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Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Brian Marshall

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Plays On: Cincinnati/St. Louis Over 9

Game Analyses: Do you love high-scoring baseball games? If yes, you will love Tuesday's MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals.

The Cincinnati Reds will be lead by starting pitcher Johnny Cueto. Johnny Cueto has struggled so far this season. In fact, Johnny Cueto has a 4.05 ERA on the season. In addition, Johnny Cueto has a 5.40 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Johnny Cueto giving up many runs once again tonight!

The St. Louis Cardinals will be lead by starting pitcher Joel Pineiro. Joel Pineiro has also struggled so far this season. In fact, Joel Pineiro has a 5.29 ERA on the season. We see Joel Pineiro having another bad game tonight!

The "Over" has been a solid investment in Cincinnati Reds road games. This is shown by the "Over" being 6-2 in the Cincinnati Reds last 8 road games.

Take the Cincinnati Reds/St. Louis Cardinals Over 9

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Dunkel Index: Baseball

Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs

Milwaukee starter Ben Sheets has been stellar so far this season (3-0, 0.96), but he faces a Cubs team today that has won 10 of 14 at home. Chicago is the underdog pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Cubs favored straight up by 1.

Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+110).

Here are all of today's games.

Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: San Diego at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Maddux) 14.157; Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.559
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-170); Over

Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Snell) 13.758; NY Mets (Santana) 14.997
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-215); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-215); Over

Game 955-956: Atlanta at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Glavine) 15.721; Washington (Redding) 15.170
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-120); Under

Game 957-958: LA Dodgers at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lowe) 15.756; Florida (Miller) 15.190
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-135); Under

Game 959-960: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Sheets) 15.208; Cubs (Marquis) 16.420
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+110);

Game 961-962: Cincinnati at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.192; St. Louis (Pineiro) 14.814
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100); Under

Game 963-964: Houston at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Cassel) 15.671; Arizona (Gonzalez) 15.630
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+135); Under

Game 965-966: Colorado at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 15.413; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.887
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Over

Game 967-968: Seattle at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Silva) 15.705; Cleveland (Carmona) 16.144
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-170); Under

Game 969-970: Detroit at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Rogers) 15.564; NY Yankees (Hughes) 16.255
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130); Under

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hammel) 15.295; Baltimore (Olson) 16.146
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+110); Under

Game 973-974: Toronto at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 13.638; Boston (Lester) 15.626
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+105); Over

Game 975-976: Kansas City at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Tomko) 13.246; Texas (Jennings) 13.907
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-130); Over

Game 977-978: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 15.993; Minnesota (Bonser) 14.817
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-110); Under

Game 979-980: Oakland at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Smith) 17.015; LA Angels (Saunders) 17.566
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-130); Over


Philadelphia at Detroit

The Pistons finally flexed some muscle in outscoring the Sixers 57-38 in the second half to take Game Four in Philadelphia. Returning home tonight, Detroit looks to build on its 9-5 ATS record when listed as a favorite between 6 1/2 and 9 points. The Pistons are the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has Detroit favored by 10.

Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-9).

Here are all of today's games.
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 723-724: Philadelphia at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 115.503; Detroit 125.684
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 10; 175
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 9; 178
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-9); Under

Game 725-726: Dallas at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 120.373; New Orleans 128.348
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 8; 196
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 6; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6); Over

Game 727-728: Utah at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 126.368; Houston 125.418
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 1; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 2; 182
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+2); Under

Dunkel Index: NHL

Montreal at Philadelphia

The Flyers come off an emotional win at Montreal in Game Two and look to take advantage of a Canadiens team that lost two of three on the road in their first-round series against Boston. Philadelphia is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Flyers favored by 1.

Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135).

Here are all of today's games.

Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 59-60: Montreal at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.491; Philadelphia 12.534
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Under

