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AFL Week 14

AFL Week 14

AFL LONG SHEET

Friday, May 30

COLUMBUS (3 - 9) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 5)

Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in May games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Saturday, May 31

DALLAS (10 - 2) at CLEVELAND (7 - 5)

Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when the total is between 105 and 109.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 8 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TAMPA BAY (6 - 6) at GEORGIA (7 - 5)

Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in May games since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


ARIZONA (6 - 6) at ORLANDO (8 - 5)

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


KANSAS CITY (3 - 9) at CHICAGO (9 - 3)

Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) after playing a game on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


SAN JOSE (8 - 5) at LOS ANGELES (4 - 8)

Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 110 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after playing a game on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in May games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 8 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 4-1 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 4-1 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Sunday, June 1

UTAH (3 - 10) at GRAND RAPIDS (3 - 9)

Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 110 over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games where the total is greater than or equal to 110 over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
GRAND RAPIDS is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games after playing a game on a Saturday since 1996.
GRAND RAPIDS is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GRAND RAPIDS is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
GRAND RAPIDS is 1-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Monday, June 2

NEW YORK (6 - 6) at COLORADO (4 - 8)

Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a game on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Re: AFL Week 14

TREND SHEET

Friday, May 30

8:30 PM COLUMBUS vs. NEW ORLEANS
Columbus is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 games
Columbus is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


Saturday, May 31

7:00 PM DALLAS vs. CLEVELAND
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 7-12-2 ATS in its last 21 games


7:00 PM TAMPA BAY vs. GEORGIA
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Georgia
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Georgia
Georgia is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
Georgia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


7:30 PM ARIZONA vs. ORLANDO
Arizona is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
Orlando is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona


8:00 PM KANSAS CITY vs. CHICAGO
Kansas City is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Kansas City is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Chicago is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home


10:30 PM SAN JOSE vs. LOS ANGELES
San Jose is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose


Sunday, June 1

2:00 PM UTAH vs. GRAND RAPIDS
Utah is 4-8-2 ATS in its last 14 games
Utah is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
Grand Rapids is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Grand Rapids's last 24 games at home


Monday, June 2

10:30 PM NEW YORK vs. COLORADO
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 11 games
olorado is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Colorado is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

mvbski
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Re: AFL Week 14

Sevransky's expert advice on Arena Football
By TED SEVRANSKY

The biggest betting story in the AFL over the past few weeks has been the remarkable run of Unders, particularly in games with the highest totals on the board.

Seven of the eight games in Week 13 went Under the total, the lone exception (Orlando-Dallas) squeaking over by a single score.

Dallas was the only team in the league to eclipse the 60 point barrier, while ten different teams were held below 50. Only one AFL quarterback threw for more than 300 yards last week, a season low.

The trend towards Unders has been particularly noticeable in the games expected to be higher scoring contests, with totals of 110 or higher. In the last three weeks, games with these high totals have gone Under at a 12-2 clip.

The betting marketplace is adjusting on the fly, with only two games (San Jose @ Los Angeles and Utah @ Grand Rapids) totaled at higher than 110 this week, although Arizona-Chicago (109.5) and Tampa Bay-Georgia (108.5) aren’t far away.

Monday Night’s ESPN affair featured a pair of teams headed in opposite directions right now. Three weeks ago, the New Orleans VooDoo were looking at a Southern Division championship and a first round playoff bye. Now the VooDoo are locked in a serious battle just to earn a playoff spot, tied for sixth place in the ultra-competitive National Conference.

Head coach Mike Neu has seen his offense struggle mightily during their three game skid, held under 40 points in each of the losses. Quarterback Danny Wimprine was able to guide his team to only a single touchdown after halftime on Monday Night, against a defense that had allowed 67 points the previous week against New York.

The Georgia Force, on the other hand, is streaking in a positive direction right now, winners of four straight. The key to Georgia’s recent success has been the development of their offensive line. Georgia has allowed only three sacks all season, holding their opponents sack-less nine times in their last ten games.

James Clark, Shane Grice, Ben Nowland and fullback Bruce McClure certainly aren’t household names, even among diehard AFL fans, but that quartet has allowed QB Chris Griesen to attempt his last 243 passes without a sack. Griesen struggled early in the season, but his numbers of late remind many of his performance last year, when he led the league in quarterback efficiency.

During the Force’s four game winning streak, Griesen has thrown 24 touchdown passes with only two interceptions, completing at least 70% of his pass attempts in every ballgame.

