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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on D-backs/Nats OVER 8

With Webb on the hill one would think that the UNDER would be the call, but oddsmakers have set the bar too low here and the numbers also suggest otherwise.  The Over is 5-0 in Webb's last 5 home starts.  The Over is 16-6 in the Diamondbacks last 22 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 6-1 in the Diamondbacks last 7 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, and 27-13-1 in the Diamondbacks last 41 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  These teams totals 11 runs in yesterday's game and with the D-backs in bounce back mode, I expect them to put some more runs on the board today to send this one over the total.

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Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Nationals +204

The Snakes have hit a rough spot and I don’t think that even Webb can pull them out of it here.  The Nats are a great wager at this price as the D-backs are clearly being valued higher than they should be with the way they’re playing.  The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter, 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series, 0-4 in their last 4 overall, and 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games.  The Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  I like the Nats here.

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Black Magic Sports

1 Unit on Boston Red Sox -125

You won’t find Boston as a small favorite like this very often.  Jon Lester has shown his potential this season by throwing a no-hitter against the Royals just a few weeks back.  Lester has allowed just 5 earned runs over his last 3 starts for a nice 2.25 ERA during this run.  He is coming into his own as a starting pitcher on this already solid starting staff in Boston.  Lester is 3-0 with a 3.00 ERA in 4 career starts against Baltimore.  Garrett Olson is 0-2 with a 7.63 ERA in 3 career starts against Boston.  You can see why this free play is a solid choice just from those lifetime numbers alone.  But then you consider that Boston is 16-3 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season and you know this is the right play.  Cash in with Boston as the favorite.

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Info Plays

3* on Seattle Mariners -106

Play On - Home teams (SEATTLE) - starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing against opponent starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest.  This is a 122-73 ML System hitting 62.6% over the last 5 seasons.  Felix Hernandez always brings his best stuff against the top opponents in this league.  Justin Verlander has failed to bring his best stuff all season.  The Tigers are just 2-9 in Verlander’s 11 starts this year.  Detroit is 4-15 against the Money Line in day games this season.  King Felix has a career 3.86 ERA against the Tigers through 4 starts.  He will come to play Saturday, and this time he will finally get the run support he needs to come out with the victory.  Bet Seattle at home.

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Gator Report

MLB 70% Super Situations  (MLB Record 16-11 +472 units)

MLB (16-11 +472) Saturday:Play Against MLB (NL) road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season. 66-16 since 1997 (80.5%) 

PLAY: San Francisco -110

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Alex Smart

Cleveland -163

CC Sabathia the Cleveland Indians ace and stater today against the struggling KC Royals , is currently in top form after some early season inconsistencies, and has now reverted back to last years Cy Young award status. The lefty stopper, is 2-1 along with a minuscule 1.20 ERA in his L/4 starts .With momentum and a great deal of talent on his side , I expect he will be one of the catalysts behind a Indians road victory tonight. Final notes & Key Trends: KC is in a free fall having lost 12 straight games. Indians are 9-3 in Sabathias last 12 starts vs. Royals . The Tribe have won 5 straight road games in this series. Play on the Indians

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Brandon Lang


15 Dime - Cubs Run Line
5 Dime - Tigers
5 Dime - Blue Jays

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DUNKEL

MLB

Boston at Baltimore   
After losing in extra innings last night, the Orioles look to bounce back and come into the contest with 7-3 record when listed as a home underdog between +100 and +125.  Baltimore is the underdog pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored straight up by 1.  Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120).   Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MAY 31

Game 951-952: Colorado at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Rusch) 13.785; Cubs (Dempster) 15.800
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-250); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-250); N/A

Game 953-954: Atlanta at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 14.847; Cincinnati (Fogg) 15.161
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+125); Under

Game 955-956: LA Dodgers at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.639; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.917
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); Over

Game 957-958: San Diego at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Banks) 15.302; San Francisco (Misch) 15.066
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Under

Game 959-960: Houston at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Moehler) 14.967; Milwaukee (Sheets) 14.595
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+170); Under

