SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE

(4) Cleveland (7-5 SU, 9-3 ATS) at (1) Boston (7-6, 5-8 ATS)

For the second time in two weeks, the top-seeded Celtics will try to fend off elimination in a Game 7 on their home floor when they battle the defending Eastern Conference champion Cavaliers in a win-or-go-home showdown at the TD Banknorth Garden.

Cleveland prolonged its season for at least one more game with Friday’s ugly 74-69 victory at home, cashing as a three-point chalk as the home team remained perfect in this series. LeBron James had 32 points, 12 rebounds and six assists for the Cavs, who shot just 33 percent from the field but had a 45-37 edge on the boards, including 16-7 on the offensive glass.

While the home team has won all six games in this series, the host is 4-2 ATS, with the Celtics going 1-2 ATS in Boston. In fact, Cleveland has covered the number in five of the six battles, including the last four in a row. Meanwhile, going back to their opening-round, seven-game series against the Hawks, the Celtics are mired in a 4-8 ATS slump.

The teams have now split their 10 meetings this year, with the host winning all 10 and Cleveland going 8-2 ATS, including 4-1 ATS in Boston. Finally, the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five after the underdog had been on an 8-0-1 ATS tear in this rivalry.

Both squads have contributed to a staggering overall statistic in the second round of this year’s playoffs: The home team is an eye-popping 21-2 SU and 16-6-1 ATS, with Detroit and Los Angeles – the only teams so far to have advanced to the conference finals – the only teams to post a road win.

The Celtics have history on their side in this one, as they’re 28-0 SU all-time in the postseason when they have had a 3-2 series lead. They’re also 15-3 SU all-time in Game 7s.

Doc Rivers’ Celtics are 7-0 on their home floor in the postseason (5-2 ATS), and going back to the regular season they’ve cashed in 11 of their last 13 at the Garden (the only two non-covers coming against the Cavs in Games 1 and 5 of this series. Boston is also 5-1 ATS in its last six on Sundays and 13-3 ATS in its last 16 after being held to less than 75 points in its previous game. On the downside, the C’s are in the midst of ATS downturns of 1-5 on one day of rest and 1-8 in conference semifinal games.

Although the Cavs have gotten the money in their last two games, they’re still just 8-17 in their last 25 after a spread-cover. They’re also just 7-15 ATS in their last 22 contests after posting less than 75 points in their previous game. On the bright side, Mike Brown’s squad is on pointspread streaks of 4-0 when going on one day of rest and 4-1 on the highway.

Friday’s game never came close to touching the 179-point posted total, making the under 4-2 in this series (2-1 in Boston). Also, for the Celtics, the under is on runs of 5-2 overall, 8-3 at home, 16-6 against the Central Division, 4-0 on Sundays, 4-1 after a non-cover and 11-3 against teams with a losing road record. For Cleveland, the under is on a bevy of streaks, including 13-5 overall, 14-3 in conference semis, 13-5 on one day of rest, 8-2 against the Atlantic Division and 47-23 on Sundays.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER


INTERLEAGUE

L.A. Dodgers (22-20) at L.A. Angels (25-20)

Derek Lowe (2-3, 4.62 ERA) tries to notch his first quality start in more than a month when he leads the Dodgers against the Angels’ Jered Weaver (2-5, 4.86) in the rubber match of this three-game Freeway Series at Angel Stadium.

The Angels won Friday’s series-opener 4-2, but the Dodgers came back on Saturday and posted a 6-3 upset victory, snapping a six-game losing streak to their regional rivals. The Dodgers are stil just 3-6 in their last nine, which comes on the heels of a 10-1 hot streak. Additionally, they’re mired in slumps of 1-4 on Sundays, 2-5 against right-handed starters and 2-5 against winning teams.

The Angels are just 3-7 in their last 10 contests, but they’re 5-3 in their last eight at home and 15-7 in Weaver’s last 22 home starts.

