MLB Trends May 27

MLB Trends May 27

ATSDatabase Winning 80% Club Stats

Here are today's ATS Baseball Stats and Trends for Tuesday, May 27, 2008

When CLEVELAND team played as a Home team - Playing on Tuesday - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a lost in game 1 of a series - Coming off a Loss vs. AL CENTRAL opponent
SU Record: 11-1-0
O/U/P Record: 6-6-0

When ATLANTA team played as a Road team - After a non division game - Playing on Tuesday - Allowed 3 runs or more AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a 1 game win
SU Record: 5-7-0
O/U/P Record: 10-2-0

When NY METS team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite - Coming off a lost in game 1 of a series
SU Record: 7-4-0
O/U/P Record: 8-2-1

When LOS ANGELES team played as a Road team - Vs Conference Opponent - During the month of May - Coming off a Loss vs. NL CENTRAL opponent - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog
SU Record: 8-2-0
O/U/P Record: 8-2-0

When LOS ANGELES team played as a Road team - During the month of May - Vs NL CENTRAL opponent - Coming off a Road loss - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog
SU Record: 8-2-0
O/U/P Record: 7-3-0

When HOUSTON team Played as road team as a Underdog - During a night game - During the 2008 season
SU Record: 7-5-0
O/U/P Record: 2-10-0

When NY METS team played as a -180 to -200 home Favorite - After a conference game - During a night game
SU Record: 12-9-0
O/U/P Record: 3-18-0

When NY METS team played as a -180 to -200 home Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - During a night game
SU Record: 11-9-0
O/U/P Record: 3-17-0

When CINCINNATI team played as a -140 to -160 home Favorite - During the month of May - Vs Division Opponent
SU Record: 9-3-0
O/U/P Record: 9-2-1

When CHICAGO CUBS team played as a home team - During the 2008 season - Before a non division game
SU Record: 9-1-0
O/U/P Record: 5-5-0

When CHICAGO CUBS team played as a home team - During the 2008 season - Vs Non Division Opponent
SU Record: 9-1-0
O/U/P Record: 4-6-0

When PHILADELPHIA team played as a -160 to -180 home Favorite - Last 5 years - 2nd game of a series
SU Record: 13-3-0
O/U/P Record: 8-8-0

NY METS When ANY MLB Team played as a -180 to -200 Home Favorite - Playing on Tuesday - 2nd game of a series - Coming off a night game - Coming off 1 over
SU Record: 18-4-0
O/U/P Record: 13-9-0

MILWAUKEE When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Underdog - During a night game - Playing on Tuesday - Vs NL EAST opponent - Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher - Coming off a Road win
SU Record: 9-6-0
O/U/P Record: 12-3-0

ST LOUIS When ANY MLB Team played as a Home team - During the 2008 season - Playing on Tuesday - During the month of May - Coming off a day game
SU Record: 13-3-0
O/U/P Record: 5-10-1

ARIZONA When ANY MLB Team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite - Vs NL WEST opponent - During a night game - Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher - Coming off a 4 run lost
SU Record: 14-3-0
O/U/P Record: 8-8-1

WASHINGTON When ANY MLB Team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Playing on Tuesday - Coming off vs. National League opponent - Before a conference game - Allowed 4 runs or less AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a 7 Game Home Stand - Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher
SU Record: 12-9-0
O/U/P Record: 17-3-1

CHI WHITE SOX When ANY MLB Team played as a 100 to 120 Road Underdog - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a 2 game winning streak - Coming off a Road win as a Underdog
SU Record: 6-12-0
O/U/P Record: 3-15-0

PHILADELPHIA When ANY MLB Team played as a -160 to -180 Home Favorite - Last 5 years - 2nd game of a series - Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher - Coming off a 2 game over
SU Record: 22-4-0
O/U/P Record: 10-13-3

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Re: MLB Trends May 27

Hot Pitchers
-- Phillies won six of last seven Kendrick starts.
-- Kuroda is 1-1, 3.15 in his last three starts.
-- Miller is 3-1, 2.16 in his last four starts.
-- Braves won four of last five Hudson starts. Mets won six of last seven JSantana starts.
-- Arizona won five of six Haren home starts. Lincecum is 2-0 in his last three starts, with a 3.15 RA.