Game 961-962: Florida at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 14.611; Philadelphia (Hamels) 17.384
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-215); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-215); Over

Game 963-964: Pittsburgh at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 15.963; St. Louis (Parisi) 15.033
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140); Over

Game 965-966: Washington at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Bergmann) 13.575; Arizona (Webb) 15.021
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-220); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-220); Over

Game 967-968: Detroit at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 14.368; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.523
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-105); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-105); Under

Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Vazquez) 14.593; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 16.172
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-145); Over

Game 971-972: Boston at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 14.249; Baltimore (Olson) 14.953
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120); Under

Game 973-974: Cleveland at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sabathia) 14.509; Kansas City (Davies) 14.822
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+150); Under

Game 975-976: NY Yankees at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Wang) 16.231; Minnesota (Bonser) 14.410
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-155); Over

Game 977-978: Oakland at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Blanton) 16.477; Texas (Feldman) 14.846
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-105); 10
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-105); Under

Game 979-980: Toronto at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Marcum) 16.583; LA Angels (Lackey) 15.609
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+125); Over


NHL

Pittsburgh at Detroit
The Penguins look to tie up the series and come into the contest with a 6-2 record at home when the total is listed at 5 or less.  Pittsburgh is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1.  Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120).  Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MAY 31

Game 7-8: Detroit at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.369; Pittsburgh 13.571
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); Over

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LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR)

REDWINGS / PENGUINS OVER 5

We pushed our last time out on the total but we have yet to lose a NHL play - off selection. We'll stick with the same reasoning as the last game played for this over. Detroit has basically owned Pittsburgh other than the last game out which not for a mental error, Detroit could have won. We know Detroit can score on Pittsburgh. The Penguins did win last time out but nothing changes the fact they will be down 3-1 tonight if they lose. That's not a good position to be in as history is not on your side going down by that number. It's of the most extreme importance that Pittsburgh gets this win tonight to even this series up to 2-2. As we have stated in the past, this type of situation brings a sense of desperation and that equates to elevated play or a bulk of mistakes. Either situation leads to elevated scoring production by either team. With a line of 5, we figure at worst we see a push. It keeps value on the game and helps to lower your at risk. Pitt should be in a comfort zone on home ice and Detroit just continues to plow as the big red machine.Take Over 5

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TONY WESTON

Tonight Im sticking with some more American League action as Im going with the red hot Tampa Bay Rays over the Chicago White Sox.

The teams have split the first two games of this series and for the year the Sox hold a 3-2 advantage over the Rays.

But Tampa is still 22-10 at home this year and is 18-3 its last 21 in front of the home crowd, including a 6-2 mark this current home stretch.

Scheduled to make the start for the Rays tonight is Scott Kazmir, who is 4-1 this year with a 1.50 ERA. He is undefeated his last four starts and has allowed only one earned run in 19 innings of work his last three home starts.

Kazmir will once again shut out his opponent in front of the home fans and be impressive once again.

Pencil in Kazmir as your starting pitcher and take the Rays at home.

3* RAYS

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Brian Hansen

Game: Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels
Prediction: Over

Reason: The Blue Jays don't get a lot of headlines because they play in the AL East where the Red Sox and Yankees dominate the media coverage. Also,a third story has developed and that is the amazing start that the upstart Rays are off to this season. This has allowed the Blue Jays to go largely unnoticed and this is giving us value in situations like this where their current level of play is not being factored into a total. An extremely low total is being posted on this game even though the Blue Jays were 13-4 their last 17 games heading into Friday night's action. In those 17 games, Toronto has averaged a respectable 4.6 runs per game and yet this total opened up at a 7.5 on Saturday's game! The Jays should be able to get to the Angels John Lackey. The Los Angeles right-hander just faced the Blue Jays in his start on May 20th so Toronto will be getting a quick 'second look' at Lackey. Even though he only allowed one earned run against them in the first match-up the Blue Jays did get seven hits against him.Toronto also had four line drive outs and a couple of deep fly ball outs in that game. Those who watched the game know that Lackey wasn't quite as dominant as his line score might indicate. Shaun Marcum is also unlikely to be dominant in this game. He just faced the Angels at the Rogers Centre in Toronto on May 21st and he allowed four earned runs including two homers in that start. In his only career start at Angel Stadium, Marcum allowed eight hits in six innings of work. He also struck out just one in that outing and the Angels are likely to be seeing the ball well against him in this start too. The Angels came into this series off of a winning series versus Detroit where they won two of the three games but averaged just two runs per game! Give credit to the Tigers pitching in that series because the Angels offense had been quite 'healthy' at home before running into Detroit. Los Angeles had averaged five runs per game over their last dozen home games before the series with the Tigers. With such a low total on this game, it's not going to take much to get over the total and yet, as detailed above, it is quite likely that each team should enjoy some offensive success tonight. One final item of importance when playing any total is the bullpen and, although the Blue Jays pen has been solid this season, the Angels bullpen has been a surprising weakness for the club this season.

