MLB Trends May 9

MLB Trends May 9

Hot Pitchers
-- Lilly has 2.84 RA in his last three starts, but Cubs are 0-4 with Lilly if they score less than eight runs.
-- Nationals won four of Redding's last five starts.
-- Colorado won Cook's last six starts (5-0, 2.57). Peavy has 0.87 RA in his four home starts.
-- Dodgers are 3-0 in Lowe home starts (2-0, 1.89).

-- Sabathia has 2.21 RA in his last three starts, but Cleveland is 1-5 in his last six outings. Halladay has 2.25 RA in his last two starts; Jays are 3-0 when they give him four or more runs.
-- Shields is 1-0, 3.00 in his only two home starts this season.
-- Meche has 1.98 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Smith has 2.14 RA in his last three starts.
-- Lester is 1-0, 0.64 in his last couple starts.
-- Contreras is 2-2, 3.21 in his last four starts. Silva is 2-1, 2.57 in three home starts this season.

Cold Pitchers
-- Haren is 0-1, 7.59 in two road starts.
-- Snell is 0-2, 6.05 in his last four starts.
-- Belisle is 1-2, 8.16 in three starts this season. Mets lost last three Pelfrey starts (0-2, 8.22).
-- Braves are 0-3 in Glavine road starts, scoring seven runs.
-- Nolasco is 0-3, 7.08 in his last four starts.
-- Parra is 0-2, 6.85 in his last five starts. Wellemeyer has a 5.21 RA in his three road starts.
-- Hamels is 1-2, 5.06 in his last three starts. Misch allowed four runs in four IP in his first start, at Philadelphia.
-- Moehler has made 186 big league starts; this will be his first since 2006.

-- Rogers has 6.99 RA in seven starts this season. Igawa was
2-3, 6.25 in 12 starts LY, putting 113 baserunners on in 67.2 IP.
-- Garland has 6.69 RA in his last six starts.
-- Trachsel is 0-4, 9.43 in his last five starts.
-- Feldman is 0-2, 5.71 in three starts this season.
-- Bonser is 1-2, 6.26 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Arizona is 8-3 in its last eleven road games.
-- Braves won their last six games, scoring 33 runs. Pirates won their last four home games.
-- Mets won six of their last eight home games.
-- Marlins won their last four games, allowing seven runs.
-- Cardinals are 8-4 in their last dozen games.
-- Phillies won five of their last seven games.
-- Astros won five of last six games, but are 1-4 in their last five games on foreign soil. Dodgers won five of last six at home.

-- Red Sox won eight of their last ten games.
-- Angels are 9-3 in their last dozen road games. Rays won their last six home games.
-- Twins won six of their last eight games.
-- Oakland won last four games, allowing nine runs. Rangers won seven of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost five of their last seven games.
-- Cincinnati lost its last five road games.
-- Washington is 3-12 in its last fifteen road games.
-- Brewers are 3-10 in their last thirteen games, losing last six in a row, outscored 37-16. .
-- Colorado is 5-13 in its last eighteen games. Padres lost 17 of their last 21 games.
-- Giants lost five of their last six games.

-- Bronx is 5-8 in its last thirteen games. Tigers lost six of their last seven games, allowing 47 runs.
-- Indians are 1-5 in last six home series openers. Toronto lost seven of last nine road games.
-- Royals lost ten of their last fourteen home games. Orioles lost five of their last six games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last nine games. White Sox lost seven of their last nine games.

Totals
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Cub games.
-- Eight of last eleven Pirate games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-2 in Mets' last nine games.
-- Seven of last nine Florida road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven games at Miller Park.
-- Last four Colorado road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in Phillies' last eleven road games.
-- Five of last seven Houston games went over the total.

-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Detroit home games.
-- Last six Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Angel road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Oakland road games.
-- Eight of last ten Royal games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Boston's last seven road games.
-- White Sox' last eight road games stayed under the total.

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Trend Sheet

2:20 PM ARIZONA vs. CHI CUBS
Arizona is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Arizona is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Chi Cubs's last 21 games when playing at home against Arizona


7:05 PM ATLANTA vs. PITTSBURGH
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing at home against Atlanta


7:05 PM NY YANKEES vs. DETROIT
NY Yankees are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Yankees's last 19 games on the road
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home


7:05 PM TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
Toronto is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games at home


7:10 PM CINCINNATI vs. NY METS
Cincinnati is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati


7:10 PM LA ANGELS vs. TAMPA BAY
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 3-13 SU in their last 16 games when playing LA Angels
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


7:35 PM FLORIDA vs. WASHINGTON
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Washington's last 23 games when playing at home against Florida


8:05 PM OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas's last 15 games when playing at home against Oakland


8:05 PM ST. LOUIS vs. MILWAUKEE
St. Louis is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home


8:10 PM BALTIMORE vs. KANSAS CITY
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore


8:10 PM BOSTON vs. MINNESOTA
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Boston
Minnesota is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Boston


10:05 PM COLORADO vs. SAN DIEGO
Colorado is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Diego's last 13 games when playing at home against Colorado


10:10 PM CHI WHITE SOX vs. SEATTLE
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Seattle is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox


10:15 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Philadelphia is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Philadelphia is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


10:40 PM HOUSTON vs. LA DODGERS
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Houston
LA Dodgers are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Houston

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Tips and Trends

Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs

Diamondbacks: Dan Haren has been a great addition to the Diamondbacks rotation, going 4-1 with a 3.12 ERA on the year. Control has been the name of the game for Haren, who has only given up 8 walks over 43 1/3 innings. Despite his impressive numbers, 5 of the 7 games Haren has started this year have gone OVER the total.