-- Burres is 1-0, 1.88 in his last couple of starts.
-- Buehrle is 2-0, 1.32 in his last couple of starts. Laffey is 2-2 in his last four starts, with a 1.29 RA.
-- Rays won six of last seven Sonnanstine starts. Texas won the last six Padilla starts, scoring 40 runs.
-- Red Sox are 10-0 this season when Matsuzaka starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Colorado lost all six Jimenez road starts.
-- Cueto is 1-5, 7.65 in his last eight starts. Snell is 0-3, 5.67 in his last seven starts.
-- Gallagher is 1-1, 6.00 in three starts this season.
-- Bush is 1-4, 6.47 in seven starts this season.
-- Chacon has 6.99 RA in his last five starts. Looper has 4.97 RA in his last four starts.
-- Wolf is 1-4, 6.48 in his last six starts. Hill has 5.19 RA in his last three starts.

-- Kennedy is 0-3, 7.39 in seven starts this season.
-- Bannister is 1-6, 7.02 in his last seven starts. Twins lost four of five Blackburn road starts.
-- Smith is 0-4, 3.41 in his last five starts; A's scored seven runs in those five games. Burnett is 4.50 in his last four starts.
-- Bonderman is 1-2, 5.73 in his last four starts. ESantana is 0-2, 6.62 in his last three starts.
-- Batista is 1-3, 11.25 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies scored 35 runs in winning their last two games.
-- Cubs won nine of last eleven home games.
-- Pirates won three of their last four games.
-- Marlins won three in row, six of their last seven games.
-- Astros won seven of their last ten road games. Cardinals are 6-2 in their last eight games.
-- Nationals are 5-3 in their last eight road games.

-- Bronx won five of its last six games.
-- White Sox won ten of last twelve games.
-- Rays won sixteen of last seventeen home games.
-- Toronto won eleven of its last fourteen games. A's won four games in row, allowing total of seven runs.
-- Angels won six of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Rockies are 5-10 in their last fifteen games.
-- Dodgers scored six runs in losing three of last four games.
-- Reds had 2-5 road trip last week, but they've won seven home games in a row.
-- Mets are 5-11 in their last sixteen games.
-- Braves won seven of last nine games, but are 2-9 in their last eleven road games. Brewers are 3-8 in game after last 11 wins.
-- Arizona lost five of its last seven games, but they won six of last seven home games. Giants lost seven of last ten on road.
-- Padres are 6-11 in their last seventeen games.

-- Indians lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Royals lost last eight games, allowing 49 runs. Twins are 5-9 in their last fourteen road games.
-- Orioles lost five of their last six games.
-- Tigers lost three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox lost eight of their last ten road games. Mariners lost last seven games, allowing 66 runs.

Totals
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Phillies' home games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Cubs' last eight games.
-- Over is 17-6-1 in Pittsburgh road games this season.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Florida road games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Atlanta road games.
-- Under is 7-2 in Houston's last nine games.
-- Seven of last ten Arizona games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Washington games.

-- Last six Bronx road games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 14 Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Kansas City games.
-- Three of last four Oakland games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Detroit road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Boston road games.

