FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

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Carlo Campanella

Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox
Prediction: Boston Red Sox

Reason: Boston (37-25) hosts Seattle (21-39) on Friday evening knowing that they're an awesome 17-3 at home against A.L. teams averaging 4.7 Runs per game or less this season! With Seattle losing 5 of their last 6 games and just 7-20 on the road this year, Boston improves to 18-3 in this role...Great way to add value to Parlays.

7* Play On Boston

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JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Detroit Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 56-34 and has made 24.8 units since 2002. Play on home teams with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games and with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games. Indians starter Byrd not in good form posting a 7.72 ERA both on the road and over his last 3 starts. In 6 road starts he has allowed 26 ER and 10 HR in just 30.3 IP. In his last 3 starts he has allowed 24 hits, 14 ER, and 4 HR while recording just 2 Ks in 16.3 IP. Detroit starter Verlander may finally be finding his all-star form posting a 2.70 ERA and a 1.200 WHIP allowing just 1 HR in his last 3 starts spanning 20 IP. Cleveland is not in a good role for this game noting that they are 7-13 (-10.2 Units) against the money line versus a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse this season; 2-8 (-8.5 Units) against the money line versus terrible speed teams that are averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season; 5-12 -10.9 units when the total is 9 or 9.5 this season. Detroit?s skipper Leyland is in a strong role as he is 25-13 in all games managed after batting 225 or worse over a 10 game span; 31-16 after a game where his team did not have an extra base hit. Take the Tigers.

DETROIT TIGERS

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ALEX SMART

San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals
Prediction: Under

Tim Linceum(7-1,2.23 ERA) the San Francisco Giants starting pitcher has been extremely consistent this season , as is evident by not allowing no more than 3 ERS in any of his 10 overall starts. This kid is a star in the making, and is currently one of my top rated throwers in my power ranking system. He is backed by a viable bull pen with a 3.68 road ERA. His pitching opponent Jason Bergman is also currently in top form, allowing a total of just 4 Ers in his last 20 + innings of work, for a stingy 1.74 ERA. His biggest problem remains, his own teams lackluster offense, especially when facing right handers like Linceum. Note: The Nationals are hitting righties for a lowly .219 BA on the season. Bottom line: Two light hitting offenses, and two quality work horse pitchers, makes for what I think will be a low scoring snooze fest. Final notes & Key Trends: Washington has gone under in 11 of 13 games against right handers this season, with the average combined score clicking in at 6.8 RPG. Play under

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KARL GARRETT

Arizona -200 at PITTSBURGH

Tonight, the G-Man feels the Arizona Diamondbacks are about ready to explode, and end a 3-game losing streak. The Snakes have been bad on the road this year, of that there is no doubt, but it looks like Brandon Webb is about to go on another tear, as the righty is off a complete game shutout of Washington, and is 10-2 for the year with an ERA of 2.69.

Ian Snell will counter, and his line the last couple of games ain't pretty; 13 runs allowed in his last 9 innings of work for a pair of losses.

For the year, Snell is just 2-5 with a 5.94 ERA. I get the feeling Arizona is about ready to bust out for a big game at the plate, and I can see Webb throwing another complete game with just 1 or 2 runs scoring at most.

Run Line play on Arizona tonight.

3* ARIZONA -1½ RUNS

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SPORTS GAMBLING HOTLINE

Tampa Bay -125 at TEXAS

Tonight we like Tampa Bay to end their 3-game slide with the easy win at Texas.

The Rays have struggled on the road this season, and their 3-game sweep the wrong way at Fenway has knocked them out of first place, so expect Tampa to be in a little bit of a prickley mood tonight when they hit the field.

Tampa Bay just took 2 of 3 off of Texas at the Trop, and pitcher Scott Kazmir earned one of those wins by going 7 innings, and allowing 1 earned run to score.

For the year, Kazmir has been nothing short of brilliant, as he is 5-1 with an ERA of 1.22.

Vincente Padilla counters, and his last start came on May 27th, as he worked 6 innings of 5 run ball in a win over Tampa. Padilla has been dealing with a family matter, and has spent some time out of the country. Our feeling is, Padilla's mind may be a little distracted, and with the Rays itching to end their current slide, things could get rough on the righty.

Play on Tampa.

