SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Alex Smart
Texas Rangers -130

The Texas Rangers are playing some great ball at the moment winning 13 of their L/17 games and have an opportunity for their first sweep of the season, this Sunday as they face, Houston Astros hurler Brandon Backe . It must be noted that the Astros are 0-5 in Backes last 5 interleague starts and are 0-4 in his 5 away starts this season.The Rangers starting pitcher Kason Gabbard has seen his team win 9 straight home starts. With that said lets play on the red hot Rangers to bring home the dough! Play on the Rangers

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LT Profits

Tampa Bay Rays -105

The Tampa Bay Rays and the St. Louis Cardinals have split the first two games of this series, but we look for the Rays to take this rubber match with the hot Edwin Jackson on the mound.

Tampa Bay has been criticized in recent years for continually pitching Jackson every five days and watching him get rocked, but to their credit, their patience with him is bearing fruit this season. Jackson may be just 2-3 personally, but he has a nice 3.47 ERA in 49.1 innings, and the Rays as a team are 5-3 in his starts. Most importantly, he has allowed one run or less in five of his starts, and he is working on an impressive streak of 15 consecutive scoreless innings over his last two outings, allowing just 11 hits in the process.

Also, this will be Jackson’s first career start vs. the Cardinals, so he should be doubly tough on a Cardinals lineup that has never faced him before. If he is in need of relief for whatever reason, he has the support of a Tampa Bay bullpen that ranks third in the American League with a 3.17 ERA, making the Rays one of our Bullpen System plays here. This system is now 39-37, +5.07 units so far this year after averaging +97 units the last three seasons.

The Cardinals are starting Kyle Lohse, who has regressed quickly after an abnormally great start to the season. Lohse allowed two runs or less in five of his first six starts, but he is now returning to his normal level with a bloated 10.06 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in his last three outings. Also, the St. Louis bullpen has been anything but reliable which it proved again yesterday. The Cardinals have a bullpen ERA of 4.33, ranking 24th in the league.

The Rays are still 8-2 in their last 10 games even with yesterday’s loss, and we look for them to get back on the winning track behind Jackson and the pen this afternoon.

Pick: Rays -105


Pittsburgh Pirates +150

The Pittsburgh Pirates have suddenly gone 9-3 in their last 12 games, and they get the call at this excellent price today vs. the shaky Jason Marquis and the Chicago Cubs.

Marquis is 1-3 with a poor 5.26 ERA and 1.73 WHIP for the season, and in a year where Chicago is nine games over .500 at 26-17, they are just 3-4 in the games that Marquis has started. As if that is not bad enough, has is not getting any better, instead posting an ugly 7.88 ERA and a hideous 2.06 WHIP while going 0-3 in his last three starts. He has also allowed 14 earned runs over 13.1 innings in his last three career starts vs. the normally light-hitting Pirates.

Pittsburgh is playing good ball, and today’s starter Phil Dumatrait has been serviceable in his three starts so far. The Bucs are 3-0 when he has taken the hill, and he is coming off of probably the best start of his brief career, as he allowed three runs on only four hits in six innings in an 8-4 win at St. Louis.

The Pirates must feel good about snapping a 10-game losing streak to the Cubs by beating Carlos Zambrano here yesterday, and we now look for them to make it two wins in a row, again at a big price.

Pick: Pirates +150

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Tony Karpinski

Tampa Bay Rays vs. St Louis Cardinals    
Play: Tampa Bay Rays   

Tampa Bay Rays Edwin Jackson has been pitching well but hasn’t received a win in his last two starts. That despite allowing no runs in 15 innings of work in his most recent two outings. That changes this afternoon as Jackson will handcuff these inconsistent hitting Cardinals, losers of eight of their last 11 games, as the Rays take this rubber game at Busch. Too much speed on the bases and the Rays get the win.

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Nelly

Cleveland (Lee) – over Cincinnati (Volquez)

Cliff Lee has been as dominant as a pitcher could possibly be through the first six weeks of the season. The run won’t last all season but given that he plays for a good team Lee should be backed until the trends reverse or the value disappears. In this match-up the Indians play as just slight favorites over a hot Reds team but the overall body of work strongly favors the Indians. Edinson Volquez has great numbers on the season which contributes to the low line today but he does walk a significant amount of hitters and the Tribe will have more familiarity with him than most NL teams have had as Volquez has pitched with Texas the last three years. Volquez has good stuff but his numbers are more likely to be a hot early fluke than Lee’s. Cincinnati has won five straight games but they have seen some good fortune and that success is not likely to continue.

