Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

BRYAN LEONARD

San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies
PICK: Philadelphia Phillies

Tonight's starter for the Padres Chris Young was unhittable last year in Petco Park. But he has not been the same pitcher on the road. In fact, the Padres are 0-8 in his last eight starts away from pitcher friendly Petco. In the past five road games he has allowed 20 earned runs in 25 innings of work. His strikeout to walk ratio is 24 to 20. Now he will be facing a Philadelphia offense which has scored 46 runs their last 8 games, 5.75 runs per game.

Philadelphia is 13-4 when Jamie Moyer takes the hill at home. He will be taking on a Padres team hitting just .182 this year vs left-handed starters. They are scoring just 2.86 runs per game vs lefties. In their last six games San Diego has produced just 16 runs, just 2.67 runs per game. The Padres have dropped 7 of 8 games heading into tonight's matchup and the current line isn't reflecting their struggles.

PLAY PHILADELPHIA

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

VEGAS RUNNER

DIAMONDBACKS -170 (1*)...I took a minute and explained how we look at Value yesterday and how you do not need to be getting + money to have Value...and this is another perfect example, since I feel that Arizona w/ Johnson have a much better chance of winning this game than 63% which is needed to lay this kind of chalk...to be even more frank, we were possibly going to make this a 2* Wager and split it up like we did with the Phils last night and Arz the night prior...when we put 1*RL/1*ML...but after doing the work, I found that laying the 1.5 in this one just didn't look to be a great wager or offer the type of payback I would have liked when facing an ump like we have behind the plate today who has shown to prefer low-scoring contests....so with so much on tap for Tonight and some Big Units that will be in play, lets go ahead and see if we can get a jump start to the day and lay the chalk for 1*...VR

2.) SF GIANTS -114 (1*)...Sanchez loves being a starter and the kid looks like he is out to prove its where he belongs...Colorado got the winning run on a Balk so it wasn't their offense that got the win yesterday and they should have problems getting going against Sanchez, while the Giants should be able to get enough runs across on Jimenez and his command problems to get the win at home...VR

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Rocketman

5* Florida
4'* S Fran
3* Yankees

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Oscarxena Sports

3 Units Toronto +1.53
Two teams that are really struggling to hit the ball right now meet in Fenway Park this evening as the Blue Jays look to wake up against the Red Sox. The Blue Jays have Dustin McGowan on the mound tonight and in his last start he was very wild with his control walking seven batters in ultimately losing the game 5-3. Before that start McGowan was showing exceptional command and I will shake off that last outing. For the Red Sox they have Daisuke Matsuzaka on the hill and he has not pitched for 12 days now as he has been battling the flu bug. Matsuzaka has struggled with his command all year and you have to figure will be a little wild early here tonight. The line is just to high for me to pass up this evening here with the Blue Jays and with both bullpens somewhat rested the Jays should have their full complement of pitchers available late if they need it. Take the Blue Jays at this big price.

3 Units San Diego/Philadelphia Under 10 -1.26
Tonight's matchup in Philadelphia has Chris Young pitching for the Padres who has gotten off to a rough start so far this year but that has mainly due to a couple of poor outings to begin the season. Young has pitched very well in his last two starts and I think that trend will continue this evening in Philadelphia. The Phillies are responding with Jamie Moyer who in very similar style to Young began the season terribly but has pitched well lately. Last night's game in Philly was a solid Under until both teams rallied for 7 runs in the last two innings and I think we will see both pitchers take control tonight. I very rarely like laying favorite prices but I think this one should stay Under this evening and the weather is somewhat cold in Philly as well.

3 Units Seattle +1.70
Another game that is to hard to pass up at such a big price. Washburn for the Mariners has pitched pretty well this year as he has a 4.03 ERA in 29 IP and has a 15 strikeout to 5 walk ratio under his belt. In his last ten starts against the Indians his teams have went 7-3 so he is very capable of pitching well here tonight and the Indians are having trouble hitting so far this year and are only 3-5 when taking on left handed starting pitchers. The reason this line is so incredibly high is the performance thus far of Cliff Lee as he has been simply dominant so far this year but in his last ten starts against the Mariners his team has only went 4-6. I am not sure that Lee will keep this pace up this year and because of the Mariners breakout in the ninth inning last night they should have their bullpen rested for this evening. Another value play here and I suggest taking the Mariners this evening.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

JeffMoney

Yanks -135 (pod)
Cubs -135
Braves -115

Mon +105

Celtics -14

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Larry Ness

Oddsmaker's Error - Florida Marlins

Weekly Wipeout Winner - Boston Celtics

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Big AL

3* NL GOM LA Dodgers (Billingsley/Olsen)

Hawks/Celtics under (Opinion)

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Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Atlanta/Boston Over 187.5
The Hawks looked great in Game Three and Game Four, but was it just home cooking? Can this Atlanta team win on the road in Boston? My answer would be no, but the Hawks gained a lot of confidence and believe it or not they do have the more athletic team. There are a few scenarios that could happen in this game. Atlanta could keep it and win again, but they will need to put up a lot of points to do so. Boston could settle in and play good defense, but I still think the Celtics will run up the score if they get a big lead just to prove that they are indeed the better team. Its tough to say which teams we will get tonight, but you can bet that the building will be rocking. I think when the final horn sounds this game will go over the total.