Despite Saturday’s defeat, the Halos are still 8-2 in the last 10 meetings against the Dodgers, with all eight being multi-run victories. Also, Mike Scioscia’s club has won 18 of the last 24 battles in Anaheim, including the last six of the last seven. Finally, when it comes to interleague play, the Angels have shined, going 21-9 in their last 30 overall and 11-2 in their last 13 versus the N.L. at home, while the Dodgers have floundered against the A.L., posting negative Interleague runs of 18-35 overall and 5-24 on the road. Joe Torre’s club is also just 11-25 in its last 36 against the A.L. West.

Lowe gave up four runs on six hits in six innings on Wednesday in Milwaukee, but his team rallied in the ninth inning for a 6-4 victory, getting the veteran right-hander off the hook. Still, Lowe is 0-2 with an 8.27 ERA over his last three starts, and he’s gone six straight outings without a quality start (at least six innings pitched and three earned runs allowed or less).

Lowe is 0-2 with a 5.47 ERA in five road starts, with the Dodgers averaging just 3.8 runs per game in those contests. Against the Angels in his career, he’s 6-5 with a 2.86 ERA in 27 appearances (11 starts), and he’s allowed three earned runs or fewer while pitching at least seven innings in each of the last six against the Halos.

Weaver bounced back from his worst start of the season – a 9-4 loss in Kansas City in which he gave up eight runs in 3 1/3 innings – and dominated the White Sox on Tuesday, allowing just a single hit and two walks in seven scoreless innings, winning 2-0. With that effort, Weaver improved to 1-2 with a 2.00 ERA in four home starts. However, the Angels are just 3-6 in the right-hander’s nine trips to the hill in 2008.

Weaver’s only two starts against the Dodgers came last year, and he was brilliant in both, giving up a combined two runs on nine hits in 12 innings, winning 6-2 at home and 3-0 on the road.

The under is 7-0-1 in Lowe’s last eight starts against the Angels (3-0 in Anaheim), 5-0-1 in his last six against the A.L. West and 4-0 in his last four interleague outings. Meanwhile, the under is 6-3 in Weaver’s nine starts this season, including 4-0 at home.

The under is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings between these rivals overall (2-0 this weekend), 9-2-1 in the last 12 clashes at Angel Stadium, 5-0 in the Angels’ last five overall, 5-0 in the Angels’ last five at home 11-2 in the Dodgers’ last 13 on Sundays and 37-17-3 in the Dodgers’ last 56 interleague road contests.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and UNDER


N.Y. Mets (20-19) at N.Y. Yankees (20-22)

The Yankees hand the ball to ace Chien-Ming Wang (6-1, 2.90) as they conclude this truncated Subway Series against the Mets, who are set to go with lefty Oliver Perez (3-3, 4.61) in a nationally televised contest.

After Friday’s game was rained out, the Mets came out Saturday and outslugged the Yankees 7-4, snapping a two-game losing skid. The Mets are still mired in slumps of 11-26 in interleague road games, 2-5 as a road ‘dog and 2-5 against A.L. teams with losing records.

The Yanks have now dropped seven of their last 10, including losing four of their last five. Joe Giradi’s club is on further slides of 2-9 as a favorite, 1-6 vs. lefties, 1-6 in interleague games and 2-6 as a home favorite. On the flip side, they’re on positive runs of 23-6 against N.L. southpaws, 47-15 in interleague home games, 14-7 at home against teams with a losing record and 20-6 on Sundays.

These two teams split their two series in 2007, with each winning three games and each taking one contest on the road. In fact, over the last three years, the Mets hold a slim 10-9 edge, with the home team going 10-9 during this stretch. However, the Yankees are still 18-8 in the last 26 head-to-head clashes in the Bronx.

Wang has been spectacular for the Yankees this year, recording a quality start – at least six innings pitched and three earned runs or fewer allowed – in eight of his nine outings. However, after going 7-0 in Wang’s first seven starts, the Yankees have lost his last two to the Indians at home (3-0) and the Rays on the road (2-1).

Wang is 3-1 with a 4.20 ERA in five home starts, but if you take away his one poor outing this year (eight runs in four innings at home against Boston), his home ERA shrinks to 1.93. Also, in his only career start against the Mets last year, he went 8 2/3 innings, yielding two runs on six hits with one walk and 10 strikeouts in an 8-2 home win.

