Thursday Service Plays

Re: Thursday Service Plays

Tony Mathews

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

Selection: Washington/New York Over 9.5

Explanation: We expect to see a high-scoring game as the Washington Nationals face-off against the New York Mets in Thursday's MLB contest.

The Washington Nationals will use starting pitcher Jason Bergmann. Jason Bergmann is having a very bad season. In fact, Jason Bergmann has a 11.68 ERA on the season. In addition, Jason Bergmann has given up 16 runs in his last 12.1 innings pitched (last 3 starts). We see Jason Bergmann giving up many runs once again today.

The New York Mets will use starting pitcher Mike Pelfrey. Mike Pelfrey has struggled this season. In fact, Mike Pelfrey has a 4.86 ERA on the season. In addition, Mike Pelfrey has a 6.61 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Mike Pelfrey also giving up many runs today.

The Over is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings between these teams, and we expect to see another high-scoring game today!

Take the Washington Nationals/New York Mets Over 9.5

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Gold Medal Club

Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia
PLAY UNDER 5.5

The fact that the Flyer's only managed 18 shots on goal in a critical must win game 3 is a testament to the great defense the Penguins are playing right now. When Philadelphia did have some scoring opportunities they were straight into Fleury, a sign of a team that feels pressured and rushed in the offensive zone. The Flyer's are out of gas, the tank is empty and there shortcomings on the blue line have not helped the situation. I for one did not see Pittsburgh being able to dominate the boards and the pace of the game like they have, with that being said, its hard to imagine that Philadelphia scores more than one goal here.

The value is in the TOTAL UNDER

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

DUNKEL

MLB

The Diamondbacks have won seven of eight from Colorado so far and come into today's contest with early Cy Young favorite Brandon Webb on the mound.  But unsung Rockies starter Aaron Cook has been just as good with six straight wins, including road victories over Jake Peavy and Tim Lincecum.  Colorado is the underdog pick (+155) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockies favored straight up by 1.  Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+155).   Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MAY 15

Game 951-952: LA Dodgers at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.098; Milwaukee (Sheets) 15.737
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-135); Over


Game 953-954: Washington at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Bergmann) 15.024; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 16.135
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-165); Over


Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Snell) 14.608; St. Louis (Pineiro) 15.020
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); Under


Game 957-958: San Diego at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Maddux) 15.884; Cubs (Dempster) 15.457
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-140); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+130); N/A


Game 959-960: Houston at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Sampson) 14.883; San Francisco (Lincecum) 17.080
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Over


Game 961-962: Atlanta at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (James) 14.786; Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.968
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-175); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-175); Under


Game 963-964: Florida at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Miller) 16.761; Cincinnati (Belisle) 15.848
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+100); Over


Game 965-966: Colorado at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 16.165; Arizona (Webb) 14.956
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+155); Under


Game 967-968: Oakland at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Smith) 15.351; Cleveland (Laffey) 16.911
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-140); Under


Game 969-970: Toronto at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (McGowan) 15.463; Minnesota (Perkins) 15.924
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+105); Over


Game 971-972: Detroit at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Rogers) 14.622; Kansas City (Meche) 15.837
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-105); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-105); Under


Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kennedy) 15.240; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 17.296
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-145); Under


Game 975-976: Chicago White Sox at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Vazquez) 15.901; LA Angels (Garland) 14.610
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-110); Over


NBA

Needing a win to stay alive in the series, the Spurs will look to take advantage of the Hornets' 2-7 ATS mark as road underdogs between 6 1/2 and 9 points.  San Antonio is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 9.   Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2).  Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MAY 15

Game 527-528: New Orleans at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 122.669; San Antonio 131.884
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 186
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 184
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2); Over


NHL

The Penguins look to close out the series against a Philadelphia team that was just 3-11 this season after 3 or more consecutive losses.  Pittsburgh is the pick (-175) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1.  Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-175).
THURSDAY, MAY 15