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Lekota Sports         

Houston -2    

Seattle/Cleveland Under 8.5    

Templer's Sports Picks    

San Diego/Greg Maddux +1.5    

Frank Patron

Houston Rockets -2


Arizona/Under 10

Jack Clayton


RedZone Sports

San Diego Padres


San Francisco -120


Det Red Wings


NY Yankees -135


Detroit/Colorado Over 5    


Padres/ Phillies Under

Scott Spreitzer

Astros/Dbacks Over

Mike Wynn

Texas Rangers

Glen Mcgrew

Jazz/ Rockets Under

Computer Sports

White Sox

Joe Wiz


Bob Donahue


Dark Horse Sports


Mighty Quinn


Big Al

NY Rangers -139

Huddle UP

Milwaukee -130

#1 Sports







Mavericks & Hornets Over 193




Philadelphia 76ers

Paul Leiner

10* Sixers +9

Jennifer Barry

Detroit/New York Over 10.5 Runs

Chad Jordan

Dallas/New Orleans Over 193 Points

Donald Tran

Philadelphia/Detroit Under 178 Points

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Priceless Picks

1 Unit on Toronto Blue Jays -102
(listing Halladay)

It's not often you can nab Blue Jay's ace Roy Halladay at such a bargain price, especially when he is facing a team that the Blue Jays have beaten 7 times in a row.  Boston heads into this one struggling badly, having lost 5 straight games.  The Blue Jays are 61-28 in Halladay's last 89 starts, 44-20 in Halladay's last 64 starts vs. the American League East, 28-6 in Halladay's last 34 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game, and 87-35 in Halladay's last 122 starts as a favorite.  Halladay is clearly one of the best in the game and I'll take him here against the struggling BoSox.

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Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on LA Dodgers -130
(listing Lowe and Miller)

The Dodgers have had their way with the Marlins on the road winning 5 of the last 7 meetings in Florida.  Also, the Marlins have really struggled against the tough NL West division.  The Marlins are only 5-16 in their last 21 vs. the National League West.  The difference in this one will be Lowe on the mound for the Dodgers.  The Dodgers are 8-2 in Lowe's last 10 starts as a favorite, 8-3 in Lowe's last 11 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150, and 11-5 in Lowe's last 16 starts vs. National League East.  The Dodgers are starting to round into shape having won 4 of their last 5.  We'll take them tonight behind their dominant starter.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Vic Monte

100* Inside Info Selection - St. Louis Cards -1.05

The St. Louis Cards come into play on Tuesday with a profitable 10-6 Home record plus $211. The Reds invade St. Louis struggling on the road where they have gone 6-7 minus $74 and send rookie Johnny Cueto to the pitching rubber. Cueto has a ton of talent but that talent has turned into profit yet this season. The Reds are 1-4 in Cueto's starts and minus $449. Cueto is a money burner ranked 89 out of 92 starting pitchers in the National League. The Cards will send Joel Pinero to the hill. The Cards are 1-2, minus $106 in Pinero's starts this season. Pinero seems to pitch better at night then during the day. Take a look at these splits. In the 2008 season Pinero is 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA during the day & is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA at night. In that lone evening start Joel Pinero went 7 innings and K'd 6 Batters, Allowing only 1 Run on 4 hits and walking 1 batter in route to beating the Pirates on 4/24. With those details in mind it's safe to say the Cards have the Starting Pitching Edge. The Cards lost yesterday night to the Reds 4-3. This puts the Cards in a perfect "Bounce Back" spot as St. Louis is a Money Making 9-2 this season following a loss. Want more? The Reds are only 3-9 when Phil Cuzzi behind home plate. 100* Inside Info Selection St Louis Cards.

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L.A. DODGERS -140     
L.A. ANGELS -130       
N.Y. YANKEES -130     


SAN ANTONIO -5       
NEW ORLEANS -6       

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David Malinsky

Pirates (RL) @ Mets (RL)
PICK: Pirates (RL)

NOTE - A 24-hour delay does not change this in any appreciable way, so we will repeat the same analysis.

In a game with an Over/Under of “7”, +1.5 runs is worth a fortune. Yet we are able to make that purchase at -105 with the Pirates right now, with market indications that it could get even better over the course of the day. That is too good to pass up.

Yes, Johan Santana is special, but right now the offense behind him is not. The Met lineup is loaded with players that are not hitting (Jose Reyes at .237 and Carlos Beltran at .224), and those that might not hit (Carlos Delgado is only at .205, even after yesterday’s big game, and Endy Chavez at .160). Only the Nationals and Giants have fewer home runs. They are going to be without Brian Schneider behind the plate again, and while Raul Casanova went 3-4 and hit a home run yesterday, his long-term ability to produce is a question mark. This will also be the first time that Santana and Casanova have ever worked together, which can bring its own issues. And facing Ian Snell does not help matters - tonight’s projected New York starters are just 10-48 (.208) against the young Pittsburgh right-hander.