Perez snapped a three-game losing skid in his most recent outing a week ago today at home against the Reds, giving up three runs on three hits in six innings en route to an 8-3 victory. He’s 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA in four road starts, and the Mets are 8-3 in his last 11 on the highway.

Perez dominated the Yankees twice last year, giving up two runs and 10 hits in 15 total innings, winning 3-2 at Yankee Stadium and 2-0 at home. He walked five and whiffed 11 in those two contests.

The under is 7-2 in Wang’s nine starts this year, including 4-0 in the last four and 4-1 at home. Conversely, the over is 3-1 in Perez’s last four starts overall and 4-0 in his last four Sunday outings.

In this Subway Series, the over is on streaks of 12-5 overall and 9-2 at Yankee Stadium. Also, the “over” trends run heavy for the Mets, including 7-3 overall, 5-1 in interleague road games, 9-3 against losing teams and 19-6 on the highway against losing teams. The under, though, is 11-5-1 in the Mets’ last 17 interleague games against losing teams. For the Yankees, the under is on streaks of 40-11-1 overall, 5-1 in the Bronx, 8-3 in interleague play against winning teams and 13-6 against winning teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES

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Marc Lawrence

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels

The Angels conclude their weekend series with cross-town rival Dodgers when they send Jered Weaver to the hill in Anaheim. Aside from having never lost a game to the Dodgers in his MLB career (2-0 with a 1.50 ERA), Weaver is 7-3 in his career team starts in May, including 5-1 at home. Stay at home with Weaver and the Halos here today.

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Gator Report

NBA 70% Super Situations  (NBA Record 20-11 ATS +790 Units)

NBA (Playoffs 3-2 +0.80) Sunday:  Play Under NBA home teams where the total is 179.5 or less with a team who outscores their opponents by 3+ points per game, after allowing 75 points or less.37-11 Under since 2002 (77.1%) 

PLAY: Cleveland / Boston UNDER 174


MLB 70% Super Situations  (MLB Record 12-3 +870 units)

MLB (12-3 +870) Sunday:   Play Against MLB(AL) underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher with a team that averages <=4.2 runs per game against a team with a bullpen ERA <=3.33, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits per start.49-9 since 1997 (84.5%)   

PLAY: Philadelphia -110

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JEFFERSONSPORTS

MLB EARLY RELEASE FOR SUN

SEATTLE UNDER 8.5
CLEVELAND UNDER 7.5
TORONTO+102
SAN FRANCISCO UNDER 8

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James Patrick Sports

Mets vs. Yankees

The Mets haven’t been treated very kindly during their visits to Yankee Stadium as they have failed in 18 of 25 contests. Another loss looms this evening as after their victory on Saturday, they now face Yankees RHP Wang in this series final. In Wang’s last seven Sunday starts the Bronx Bombers are a perfect 7-0 and in their past 27 losses, Wang has bounced back to win the next game an amazing 22 of 25 times. Our Sunday selection is New York Yankees.

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BIG AL

NBA PLAYOFFS TOTAL OF THE YEAR

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Celtics and Cavaliers 'under' the total. The Celtics have been dominant at home this season, winning 42 of 48 games, with the key being Boston's defense. Only five teams have scored 100 points at Boston this year, and the Celtics have held their last 11 foes to an average of 79 points per game. Not surprisingly, most of the Celtics' home games have gone 'under' the total (28-19), including 10 of their last 13 games. In Friday's Game 6 at Cleveland, the two teams combined for 143 points, and that was the lowest scoring playoff game in two years, and one of the twelve lowest scoring games of the past 18 seasons. I expect defense to be the order of things in this Game 7, as 'unders' have come in over 60% of the time the past 15 seasons in the decisive 7th game of a series (20 'unders' and 13 'overs'), including 15 of 21 when the line is less than 190. Finally, I have a totals system that has won 43 of 59 times which is on the 'under' in this game. NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on the under

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Cappers Access

Celtics

Cubs

Yankees

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Dave Cokin

LA Dodgers and LA Angels
Take LA Dodgers
The Dodgers have had to juggle their rotation a bit this week and they're sending Derek Lowe to the hill Sunday on just three days rest. I think this may be just the remedy for Lowe's recent struggles. Lowe thrives when that lethal sinker in working and getting him ground *****, and that type of pitcher often does better when a little tired. Jered Weaver is off a great outing for the Halos, but he's been very inconsistent all season. I'm going to take the Dodgers to close out the series with a second straight victory over the Angels.