5* TAMPA BAY

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CHRIS JORDAN

400* Run Line Punishing Duo

400* Red Sox
400* White Sox

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Nelly

Philadelphia + over Atlanta

The Phillies are an awfully hot team to be dogged this significantly as Philadelphia has won 12 of the last 16 games. The Phillies own a winning record on the road this season and the offense is scoring nearly 6.9 runs per game in this stretch of 16 games. The Braves own a fantastic home record at 25-8 but the Braves have been playing a lot of close games lately. Tim Hudson has historically started to fade in June and he owns a 4-10 record in his last 14 June decisions. The Braves are hitting just .246 in the last ten games and Philadelphia has won four of the last five head-to-head meetings. The Phillies are 8-4 when Jamie Moyer starts and he is capable of delivering a great performance today, backed up by a great bullpen and an explosive offense.

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Tom Freese Blue Line Club

Tampa Bay at Texas

Tampa Bay is 14-2 after scoring 2 or less runs in their last game and they are 21-9 their last 30 games vs. righty starters. The Rays are 14-3 with Scott Kazmir vs. AL West teams and they are 20-7 their last 27 games as favorites. Texas is 14-29 as home dogs of +110 to +150 and they are 3-7 with Vincente Padilla vs. the AL East. The Rangers are 1-5 off a win and they are 3-7 their last 10 games vs. the Rays. PLAY ON TAMPA BAY

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MATT FARGO

The Giants head to the east coast to start a four-game set with Washington. San Francisco is coming off a series loss at home to the Mets but the offense showed a big spark in that series, averaging 6.3 rpg in that three-game series. The Giants are 8-6 over their last 14 games as the pitching has allowed three runs or fewer in half of those games while the offense has scored six or more runs in half as well. San Francisco has won six of its last eight road games heading into Friday. Washington snapped a four-game skid with a victory over the Cardinals last night in the second game of its doubleheader. It was just the fifth win in the last 15 games for the Nationals who have not won back-to-back games since May 18th and 19th. The offense exploded for 10 runs in Game Two after scoring a total of two runs in the last four games. Washington is hitting .234 on the season including .236 at home, both of which are dead last in all of baseball. All Tim Lincecum does is throw quality outings. He has tossed 11 straight quality starts and his lone non-quality effort came in a relief appearance in his first game of the season against the Dodgers. The Giants have won his last three starts and are 8-3 overall including a 4-1 record on the road. Lincecum?s ERA actually dips from 2.23 to 1.72 on the road where he has allowed no home runs. He faced Washington once last season, allowing just one run in seven innings of work. Jason Bergmann came back to reality in his last start as he allowed four runs in eight innings against Arizona. The outing wasn?t horrible but all four of those runs came on solo home runs. He had gone three straight starts without allowing a run but Washington came away with just one win during that span and that was a 1-0 nail biter. Bergmann has a 5.03 ERA at home this season and the Nationals are 0-3 in his three home start, in part because the offense has averaged just 2.3 rpg in those contests.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

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MATT RIVERS

For Friday take the Phils at Turner Field

Can I really trust Jamie Moyer? No

Is Moyer old and clearly inferior to Tim Hudson? Yes

Can the Braves win this game? Certainly

But with the above said I will gladly back the red hot and rolling Phillies at this price. Rollins, Utley and Howard are great great lefty bats that can tee off against any righty on the planet right now. If Hudson is on he can be nasty and limit the damage but Charlie Manual's squad is awesome and a full 10 games over .500 for a reason.

Moyer is a crafty lefty that maxes out at about 86 mph or so these days. he's not going to fool many hitters at all and can get ripped a new one by Chipper, Teixeia, Francouer and the solid Braves but the southpaw has also been there and done that and has enough to holds his own in this spot. Talent wise Hudson is obviously much better but I can see six good enough innings from Moyer and the Fightin' Phils bats help him out.

Bobby Cox' squad has been brilliant at home this season and definitely should be formidable here but this is no worse than a 50-50 proposition as we are getting money back with the hotter and better team right now.  Therefore I'll take some money here witht he visitors from the City of Brotherly Love!