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Bobby Maxwell

Have to go with the home team in this one as the Mets take on the Dodgers, who have won just twice in their last eight games.

New York has Mike Pelfrey (2-6, 5.33 ERA) on the hill facing Chad Billingsley (4-6, 3.68) today. These two teams have split the first two games of this series and the Dodgers have struggled at the plate, scoring one run or less in five of their last six losses.

The Mets had won three in a row until Friday's loss and they are 5-2 in their last seven against the Dodgers at Shea Stadium.

Pelfrey hasn't been horrible at home this season, going 2-4 with a respectable 3.60 ERA in six starts. He's never seen the Dodgers before and on the opposite side, Billingsley has only faced the Mets once.

The Dodgers were in the midst of a five-game road losing streak until Friday's win, and they have lost 19 of their last 28 games on Saturday.

We're playing the home team in this one to get the cash.

4* N.Y. METS

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Drew Gordon

Trust the Red Sox on the road at your own risk, they may have won yesterday (it only took them 13 innings), but that doesn't take away from the fact they're 2-9 over their last 11 away. Their formidable offense is a shell of itself on the highway, and a match up with a suddenly surging Garret Olson is the last thing they need.

Speaking of Olson, the young lefty is coming off the best start of his career, tossing 7 scoreless innings against the Yankees, allowing only 3 hits, while striking out 7! That's nothing new this season, as he's been downright nasty at home, going 3-0 with a lockdown 2.41 ERA! While the Red Sox have hit lefties well, right now their catching Olson at the wrong time (off an huge confidence building win) and the wrong place (at Camden Yards).

While its true the Orioles have struggled of late, don't confuse their road woes with their play at home, where they're a solid 16-9 on the season! They took 2 of 3 from the Yankees in the series prior, thanks in part to Olson, and I say the young southpaw helps right the ship once again here tonight.

As a final note, for as good as Jon Lester is, he hasn't been nearly as effective on the road, going 1-2 with a 4.60 ERA on the season away. He lost his last start, in Oakland, allowing 3 runs over 5 innings, and looked far more human than when he no-hit the Royals at Fenway. Also of note, the Orioles do hit lefties well at home, averaging .270 against them on the season. Grab the plus money with O's at home in this one!

Take Baltimore behind Olson over Boston and Lester in this MLB match up.

2* BALTIMORE

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Sports Gambling Hotline

While we believe the Rays are for real this season, we cannot lay this kind of lumber on Tampa against a Chicago team that has been playing some quality baseball this season as well.

The White Sox have actually won 3 of the 5 meetings this season played in Tampa, and they are 7-2 overall against the Rays at the Trop since last season.

Javier Vazquez has pitched well this year, and he does own an April win over Tampa.
Scott Kazmir has been unconscious of late, that is for sure, but to lay this price against the White Sox does not seem wise to us.

We will go with the underdog Pale Hose, and nab the nice take-back in this spot.

Play on Chicago.

2* WHITE SOX

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Karl Garrett, Featured Handicapper

Last night, Boston won an extra-inning affair to snap a two game losing streak, and send the O's to their second straight loss, and their 7th loss in their last 9 games.

