Monday Service Plays

Re: Monday Service Plays

Ben Burns

Game: Montreal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers
Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers

Reason: The Flyers accomplished what they needed to do by splitting the two games at Montreal. In fact, they could have easily taken both contests. Returning home to Philadelphia, I expect them to grab tonight's game and take a 2-1 series lead. The Flyers were at their best when their series with the Capitals was tied. In Game 7, they traveled to the nation's capital and scored a 3-2 upset. Earlier in the series, after splitting the first two games on the road (sound familiar?) they returned home for Game 3 and dominated the Capitals by a score of 6-3.

The Canadiens, who got shaky goatending from rookie Carey Price in the last game, have lost three of their last five road games. The Flyers, who got excellent goaltending from Martin Biron last game, were 17-10 (+5.5) on the season after a win by two goals or more.

After his strong performance, the Flyers goalie was quoted as saying: "You feel like you take over the whole net. When the guy comes down to shoot, he's not seeing anything. The way the guys play in front of me allow me to make my reads, challenge when I have to challenge, stay deep when I have to stay deep, and I think that's been one of the differences in the playoffs." Busting with confidence, I look for Biron to deliver another strong effort and for the Flyers to move to 10-2 their last 12 home ice.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Ted Sevransky

Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels
PICK: Los Angeles Angels

The LA Angels are in stellar current form, taking two out of three from both the Red Sox and Tigers on their just concluded road trip. Since their 6-6 start, LA has gone 10-4 utilizing a combination of strong pitching and timely hitting. Tori Hunter, the Angels big free agent acquisition this past offseason: “We can compete with anybody, even in the position we’re in health-wise. We don’t have our No. 1 starter, John Lackey or Kelvim Escobar, because of injuries. When we get those guys back, we’re going to be even better.”

Jon Garland takes the hill tonight as LA returns home to face Oakland, with the two teams tied for first place. Garland has won his last two starts, following a rough stretch early in the season. The crafty righty doesn’t have much of a strikeout pitch these days, but he’s quite adept at pitching his way out of jams. Just as importantly, the Angels bullpen behind him has rounded into shape nicely in recent games after a rocky start.

Oakland is playing well of late, winners of seven of their last nine, and their bullpen ranks as the best in the AL. But the key to this bet is the struggles of Chad Gaudin against the Angels, particularly in Anaheim. He started three games in this venue last year, lasting only 13.2 innings of work, while allowing 19 hits and 14 runs. Angels slugger Vladimir Guerrero has owned Gaudin: 7 of 13 with three dingers against the young righty. Cheap price for the home team here, against a pitcher they have hit well.
Take the Angels.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

David Malinsky

Baltimore Orioles @ Chicago White Sox
PICK: Over

Some early cold-weather reports and some misleading pitching numbers have led a market surge to the Under in this one, now to the point at which we can play Over 8.5 at no vig, or at worst reduced vig, in most key precincts. That gets us in the hunt in this one.

Daniel Cabrera is sporting unusually good control numbers so far, including no walks at all in his last outing, when he went eight full innings at Seattle. But is this for real? In five starts the teams that he matched up against rate #9, #10 and #11 in the A.L. in drawing walks (he faced the Mariners and Rays twice). Now it is a different matter entirely against a Chicago lineup that knows how to wait him out - the six starters that have seen him before, Swisher, Carbrera, Thome, Konerko, Pierzynski and Crede - are not only 22-62 against him (.355), but have also drawn 13 walks, for a .467 on-base. These guys are accustomed to the cold by now, and can make it difficult for him to find his rhythm on this day.

Meanwhile Vazquez has been playing his own version of Russian Roulette on the mound this season. Yes, he has been solid at 3-2/4.40, and on first glance it appears that he has negated an old weakness of giving up the long-ball - after allowing 29 home runs in 197 innings LY, no one has taken him deep in 30.2 this season. But nothing has changed in his pitching style; if anything a ratio of 48 fly-ball outs to just 22 on the ground so far this season indicates a difficult in getting the ball down. To get that many fly ball outs over 30.2 innings without any of them leaving the park is sleight of hand.

We do not need an offensive break-out here; if each team reaches four we are guaranteed a win. It is a case of the marketplace creating a bargain range for us in a game in which scoring will not be all that difficult (there is even a mild wind out to right field, which helps with the number of left-handers that will be batting against these pitchers).

