Both of these teams have had trouble scoring this year, so seeing this game come under 9 runs is far from a stretch.

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Erin Renning

20* Oakland -120

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Larry Ness

New York Yankees @ Oakland Athletics
PICK: Oakland Athletics

The Yanks are just 33-32 on the year but last night's 3-1 win at Oakland keeps them perfect this year against AL West foes (7-0). Chien-Ming Wang entered last night's game with a 9.00 ERA in his previous three starts but allowed seven hits and just one ER over 7.1 innings to lead the way for New York. Tonight, the Yanks will hand the ball to Darrell Rasner who was brought up in early May to join a struggling New York rotation, which had seen enough of Hughes and Kennedy. Rasner, who was just 4-5 over 17 appearances (10 starts) in his first four big league seasons, won his first three starts (1.71 ERA) but has lost his last three. It's not that he's pitched all that poorly (3.26 ERA) but it's hard to win when you receive exactly one run of support in each outing (the case here). However, Rasner faces a tough mound opponent in Justin Duchscherer tonight, who is in his seventh season but first as a full-time starter. Duchscherer had just five starts among his first 197 appearances (these last six seasons) but all nine of his appearances this year, have been as a starter. He's 5-4 with a 2.32 ERA overall but an incredible 4-0 at home, where he's allowed just 12 hits and five ERs over 26.2 innings (1.69 ERA). I gave the A's a try last night and lost but I don't give up that easily. Take Oakland.

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Tony George

Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals
Play: Kansas City Royals     

While I took off 2008 in bases to concentrate on upcoming football and my personal site changes, I still follow bases daily, especially in my hometown. Kansas City continues to blow leads in games, I witnessed it in persona last night, and are finding ways to lose games, defeat from the jaws of victory. That being said, the Royals bats are better right now that in the past 2 weeks, they blew a 4-1 lead last night in a game they should have won, and just split 2 out of 4 at the Yankees. I like Davies on the hill tonight for KC, 2-0 with less than a 2 ERA, at home in KC to atone for last nights debacle.

Play the Royals.

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John Ryan

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Florida Marlins
Play: UNDER

Ai Simulator 3* graded play UNDER Philadelphia/Florida – AiS shows a 72% probability that 8 or fewer runs will be scored in this game. Two left handed pitchers square off in the NL East showdown for supremacy. Philadelphia bullpen continues to be ranked first in several categories in MLB. They have a 2.54 ERA and a 1.284 WHIP and have allowed just 10 home runs on the season. Florida has been hitting well over their past 7 days, but they only bat 242 against LH starters. Hamels is coming off a complete game shutout of the Reds allowing just 3 hits. The last time he went 9 was on May 15th and he followed that start up with a 7 IP allowing 0 ER. Philadelphia is 12-4 UNDER as a road favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997. 14-5 UNDER after having won 15 or more of their past 20 games since 1997. Here is some additional background research for this game. The Phillies are 16-7 (.696) in games started by left-handed pitchers (9-4 at home; 7-3 on the road), including a 14-4 (.778) record in their last 18 games and a current 7-game winning streak with the last loss on 5/14 vs ATL and Tom Glavine). Chase Utley leads all major league hitters with 11 HRand 25 RBI vs LHP. Jayson Werth and Ryan Howard are T-6th in HR vs LHP (6). Utley also has the 3rd-most hits (32) among all major leaguers vs LHP. Pat Burrell is tied for the major league in walks vs LHP (19). Since April 20, the Phils’ record stands at 31-17 (.660), which is the best record in baseball over that time. Since Charlie Manuel took over as manager prior to the 2005 season, the Phillies have the best record in the NL at 301-251 (.545). The Phils have a great defense and bullpen to support one of the best starters in the NL. Take the UNDER. 

