MLB Trends May 6

MLB Trends May 6

Hot Pitchers
-- Giants won last five Sanchez starts (2-0, 2.12).
-- Jurrjens is 2-1, 1.17 in two home starts. Young has 2.37 RA in his last three starts.
-- Olsen is 3-1, 2.38 in his last five starts.
-- Hill is 1-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.
-- Zambrano is 3-0, 1.32 in his last four starts.
-- Looper is 1-0, 1.38 in his last couple starts.
-- Mets are 3-1 in Figueroa starts (2-1, 3.86).

-- Carmona is 2-0, 3.44 in his last three starts.
-- Sonnanstine is 3-0, 1.54 in his last three starts. Burnett is 2-1, 3.60 in his last three starts, but has a 8.38 home RA (2 starts).
-- Floyd is 1-1, 3.55 in his last four starts.
-- Burres is 2-0, 1.83 in his last three starts. Duchscherer is 2-1 with a 2.40 ERA in three starts; five of six runs he allowed last start were unearned, due to a dropped fly ball.
-- Batista has 2.30 RA in his last three starts. Ponson is 1-0, 4.15 in his two starts for the Rangers.

Cold Pitchers
-- Duke is 0-2, 6.65 in his last four starts.
-- Harang is 0-3, 3.95 in his last four starts.
-- Suppan is 0-1, 11.93 in his last three road starts.
-- Chacon is 0-0, 5.00 in his last three starts.
-- Redman is 2-2, 8.10 in five starts; he allowed ten runs in first inning his last start, then threw five more scoreless innings.
-- Johnson is 1-1, 7.20 in four starts this season. Eaton has 5.23 RA in his last four starts (0-0) but Phillies won all four games.
-- Kuroda is 0-2, 4.99 in his last five starts.

-- Wakefield is 1-1, 5.14 in his last three starts. Robertson is 1-3, 6.88 in six starts this season.
-- Pettitte is 0-2, 8.18 in his last couple of starts.
-- Twins are 0-3 in Blackburn road starts (0-0, 5.94).
-- Bannister is 0-3, 8.59 in his last three starts. Adenhart threw 57 pitches in just two IP in his first start, walking five hitters.

Hot Teams
-- Braves won ten of last twelve home games.
-- Astros won their last six home games. Nationals won eight of their last ten games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last nine games.
-- Phillies won six of their last eight road games.
-- Dodgers won nine of their last ten games.

-- Red Sox won six of their last seven games.
-- Bronx won its last three games, allowing four runs.
-- Toronto allowed 12 runs in last nine games (6-3); they won six of their last seven at Rogers Centre.
-- Twins won their last five games, outscoring foes 29-12.
-- Angels won eight of their last ten road games.
-- Oakland won seven of last ten home games.
-- Rangers won four of last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost seven of their last ten games. Giants are 1-5 in the first game of a road series.
-- Padres lost fourteen of their last eighteen games.
-- Cubs lost six of their last eight road games. Cincinnati lost five of their last six games.
-- Florida is 0-5 in game after its last five wins. Brewers are 3-7 in their last ten games.
-- Colorado is 3-12 in its last fifteen games.
-- Arizona lost four of its last five games.
-- Mets lost six of their last nine road games.

-- Tigers lost last four games, allowing 28 runs.
-- Indians lost last two games; they scored total of five runs in their last three contests.
-- Tampa Bay lost last three games, allowing 26 runs.
-- White Sox lost last six games, scoring total of nine runs.
-- Royals lost eight of their last eleven home games.
-- Orioles lost five of their last six games.
-- Mariners lost five of their last six games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Duke starts went over the total.
-- Last five Jurrjens starts stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Olsen starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in Cubs' last eight road games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Washington games.
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine games at Coors Field.
-- Over is 6-2 in Phillies' last eight road games.
-- Over is 9-3 in last twelve games at Dodger Stadium.

-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Detroit home games.
-- Last five Carmona starts all went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Sonnanstine starts.
-- All three Blackburn road starts went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Royal games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 12-4 in Baltimore road games.
-- Four of last five Batista starts stayed under the total.

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Re: MLB Trends May 6

Trend Sheet

7:05 PM BOSTON vs. DETROIT
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Detroit is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home


7:05 PM CLEVELAND vs. NY YANKEES
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games
NY Yankees are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing Cleveland
NY Yankees are 19-4 SU in their last 23 games when playing at home against Cleveland


7:05 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. PITTSBURGH
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Pittsburgh's last 20 games


7:07 PM TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Toronto is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


7:10 PM CHI CUBS vs. CINCINNATI
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home


7:10 PM MILWAUKEE vs. FLORIDA
Milwaukee is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games


7:10 PM SAN DIEGO vs. ATLANTA
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
San Diego is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 16 games
Atlanta is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home


8:05 PM WASHINGTON vs. HOUSTON
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Washington is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games


8:10 PM LA ANGELS vs. KANSAS CITY
LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road
LA Angels are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
Kansas City is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Angels
Kansas City is 4-16 SU in their last 20 games when playing at home against LA Angels


8:11 PM MINNESOTA vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games at home
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games


8:35 PM ST. LOUIS vs. COLORADO
St. Louis is 13-5-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing Colorado
St. Louis is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 2-5-1 SU in its last 8 games at home


9:40 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. ARIZONA
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home


10:05 PM BALTIMORE vs. OAKLAND
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Oakland is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Oakland is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Baltimore


10:10 PM NY METS vs. LA DODGERS
NY Mets are 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games
LA Dodgers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home


10:10 PM TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
Texas is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Texas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

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Re: MLB Trends May 6

Tips and Trends

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers


Red Sox: Despite the fact that it seems like he's been pitching since World War II, Tim Wakefield can still get the job done. Wakefield gives the Sox a lot of innings, a luxury most teams don't get from their fourth starter. Wakefield already faced Detroit once this season, getting the win after allowing just 2 runs in 5 innings pitched. One troublesome stat from that game was Wakefield's 5 walks. In 6 starts this year, Wakefield has walked 21 batters compared to 19 strikeouts.