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Re: MLB Trends May 27

Trend Sheet

7:05 PM CHI WHITE SOX vs. CLEVELAND
Chi White Sox are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox


7:05 PM COLORADO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado


7:05 PM LA DODGERS vs. CHI CUBS
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home
Chi Cubs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games


7:05 PM NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games


7:10 PM FLORIDA vs. NY METS
Florida is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets are 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games


7:10 PM PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Pittsburgh's last 20 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games


7:10 PM TEXAS vs. TAMPA BAY
Texas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games at home


8:05 PM ATLANTA vs. MILWAUKEE
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 18 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games


8:10 PM MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Kansas City's last 25 games at home


8:15 PM HOUSTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston


9:40 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
San Francisco is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Arizona is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco


10:05 PM DETROIT vs. LA ANGELS
Detroit is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games


10:05 PM TORONTO vs. OAKLAND
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games at home


10:05 PM WASHINGTON vs. SAN DIEGO
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Washington's last 25 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games


10:10 PM BOSTON vs. SEATTLE
Boston is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Seattle
Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Seattle is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Boston
Seattle is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Boston

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Re: MLB Trends May 27

Tips and Trends

Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs [ESPN | 7:05 PM ET]

Dodgers: After four straight no-decisions, Hiroki Kuroda is 1-1 in his last two starts. Kuroda has actually pitched pretty well in his last three outings, allowing seven runs in 21 innings. This is Kuroda's sixth start on the road where he hasn't had much success going 1-3, although he does possess a 3.09 ERA away from Dodger Stadium. The UNDER has been a money making proposition with Kuroda on the mound, cashing in seven of his 10 starts this season.

Dodgers are 13-7 in the last 20 meetings at Chicago.
The UNDER is 7-3 in LA's last 10 games following a loss.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Cubs (-110): Sean Gallagher will be making his fourth start of the season on Tuesday after giving up 10 runs in 14.2 innings pitched during his first three. Gallagher won his only start at Wrigley Field this year, giving up just one run in a 7-4 victory over the Pirates. Gallagher has only experienced two innings of work against the Dodgers in his career but they didn't go well, leaving him with a 13.50 ERA and 2.50 WHIP.

Cubs are 20-6 in their last 26 home games.
The UNDER is 20-8-2 in Chicago's last 30 Tuesday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5


Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers [8:10 PM ET]

Braves (-145, O/U 8.5): Tim Hudson has been a monster for the Braves this year, going 7-3 with a 2.97 ERA and winning four of his last five starts. Hudson has given up two runs or less in six starts this season. The veteran is 2-2 in five starts on the road, although he's pitched well sporting a 3.21 ERA and 0.93 WHIP away from Turner Field. The UNDER has been a smart investment in games with Hudson on the mound, cashing in his last six starts.

Braves are 7-2 in their last 9 games overall.
The UNDER is 8-0 in Atlanta's last 8 Tuesday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Brewers: Dave Bush has only won one game on the season and Milwaukee has lost six of his eight starts overall. Bush has given up at least five runs in five starts this season, including three of his last four. Not surprisingly, the over has cashed the last three times Bush has taken the hill. Pitching at home hasn't been much of an advantage for Bush, as he's gone 1-1 with a 4.67 ERA there.

Brewers are 9-2 in their last 11 Tuesday games.
Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 games following a win.
The OVER is 6-2-1 in Milwaukee's last 9 games following a win.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 3


Detroit Tigers at Los Angeles Angels [10:05 PM ET]

Tigers: The Tigers ended a three-game losing streak with Jeremy Bonderman on the mound when they recorded a 9-2 victory over Seattle last week. In that game, Bonderman went six strong innings, allowing just two runs. As bad the Tigers starting rotation has been in 2008, Bonderman has actually performed pretty well, allowing three runs or less in six starts. Bonderman has been tough on the road, going 2-1 with 3.04 ERA. Four of the last five games Bonderman has started came in UNDER the total.

Tigers are 1-9 in their last 10 road games.
Tigers are 1-7 in their last 8 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Angels (-135, O/U 9): Ervin Santana couldn't do anything wrong during the first month of the season but things have changed for him in his last three starts, all Angels losses. After allowing 12 runs in his first seven appearances, Santana has given up 13 runs over his last 17.1 innings pitched. Even with his recent struggles, six of Santana's last seven starts have gone UNDER.

Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 games overall.
The UNDER is 10-1 in LA's last 11 games following a win.
The UNDER is 20-6 in LA's last 26 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)

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