Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Tony Mathews BIG GAME ALERT

25 Stars Utah Jazz -7.5

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections

ANOTHER HOME RUN BASEBALL WINNER

Philadelphia w/Kendrick -120

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Game: New York Yankees at Cleveland
Pick: 3 units on Cleveland -105

Cleveland is rolling having won four straight and they get to face Ian Kennedy who is 0-2 with a 9.64 ERA. He's already given up 13 walks in 14 innings. A-Rod returned last game but it didn't help the Yankees as he went 0-for-4 and they lost the game. New York is now 3-5 their last eight and starting a young pitcher on the road who has been shelled. There is no reason they should be even money here. They are averaging just 4.6 runs per game (3.0 vs. lefities). Cleveland gets 5.5 per game at home. Think the Yankees are "due" after last night's loss? Consider this team is just 16-20 the past couple of seasons revenging a road favorite loss. Over the past two seasons they are 6-16 on the road vs. LHP! We'll back the hotter home team at a good price.


Game: Toronto at Kansas City
Pick: 3 units on Kansas City +111

The #1 pick from the 2006 draft takes the mound for KC tonight. Luke Hochevar struggled in his first start vs. Oakland Sunday. But, we'll chalk that up to jitters as he did well in September last season and he has lots of potential. Shaun Marcum is off a bad outing on Monday allowing 5 runs in five and two thirds. KC's problem is offense but Toronto is just 26-35 the past two seasons vs. teams batting under .260. They are lso 40-45 vs. losing teams over that span. Over the past three seasons they have a losing record as a road favorite including a 15-26 mark when favorited by -100 to -150. This season they are a horrible 5-13 in night games. We'll take the home dog here.


Game: Oakland at Seattle
Pick: 3 units on Oakland +135

Both of these pitchers are coming off the DL so it will be interesting to see how well they fare. Oakland is averaging 4.7 runs per game this season - more than Seattle. They have won six of seven, holding opponents to just 2.6 runs per game over that stretch while scoring 6.9 per game. Over the past five seasons, teams allowing under 4.3 runs per game, after allowing 4 runs or less in three straight games hit at a 59% clip. This is a good matchup for Oakland as the As are 12-4 this season vs. teams alllowing under 4.8 runs per game and 11-4 vs. teams with an OBP of .330 or worse. They are also 22-7 the past three seasons after allowing 3 runs or less in three straight games.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jeff Money

(MLB) BLUE JAYS -120 (POD)
(MLB) D'BACKS -120
(MLB) GIANTS EV
(NBA) CELTICS -8.5
(NBA) MAGIC +3

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

GREG SHAKER

Diamondbacks at Padres - Under 8 (Owings/Germano) Unit Value: 2 UNITS

Note: The best thing about this play is the betting line which is at -105. That is somewhat surprising to me considering the Unders being played at Petco this year and every year. It is as high as it is due to the Padre Thrower who probably had the worst game of his career last time on the Hill. He did have serious location problems and it did cost him dearly. His 3 previous starts were all good one's and a likely bounceback after only 3 innings of work is very good. He will have a chore facing the DBacks who are striking the ball well but this venue which has seen 10 of 13 UNDERS this year is a tough place to score and getting 9 between these two teams is not going to be easy. Owings is throwing the best of his young career and throwing against a Padre Team that is batting just .172 over the last 10 games should be a snap. They can best be described as anemic and they prroved that again last night. SD has plated just 3 times the last 3 games here at Petco and all games have gone UNDER the Mark. This field has been this way for a very long time and I am not going to spit out the incredible Trends to prove that to you. You already know that. We have a total set at 8 runs and it is not often that we have one that high here in San Diego. Arizona is their best disadvantage today as they have hit righthanded pitching at just .201 away from home. We have the added bonus of two good Bullpens standing by behind the curtain. AZ's Pen has been nothing short of phenominal the last 10 games. This play has extreme value in my best opinion and I will play it with Vim and Vigor. Added Note: Vim and Vigor basically mean the same thing.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