Red Sox are 30-14 in the last 44 meetings.
The UNDER is 8-3-2 in the last 13 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Tigers (-115, O/U 9.5): Nate Robertson has been an opposing batter's best friend so far this year, giving up 42 hits and 26 runs over 34 1/3 innings pitched. In Robertson's lone outing against the Sox, he took the loss after giving up 8 hits and 4 runs through 5 1/3 innings. Robertson hasn't had much luck against Boston in his career either, going 2-4 with a 6.46 ERA.

Tigers are 6-3 in their last 9 home games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD


Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees


Indians: Fausto Carmona will try to win for the third time in 4 starts when he takes the mound against the Yankees. Carmona allowed 1 earned run last time out against Seattle only to see the team's bullpen give up 5 runs in the ninth inning. He is 0-1 in 2 road starts this season with a 3.27 ERA and 0-1 in 2 starts against the Yankees with a 3.86 ERA, failing to get a decision against them in last year's ALDS despite pitching 9 innings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Yankees (-145, O/U 8.5): Andy Pettitte is expected to get the call in the series opener even though he has struggled against the Tribe during his career. Pettitte is 6-8 lifetime against the Indians with a 4.63 ERA and got rocked at Cleveland on April 25th. He surrendered 5 runs and 8 hits in 5 innings - including back-to-back homers in the 5th - to take the loss and then suffered another setback last time out at home against Detroit, falling to 0-2 there with a 6.55 ERA.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD


Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

Cubs (-130, O/U 8): Chicago ace Carlos Zambrano is making his third road start of the season, with mixed results in the previous 2. Zambrano threw 7 shutout innings in his last road start at Washington on April 26th, allowing just 5 hits with 4 walks and 5 strikeouts. He had lost his previous road start at Philadelphia on April 11th, giving up a season-high 5 runs and 9 hits for his only setback of 2008. He is 11-9 lifetime vs. Cincinnati with a 3.35 ERA.

Cubs are 12-5 in their last 17 games as a favorite.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Reds: Aaron Harang is just 1-4 on the season, but that's not all his fault. The crafty right-hander is sporting a very respectable 2.98 ERA, and has received just 3 runs of support per start. Harang hasn't allowed more than 2 runs in 3 home starts this season, but did get rocked for 5 runs at Wrigley back on April 15th in his last appearance against the Cubbies.

Reds are 3-9 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
Reds are 3-6 in their last 9 home games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD


New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers

Mets: Nelson Figueroa will try to earn his first road win at LA after losing at Chicago in his last start away from home. Figueroa is 0-1 on the road in 3 appearances (1 start) with a 6.43 ERA. He pitched 3 1/3 innings in relief of Oliver Perez in an eventual 13-1 loss to Pittsburgh last Wednesday, giving up 1 run and 5 hits with 2 walks and 3 strikeouts.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Dodgers (-130, O/U 9): LA's Hiroki Kuroda is still searching for his first home win after going 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA in 2 starts at Dodger Stadium. Kuroda got pounded for 5 runs and 9 hits in 6 innings of an 8-7 win over Colorado there on April 25th. He pitched better last time out at Florida in a 5-3 win, allowing 3 runs and 5 hits in 7 innings with no walks and 4 strikeouts.

Dodgers are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall.
The OVER is 7-1 LA's last 8 home games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

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Re: MLB Trends May 6

ATSDatabase Baseball Stats and Trends 

When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Before a non division game - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a Win vs. AL CENTRAL opponent -Coming off 1 under.
SU Record: 4-8
O/U/P Record: 2-9-1

When MINNESOTA team played as a Road team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - During a night game - Scored 7 or less runs FOR in their last game - Coming off a Home win as a Underdog.
SU Record: 6-4
O/U/P Record: 2-8-0

When OAKLAND team played as a Home team - After a conference game - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a Win vs. AL EAST opponent - Coming off a 2 game under.
SU Record: 6-11
O/U/P Record: 3-13-1

When OAKLAND team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite - Last 2 years - Total is 8.5.
SU Record: 4-9
O/U/P Record: 2-11-0

When CHI WHITE SOX team Played as home team as a Favorite - During the month of May - Playing on Tuesday.
SU Record: 13-3
O/U/P Record: 10-6-0

When MINNESOTA team played as a 100 to 120 road Underdog - Playing on Tuesday - Vs. Right handed pitchers.
SU Record: 8-13
O/U/P Record: 4-16-1

LOS ANGELES: When ANY MLB Team played as a -120 to -140 Home Favorite - During the 2008 season - After a non division game - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher.
SU Record: 8-11
O/U/P Record: 1-17-1

FLORIDA When ANY MLB Team played as a Home team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - With 1 day off - Coming off a 7 run win - Coming off a Home win 16-4-0 7-13-0

ATLANTA When ANY MLB team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite - During the 2008 season - During the month of May.
SU Record: 15-0
O/U/P Record: 5-10-0

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