The G-Man gets the feeling that Baltimore has definitely overachieved through the first two months of the season, while Boston has underachieved on the road thus far.
Boston has gone 14-7 at Camden Yards since the '06 season, and they are 28-11 overall against the Orioles since that time.

Lester and Olson should be a good pitching matchup, but it is Lester who is 3-0 over his last 4 starts against Baltimore, while Olson is 0-2 over his last 3 starts against Boston, allowing 13 runs in 15 innings of work.

Go with Boston tonight.

4* BOSTON

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Gamblers World

TIP OF THE DAY

Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers

Reason: If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Saturday when the Houston Astros and the Milwaukee Brewers meet at Miller Park.The Astros will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Brian Moehler in this game. Moehler has a 2-1 record and a 3.43 ERA this season.Meanwhile, it'll be ace Ben Sheets who starts for the Brewers. Righthander Sheets is 5-1 with a 2.93 ERA so far this season.Oddsmakers currently have the Brewers listed as 180-moneyline favorite versus the Astros, while the game's total is sitting at 8½.Ryan Braun went 4-for-4 with a home run and two RBIs on Friday, as the Brewers defeated the Astros 5-1. The Brewers won the game as -135 favorites, while the six runs fell UNDER the posted over/under (9.5).Prince Fielder belted a two-run homer and Mike Cameron also went deep for the Brewers. Manny Parra allowed just one run off four hits over six innings to post the victory.J.R. Towles drove in the only run for the Astros, who were +125 underdogs.Brandon Backe was tagged with the loss after giving up five runs off six hits in five innings of work.

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JAKE TIMLIN

Saturday selection is the Chicago Cubs

Take the Cubs minus the Run Line today!

After escaping with a home win yesterday I look for things to be much easier for the Cubs today. After all they are playing a very bad Colorado team. Just how bad is it for Colorado? Well after losing a game yesterday where they scored 9 runs with their best pitcher on the mound for their 10th straight loss on the road the Rockies have officially hit rock bottom. Now keeping the Rockies there is the fact that I dont see them standing a chance today in Chicago thanks to pitching where the Cubs turn to Dempster who is 6-2 with a 2.56 ERA while Colorado calls up Rusch making his first MLB start since 06 when pitching for the Cubs. Flat out due to Colorado going with a reject on the mound and still without four of their starters the Rockies struggles are going to continue today.

All Chicago -1.5 Runs!

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Gold Medal Club

Atlanta @ Cincinnati
PLAY OVER 9.5

Fogg has been serving up batting practice, with an era of 9, and 13.09 in his last 3 starts, failing to get out of the 4th inning.

The Reds are the sultans of swat in the NL, and for this game to be close they are going to have to go deep several times today!

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Jack Clayton

Indians


JerseySteveWins

Seattle    


floridabookybusters

Penguins


Paul Leiner

10* Redsox -120    


COMPUTER SPORTS

SEATTLE


VEGAS STEAMLINE

NY YANKEES


DR. VEGAS

Seattle


Arthur Ralph Sports

RED WINGS


Vegas Steamline

Yankees


Bob Donahue

Cardinals


PRIORITY SPORTS INFO
Milwaukee


BILLY IRISH

DBACKS


Cappers Access

Oakland
Seattle


MadduxSports

Boston Red Sox -138


#1 SPORTS

RANGERS


SCOUT

San Francisco


JACK JONES

INDIANS


ARMVIN SPORTS

TWINS


Vernon Croy

Atlanta


TOTALS4U

TORONTO/ANGELS OVER


MIKE WYNN

Milwaukee -175


PLATINUM PLAYS

RED SOX - 125


RAZOR SHARP

SEATTLE


BIG TIME SPORTS

DETROIT/SEATTLE OVER 8.5


DARK HORSE

San Francisco -110


Tony Mathews

Blue Jays


John Fina

Padres

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ATS Arena Football Lock Club

5 units on Dallas -3 over Cleveland

3 units on Arizona +10 over Orlando

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