Tom Freese

Detroit at Arizona

Arizona is 7-1 OVER off a loss and they are 14-3-2 OVER their last 19 Interleague home games vs. losing teams. The Diamondbacks are 4-0-1 OVER the last 5 home starts made by Randy Johnson. Detroit is 10-1 OVER vs. a team that 2 runs or less in their last game and they are 4-0 OVER in Game 3 of a series. The Tigers are 7-0 OVER with Nate Robertson vs. a team that scored 2 or less runs in their runs in their last game. PLAY ON 'OVER' Johnson vs. Robertson


Jorge Gonzalez

The Angels have owned the Dodgers in inter league play on their home field having won nine of their last 11 games. The Dodgers had to juggle their starting rotation to give Brad Penny a day because of stiffness in his arm. Derek Lowe will have to start on one day less rest. That will be good news for the Angels. Lowe has struggled lately with a record of 0-2 with a 7.59 ERA in four starts since beating Arizona on April 23. Pitchers Jered Weaver has fared well against the Dodgers with a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 1.50. Take the Angels to bounce back here with a win over the Dodgers.

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Ben Burns

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners
Prediction: Seattle Mariners

The Mariners have been one of the few teams that have hurt me this season, providing me with more losing tickets than winning ones. Behind a big game from Bedard, they won for me yesterday though and I feel that they're ready to turn things around. The Mariners should certainly enjoy a significant advantage on the mound on what promises to be a beautiful afternoon in the Pacific Northwest. After yesterday's win, outfielder Raul Ibanez, who has an eight-game hitting streak, summarized the upbeat mood of the team by saying: "I think this team is ready to break out. I think this is the time. I've actually felt that way for a few games. I feel like it's right there." In addition to getting some key clutch hits yesterday, the Mariners continued to be encouraged by what they see from closer J.J Putz. Last season, Putz had a 1.88 ERA and 40 saves. He was shaky and/or hurt for most of the early part of this season though, contributing to Seattle's problems. However, he's now delivered five consecutive scoreless outings, giving the team the confidence that they can begin to rely on him again.

While it seems like he's been around for a long time, Felix Hernandez still only just turned 23 six weeks ago. Hernndez has a 3.37 ERA on the season and despite some recent struggles, he remains one of the bright young pitching stars of the American League.

Conversely, Shawn Estes is 35 and clearly on the downside of his career. Yes, he did win his last start. However, that was his first victory in years and a 1.501 WHIP with only two K's, shows he was mediocre, at best. Note that Estes has had to battle back from major elbow surgery and that he began this year in the minors. Additionally, note that he's 0-2 with a poor 5.28 ERA and a horrific 2.348 WHIP in three career starts vs. Seattle, most recently walking seven batters in six innings in a loss here in 2001. Estes is supported by a San Diego bullpen which has struggled on the road (4.82 ERA and 1.594 WHIP heading into weekend) and by a lineup which has scored the fewest runs in the entire major leagues. With the Mariners now at 24-14 (+10.4) in Interleague play the past three seasons, let's "lay the wood."

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LARRY NESS

Oakland Athletics @ Atlanta Braves
PICK: Atlanta Braves

REASON FOR PICK: The A's used a solo HR from Jack Cust and a three-run HR from Ryan Sweeney to end a four-game losing streak on Saturday, beating the Braves 5-4. The A's bats had been very silent during their four-game slide, scoring a total of just four runs with only three extra-base hits. They'll get to face Jo-Jo Reyes of Atlanta today and while Reyes allowed 11 hits and five ERs in his last outing (6.2 innings), he is a lefty and the A's are 7-9 vs left-handed starters this year. The 7-9 part is not so terrible but they've averaged just 3.1 RPG in those 16 games. What's more, they are 0-3 in day road games vs lefties, totaling just four runs (1.3 per!). That's hardly good news when one considers that the Braves are a ML-best 15-5 at home this year, averaging 5.85 RPG. Justin Duchscherer will get the start for Oakland and so far, his move into the starting rotation has looked to be a smart one. All 188 of his appearances the last four years with Oakland had been out of the bullpen but his only appearances this year have been as a starter. He's made five starts and while he did give up six runs in a game at Anaheim on May 1, FIVE of those runs were unearned. A look at his stat sheet reveals he's allowed a total of just seven ERs all season, for a 2.20 ERA. However, as mentioned earlier, the Braves are an excellent home team and despite yesterday's 5-4 loss, are 9-2 vs right-handed starters at home in '08, including a perfect 4-0 mark in day games, averaging 8.8 RPG. I don't expect the right-handed Duchscherer to IMPROVE on his ERA in this one. Take the Braves.