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JIMMY THE MOOSE

Cincinnati Reds at Florida Marlins
Prediction: over

Reason: The Reds have played the under quite often of late but when these team's get together they score runs. The over is 22-7-1 in the Reds last 30 games as a road dog of +110 to +150. The over is 21-7-2 in their last 30 games vs. a left-handed starter. The over is 21-7-3 in the Marlins last 31 games. The over is 41-16-5 in Florida's last 62 games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite. The over is 7-3 when Miller has been on the mound this season. The over is 4-1-1 in his last 6 home starts. The over is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 trips to Florida and the team's have played the over in 7 of the last 10 meetings overall. Play the over

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SPORTS KINGZ

ST. LOUIS +105
BOSTON  R/L +130
METS -145
ARIZONA -170

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LT Profits

Baltimore Orioles +160

Now we have a lot of respect for what Shaun Marcum of the Toronto Blue Jays has done this season, but the Baltimore Orioles seem to ooze value at this price here.

Now we realize that Brian Burres has been plagued by the home run ball in his last two starts, but he did allow three earned runs or less in six of his previous seven outings, and he also tossed seven scoreless innings the last time he pitched in Toronto, so he is certainly capable of getting himself straightened out here. Besides, at the earliest hint of trouble, Baltimore always has a quality bullpen to fall back on, as they rank third in the American League with a 3.18 ERA.

Now we like Marcum a lot, but even we must wonder if he has pitched over his head to this point, with a fantastic 0.94 WHIP in 78.2 innings. After all, Marcum does not blow people away and he often pitches to contact, and while he has been vintage Maddux-like in keeping the ball off of the fat part of the bat, is he really this good or is a correction in order? Besides, the Jays may be a bit fragile after that devastating loss to the Yankees yesterday, when they blew an early 7-2 lead and a two-run lead with two outs and nobody on with their great closer B.J. Ryan on the hill in the ninth inning.

That was they type of loss that could have some residual effect for a game or two, and given that the Orioles have been surprisingly competitive thanks to some great pitching, they get the call at this rather inflated price.

Pick: Orioles +160


Chicago Cubs +105

The Chicago Cubs have the best record in baseball after winning for the 10th time in 11 games in the series opener here last night, and they get the call again as small underdogs vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight.

The Cubs are now 39-22, yet they find themselves as dogs to a 28-32 Dodger team here. That probably has to do with Sean Gallagher taking this start for Chicago, but he has actually allowed three runs or less in three of his last four starts, including possibly the best start of his brief career vs. these Dodgers in Chicago, where he allowed one run on just four hits in seven innings. Now that also happened to be the longest start of his career, but he has the support of a Cubs bullpen that ranks third in the National League with a 3.19 pen ERA.

Besides, Hiroki Kuroda seems like an unreliable favorite in this spot. Kuroda is just 2-5 overall, and he was lit up for six earned runs while surrendering nine baserunners in just 2.2 innings vs. the New York Mets last start. Also, the Dodgers have lost five of their last six games overall with three of those losses coming here at home.

We don’t expect Los Angeles to suddenly get well vs. this blazing-hot Cubs team.

Pick: Cubs +105

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Stephen Nover

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PICK: Under

First off, Brandon Webb is starting for Arizona. He's a top Cy Young candidate with a 10-2 mark and 2.69 ERA. He's off a complete game 4-0 victory against Washington on Saturday. His sinkerball has been working. His groundball-to-flyball out ratio was 72-to-17 during May.

Webb is 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA career-wise versus Pittsburgh in four starts. Right-handed pitchers Webb and Snell can be tough on hitters at PNC Park because of the makeup of the stadium.

The key here is Snell. The guy last won on April 12. He has been brutal. However, he's been fine in his last two home starts, yielding three earned runs in 13 innings against Milwaukee and Atlanta. Having regular shortstop Jack Wilson back is huge defensively for Pittsburgh.

Snell has a good history, too, against the Diamondbacks. He's 2-0 with a 2.55 ERA lifetime versus Arizona in four starts.

Arizona's offense has been going downhill. The Diamondbacks have scored only eight runs in their last four road games. They are averaging just three runs per contest during their last 10 games overall. 

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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Milwaukee Brewers -136

The Brewers are on fire having won 6 straight and we'll take them tonight with their ace on the hill.  The Brewers are 9-1 in Sheets' last 10 road starts, 6-1 in Sheets' last 7 starts as a road favorite, and 22-8 in Sheets' last 30 starts overall.  The Rcokies have been struggling all season and so has Jimenez.  The Rockies are just 2-8 in their last 10 overall.  They are only 1-12 in Jimenez's last 13 starts, 0-8 in Jimenez's last 8 starts as an underdog, and 0-7 in Jimenez's last 7 starts vs. the National League Central.  Take the Brewers.

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Gina

Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees

The New York Yankees have won six straight at home, seven of their last eight and have beaten the Kansas City Royals in 22 of its last 24 games at home.