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

FRANK ROSENTHAL

NBA PLAYOFFS *
717 RAPTORS+8 SB
UNDER 204 SB
719 CELTICS-9 SB
UNDER 189.5 SB+
722 NUGGETS+4.5 SB
UNDER 226.5 SB+

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
905 ASTROS UNDER 9.5 SB+
907 ROCKIES-110 SB
OVER 7.5 SB
909 COOKIES+140 SB
912 TRIBE-105 SB
914 ANGELS-1209 SB+

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

MONEY LOCK OF THE DAY

JUNIOR'S PICK

DBACKS - 1 1/2


DIGGER'S PICK

ROCKIES/SF OVER 7.5

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Mr. A's

NBA

Orlando Magic -7½
Atlanta Hawks  +9
Los Angeles Lakers  -4½

MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets

The Pirates have dropped nine of their last 12 games and five straight on the road. They will send Ian Snell to the mound. Snell is 2-1 with a 4.45 ERA in five starts this season and is 0-2 with a 6.11 ERA in four career outings, including three starts versus the Mets. New York has won five of the last six against Pittsburgh at home and will counter with Johan Santana. The lefty is 3-2 with a 3.12 ERA in five starts and is 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA in two appearances, one start versus Pittsburgh. Take the Mets tonight at Shea Stadium.

New York Mets - 240

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

GINA

NBA

Orlando Magic - 7½
Los Angeles Lakers - 4½


MLB

Houston Astros at Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks took five of seven games against the Astros last year and have played sound at Chase Field, winning nine of their 11 home games this season. Arizona will send right-hander Dan Haren to the hill. Haren is 0-2 with a 4.63 ERA in three games, including 2 starts versus the Astros, but has pitched outstanding thus far this season, 3-1 with a 3.03 ERA and has won three straight starts at home. Houston counters with Chris Sampson. The right-hander is 1-3 with a 6.28 ERA and went 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA in two career starts against the Diamondbacks. Go with Arizona at home. The Diamondbacks have won the last five versus Houston at home.

Arizona Diamondbacks - 185

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Nite Owl Sports

Dallas Desperados @ Philadelphia Soul
Pick: 2 units Over 104.5

Well football fans, it's finally here, -- no, not the 12th round of the NFL draft, but the long anticipated showdown between the AFL's best teams, both of whom happen to still be undefeated at the midway point of the season, making this nationally televised (on ESPN) game between the Dallas Desperados and the Philadelphia Soul, Arena FB's equivalent of last October's most watched regular season game in NFL history, between the NE Pats and Indy Colts. So who will win this game of AFL "heavy weights," dubbed the "Broad Street Brawl," as the two great football cities of Philly and Dallas renew their mutual hatred for each other stemming from the intense rivalry between the Cowboys and Eagles in the NFL. While we lean towards Philly, which has already notched two impressive road wins over LY's champion San Jose and perennial AFL power Chicago, has been playing great all year and is playing at home, it's not a high percentage play to go against Dallas either. Desperados have the top defense in AFL, allowing just 43 PPG, and they also beat LY's champion San Jose on the road, 59-55. So that leaves us with the total if we choose to have a play on this game, and despite the good defenses of both teams (Philly's also being good at #5, allowing 50 PPG and second in TO margin at +10), we will go with the Over as the best value here, as we can't see even a defense as good as Dallas stopping this potent Philly offensive unit (averaging 66 PPG on offense), or for that matter can't see Philly's defense slowing down the ruthlessly efficient Dallas offensine unit very much, either. So we will go with the Over as long as the totals line stays at 105 or less But we also recommend teasing the totals line below 100 and Philly to +1 with a 6 or 6.5 point teaser, if your have access to teasers in AFL. Finally, if you have access to second half lines in AFL and either team gets down at the half by enough to make Dallas more than a full TD underdog or Philly at least a 3 point dog on the adjusted game line (using the HT score and second half line), go with the team that is down and has the value with the second half line, barring any game ending injury to any key player(s) on thet team. Likewise, if the first half scoring is disproportionately low, consider taking the over for the second half, as these potent offenses are both too good to be held down for a full game.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Nick Parsons

Play ON Baltimore Orioles $ line (+) @ Chicago White Sox

The Orioles have lost each of the last two games in this series but should bounce back here. They hand the ball to Daniel Cabrera today and Baltimore is a perfect 5-0 in his starts so far this season. After a couple of rough outings to start the season, Cabrera has allowed two earned runs or less in each of his last three starts. In his most recent outing he only allowed five hits in eight innings of work. Also, Cabrera did not walk a single batter and he retired eleven straight batters to finish up the game. The Orioles righthander is definitely in a zone right now and he should be able to keep that going with another strong effort this afternoon. Many bettors may get caught up on Cabreras history of struggles at US Cellular Field. However, his current form is much better than what hes displayed in the past when hes struggled with his form and often had control issues. Cabrera will be opposed by Javier Vazquez of the White Sox and the Chicago righthander is off of a very poor start versus the Yankees in his most recent outing. Looks like Vazquez could be in for a rough stretch due to what we saw in his mechanics against the Yanks. Also, even though Vazquez has a solid 6-2 record against the Orioles in his career, its his 5.24 ERA that tells the full story! Look for him to get hit hard again today and, with the way that Cabrera is pitching, this means that the Orioles should get the upset win on the road here. Baltimore is a solid value play on Monday afternoon