Major League Baseball
Tigers/Yankees Over 9.5 -110
Pettitte/Bonderman


Savannah Sports

2 Units LA Dodgers
2 Units on LA Angels Under 8.5

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Ethan Law

1* OAKLAND
1* SEATTLE/CLEVELAND OVER 8.5
1* TAMPA BAY/BALTIMORE OVER 9.5
1* TORONTO

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Terron Chapman

Washington Wizards vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Play: Cleveland Cavaliers   

The Washington Wizards have tried everything they could think of to get into the head on Lebron James. Nothing has seemed to work.

Now they find themselves in a win or go home situation on the road in a place where they have not had much success lately. The Wiz have failed to cover in two trips to Cleveland already in this series and neither game was really that close. In fact, the Wizards are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff games as a road pup with all four losses coming at the hands of the Cavs.

The Cavs don't want to travel back to Washington for a game 6 and realize they must close out the Wiz this evening. "They're down 3-1. We need to put them away" said James. The Wiz have yet to show the fight needed to win a road game in the playoffs let alone a win or go home situation. The better team with the best player on the floor gets it done to tonight minus the chalk. Play 1 1 unit on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Tony Karpinski

San Jose Sharks vs. Dallas Stars
Play: San Jose Sharks   

San Jose at Dallas (NHL Playoff Action) 9:05PM ET The Dallas Stars now hold a 3-0 lead in this series after an OT win last night. The home team in this series has only won 4 of the past 17 games dating back to last season. This is a must win for San Jose and they have too much of a veteran team to go down and they were the best road team in the NHL this season. Even though Barry Melrose from ESPN is a jinx and picked San Jose to win it all, I'll take them in Game 4 Wednesday Night to get us the victory. Play on San Jose 

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Black Magic Sports

1 Unit on Wizards/Cavs U 191.5

With this being an elimination game tonight, look for the defensive intensity to be more fierce than it has in the first 4 games of this series.  The Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games as a road underdog.  The Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.  The Under is 13-3 in Cavaliers last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Under is 12-3 in Cavaliers last 15 games as a home favorite.  Cleveland will control the tempo at home tonight, which favors a defensive battle and a half-court offense.  They don’t want to try and run with the Wizards.  Cash in with the UNDER 191.5 points

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Wunderdog

San Jose at Dallas
Pick: Dallas -155

We rode Dallas to a win last night and we'll stay on this gravy train as the Stars are knocking down all comers. Sure, they have gotten two victories this postseason in OT. But, they are just winning. They are more focused and playing harder than their competition. For the Sharks, they know in their hearts they are done. Only two teams have come from 0-3 down to win a series (1942 Toronto and 1975 NY Islanders). We think Dallas will be ready for a hard effort from San Jose. "We're going to try to end their season, and they know that," Mattias Norstrom said. "The desperation level will be higher, so we have to match that and exceed it." The Sharks offense just hasn't been good enough (averaging 2.0 goals per game their last five). In contrast, Dallas has averaged 3.3 goals per game in the playoffs while holding foes to 2.0. This just isn't a good match for the Sharks. San Jose is now 1-9 this season against teams that allow under 28 shots on goal and under 16% power play conversion. We'll take the Stars to end it here.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Black Widow Sports

1* on Blue Jays - Red Sox U 8.5
(List McGowan and Matsuzaka)

Daisuke Matsuzaka and Dustin McGowan come into this game with solid starts to the season and 3.14 and 4.18 ERA’s respectively.  The UNDER is 4-0 in the Red Sox last 4 games overall and the Blue Jays are 8-2 UNDER in their last 10 games overall.  Neither squad is hitting the ball with any efficiency right now.  The Blue Jays are scoring just 2.9 runs per game over their last 7 games while the Red Sox are putting up just 3.1 runs per game their last 7 contests.  Toronto is 14-3 UNDER (+10.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.  Take the UNDER 8.5 runs.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Chris James 23-8 record on 4*

NBA
4* Wash
2* Bos

MLB
2* Philly
1* FL

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Wayne Root

Chairman - Celtics
Millionaire - Wizards
No Limit - A's
Perfect Play - Royals

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Dr. Bob

Wednesday NBA Playoff Analysis
BOSTON (-14) over Atlanta
The Hawks bounced back from two beatings in Boston to win a couple of games in Atlanta, but they should continue to be overwhelmed on the road. Atlanta has struggled to stay competitive with good teams on the road, posting a mark of just 3-10 ATS as a road underdog of 9 points or more (1-3 ATS at Boston), and my ratings favor the Celtics by 15 ½ points in this game. I’ll lean with Boston at -14 points or less based on the line value.