New York will send Darrell Rasner (3-2, 2.67 ERA) to the hill. The right-hander is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts at home this season. He will be facing Kansas City for the first time. The Kansas City Royals counter with Kyle Davies (1-0, 1.80). The right-hander in his only start against New York, allowed five runs on six hits over three innings in a 16-8 win at at Yankee Stadium on August 4, but did not receive a decision.

Go with The Yankees tonight in the Big Apple against the struggling Royals. New York's Darrell Rasner was awful in his last start, his second straight defeat, but should have a good night on the mound facing the dismal Royals. Kansas City has dropped 15 of their last 17 games and 11 straight on the road.

New York Yankees -230

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JB's Computer Plays

Boston Red Sox -155

San Francisco Giants -115

Texas Rangers +120

Chicago Cubs +105

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Winners Edge

Houston Astros RL +170 , 1 unit

NY Yankees RL -120 , 2 units

Oakland A's Even , 2 units

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GamblersWorld

TIP OF THE DAY

Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees
Prediction: New York Yankees

The New York Yankees will be trying to extend a winning streak on Friday when they take on the Kansas City Royals at Yankee Stadium. The Royals will give the ball to starter Kyle Davies in this one. Righthander Davies is 1-0 this season with a 1.80 ERA. Meanwhile, it'll be Darrell Rasner who starts for the Yankees. Righthander Rasner is 3-2 with a 2.67 ERA so far this season. Oddsmakers currently have the Yankees listed as 200-moneyline favorites versus the Royals, while the game's total is sitting at 9½. The Royals lost 6-2 to the White Sox as a +155 underdog in Thursday's series finale. The game's eight runs went as a PUSH against the posted over/under (8). Mark Teahen homered and finished 2-for-4 at the plate for the Royals. Gil Meche gave up five runs off seven hits over 5 2-3 innings in the loss. The Yankees scored three runs in the bottom of the ninth inning to defeat the Blue Jays 9-8 as -170 favorites in the rubber match on Thursday. The game's 17 runs sailed OVER the day's posted over/under (8.5). Wilson Betemit cracked a two-run homer and Jason Giambi also went deep for the Yankees. Kyle Farnsworth tossed the ninth and was given credit for the win. Current streak: Kansas City has lost 3 straight games. New York has won 2 straight games. Team records: Kansas City: 23-37 SU New York: 30-30 SU Kansas City most recently: When playing on Friday are 4-6 Before playing NY Yankees are 4-6 After playing Chi White Sox are 3-7 After a loss are 1-9 New York most recently: When playing on Friday are 7-3 Before playing Kansas City are 7-3 After playing Toronto are 6-4 After a win are 7-3 A few trends to consider: The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees The total has gone OVER in 9 of Kansas City's last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees Kansas City is 5-20 SU in their last 25 games when playing NY Yankees Kansas City is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City NY Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Kansas City The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 11 games when playing at home against Kansas City

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Ted Sevransky

New Orleans Voodoo @ New York Dragons
PICK: New York Dragons

New Orleans is getting far too much credit from the linesmakers for a misleading home victory over the only team in the entire league that has no hope of making the playoffs. Yes, the VooDoo beat Columbus by three touchdowns at home last week, where they are 6-1 this season. But the VooDoo and the Destroyers both scored nine touchdowns on eleven meaningful drives. The difference in the game were a pair of net recoveries on kickoffs for New Orleans (the ultimate ‘lucky’ play) and an interception return for touchdown with no time left on the clock in the first half. New Orleans is still only 1-3 SU in their last four games, and they are just 2-4 SU on the highway, yet they are priced in a pointspread range where they’ll likely need a straight up win to earn a pointspread cover here.

The New York Dragons are trending in the opposite direction right now. Since their 1-4 start, the Dragons are 6-2 SU. Their tremendous defense has held opponents under 50 points in seven of their last nine ballgames. Meanwhile, Hall-of-Fame quarterback Aaron Garcia guided the team to ten touchdowns and a field goal on their eleven meaningful possessions last week. In fact, this offense has averaged 62 points per game in their last four home games, scoring at least 56 each time. Let’s take advantage of yet another bad pointspread in a season full of bad pointspreads from the linesmakers with a play on the Dragons as short home favorites here. Take New York. Current Line: NY -1.5, reduce wager size to ½ unit at -3 or higher.

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