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Andrew Powers Guaranteed Selections

RED HOT BASBEALL POWER PLAY WINNER
Tampa Bay w/Kazmir +100

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KOSMO

Pittsburgh -140 1 unit
NY Mets +120 1 unit
Cubs -145 1 unit
Houston -110 1 unit
Giants -110 1 unit
Angels -115 1 unit
White Sox Even 1 unit
Texas -110 1 unit
Oakland -120 1 unit

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The Experts Guaranteed Selections

ULTIMATE EXPERTS BASEBALL WINNER
Kansas City w/Davies +100

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Priceless Picks

1 Unit on San Francisco Giants -108

Lincecum has been on fire while Jimenez has been awful.  We'll get behind Lincecum at a great price here tonight.  The Giants are 4-0 in Lincecum's last 4 starts, 4-0 in Lincecum's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record, 5-1 in his last 6 starts vs. the National League West, and 7-1 in Lincecum's last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The Rockies are 1-10 in Jimenez's last 11 starts, 0-7 in Jimenez's last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game, and 0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. the National League West.  Take the Giants in this one.

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THE VEGAS BEARD

3* Nationals +25
3* Royals +05

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Brandon Lang

10 Dime - D'Backs

5 Dime - Astros

Free play - Nationals-Pirates UNDER

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JEFFERSONSPORTS

MLB WEDNESDAY

SAN FRANCISCO-104

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Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections

5000* BASEBALL LATE STEAMER WINNER
San Francisco w/Lincecum -110 

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Indian Cowboy

Game: San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies
Detail: IC's Guaranteed Baseball Play of the Day
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) San Francisco Giants -111

Ubaldo Jimenez has had a couple good starts this year, but not very many. The Rockies have lost 11 out of his 13 starts. He actually beat Ben Sheets in his last start. Will he beat Sheets and Lincecum in back to back starts? I doubt it. Tim Lincecum’s worst start this entire year was 6 innings 3 runs. Not too shabby when that’s your worst performance of the year. The Giants have a better record than Colorado. Lincecum is WAY better than Jimenez. San Fran has won 4 out of their last 5. So hasn’t Colorado so both teams are playing ok right now, but I feel like this line shows so much value. It should really be -160 or so the way Lincecum has pitched this year.


Game: Detroit Shock @ LA Sparks
Pick: 3 units LA Sparks -5

Do not lose sight this is a huge revenge game for the Los Angeles Sparks as they haven’t beaten this Detroit team in two years and they lost by a bucket in Detroit last time out, I took the over in that game as I remember as I expected the Los Angeles Sparks to be an active dog, The Detroit Shock are an incredibly talented team including on the road, but don't be surprised to see a Los Angeles Sparks win and cover here. This is only LA’s second home game of the year as they’ve been on the road for most of the year so far so I expect them to take advantage of the home court today.

Phoenix Mercury @ Seattle Storm
Pick: 3 units Phoenix Mercury +6

The game I am most looking forward to, I think the Phoenix Mercury get revenge here as beating the Sparks on the road was a huge stepping stone for this team that can beat any team in the league as well as lose to any team in the league, so goes the saga of the Phoenix Mercury team which is very inconsistent, but they can get up to beat anyone or they can lay down to anyone as well. I’m not looking for the Phoenix Mercury to beat the Seattle Storm here, just stay within the spread which I think they can do.

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WILD BILL

Over 8 1/2 Phils-Florida (2 units)
Phils --145 (1 unit)
Arizona -125 (1 units)
Cubs -175 (1 unit)
Over 10 Cubs-Braves (1 unit)
Under 9 1/2 Brewers-Astros (1 unit)
Brewers +100 (2 units)
Giants -105 (4 units)
LA +105 (4 units)
Tampa +100 (1 unit)
Twins +120 (2 units)
White Sox +110 (4 units)
Over 9 White Sox-Tigers (2 units)
Texas -110 (4 units)
Over 9 1/2 KC-Texas (4 units)
A's -115 (4 units)
Under 8 1/2 A's-Yankees (4 units)

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