Washington at CLEVELAND (-5)
Cleveland has control of this series after winning game 4 in D.C., but the Cavaliers have had a tendency to letdown after good efforts this season (13-26 ATS after a spread win, including 4-15 ATS recently) and Washington is 18-8 ATS in revenge games this season. However, LeBron James and the Cavaliers tend to raise their level of play in the post-season and the Cavs are now 24-13 ATS in the playoffs in the James era. My ratings favor Cleveland by 5 points, so there is no line value favoring either side, and I have no opinion on this game.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Indiancowboy

Celtics -14 (POD)

I believe the research that I wrote today on the website describes this game fairly well. Keep in mind that as you read this the Hawks are the worst road team in the Playoffs this year in the NBA 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games while the Celtics are 8-0 ATS when home being favored and I simply love them behind the Boston crowd fired up and ready to run the score up on the Hawks here:

Keep in mind that I hit the over twice between these 2 teams when the game is in Atlanta fitting into the underdog/over principle which I believe in avidly. However, do note that the under and Boston cashed both times in Boston while the over and the Hawks cashed while in Atlanta. Hence, favor/under and underdog/over is what has essentially occured here. Don't get me wrong, I love the Hawks, but at the same time, this is a very proud Celtics team that has clearly shown they can win at home, yes, the Hawks have momentum, but this Celtics team led by 10 heading into the 4th quarter and it is the Hotlanta crowd that propelled them a great deal in my opinion. Plus, it will be incredibly tough for Josh Smith and Joe Johnson to score all the Hawks points in the 4th quarter this time around as well as Boston and Doc Rivers will make defensive adjustments back at home. Look for this game to be a repeat of game 1 and 2 in my opinion as I like the fact that the public is taking both sides here at a 50/50 rate, as I think Boston has a chance to really lay the wood down here in game 5 and I would not be surprised to see a Hawks/over - but in game 6 as I think game 5 will likely belong to Boston decisively.

Cavs/Washington Over 192

Look, I have already written a book about the other plays as I write this write-up last. The bottom line is it is far too tempting to notice that nearly 80% are on the Cavs today. However, rather than take the Cavs that are Massive public favorites, I believe similar to the Hawks who were active dogs and showed heart as they covered and the game went over, I will gladly take the over here as I think Washington leaves it all out on the floor. Washington realizes that this is it for them and they are in the same boat as the Rockets. The Wizards were terrible in the first 2 ballgames putting up just 86 points a peice and I do not see that tonight as I see them possibly dropping a 100 on the Cavs defense tonight. Will it be enough for an outright win or cover? I'm not sure, but I do like the over here as I think the public is wrong about the Wizards not being an active dog and I expect this game to go over. The over is 22-10-1 in Cavaliers last 33 games as a favorite of less than 5 points and the over is 5-2 after a straight up loss of more than 10 points for the Wizards.

Marlins -102

Even after being down 6-1 the Marlins nearly came back to win yesterday as it took a late run by the Dodgers to win 7-6. Why is this important? It shows that here is incredible fight in this young team led by Hanley, Ugla and Cantu. This team is young, feisty and has plenty of heart and talent. Note that this team has not lost back to back games for roughly 2 weeks. Billingsley has struggled in the early going for the Dodgers as he has given up 9 runs in 11 innings and although he did strikeout 12 against the Dbacks, the fact that he has given up so many runs is a concner. Keep in mind the Marlins are putting up runs with comfort, Olsen has pitched 4 straight quality starts and has given up just 1 run in his last 21 innings of work and the Marlins typically do not lose back to back games this year, I look for the Marlins to actually do well here today as the Marlins are 2nd in the league in home runs and frankly I don't beleive they should be a dog here. Dodgers have lost Billingsley's last 4 starts while the Marlins have gotten solid backing from Olsen as they have won his last 6 starts. Olsen will continue to have a step-out year in my opinion as the Marlins have the better pithcer on the mound, are on a bounce-back and are backed by a great offense

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