Friday Service Plays

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Chris Jordan

Los Angeles ace right-hander took full advantage of an early hitting frenzy, as his teammates set the tone early with a 10-2 first inning lead. He then held the potent Rockies lineup in check over seven frames his longest stint of the season.

Penny is now 13-2 against the defending National League champions, and has won both decisions against them this season. Los Angeles is on a bit of a roll right now, and should be able to get to Colorados Jeff Francis, who is 0-2 on the year with a paltry 5.01 ERA on the season.

Ill lay the low chalk with the better team, despite us being on the road, and will bank on a balanced effort from both the offense and Penny.

3* DODGERS

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Nick Parsons NHL Pick for Friday!

Play ON San Jose Sharks $ line (-) vs Dallas @

My, how quickly momentum can change in a series. Yes, the Sharks are still down 3 games to 1 in this series but, amazingly, they can win this series simply by defending their home ice and winning just one more game in Dallas. Of course that is easier said than done but the fact is that the Sharks have shifted the momentum in this series with their big win in Game Four. If San Jose wins tonight, simply taking care of business on home ice, then they head back to Dallas for Game Six. A road win there and suddenly the Sharks are hosting a Game Seven with a chance to advance to the conference finals simply by defending their home ice. Of course the Sharks know they cant jump ahead of themselves here but its amazing how quickly a teams mentality can change once they finally get a big win. The Sharks were down 1-0 in the second period of Game Four when they got a key shorthanded goal. San Jose than later proceeded to score the game winner on the power play. It was the Sharks special teams that defeated the Stars in Game Four as San Jose held a 2-0 advantage when the special teams were on the ice. A shorthanded goal and a power play goal and, next thing you know, the Sharks are back home and back in the series! Give credit to Dallas for playing very, very solid hockey so far in these playoffs. However, they were totally outplayed after the first period on Wednesday and the Sharks have proven they can play with this team. Note that two of the Stars three wins in this series have come in overtime and this series is clearly much tighter than the 3-1 that is currently showing on the series scoreboard. Momentum is a funny thing and the Sharks have it now and are well worth the price on their home ice on Friday night!

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Ferringo   

Take Minnesota (+1.5, -135) over Detroit
Playing on a letdown here, and looking to get on a team that is hitting the ball a bit better. I also think that Andy Gallaraga's tailing fastball lends itself to get crushed by left-handed batters. Minnesota has a few of them that can make him pay. This wager comes down to one thing, really: if we can make it through three innings without being down multiple runs we could be in a good spot. Detroit doesn't play well in the Metrodome and their shaky bullpen hasn't blown a game in a little while here.

Take St. Louis (-120) over Chicago Cubs
The Cubs are coming off a deflating loss in an emotional series against Milwaukee and now have to travel to St. Louis to meet their biggest rivals. The Cardinals should be rested and ready, and they are going to beat on Rich Hill. Hill has always been a shaky road hurler, and this year has given up five runs and 14 base runners in just eight road innings. Look for a big hit out of Troy Glaus in this one as the rowdy home crowd propels the Cardinals to a Game 1 win.

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WUNDERDOG

Game: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
Pick: St. Louis -116

The Cards have allowed the fewest runs of any team this season (104). They ahve won five of their six three-game series at home this season and they start Adam Wainwright who is 3-1 with a 2.79 ERA this season. This line isn't larger due to the Cubs' offensive success thus far but St. Louis certainly has the edge in this one. St. Louis is 12-6 at home and with Wainright pitching and a very solid bullpen to back him up (3.35 home ERA), this will be a tough one for the Cubs who are just 32-41 vs. winning teams under Lou Piniella

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SportsKingz

ST. LOUIS -115         

N.Y. YANKEES -140       

L.A. DODGERS -105       

ARIZONA -1250           

L.A. ANGELS -165

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Matt Fargo

Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros
Milwaukee Brewers +130

Milwaukee is coming off a huge win in Chicago yesterday, scoring three runs in the top of the 9th to take two of three in the series. It has been a while since the Brewers have won back-to-back games, nine days to be exact, but a win like the one on Thursday can give all sorts of confidence to a team. There were the days when Houston used to own this series with Milwaukee but that has since changed as the Brewers won 13 of the 18 meetings last season.

Houston is looking forward to being back at home after finishing its roadtrip with four losses in the final five games. The offense, which started the season extremely slow, had a few breakout games at the beginning of last week but it has since fallen off once again. The Astros have averaged 3.8 rpg over their last six games after putting up 8.2 rpg in their previous five games. Houston is hitting just .243 on the season after an offseason of expectations that the unit would turn things around.