Key Injuries - NONE


Cubs (-120): Ted Lilly has struggled overall in 2008, but he's pitched better of late, winning 2 of his last 3 starts, and the loss was a 2-0 defeat to the Nationals. In his last 19 innings pitched, Lilly has given up a total of 6 runs. In his previous 17.5 innings of work, Lilly was blasted for 19 runs. Lilly is 0-2 in his career against Arizona, although he does have a respectable 3.38 ERA.

Key Injuries - NONE


New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers

Yankees: Kei Igawa makes his first start of the season after going 2-3 with a 6.25 ERA in 2007. With Phil Hughes on the DL and Ian Kennedy sent back down to the minors, the Yankees are hoping Igawa can add some much-needed stability to their pitching staff. This will be Igawa's first career appearance against the Tigers.

Key Injuries - NONE


Tigers (-135, O/U 10): Kenny Rogers hasn't been great this season, but Detroit has won 3 of his last 4 starts. One of those wins came against the Yankees thanks to Rogers allowing only two runs in 6 innings pitched. The problem for Rogers this season has been control. He has the same number of walks (19) as he does strikeouts in 37 1/3 innings of work.

Key Injuries - NONE


St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers

Cardinals: Todd Wellemeyer has been solid for the Cardinals this year. He's 3-1 on the season, and the Red Birds have won 4 of Wellemeyer's 7 starts. Wellemeyer has been much tougher at home, where he's 3-1. He had 3 relief appearances against Milwaukee in 2005, but this will be the first time he's faced the Brew Crew as a starter.


Key Injuries - NONE

Brewers (-125, O/U 9): Big things were expected of Manny Para this season, but so far he's been a disappointment, sporting a record of 1-2 and 5.86 ERA. Para's outings have been short ones. The longest he's lasted is 5 1/3 innings, which is a major reason why 3 of his 6 starts have resulted in no-decisions. Para hasn't won a game since April 5th against the Giants, a 5-4 victory in his first start.

Key Injuries - NONE


Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres

Rockies: Aaron Cook has been the stopper for team this season, but he won't have to end a skid this time around. The Rockies have won his last 6 starts, and he has allowed 3 runs or less each time out to pick up all 5 of his wins during that stretch. Three of those starts have come on the road, and the UNDER has cashed in his last 4 overall.

Key Injuries - NONE


Padres (-150, O/U 6.5): San Diego ace Jake Peavy (4-1, 2.22 ERA) is coming off his first win in 4 starts, earning a 7-2 victory at Florida last time out on Saturday. The Padres have lost in his last 2 home starts by identical 2-1 scores. One of those losses was the epic 22-inning battle with Colorado back on April 17th in which he pitched 8 scoreless innings with 3 walks and 11 strikeouts. Peavy is just 4-4 lifetime against the Rockies with a 4.05 ERA in 14 starts.

Key Injuries - NONE

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ATSDatabase

When TORONTO team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - Vs Non Division Opponent - Allowed 8 runs AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a night game.
SU Record: 5-7-0
O/U/P Record: 2-9-1

When DETROIT team played as a Home team - Last 2 years - After a non division game - Coming off a Loss vs. AL EAST opponent - Coming off a 1 game loss.
SU Record: 8-2-0
O/U/P Record: 4-5-1

When MILWAUKEE team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a series loss - Coming off a Road loss.
SU Record: 11-2-0
O/U/P Record: 4-6-3

When MILWAUKEE team played as a Home team - Last 3 years - After a non division game - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series - Coming off a Loss vs. NL EAST opponent.
SU Record: 8-2-0
O/U/P Record: 2-8-0

When NY YANKEES team played as a Road team - After a non division game - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a Win vs. AL CENTRAL opponent - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite.
SU Record: 13-3-0
O/U/P Record: 9-7-0

When TAMPA BAY team played as a -140 to -160 home Favorite - After a conference game - Vs. Right handed pitchers.
SU Record: 9-2-0
O/U/P Record: 2-8-1

When SAN DIEGO team Played as home team as a Favorite - Total is between 6.5 to 7.0 - During the month of May.
SU Record: 13-3-0
O/U/P Record: 4-10-2

When NY METS team Played as home team as a Favorite - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Vs NL CENTRAL opponent.
SU Record: 20-4-0
O/U/P Record: 14-10-0

When NY METS team Played as home team as a Favorite - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Playing on Friday.
SU Record: 3-8-0
O/U/P Record: 2-9-0

When NY METS team played as a home team - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Vs NL CENTRAL opponent.
SU Record: 21-5-0
O/U/P Record: 16-10-0

When NY METS team played as a home team - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Playing on Friday.
SU Record: 3-9-0
O/U/P Record: 2-10-0

KANSAS CITY: When ANY MLB Team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite - Vs. Right handed pitchers - After a conference game - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a night game - Coming off a 3 run lost - Allowed 4 runs AGAINST in their last game.
SU Record: 12-3-0
O/U/P Record: 9-5-1

TAMPA BAY: When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - During a night game - Before a non conference game - Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher - Coming off a 5 run win.
SU Record: 13-2-0
O/U/P Record: 9-6-0

SAN DIEGO: When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Playing on Friday - After a non division game - During the month of May - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog - Coming off a Road loss.
SU Record: 12-3-0
O/U/P Record: 8-6-1

COLORADO: When ANY MLB Team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Last 5 years - Coming off a 7 Game Home Stand - Coming off a Win vs. NL CENTRAL opponent.
SU Record: 9-7-0
O/U/P Record: 2-14-0

SAN DIEGO: When ANY MLB team played as a home team - During the 2008 season - Total is between 6.5 to 7.0.
SU Record: 3-8-0
O/U/P Record: 2-9-0

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