Snell’s 2-1/4.45 would only peg him as a league-average pitcher so far, but he is much better than that. He is developing some moxie to go along with his physical repertoire, and his last outing against St. Louis was an excellent example of that. On a night in which he did not have his best stuff, with the Cardinals racking him for four runs in the first inning, he settled down and threw five straight zeroes after that, keeping the Pirates in a game that they eventually won. He is now earning the tag of being a “battler” from us, and the late-season form of 2007 is carrying over - he has completed at least six full innings in 13 of his last 14 starts, going 5.1 in the other, and in those games Pittsburgh would have been 11-3 as +1.5 runs, including a perfect 5-0 this season (they are 4-1 outright in Snell’s starts, out-scoring the opposition by 11 runs).

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Vegas Experts

Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers

Don’t ever lay the juice when Jason Jennings is on the hill. He is the proud owner of an 0-9 team start record when favored and a 1-12 TSR in home games certainly isn’t something to be proud of either. For crying out loud, the man’s TSR over his last 23 outings is 3-20! In other words, look for the Royals to win tonight.

Play on: Kansas City

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LT Profits

Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons Under 178.0

The Detroit Pistons and the Philadelphia 76ers have gone Under in three of the first four games of this series, and we expect more of the same tonight.

The Pistons seem to play best defensively when their backs are against the wall, and after losing the first and third game of this series, they responded by holding Philadelphia to 84 and 88 respectively in the following games. In fact, the Under is 6-2 in Detroit’s last eight games overall, and all six of those Under saw less than 178 points scored. Then again, this is nothing new for this team with loads of post-season experience. The Pistons have now played 112 playoff games since 2003, with the Under going 63-46-3, 57.8 percent and those contests averaging just 175.0 points.

The Sixers blew a chance to take control of this series when they blew a 10-point halftime lead in Game 4 and were in fact dominated in the second half. Philadelphia’s youth and playoff inexperience may have benefitted them earlier in the series, but those things are now a detriment in crunch time. The 76ers are averaging 89.3 points per game over the first four games, and we don’t think they will reach even that modest number now that the Detroit defense has gotten its wake-up call.

Look for this game to top out in the low 170’s, with a final in the 160s more likely.

Pick: 76ers, Pistons Under 178

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants Under 7.0 

San Francisco Giants starter Tim Lincecum has some of the best stuff in baseball, which is why he has managed to go 4-0 with very little run support. Aaron Cook of the Colorado Rockies has been no slough himself however, so we feel that the Under is the play here.

Lincecum would be a Cy Young candidate if he played for a winning team, and he may be yet considering he manages to get wins anyway. He has allowed a grand total of three runs in four starts this year, which has overcome the fact that the woeful Giants offense scored three runs or less in three of them. He has tossed 13.1 scoreless innings over his last two outings, and he now has a whopping 36 strikeouts in 29.1 innings overall this season.

Don’t forget about Colorado starter Aaron Cook here either, as he has reeled off four straight Quality Starts since allowing four runs in six innings in his seasonal debut. Cook has a fine 2.91 ERA in his own right, to go with an outstanding 1.03 WHIP over 34 innings. Also, the last time he faced the Giants, he tossed a Complete Game while allowing one run and just five hits last season.

Finally, neither of these offenses is exactly tearing up the baseball either, which was apparent in the Giants 4-0 win last night. Do not expect that to change tonight given this pitching matchup.

Pick: Rockies, Giants Under 7

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Insider Sports Report

4* Dallas/New Orleans (NBA) OVER 193
Range 191.5 to 195

4* L.A. Dodgers (Lowe) -130 over Florida (Miller)
Range -115 to -150

3* Chicago White Sox (Floyd) -110 over Minnesota (Bonser)
Range +110 to -130

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Lee Kostroski

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
PICK: Under

In three of his four starts this season Gavin Floyd has allowed three runs or fewer in six innings or greater. He was tagged for five runs against the Yankees in his last start but overall he has had brilliant results so far this season with a 2.84 ERA and only 14 hits allowed in over 25 innings pitched. The ‘under’ has won in eight of his last ten starts and he is poised for another strong outing against a Twins offense that has had limited success this season.

The Twins are 1-4 in Boof Bonser’s five starts this season but that is not a fair reflection of how he has pitched. Bonser had quality starts in four of those five outings but his teammates have generated a grand total of seven runs in the five games that he has pitched. Even though Bonser has not posted amazing numbers the ‘under’ is 16-5-1 dating back to the middle of last season in his starts. Both teams are also supported by experienced deep bullpens that have posted solid numbers so far this season.