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Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Stevie Y

Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds
Play: Under   

We find that both pitchers are just thowing flat out phenomenal & we find these teams bats silent right now especially the Cleve Indians...Looking at Cliff Lee's last starts he has gone 22+ inning allowed only 21 hits and has a 1.23 ERA on the flip side Volquez's last 3 starts hes gone 19 innings allowing 15 hits with a 0.95 ERA we find these two pitchers on fire here and stevie y on the UNDER

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Sportsbettingstats

New York Mets at New York Yankees

In yesterday's game between these two teams from the Big Apple the Mets beat the Yankees 7-4. This is the 3rd game of a 3 game series with the first game postponed and the Mets winning game 2. There are grumblings in New York for both teams, especially the Yankees right now, who have lost 2 in a row, are 3-7 in their last 10 games, and are in last place in the AL East. The Mets are 5-5 in their last 10 games and in 3rd place in the NL East, but they are hovering around .500 and Mets fans expected more from this team, which is favored to win the division. Taking the mound for the Yankees is Chien-Ming Wang (6-1 2.90 ERA), who has been the ace of the staff so far this year and will try to end the slump of the Bronx Bombers. Wang has been great this year and in his last outing went 7 innings giving up 1 earned run in a no decision. In yesterday's game the Yankees scored 4 runs on 9 hits and left 5 men on base. Derek Jeter, Jason Giambi, and Bobby Abreu all homered for the Yanks in the loss. Taking the mound for the Mets is Oliver Perez (3-3 4.61 ERA), who has pitched decent this year and in his last outing went 6 innings giving up 3 earned runs on the win. In yesterday's win the Mets scored 7 runs on 13 hits and left 9 men on base. Jose Reyes and David Wright homered for the Mets in the game.

Staff Pick: In this game the pitching match up has to go to the Yankees, who have their ace starting the game. It could not be a better time for Wang to take the mound, as the Yanks are in a tailspin and now 5 games back of the first place Rays in the AL East. This big inter-league game is one that both teams need to win, as both team's fans are letting their teams know they are not happy with how they are playing. The big bat in the Mets lineup is David Wright, who is batting .324 with eight RBIs in his last 9 games and is 4th in the NL in RBI's (34), but is 0-4 life time against Wang. The Yankees are hitting home runs, but captain Derek Jeter said after yesterday's loss, "We hit the three home runs, that was about it. We need to get some things going." The crowd will be rowdy for this game, but if Wang has pitched like he has for the season the Yankees will have a great chance to win. Look for Wang to have another strong outing and for the Yankees to end their 2 game losing streak and beat the cross-town Mets.

Yankees 8 Mets 2

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MONEY LOCK OF THE DAY


DIGGER'S PICK

TAKE THE INDIANS -115


JUNIOR'S PICK

CHICAGO WHITE SOX -110

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Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

TONY MATTHEWS

15 Stars: Cleveland/Boston Over 173.5

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WUNDERDOG

Game: Cleveland at Cincinnati
Pick: Cincinnati +108

We were on the Reds yesterday on both the moneyline and -1.5 runline and they came through. As they go for the sweep today, we like them again when they face Cliff Lee. Lee has been outstanding with a spotless 6-0 record and 0.67 ERA. He's gotten 11 strikeouts for every walk. So why do we like the Reds here? Well, they are at home and sport their own ace in Edinson Volquez who is 6-1 with a 1.12 ERA. He hasn't allowed more than one earned run in any start and has posted 57 strikeouts already. Backing up Volquez is a Reds pen that has posted a 2.88 ERA at home this season. And, of course, baseball is not just about pitching. The Indians are managing just 4.2 runs per game (3.9 per game on the road and 2.6 per game over their last seven). We'll take the hot home team with their ace on the mound in a live dog role.

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Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Brian Marshall

Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds

Plays On: Cleveland/Cincinnati Under 7.5

Game Analyses: Sunday's MLB game between the Cleveland Indians and Cincinnati Reds will feature two pitchers who have been pitching very good this season.

The Cleveland Indians will be lead by starting pitcher Cliff Lee. Cliff Lee is having a great season. In fact, Cliff Lee is a Perfect 6-0 with a 0.67 ERA this season. We see Cliff Lee giving up very few hits and runs today.

The Cincinnati Reds will be lead by starting pitcher Edinson Volquez. Edinson Volquez is also having a great season. In fact, Edinson Volquez is 6-1 with a 1.12 ERA this season. In addition, Edinson Volquez has a 0.95 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Edinson Volquez giving up very few hits and runs today.

