THURSDAY SERVICE PLAYS

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Gavazzi

4% Cleveland Cavs
1% San Ant Spurs

2% St Louis Cards
2% Florida Marlins

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samors wrote:


Larry Ness' 15* Getaway Day Game of the Week (18-8 since Apr 7 with GOW plays!)-Day
Arizona

Blue Jays

Celtics Over

Spurs

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Black Widow Sports

1* on San Diego Padres +145

San Diego is a great underdog selection against the Atlanta Braves on Thursday.  Yes, the Padres are down this year but Wilfredo Ledezma is just the young starter that can get them back on track tonight.  He comes out of the bullpen to take Justin Germano’s place after Germano struggled mightily to start the year.  Ledezma owns a 1.96 ERA through 18 innings in relief and also has 18 strikeouts to his credit.  We feel Ledezma will take this opportunity by storm to pitch a gem against the Braves tonight.  Jo-Jo Reyes got lit up for 5 earned runs through 3 innings in his last start against he Padres.  Take San Diego on the Money Line.

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Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Red Sox -119

Verlander is yet to find his groove in 2008.  The Tigers' ace is just 1-5 with an ERA over 6.00.  We'll go against him with Beckett and the Red Sox tonight at a bargain price to land ourselves an easy winner.  The Red Sox are 14-4 in Beckett's last 18 road starts and 26-8 in Beckett's last 34 starts as a favorite.  The Red Sox are 22-6 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Red Sox are 31-15 in the last 46 meetings in this matchup.Take Bean Town tonight.

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Alex Smart

Indians/Yankees Under 9.5 3 units

Braves -150 3 units

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HIGHROLLERPLAYS

Cleveland - Boston
Cleveland +8.5
Risk: 2 units

Cleveland - Boston
Under 177.5 Odd
Risk: 2 units

Pittsburgh - Philadelphia
Pick: Ot include: Pittsburgh -1.5
Risk: 2 unts Return:

Pittsburgh - Philadelphia
Pick: Ot include: Over 5.5
Risk: 2 unts

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LT Profits

Padres +145 2 units

Twins +135 2 units

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Black Magic Sports

1 Unit on Detroit Tigers +110

Detroit took a big early lead to the Red Sox, only to let it slip away and go down a run in the 9th inning.  But the Tigers gave Jonathan Papelbon his first blown save with a walk-off single by Placido Polanco.   This was just the kind of win that can get things turned around in Detroit.  Justin Verlander has struggled this season, but the Tigers’ Ace will be hungry to get out there and start a winning streak at home tonight.  Boston is 3-12 in road games after a game where their bullpen blew a save over the last 3 seasons.  Detroit is 18-6 vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.  Josh Beckett got rocked for 5 earned runs in his last start against the Tigers, while Verlander gave up just 2 earned runs in over 7 innings with his last start against Boston.  Cash in with Detroit as the underdog.

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Wunderdog

Minnesota at Chicago
Pick: Minnesota +132

Kevin Slowey was impressive last year late, where the Twins won seven of his 11 starts. He has missed the start of the season with a biceps problem, but he certainly has the capacity to pitch the Twins into the win column. The Twins have also owned John Danks. They have some huge numbers against him, which is why he has a career 8.35 ERA against the Twins, and failed to get out of the third inning against them already this season. Danks is also a career 5+ ERA pitcher, and this one sets up well for the Twins.

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Terron Chapman

Cleveland Indians vs. New York Yankees
Play: New York Yankees -1.5

The New York Yankees ran into the majors hottest pitcher last night in Cliff Lee and now look to avoid a sweep at the hands of the Cleveland Indians this afternoon.

Mike Mussina gets the call for the Yanks and we'll back him on the runline as he looks to win his fourth straight decision. I'll get back to Mussina later on, but first let's take a look at the how the Yanks got in this position of being on the verge of a home sweep.

Cleveland has done it with pitching. Starters Cliff Lee and Fausto Carmona have combined to allow just 12 hits in two games holding the Yanks offense to just three earned runs. Lee shut the Yanks out last night and the Yanks have not scored in 14 straight innings.

Paul Byrd gets the call for the Indians this afternoon and even though he has earned a victory against the Yanks already this season, I'm not sure he can duplicate that feat again today. He allowed four runs over 5 2/3 innings of a 6-4 Indian win in Cleveland last month. He is 0-4 in four regular season starts at Yankee stadium.

Mussina has pitched well lately during his three game winning streak and that includes a road win over these same Indians a little over a week ago. He has won his last three starts against the Indians and in his win last week held the Tribe to seven hits and just two earned runs. The Yankee offense is too good to stay down and I expect them to break out of their funk today against a pitcher they have had success with. I expect another strong performance out of Mussina and expect the Yanks to salvage the series going away. Play the Yankees on the runline for 1 unit.

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Rocketman Sports

New Orleans Hornets vs. San Antonio Spurs
Play: San Antonio Spurs   

San Antonio is 37-7 SU at home this year. San Antonio has allowed only 89.2 points per game at home this season. San Antonio is 5-1 SU at home vs New Orleans last 3 years. Hornets are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Hornets are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. Hornets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Hornets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. Hornets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. Spurs are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Spurs are 14-3-2 ATS in their last 19 playoff games as a favorite. Spurs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. Spurs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. Spurs are 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on San Antonio tonight! 

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Top Shelf Sports

6 Units Atlanta - 1.5 + 130

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Erin Rynning

MLB Playmaker: Arizona Under 8 -115

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STEVE BUDIN - 25DIMER

SAN ANTONIO SPURS -6 (buy the half point)

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Bob Akmens

MLB: 4* Pirates -124

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GAMETIMEDECISION

Milwaukee Brewers


seeyouinthewinnerscircle

Marlins -105


WildBill

BlueJays -117


KingTSports

DBacks -142

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Priceless Picks

1 Unit on Nats/Astros UNDER 10

The Under is 4-0 in Lannan's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 5-1 in Lannan's last 6 road starts overall.  The Under is 19-7 in Backe's last 26 starts overall and 16-5-1 in Backe's last 22 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.  The Under is 10-3 in the Astros last 13 vs. the National League East and 4-0 in the Nationals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.  It's also important to note that the Under is 4-0 in umpire Angel Campos' last 4 games behind home plate.  Neither of these teams are big scoring clubs so we'll take advantage of a line the oddsmakers have set too high tonight.

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Larry Ness

Washington Nationals @ Houston Astros
PICK: Houston Astros

REASON FOR PICK: The Astros are really starting to play well. Last night's 4-3 win was the team's fifth straight and Houston will also take an eight-game home winning streak into tonight's game with the Nationals. Houston is 11-5 on the year at home, where they've averaged 5.81 RPG. In contrast, the Nationals are only 4-12 on the road, averaging a rather pathetic 3.75 RPG. Washington will start second-year lefty John Lannan, who is 2-3 with a 3.74 ERA. He was coming off three very good starts (20 IP / 12 hits / 1 ER) last Friday when he went to the mound at home vs Pittsburgh. However, he lasted just three innings, allowing six hits and six runs (five earned). For Houston, it's Brandon Backe. Backe has not been healthy the last two seasons but looks to be this year. While Backe has been in-and-out of the Houston rotation (mostly due to health concerns), there has been one constant for him since 2004. When he takes the mound in Houston, the Astros typically win. From '04 through '07, the Astros went 21-5 in Backe's home starts (including postseason games) and the '08 season has been no different. He's made four road starts with the team going 0-4 (now wonder, his road ERA is 6.16) but in his three home starts, the Astros are 3-0, with Backe posting an impressive ERA of 2.55. Take the Astros to get the sweep. 

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