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Ben Burns

Atlanta Hawks +9.5 / 4 units

Los Angeles Lakers/Denver Nuggets Over 227.5 / 4 units

St. Louis Cardinals -133 / 4 units

Montreal Canadiens/Philadelphia Flyers Under 5.5 / 4 units

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Great Lake Sports

5* Lakers
4* A's
3* Astros Under

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Bob Akmens

NHL: 3* PHILADELPHIA -135 vs Montreal

NBA 3* BOSTON / ATLANTA UNDER 190

MLB: 4* ST LOUIS (WELLEMEYER) -150

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Game: Baltimore at Chicago White Sox
Pick: Baltimore +137

Chicago goes for the sweep with Javier Vazquez, but they must get through Daniel Cabrera to get it. Cabrera is 2-0 and coming off a great performance on Wednesday in which he allowed just two runs and no walks in eight innings. In contrast Vazquez is coming off a 6-run, 10-hit performance in five and a third on Wednesday. This is a good matchup for the Orioles. Baltimore is 10-3 this season over teams allowing fewer than 4.3 runs per game. Cabrera is 22-7 against teams batting .260 or worse and 21-8 against AL Central opponents. We like Baltimore to stave off the series loss.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Winning Points

**PREFERRED
Toronto over Orlando* by 1

Let's keep it simple. From Game 4 in Toronto: "In the second half, we shot the 3 well, and that's big for us,"said Orlando head coach Stan Van Gundy. "Obviously,it's a big thing for them, too, and they didn't shoot it well today."

Toronto head coach Sam Mitchell: "We've got to do a better job of stopping their dribble-penetration." TORONTO, 99-98.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Root

Chairman- Hawks
Millionaire- Raptors

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Erin Rynning


MLB Playmaker: Cleveland -105

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Alex Smart


Chicago White Sox -139 / 3 units


AFL-Dallas +5.5 / 3 units

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Teddy Covers

NBA Toronto Raptors +7.5 / 4 units

NBA Boston Celtics/Atlanta Hawks Under 190.0 / 4 units

MLB Colorado Rockies/San Francisco Giants Over 7.5 / 3 units

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

15 Dime

RAPTORS

Take the points with Toronto tonight on the road.

It’s real simple for Toronto. Win or go home.

I expect the Raptors to come into this game with the sense of urgency they need in order to keep this series going. Chris Bosh broke out in Game 4 with 39 points and 15 rebounds, but he didn’t get any help from the backcourt.

If Toronto can execute the pick-and-roll with T. J. Ford and Jose Calderon, then not only does Toronto stand an excellent chance of staying within the number, they’ll have a shot at the outright win.

In the Raptors lone win of this series, Ford and Calderon combined for 39 points, 16 assists and 12 rebounds. More importantly, they only committed four turnovers.

Look for Toronto to execute that game plan while Bosh continues to shine inside.

Now I know Dwight Howard has been a beast in this series, and he could very well lead the Magic to the series win by himself tonight. But as long as Toronto can get Bosh going inside, along with the backcourt scoring, I don’t see the Magic covering this number.

Toronto is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings with Orlando.

Take the points with the Raptors as they keep it within the number.


5 Dime

YANKEES (With Mussina as listed pitcher)

Take the Yankees for the road win tonight over the Indians.

New York got a sensational pitching effort from Chien-Ming Wang in yesterday’s 1-0 win over Cleveland, and tonight I expect Mike Mussina to pick up where Wang left off.

Mussina is coming off his best start of the season, a 6-4 win over the White Sox on Wednesday. The right-hander pitched seven innings, allowing just four hits and two runs.

Aaron Laffey will get the start for the Tribe tonight and he’s making his season debut. You have to wonder how he’ll fare against the Yankees lineup, which is still formidable despite some of the injuries they are dealing with.

Take the Yankees as they grab the road win.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44200
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
274212
Average Posts Per Hour:
3.1
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3444
Newest User:
Laurrie Branum
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
1911

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com