Game 55-56: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.706; Philadelphia 12.161
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-175); Under

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jack Clayton

Tigers


Jimmy Moore

New Orleans +7


floridabookybusters    

New Orleans/San Antonio Under 184    


Templer's Sports Picks

NY Mets    


DutchMaster    

Atlanta


RedZone Sports

A's


Dark Horse Sports

Brewers


Scott Spreitzer

Chisox/LAA Under


COMPUTER SPORTS

SAN FRANCISCO-145


HUDDLE UP

Colorado/Arizona under 8


DARK HORSE

Milwaukee -140


TRACE ADAMS

NY YANKEES


RAZOR SHARP

NY YANKEES


TOTALS 4 U

FLORIDA/CINCINNATI OVER 10


Insider Sports Report

Colorado/Arizona UNDER 8


THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

St Louis -120


#1 SPORTS

FLORIDA MARLINS -110


SCOUT

Oakland Smith+120


NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER

PIRATES +135


MIKE WYNN

Philadelphia -170


PLATINUM PLAYS

TAMPA BAY RAYS - 145


ARMVIN SPORTS

MINNESOTA TWINS   


TV HOTLINE

CLEVELAND -145


Play By Play Inc.

NEW ORLEANS/SAN ANTONIO Over 184


BIG TIME SPORTS

WHITE SOX /ANGELS OVER 8.5


MIGHTY QUINN

Penguins


NICK JONES

New Orleans Hornets +7.5


Bob Donahue

Drays


Joe Wiz

Brewers
Marlins


Glen Mcgrew

Dbacks


Cappers Access

Milwaukee
New Orleans


Arthur Ralph

SF Giants


Winston Cash Sports Consulting

LA Dodgers +120


Paul Leiner

5* Spurs -6.5


PRIORITY SPORTS INFO

Milwaukee -145


PHILLY CONNECTION

Marlins

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Brian Marshall

Florida Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds

Plays On: Florida/Cincinnati Over 10

Game Analyses: Do you love high-scoring baseball games? If yes, you will love Thursday's MLB Game between the Florida Marlins and Cincinnati Reds.

The Florida Marlins will be lead by starting pitcher Andrew Miller. Andrew Miller has struggled this season which is shown by his poor 6.41 ERA on the season. We see Andrew Miller having another bad game today.

The Cincinnati Reds will be lead by starting pitcher Matt Belisle. Matt Belisle is also struggling this season. In fact, Matt Belisle has a 7.45 ERA on the season. We also see Matt Belisle having another bad game today.

These teams have a history of playing high-scoring games when they meet. In fact, the Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these teams.

Take the Florida Marlins/Cincinnati Reds Over 10

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Chris Jordan

N.Y. Yankees at TAMPA BAY -135

We continue the run with the Devil Rays against the Yankees. Yesterday I told you the Bombers would end Tampa's win streak, and tonight we're on the other side.

Scott Kazmir has pitched well enough to win his last five starts against the Bombers, giving up just nine earned runs over 30 innings of work. Yet he has a modest 1-1 mark to show for it.

He looked good against the Halos his last time out, tossing six scoreless innings to earn the win. Look for him to bring that low-90s fastball that he works well up and down the zone, while using that sweeping slider to get batters chasing at the corners.

2* DEVIL RAYS

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

PSYCHIC

NBA

5 units New Orleans +7
WISEGUY

MLB
PASS


DA STICK

NHL
PASS

MLB
PASS

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

EZWINNERS DAY BASEBALL

2 STAR: (970) MINNESOTA (+$109) over Toronto
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $218)


1 STAR: (967) OAKLAND (+$135) over Cleveland
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $135)

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Josh Dean

Today's Play: Phi/Pit UNDER 5.5

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

KBHoopsfanatics

MLB

5 units KC Royals

NBA

5 units New Orleans Under 184
5 units New Orleans +7

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

NY Yankees at TAMPA BAY -140

Take the Rays for the home win over the Yankees this afternoon.