These teams have a history of playing low-scoring games when they meet. In fact, the Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams.

Take the Cleveland Indians/Cincinnati Reds Under 7.5

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MTi

4-Star Cleveland at Boston UNDER 174

Every single possession matters in a game seven. These two will pass it around looking for the best shot. The defense will be brutal on both ends of the floor. The final of the first game of this series was 76-72 and game six was decided by a final of 74-69. These two have proven that there's a lot of room under 177, and that's the way to go here.

As evidence, Boston is 0-18-1 OU when they held their previous opponent to fewer than 80 points, as long as they are not laying more than double-digits - including two double-digit unders this playoffs. In addition, the Celtics are 0-9 OU (-14.2 ppg) as a favorite of less than 14 points after a game on the road in which more than 70% of their baskets were assisted.

In game six, the Celtics actually made more baskets than the Cavs, but lost due to a large disparity from the free throw line. This strongly points to the UNDER here.

Cleveland is 3-23 OU after a win in which they made fewer baskets than their opponent - including 0-5 OU their last five. The last over in this situation came in the 2007 playoffs when the Cavs and Pistons went into double OT in game 5. The over before that came on March 23rd 2003 when the Cavs and Magic went into overtime tied at 97 with the total at 196. We should avoid the overtime here.

The player-based trends cememt this as a solid play. The Cavs are 0-4 OU (-15.0 ppg) as a road dog after winning the previous matchup in which Lebron James played more than 45 minutes and 0-7 OU (-13.6 ppg) on the road after a win in which Aleksandar Pavlovic had more turnovers than assists.

For the Celtics, we note that they are 0-6 OU (-8.0 ppg) when seeking revenge for a road loss in which Paul Pierce had at least 5 turnovers and 0-5 OU (-24.4 ppg) after a loss on the road in which Rajon Rondo took fewer than 10 shots - including 0-4 last season.
The UNDER is the side on which to be here.

MTi's FORECAST: BOSTON 86 Cleveland 73

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FRANK ROSENTHAL

NBA PLAYOFFS
CELTICS-7 SB+
UNDER 175.5 SB+


MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
KC-105 SB
TRIBE-115 SB
PHILLY OVER 9 SB+
TWINS+135 SB
DODGERS+115 SB
GIANTS+105 SB
NYM+155 SB

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AAA Sports Handicapping

Chicago White Sox at San Francisco Giants Under 8 (Danks/Cain) -115

Note: This is not the WhiteSox of old as they have turned to pitching to give them wins this year. It certainly is not because of their hitting skills which has been down once again for the 2008 campaign. They are getting outstanding work with both their starters and their Pen though. In fact, they have the third lowest ERA in the majors at 3.65. The Bullpen alone has an ERA of Under 2 runs over the last 10 games. Their starter for today has been nothing but Magic, currently ranked within the Top 10 throwers in his league. Danks possesses great ratios and the combination of his times on the mound and his team's offense, has resulted in 7 of his 8 games going UNDER this posted mark. The Giants are one of the premier hitting squads in baseball today and while they have hit Southpaws better than righties, they have seldom faced one as good as Danks is throwing. Danks pitched 6 1/3 scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday, allowing seven hits while striking out five in a 2-0 loss. Chicago failed to provide him with any run support for the third time in his last four starts. That is the way things are going for Chicago and one reason why they are 17-9 UNDER playing away from home. Meanwhile Cain is starting to get back to form at 2-1 with a 2.67 ERA in his last five starts. Cain pitched a season-high eight innings on Tuesday against Houston, allowing two runs and seven hits in the 4-2 win. In those last 5 he is 4-1 UNDER the mark and the only one going over being a 9 run affair with Pitt. We do have two good throwers today and we do have a less than stellar hitting lineup for both teams. We have already seen 2 runs and 4 runs in the first two of this series, the Sox are 5-0 UNDER their last 5, the Giants are 3-1-1 their last 5. When handicapping Major League Baseball Totals, it is important to do so based on how many runs it will take to beat you. In this case it will take 9 and that is not going to happen often with at least one of these guys more than likely giving us a good effort. That is probably all that we are going to need.

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DAVE MALINSKY 4*

Detroit Tigers @ Arizona Diamondbacks
PICK: Detroit Tigers

The Detroit Tigers got a win that they needed in the worst way last night. We think they can get another against Randy Johnson, and the fact that they are underdogs in this setting gets us in play.