Roy Oswalt has turned things around after a horrendous start to the year. He has tossed three straight quality outings but the run could very well end here as he faces a Brewers team that he has had some recent struggles against. He used to have great success against Milwaukee but over his last eight starts, he has allowed four runs or more four times while posting a 4.56 ERA over that span. Last season, he faced this Brewers lineup three times, going 0-2 with a 5.49 ERA.

The Brewers counter with Carlos Villanueva who like Oswalt, has turned things around after a very shaky start to the season. He has put together two straight quality outings and while that normally triggers a play against spot, his recent form has been too good. He has allowed only nine hits over those last two starts while not issuing a single walk last time out. He faced the Astros once last season and he pitched a gem, going six innings and allowing just one run, a solo home run to Chris Burke.

Play Milwaukee Brewers 1.5 Units

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GINA

Houston Rockets (57-30) at Utah Jazz (57-30)

The Rockets haven't been lucky in playoff battles at Utah. Houston has dropped eight of their last 10 playoff games in Salt Lake City. Look for the Jazz with home court advantage to finish off the Rockets, but Tracy McGrady and crew will make this Game 6 a hard fought battle. Take the points. The underdog has covered the spread in four of the last 5 meetings.
Houston Rockets


Boston Celtics - 8

Rockets +7'


Baltimore Orioles (15-13) at Los Angeles Angels (18-12)

The struggling Orioles have dropped four of their last five games and have played poorly away from home, 1-6 in its last seven. Baltimore will send Jeremy Guthrie to the mound. The right-hander is 0-3 with a 4.43 ERA in six starts. The Orioles have lost six of Guthries last 7 starts on the road.

The Angels have won three of their last five and have beaten the Orioles in seven of the last nine meetings. Los Angeles sends Jered Weaver to the hill. The right-hander is 2-3 with a 4.21 ERA. Weaver pitched sound in his last start on Sunday, allowing two runs in 6 1/3 innings of a 6-2 victory against Detroit. The Angels are 2-6 in Weavers last 8 starts, but went 7-3 in his last 10 as a home favorite. He is 2-0 in his career against the Orioles.
Go with Los Angeles at Angel Stadium. The Orioles' bats have gone limp and they have dropped six of the last seven contests against the Angels in Los Angeles.

Los Angeles Angels -165

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Gator

MLB 70% Super Situations (MLB Record 5-3 +170 units)

MLB Friday: Play Over MLB (NL) teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 with a team who averages 4.3 to 4.8 runs per game against a starting pitcher whose ERA>=5.70, with a bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, 40-10 (80%) PLAY: Milwaukee / Houston OVER 9 (+100)

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Vic Monte

100* Inside Info - LA Dodgers

I am going to start off by saying Joe Torre has the Dodgers playing GREAT baseball right now. The Dodgers have won 6 straight games coming into play tonight while the Rockies have gone 1-5 in there last 6 & 2-8 in there last 10 overall. During the Dodgers current 6 game winning streak they have scored a total of 47 runs. WOW. That hot line up will take there swings against lefty Jeff Francis. The Rockies are 1-4 -$272 in Francis starts this season. Dodgers starter Brad Penny has been a Cash Cow so far. The Dodgers are a profitable 4-2 +$200 when Penny starts. Even better is that the Dodgers are 13-3 when Penny starts against the Rockies. Coming into this game the Dodgers have the hotter bats and the better arms in this contest. Want more? The Dodgers have grabbed this chips in there last 4 games against left handed starters. Oh did I mention the Dodgers are batting .321 as a team against lefties this season

100* Inside Info Selection Dodgers

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JB's Computer Plays

New York Yankees - 140

Philadelphia Phillies - 170

Arizona Diamondbacks - 125 * * *

Best Bet ***

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Gamblers world

TIP OF THE DAY

Dallas Stars vs. San Jose Sharks

Prediction: San Jose Sharks

Current Line: -145 Over/Under: 5 Reason: The fans at HP Pavilion will be treated to a playoff game between the Dallas Stars and the San Jose Sharks when they take their seats on Friday. Oddsmakers currently have the Sharks listed as 145-moneyline favorites versus the Stars, while the game's total is sitting at 5. Milan Michalek scored a power play goal to lift the Sharks to a 2-1 win over the Stars on Wednesday and now trail the best-of-seven Western Conference semi-final series 3-1. The Sharks won the game as -160 favorites, while the three goals went UNDER the posted over/under (5). Patrick Marleau scored the other goal for the Sharks shorthanded. Jere Lehtinen scored for the Stars, and Marty Turco made 22 saves in a losing effort. The Stars were +140 underdogs in Game 4. Team records: Dallas: 45-30-7 San Jose: 49-23-10 Dallas most recently: When playing on Friday are 3-7 Before playing Los Angeles are 5-5 After playing San Jose are 7-3 After a loss are 6-4 San Jose most recently: When playing on Friday are 4-6 Before playing Toronto are 3-3-2 After playing Dallas are 5-5 After a win are 5-5 A few trends to consider: Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Jose Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose San Jose is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home San Jose is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games San Jose is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas San Jose is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas

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Nite Owl Sports

Boston Celtics @ Atlanta Hawks
Pick: 3 units Boston Celtics -8

Let's see, Boston won SU and ATS in games one and two at home, then Atlanta did the same in games 3 and 4, and Boston followed suit and did the same in game 5, so tthe home team is now 5-0 SU and ATS in this series-- hey, this is easy, just go with Atlanta to keep this obvious trend going by winning or at least covering as 8 point home dogs in game 6, right? NO, WRONG! The Nite Owl has been capping hoops for > 20 years, and in that time he has seen this game six "revert to the norm" pattern occur too many times over the years not to be acutely aware of it. And in cases where the favored road team in game 6 has won and covered in all three home games of the series, their chances of winning and covering on the road in game 6 are just that much better, regardless of the results in games 3 and 4.

So why does this happen? We have our theories, which we will get into in a moment, but the important thing is that is does happen consistently, and we will give a few recent examples below. But first, our theories about why the road fave that is up 3-2 in the series is a consistently good play, especially in the early rouinds. First, the fact that the road team is favored means that they are clearly the better of the two teams, especially a number 1 seed vs a #8, as we have here. And favored first round teams (especially a number 1 seed vs a #8, as we have here) would rather get their first series over with in as few games as possible, and certainly don't want it to drag out to 7 games. Last night, even the Detroit Pistons, who were in a similarly good situation to Boston's tonite (as a #2 seed vs a #7 seed, playing as a road fave and up 3-2 in the series) wiped the court with the Sixers, winning 100-77 as just 5 point faves. If an inconsistent team like Detroit (which is as much of a collective "head case" as there is in the NBA) can "get down to business" in this game 6 situation, surely the more reliable, more consistent Celtics can do the same vs an Atlanta team which is no better than Philly. The other factor lies more with the "psyche" of the underdog home team which is down 2-3 (Atlanta in this case) and has been whipped decisively in all 3 games on their opponent's court, in that they know they have no chance of winning a game 7 at the same venue where they have already been creamed three times in the past week, so what's the point in busting their tails to win game 6 and qualify for another whipping, in game 7, at that hostile venue? Obviously none of the Atlanta players will publicly admit that, and we can't actually get inside their heads, but we believe that they will actually have such a negative mental approach for this game, which will intensify if Boston jumps on them and gets them down early, as we expect to be the case. OK, enough psycho-analysis, what about some actual recent examples where this game 6 surprise syndrome has actually worked in the NBA playoffs?

OK, in addition to the aforementioned Detroit game 6 blowout of Philly last night, here are two other recent examples, both involving the SA Spurs, a team which now may be past its prime of a few years ago, but which (at least in their recent championship editions) reminds us alot of TY's Celtics, the way they could both "lock down" on defense and have offensive spurts when they needed them. The most recent example of SA succeeding in this game 6 scenario was in their 2005-06 first round playoff series vs the Sacto Kings, in which SA took games 1 and 2 SU and ATS, followed by Sacto doing the same in games 3 and 4 as a home dog, then SA following suit in game 5, culminated by SA romping to a 22 point win in game 6 at Sacto as 3 point faves, down from their -5 price in game 4, as the public was convinced Sacto could "do it again" to SA as a home dog -- NOT. And it was a similar scenario for the Spurs against the Lakers in 2002-03, with SA starting out the series with covering wins in games 1 and 2, losing games 3 and 4 SU and ATS in LA, coming back to win game 5 at home, and then absolutely crushing the "Lake (fake?)show" by 28 points in game 6 in LA, as 5 point road dogs, no less.

So as you can see, the obvious is not always the right way to go, especially when it comes to picking winners in the NBA, which we have been very good all season long TY, winning nearly 60% on our NBA side picks at Top Ten. Hopefully after you see for yourself the thought and thorough analysis we put into our picks and write-ups, you will join our winning team and let us do all the hard work for you, so all you need to do is get our picks, read our write ups, get the line and decide how much you want to bet, and then collect from your "man" after you win.