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Jim Feist

CHI White Sox and SF Giants
Take Under

Putting the baseball in play is not the strength of either of these teams. The White Sox and Giants rank in the bottom 4 in batting average, plus the Giants are third worst in runs scored. At least the pitchers for this one are above average. Chicago lefty John Danks has been a pleasant surprise with a 2.74 ERA. This game is the National League park, so the Sox lose the DH. Don't look for a lot of offense, Play the White Sox/Giants under the total!

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CHICAGO SPORTS CONNECTION

MINNESOTA +130 @ Colorado

FRANCIS for Colorado has really struggled.
9.00 ERA in L3 starts.
25 hits allowed in L15 innings
has allowd 9 HR's already this year
Getaway day for Colorado, which is a plus for us.

MINN goes back home after this short 3 game road trip.To win the series, they need a win in this rubbergame.Twins fighting for first place...Rockies are in the basement.Also...Twins are 28-10 in interleague play in the L3
years.

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JB's Computer Picks

Cincinnati Reds + 100

Texas Rangers - 140

Arizona Diamondbacks - 135

New York Yankees - 155

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Brandon Lang

10 Dime - Red Sox (Run Line)

5 Dime - Celtics
5 Dime - Mariners (Run Line)

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Larry Ness

MLB
20 Star - TB/St Louis Over
15 star- Angels

NBA
Insider- Celtics

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WISE GUY INSIDER

QUADRUPLE DIME BASEBALL WINNER
Cleveland w/Lee -115

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Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections

TOP RATED BASEBALL PLAY OF THE DAY
Kansas City w/Greinke -115

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William Kidd Guaranteed Selections

QUADRUPLE BASEBALL WINNER
Texas w/Gabbard -131

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Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections

TOP RATED BASEBALL WINNER
NY YANKEES w/Wang -150

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The Fat Jack

Boston -8

The Boston Game To Go Over The Total Of 174

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Ross Benjamin

San Diego (Wolf) @ Seattle (Bedard)
Play On: Seattle

In spite of not getting good results the Mariners are hitting a sizzling .333 at home versus left-handed pitching this season. Contrarily the Padres have hit an ice cold .212 as a team versus left-handed pitching this season. The Padres are a pathetic 2-10 versus a left-handed starting pitcher this season. San Diego has struggled mightily on the road in 2008 losing 17 of 24 in that role. The Seattle starter Bedard enters the game in good form off his last 4 starts and in 3 home starts this season has posted a brilliant 1.45 ERA. The San Diego starter Wolfe enters the game in horrible form off of his last 4 starts posting a 2.05 WHIP and a 8.55 ERA all resulting in San Diego losses. Wolf is 1-4 in his team starts on the road this season with a lofty 6.35 ERA.

Play on the Seattle Mariners

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Tony Mathews

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers

Selection: Texas Rangers -135

Explanation: We will side with the Texas Rangers as they face-off against the Houston Astros in Sunday's MLB contest.

The Houston Astros will use starting pitcher Brandon Backe. Brandon Backe has struggled this season. In fact, Brandon Backe has a 4.62 ERA on the season. We see Brandon Backe having another bad game today.

The Texas Rangers will use starting pitcher Kason Gabbard. Kason Gabbard has pitched well this season. In fact, Kason Gabbard.has a 2.12 ERA on the season. In addition, Kason Gabbard has a 1.64 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Kason Gabbard pitching another great game today.

The Texas Rangers are 3-8 in their last 11 meetings against the Houston Astros (when playing in Texas), and we expect them to get another win today.

Take the Texas Rangers

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