I know this is a pretty steep price, especially considering the opponent, but this pitching matchup warrants it.

Scott Kazmir will start for the Rays and the left-hander is without a doubt a top of the rotation pitcher.  He's 1-1 in two starts this year, but he?s pitched very well against the Yankees in his career.

Kazmir is 2-3 with a spectacular 3.00 ERA in eight lifetime appearances against the Yankees.  That ERA is all the more impressive when you consider the talent gap between these two teams over the years.

The Yankees will start Ian Kennedy, who has been nothing short of a disaster in the rotation.

The right-hander is 0-2 with an 8.37 ERA in six games this year and has walked more batters than he's struck out.

Take the Rays as they grab the home win behind their ace.

3* TAMPA BAY

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

PlusLineSports Daily Baseball Pick

San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs -1.5

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Alex Smart

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks Under 8.0

The Colorado Rockies and the Arizona DBacks prepare to send two top notch hurlers to the hill to face each other , tonight in Chase Field. The Rockies thrower Aaron Cook, is on a six game winning streak, and has garnered a stingy 2.26 ERA on the season,looking very much like the most consistent contributor in his teams rotation at the moment. The DBacks will return fire, with the ace of their staff, Brandon Webb who has won all 8 of his starts this year, while recording a extremely viable 2.41 ERA. Considering the pitching matchup, a low scoring confrontation is on the agenda. Final notes & Key Trends: Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starters like Webb. Play under Play under 

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

David Malinsky 3*

Athletics (RL) @ Indians (RL)
PICK: Athletics (RL)

In a game in which runs are not going to be easy to come by, with another cool afternoon in Cleveland and the wind blowing in, we will buy in with Greg Smith and a rested Oakland bullpen to do no worse than “hang” in this one against a troubled Cleveland offense that will be without Victor Martinez.

Smith’s 2-2/3.00 base numbers do not fully show how effective he has been. He has more strikeouts (35) than hits allowed (33) over 45 innings, and since having some control problems in his debut it has been just 10 walks over 39 innings over his last six starts. And while he has not won since April 24th it is not a result of his own performances (only seven runs on 12 hits over 20 innings allowed in the last three starts), but rather the fact that the A’s were shut out in two of those three games behind him. That is part of what takes us in this direction, rather than calling for the outright win, as the Oakland offense may need a pass through the lineup before getting comfortable against Aaron Laffey. But with Smith on good form, and a solid bullpen having all key arms ready to go, we can cash this ticket by shutting down the Indians. That will not be difficult.

In half of the Cleveland games this season the offense has been held to three runs or less. With Martinez sidelined and Travis Hafner and Ryan Garko slumping there is little punch in the middle of the order, and the guys at the bottom of the lineup simply are not going to produce this season. In the first look against an emerging left-hander those struggles should continue, especially with Smith’s dominance of left-handed batters (.163, with no home runs in 43 at-bats) helping to keep Grady Sizemore in check at the top of the order, making it even more difficult for the Indians to put anything together.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Larry Ness