This past weekend was full of upsets, with 2-9 Columbus knocking off 6-5 New York and 2-10 Utah pulling off the shocker against 9-2 Chicago. But none of the upsets was bigger than 2-9 Kansas City’s surprise win in Philadelphia as 17.5 point underdogs against the 10-2 Soul. Philly became only the fourth team in AFL history to start 9-0 after their impressive Monday Night domination of Dallas, but they are just 1-3 SU since, 0-4 ATS, losing those four games by a combined 57 points against the spread. The last two defeats were decided on the final play of the game, losses by a combined eight points. It’s worth noting that of the three previous teams to start 9-0 or better, all three reached the Arena Bowl.

Another front line contender for the Arena Bowl championship, the Dallas Desperados, bounced back nicely from their own huge upset loss at home to Arizona the previous week, taking out their frustrations on the Orlando Predators in the Jungle. Tied 28-28 at halftime, Dallas stepped up their defensive intensity after the break, forcing five Predators stops in the second half alone, including a pair of safeties and a net recovery on a kickoff.

Head coach Will McClay: “IF we get a lead, now we’re able to hunt. The pass rushers are able to go; we can mix up some coverages. That’s kind of the recipe that you’ve got to have.”

Desperados QB Clint Dolezel suffered a flare up of his old hip injury that could give him trouble in the weeks to go. Dolezel : “I’ve got a little bone-on-bone in there, and it just got irritated really bad.”

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: AFL Week 14

Sevransky's expert advice on Arena Football
By TED SEVRANSKY

The biggest betting story in the AFL over the past few weeks has been the remarkable run of Unders, particularly in games with the highest totals on the board.

Seven of the eight games in Week 13 went Under the total, the lone exception (Orlando-Dallas) squeaking over by a single score.

Dallas was the only team in the league to eclipse the 60 point barrier, while ten different teams were held below 50. Only one AFL quarterback threw for more than 300 yards last week, a season low.

The trend towards Unders has been particularly noticeable in the games expected to be higher scoring contests, with totals of 110 or higher. In the last three weeks, games with these high totals have gone Under at a 12-2 clip.

The betting marketplace is adjusting on the fly, with only two games (San Jose @ Los Angeles and Utah @ Grand Rapids) totaled at higher than 110 this week, although Arizona-Chicago (109.5) and Tampa Bay-Georgia (108.5) aren’t far away.

Monday Night’s ESPN affair featured a pair of teams headed in opposite directions right now. Three weeks ago, the New Orleans VooDoo were looking at a Southern Division championship and a first round playoff bye. Now the VooDoo are locked in a serious battle just to earn a playoff spot, tied for sixth place in the ultra-competitive National Conference.

Head coach Mike Neu has seen his offense struggle mightily during their three game skid, held under 40 points in each of the losses. Quarterback Danny Wimprine was able to guide his team to only a single touchdown after halftime on Monday Night, against a defense that had allowed 67 points the previous week against New York.

The Georgia Force, on the other hand, is streaking in a positive direction right now, winners of four straight. The key to Georgia’s recent success has been the development of their offensive line. Georgia has allowed only three sacks all season, holding their opponents sack-less nine times in their last ten games.

James Clark, Shane Grice, Ben Nowland and fullback Bruce McClure certainly aren’t household names, even among diehard AFL fans, but that quartet has allowed QB Chris Griesen to attempt his last 243 passes without a sack. Griesen struggled early in the season, but his numbers of late remind many of his performance last year, when he led the league in quarterback efficiency.

During the Force’s four game winning streak, Griesen has thrown 24 touchdown passes with only two interceptions, completing at least 70% of his pass attempts in every ballgame.

This past weekend was full of upsets, with 2-9 Columbus knocking off 6-5 New York and 2-10 Utah pulling off the shocker against 9-2 Chicago. But none of the upsets was bigger than 2-9 Kansas City’s surprise win in Philadelphia as 17.5 point underdogs against the 10-2 Soul. Philly became only the fourth team in AFL history to start 9-0 after their impressive Monday Night domination of Dallas, but they are just 1-3 SU since, 0-4 ATS, losing those four games by a combined 57 points against the spread. The last two defeats were decided on the final play of the game, losses by a combined eight points. It’s worth noting that of the three previous teams to start 9-0 or better, all three reached the Arena Bowl.

Another front line contender for the Arena Bowl championship, the Dallas Desperados, bounced back nicely from their own huge upset loss at home to Arizona the previous week, taking out their frustrations on the Orlando Predators in the Jungle. Tied 28-28 at halftime, Dallas stepped up their defensive intensity after the break, forcing five Predators stops in the second half alone, including a pair of safeties and a net recovery on a kickoff.

Head coach Will McClay: “IF we get a lead, now we’re able to hunt. The pass rushers are able to go; we can mix up some coverages. That’s kind of the recipe that you’ve got to have.”

Desperados QB Clint Dolezel suffered a flare up of his old hip injury that could give him trouble in the weeks to go. Dolezel : “I’ve got a little bone-on-bone in there, and it just got irritated really bad.”

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

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