Johnson’s 3-1 individual W/L mark is one of the biggest flukes of this baseball season. He has allowed 24 runs in 31.2 innings, 19 earned, and is merely a shell of what he once was. An even better indicator is his last three starts, were he has worked to an 8.40 tune over 15 innings, allowing 24 hits, four of which left the park. Yet he went 2-0 in those games, and Arizona won the no-decision. Keep winning, and your reputation does not take such a huge hit, but a pendulum swinging like that begs for a reversal, and note that as bad as Johnson statistics appear, he has been most fortunate in terms of scheduling - there are 74 National League pitchers that have worked at least 30 innings so far; Johnson’s difficulty of batters faced checks in at #72 (as always, we use On Base + Slugging as the barometer). There is little that he can show the veteran Tiger lineup that they have not seen before, and the way that they have been mashing left-handers should continue.

We have dealt before with the anomalies in Nate Robertson’s statistics so far this season - despite being right around his career levels in all key peripheral categories he sits at 1-4/6.04, but that suits our purposes just fine - it helps us to be able to play in an underdog price range. He is not a super talent, but over time will get his base ERA will revert back near the 4.34 level that he worked over 583 innings in the last three seasons prior to this one. And with only Orlando Hudson and Chris Burke having faced him before, he carries the usual advantages of a left-hander against an opponent getting a first look.

Keep in mind that while the Diamondbacks are 27-16 so far, that breaks down to 20-5 against N.L. West opponents, but just 7-11 against all others, including 2-8 against non-division opponents without Brandon Webb or Danny Haren on the hill. Plenty of value here on a day in which we are backing the Tigers at the right time.

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Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Jimmy The Moose

Game: San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners
Prediction: Seattle Mariners

The Padres are 8-18 on the road. San Diego is 5-16 in their last 21 games as an underdog. In their last 17 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record the Padres are 5-12. The Mariners are 10-3 in their last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. Seattle is 20-8 in their last 28 interleague home games. The Padres are 3-7 in their last 10 trips to Seattle. San Diesgo has lost 4 of the last 5 meetings overall. Play on the Seattle Mariners -.

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Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Maddux Sports

Cleveland +8


Jack Clayton

Indians


Global Sports Picks

WHITE SOX -110


TheLockline

Blue Jays


Totals4u

Nym/Nyy Over


Vegas Steamline

Indians


Easy Money Sports

Giants


ARTHUR RALPH

LA Angels


Scott Spreitzer

Nationals


Dark Horse Sports

Brewers


Joe Wiz

Giants
Angels


Platinum Plays

Royals


Glen Mcgrew

Chisox/ SF Under


Computer Sports

Phillies


Bob Donahue

Tigers

Huddle Up Sports

Orioles


Razor Sharp Sports

Oakland


Redzone Sports

Flyers


Mike Wynn

DRays


Ross Benjamin

Tigers/ DBacks Over


2-Minute Warning

Boston Celtics


The Scout

Rangers


Consensus America

Blue Jays


#1 Sports

Mets


Armvin Sports

Atlanta Braves -115


Play By Play Inc.

CLEVELAND/BOSTON Over


MIGHTY QUINN

Royals


Greg Shaker

Chisox/SF Under


DARK HORSE

Milwaukee


HUDDLE UP

Baltimore -125


SuperSportsPix

Cavaliers +8


TRACE ADAMS

Cleveland-Boston UNDER


Stevie Y

Cle/Cincy Under


Fast Eddie

Cetics -8
Reds +110


PlusLineSports

Boston Red Socks -1.5


Nick Parsons
Flyers + 1.5 Goals


Charlie Sports

Philles


MustWinSportsPicks

Indians


Templer's Sports Picks

CUBS


floridabookybusters    

Philadelphia/Pittsburgh Under 5.5


Frank Patron

Ny Yankees


Paul Leiner

10* Yankees -160


Vernon Croy

Orioles


Vegas Insider Capping

Cavs/ Celtics Over

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Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections

500,000 UNIT BASEBALL COMPUTER CRUSHER WINNER
Chicago Cubs w/Marquis -160

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Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Cavs +8 over Celtics
It seems as if the NBA is scripted now of days. You have the face of the NBA in LeBron James playing in a game seven. The NBA wants so badly for the Cavs to win a title. If you look at game six you would see that there was no way the Celtics were going to win that game. Every call went against them. Cleveland also goes to the line a lot more than the Celtics. In a game seven situation you have to figure they will knock down their foul shots a lot better. I just think it is bad for the NBA to see King James get crushed and not make it a close game seven. He is their most marketed player. Take the Cavs


Major League Baseball
Whitesox/Giants Over 8.5 runs
Danks/Cain

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