Chicago White Sox @ Los Angeles Angels
PICK: Los Angeles Angels

REASON FOR PICK: The Angels won the first two games of this four-game series with the White Sox but lost 6-1 last night, in John Lackey's 2008 debut. It sure wasn't Lackey's fault, as he pitched seven innings, allowing six hits and just one run. However, with the score tied at one-all in the eighth, reliever Scot Shields failed to retire a batter (three hits and one walk), as the White Sox came up with a four-run inning. Tonight's the final game, featuring a pitching matchup of Vazquez and Garland. Vazquez had a nice "bounce-back" year in '07 with Chicago, going 15-8 with a 3.74 ERA. He's done a nice job in '08 so far, opening 4-3 with a 3.63 ERA in eight starts. Of course Garland spent eight years with the White Sox (2000-07), winning 18 games in both the '05 (the team's World Series year) and '06 seasons. He was signed as a free agent by the Angels during the off-season and enters this game 4-3 with a 4.30 ERA in eight starts. He got 'rocked' at home vs Oakland on April 28 (6 IP / 10 hits / 7 ERs) but has since had two excellent starts. He's gone eight innings in each of his last two outings, allowing just seven hits and one ER in a 3-1 home win over Baltimore and a 2-0 loss at Tampa Bay (he left that game with it tied 0-0). The Angels won more home games (54) than any team last year and just 'killed' right-handed starters, going 75-47. That included a mark of 31-8 in night home games vs righties, in which LA averaged 6.7 RPG. While the Angels haven't approached those type of numbers in the early going of this year, I still respect this team at home, especially when facing a righty. As for the White Sox, they were a poor 34-47 on the road last year and are just 10-13 this year away from Chicago. That includes a 6-12 record vs right-handed starters on the road, with Chicago averaging only 3.7 RPG. I expect Garland to shut down his former teammates and for the Angel bats to get to Vazquez. Take the Angels.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Doc's Sports

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays       
Take Under 8½

It is getaway day, as the Yankees will complete this four games series @ Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. The first two games of this series stay under and that is also how we expect this one to go. The Yankees have struggle to score runs and will be without A-Rod and Posada and have the Mets on deck. Ian Kennedy has struggled this season but his best performance of the year came in the Bay and expect him to repeat that performance on Thursday. We will not worry about who wins this game and just collect with the under. Don’t miss out on Doc’s Sports Interleague Game of the Year (6-unit pick). This game goes on Saturday and is a must have play for any big game hunter. We have already collected on our NL Game of the Year and this is the perfect compliment for this pick! 

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Game: Pittsburgh at St. Louis
Pick: St. Louis -133

Joel Pineiro has apparently resurrected his career in St. Louis. He cam up with Seattle and dominated at the start, but then fizzled and was tossed around, but has found a home in St. Louis. Pineiro has really dominated this Pirate lineup as he is 3-0 with a 1.74 ERA against them. Pineiro had a shaky first outing in '08, but has pitched to a 2.73 ERA in his last five, and the Cards have won four straight with him on the hill. Ian Snell won 14 games in '06 and has regressed since then. The Pirates remain a liability to their backers on the road where they have cashed just 7 of 20, while the Cards have been impressive at home with a 15-8 mark. Lots of value on the Cards here and we will back them on their way to another home win.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Info Plays

3* on Reds/Marlins OVER 9.5

The OVER is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings between these teams.  There is no doubt tonight’s game is going OVER the number with two of their worst starting pitchers on the mound.  Play Over - Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games.  This is an 81-39 Totals System in favor of the OVER hitting 67.5% over the last 5 seasons.  Matt Belisle is 12-1 OVER 12-1 OVER (+11.0 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.  Cincinnati is 21-9 OVER (+11.7 Units) after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more runs over the last 2 seasons.  Bet the OVER 9.5 runs.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Priceless Picks

1 Unit on Rockies/D-backs UNDER 8

With two red hot aces going head to head, we'll make a play on the Under here.  The Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter, 5-0 in Rockies last 5 during game 3 of a series, and 5-0 in Rockies last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.  The Under is also 5-0 in Cook's last 5 starts overall.  The Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games following a win, 8-1 in Webb's last 9 starts during game 3 of a series, and  5-1 in Webb's last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.  Neither team is going to get much of anything at the plate tonight so we'll take the UNDER.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Braves/Phillies UNDER 9

The Braves have had a terrible time scoring runs on the road and especially against lefties so they will do nothing to contribute to this thing going over tonight.  The Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter, 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15., 22-5-1 in Braves last 28 games following a win, 8-2 in James' last 10 starts as an underdog, and 11-4-1 in James' last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The Under is 11-4 in Phillies last 15 games following a loss, 15-3 in Phillies last 18 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game, and 7-1 in Hamels' last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.  We'll take the UNDER tonight.

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