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Mr A's

Cleveland Cavaliers +4

Boston Celtics - 8

Boston at Atlanta Over - 189

Utah Jazz - 7½

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Sports Lock

Chicago White Sox (+115) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (-135)

The Chicago White Sox continue their road trip in Toronto taking on the Blue Jays. The White Sox are sending their ace Mark Buehrle to the mound. Buehrle has gotten off to a rough start as he currently has a record of 1-2 with a 5.65 ERA. Toronto has struggled against left-handed pitching this year going 1-4. Pitching for the Blue Jays is Shaun Marcum who carries a 2-2 record with a 3.24 ERA. This is the first meeting of these two teams this year. Chicago is looking to put a stop to a two game skit at the hands of the Twins. The Blue Jays are back home after losing 2 of 3 in Boston. Its going to be a battle of the White Sox offense, which ranks second in the league scoring 5.04 runs a game, versus Toronto’s defense which ranks second in the league only surrendering 4.00 runs a game. Surprisingly the Blue Jays actually give up more runs at home, allowing 4.67 a game which is 10th in the league. Toronto will need their offense to come alive as they are currently the third worst team as far as scoring. Look for the Chicago’s bats to come alive as they take this series opener. This is a great opportunity to cash in on a good payout by taking the underdog.

LOCK = Chicago White Sox +115

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Brandon Lang

20 Dime - Rockets

10 Dime - Celtics
10 Dime - Marlins

Free Pick - Cards

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EZWINNERS MLB

2 STAR: (904) FLORIDA (-$120) over San Diego
(Listing Hendrickson and Germano)
(Risking $240 to win $200)

2 STAR: (915) NY METS (+$107) over Arizona
(Listing Maine only)
(Risking $200 to win $214)

2 STAR: (919) SEATTLE (+$131) over NY Yankees
(Listing Bedard only)
(Risking $200 to win $262)

1 STAR: (917) TAMPA BAY (+$163) over Boston
(Listing Jackson only)
(Risking $100 to win $163)

1 STAR: (921) CHICAGO (+$120) over Toronto
(Listing Buehrle only)
(Risking $100 to win $120)

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JUST WONDERING IF ANYONE HAVE SEEN CALFORNIA SPORTS OR ACCUPICKS 4 FRI.ALSO TO WHOM IT MAY CONCERN THANK U 4 ALL THE POSTS U DO THANKU   RAZORAZE......

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Re: Friday Service Plays

John Ryan

Game: Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz
Prediction: under

Reason: Ai Simulator 5* graded play UNDER Houston/Utah – AiS shows a 79% probability that 180 or fewer points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 126-67 and has made 52.3 units since 2002. Play under with all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points that is a good 3PT shooting team hitting >=36.5% and is now facing an average 3PT shooting team hitting 33-36.5% and in a game involving two good ball handling teams committing <=14.5 TOPG. Houston boasts a 15-7 UNDER (+7.3 Units) versus good passing teams that are averaging >=23 assists/game this season. Utah is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game in the 2nd half of the season this season; 24-10 UNDER (+13.0 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams attempting <=24 free throws/game this season.

Game: Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks
Prediction: Atlanta Hawks

Reason: Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Atlanta – AiS projects an 81% probability that Atlanta will lose this game by 8 or fewer points. Boston is just 51-76 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996. Atlanta is 78-52 ATS in home games revenging a road loss versus opponent of 10 points or more since 1996. Supporting this graded play is a money line system that has gone 146-95 and has made 51.8 units for 61% since 1996. So yes, adding a 1.5* amount on the money line is a suitable optional wager.


Game: Cleveland Cavaliers at Washington Wizards
Prediction: Washington Wizards

Reason: Ai Simulator 5* graded play on the Wizards – AiS shows an 80% probability that the Wizards will win this game by 5 or more points. AiS also shows an 88% probability that Cleveland will shoot not higher than 47% from the field and 38% from 3-point territory. The busy playoff schedule also places Washington into a strong role. Note that Washington is 18-7 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season. Supporting this graded play is a money line system that has gone 86-21 and has made 43.6 units for 80% since 2002. Play against a road teams versus the money line after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games and is a marginal winning team sporting a winning percentage of 51% to 60% playing a winning team.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

JeffMoney

Bluejays Un 8.5, -105 (pod)

Tigers -140

Marlins -125

Celtics -8

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Frank Rosenthal

Nba Playoffs *
516 Hawks+8.5 Sb
Umder 189.5 Sb
518 Wizards-3.5 Sb
Over 187 Sb
520 Jazz-7 Sb
Over 180 Sb

Major League Baseball
904 Fish-120 Sb
905 Pirates Under 9.5 Sb
910 Astros Under 9 Sb+
914 Rockies+105 Sb
915 Nym+110 Sb
920 Yanks-140 Sb
925 Tigers Over 9.5 Sb+
930 A's-140 Sb+

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