Chicago’s offense has decent numbers overall this season but in recent games the numbers have slipped, hitting just .240 in the last ten games. The Twins are averaging just 3.2 runs per game in the last ten games despite posting 12 runs in a single game over the weekend in Texas. Neither pitcher will get great respect from the oddsmakers, but both are throwing well right now and should be able to put together good outings in this match-up.

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Cincinnati at St. Louis
Pick: Cincinnati -110

The Reds have won three straight, looking to a rookie to make it four in a row. We think Johnny Cueto can do it. He's got a 4.05 ERA and is facing a struggling St. Louis offense (4.1 runs per game at home). He's opposed by Joel Pineiro (5.29 ERA) and we like the Reds' offense here, anchored by hot Edwin Encarnacion (batting .298 with 6 HR and 14 RBI). The Cards are off a 3-4 loss and they are just 19-31 the past three seasons off a one-run loss. We like the hotter Reds here.

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Ben Burns
Dallas Mavericks +6.5 / 5 units
Los Angeles Angels -133 / 5 units

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Phoenix Under 198

New Orleans-6

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NHL Det -110 (pod)

NBA Hornets -6

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Today we are going to ride the best arm in baseball, Johan Santana!  Johan was booed off the mound in his home debut and don't think for one minute that he will let this happen again.  Santana has been absolutely lights out this year!  He is 3-2 with a 3.03 ERA and an outstanding 33 stikeouts to only 5 walks!  He has had to take the loss in a couple games in which the Mets just couldn't hit the ball!  The Mets have turned that around 5 runs in their last 5 games!  Delgado and Beltran are starting to come around and that will be too much for the young arm of Ian Snell.  Snell is a good young pitcher but he isn't going to shut any team out and especially on the road!  I look for Snell to give up 4-5 runs tonight which will be plenty for Johan and the Mets!  Join me and take Johan (on an extra days rest) for 5 units tonight to get ahead for the month! 

Take the Mets -180





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Yankee Capper

3 Units - Toronto Blue Jays

3 Units - Pens/Rangers Over 5

2 Units - Phoenix Suns +5

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Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox
PICK: Toronto Blue Jays

REASON FOR PICK: Neither the Blue Jays nor the Red Sox are playing well right now. But at a pick'em type price, I have to make a minor investment in Toronto with Roy Halladay on the hill versus southpaw Jon Lester.

Halladay is an ace. Lester has a 5.40 ERA and has yet to fully prove himself. Lester has allowed 37 hits this season and 19 walks in 31 2/3 innings. The Red Sox are averaging 2.8 runs in their last five games, all losses.

The Blue Jays were 26-17 against left-handers last season, although just 1-4 so far this season. The return of Scott Rolen is a plus against lefties.

Toronto swept Boston during its three-game series earlier this month. The Blue Jays weren't intimidated by Boston's bullpen, racking Red Sox relievers for 10 earned runs on 11 hits in 8 1/3 innings.

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Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs
PICK: Chicago Cubs

REASON FOR PICK: This is a great price for the Cubs at home where they are 10-4 on the season. This number is based on nothing more than the name of Ben Sheets and I will go into that later. Chicago has dumped three of its last four games but those came on the road and the lead in the National League Central has dwindled to just a game making this series a pretty big one. The Brewers won the first series in 2008 to open the season and even though it is early, these games can go a long way.

Milwaukee hits the road following a disappointing 3-4 homestand and it also comes into this game with a 1-3 record over its last four games. The Brewers have been above average on the road with a 7-5 record but it is pretty soft considering both hitting and pitching are not flourishing away from home. Milwaukee is hitting just .220 on the road this season and while the bullpen has been decent, the starters have put up a 4.57 ERA in road contests.

Back to Sheets. He is definitely a big time pitcher and one that often deserves being a road chalk but not in this case. He is becoming one of the most brittle pitchers in baseball and the injury bug has hit him already this season. He missed his last start after leaving early in his previous outing due to tightness in his right triceps. He leads the league in WHIP and is allowing only a .146 BAA but coming off an injury, you don’t know what to expect. In 23 starts against the Cubs, Sheets is just 9-7.

Jason Marquis takes the hill for the Cubs and he is putting together another fine season. He tossed his third straight quality outing in his last start in Colorado and it was the bullpen that blew a chance for the Cubs to remain undefeated in his four starts. Each start has been better than the previous and his ERA has dipped after every outing on the season. He posted a 1.46 ERA in two starts against Milwaukee last season with Chicago going 2-0 in those games. Play Chicago Cubs 1.5 Units

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