GamblersWorld Tip of the Day

Boston Celtics vs. Atlanta Hawks

Prediction: Boston Celtics

Current Line: -8 Over/Under: 187

Reason: The fans at Philips Arena will be treated to a game between the Boston Celtics and the Atlanta Hawks when they take their seats on Saturday. Oddsmakers currently have the Celtics listed as 8-point favorites versus the Hawks, while the game's total is sitting at 187. The Celtics took a 2-0 series lead with a 96-77 victory over the Hawks in Game 2 of their first-round series on Wednesday. The Celtics covered the 15.5-point spread, while the 173 points fell UNDER the posted total of 189. Kevin Garnett led the Celtics with 19 points and grabbed 10 rebounds to complete a double-doulbe in the win. Josh Smith had 13 points and eight rebounds in the loss. Team records: Boston: 66-16 SU, 52-28-2 ATS Atlanta: 37-45 SU, 38-44 ATS Boston most recently: When playing on Saturday are 5-5 Before playing Atlanta are 5-5 After playing Atlanta are 4-6 After a win are 9-1 Atlanta most recently: When playing on Saturday are 3-7 Before playing Boston are 6-4 After playing Boston are 3-7 After a loss are 5-5 A few trends to consider: Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Atlanta The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Boston The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games when playing at home against Boston

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

The Killer Move's

10* Denver (NBA)

10* Atlanta (NBA)

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Ferringo

5-Unit Play. Take Boston (-130) over Tampa Bay
1-Unit Play. Take Boston (-1.5, +120) over Tampa Bay

Note: This is our Game of the Month. I was going to lay a full 6 Units on just the side, but I decided that’s a bit more exposure than I’d like. So we’ll still put 6 Units on the game, just spread around a bit more.

The Red Sox have won nearly 70 percent of their last 130 games against Tampa Bay. I don’t see them dumping two in a row to them now. Boston has lost three games in a row and I think they are going to have a lot more focus and intensity after losing one late on Friday. Clay Buchholz has some nasty stuff, and I think he’ll get the best of Tampa’s hitters today with his monster breaking ball. His counterpart, Edwin Jackson, peaked a few starts ago in an eight-inning shutout. But since then he’s given up 11 runs in nine innings. Jackson has an ERA of 5.40 in his seven appearances against the Red Sox and a career ERA over 6.00 at home. He is just 2-10 with five days of rest, the Rays are 10-26 in his last 36 starts, and 5-12 in his last 17 home starts. Tampa has made a nice little run here. They have taken five straight while the Sox have dropped three straight. But who is the better team? In one game, who has the better chance of earning us a win? It’s Boston, and that’s exactly what they’re going to do tonight.

3-Unit Play. Take Chicago Cubs (-165) over Washington

Carlos Zambrano has been an absolute man on the road in his career and he should be able to totally overwhelm the Nationals. Washington managed to scum out a win in extra innings on Friday, but they should have no such luck today. The Cubs are very much like the Brewers in that they dominate left-handed pitching and the odds are slim that they get beat twice in a row by lefties from the same (weaker) team. Chicago has hit over .300 in its last eight games and is hitting nearly .320 against left-handed pitchers on the season. Matt Chico has an ERA of 6.04 this year and has been touched for 11 earned runs in his last two starts. I also think the fact that the runline on this game is -1.5, -110 is also an indicator here.

3.5-Unit Play. Take Arizona (-120) over San Diego

If they want to keep offering us the best team in the N.L. at these prices, I’m buying. The Diamondbacks are playing fantastic baseball right now and are simply a much, much better team than the Padres. Justin Germano isn’t a bad hurler, but the Padres are just 5-17 in his last 22 starts and 8-21 in his last 29 starts on grass. Micah Owings has been solid this year, winning all four of his starts. The Padres are hitting just .244 against right-handed starters and Owings has an ERA of 1.36 in his two starts at Petco.

3.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Colorado at Los Angeles Dodgers

Note: Originally misposted as 8.0. The line is a solid 8.5 so I changed it, and would recommend dropping it a half-Unit.

Wow. Weird number on this game. Both of these clubs have seen their bats come alive and they have combined to average nearly 10 runs per game, collectively, in their last eight games. I’ve been saying it for over a year now that Brad Penny is an ‘over’ pitcher. The numbers definitely back that up. The ‘over’ is 5-2 in his last seven home starts against Colorado, 11-2 in his last 13 home starts against a sub-.500 team, and 27-10 in his last 37 home starts. Further, the Dodgers destroy left-handed pitching and Mark Redman – no matter what his record is – is awful. The ‘over’ is 7-2 in L.A.’s last nine against a southpaw and 7-1 when they play at home against a lefty. Further, we have Joe West behind the dish. He is 5-0-1 against the total this year with an average of 12.8 runs scored in his six games. He called a game in Colorado just last week – Francis vs. Myers – and there were 14 runs scored to sail a 9.0 total.

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Florida at Milwaukee
1-Unit Play. Take Milwaukee (-150) over Florida
1-Unit Play. Take Milwaukee (-1.5, +130) over Florida

You’ve heard me touting the Brewers against left-handed pitching. However, they’ve dumped their last two games – both against lefty starters. Well, I don’t think they’re going to lose three in a row to southpaws. Especially not when they are hitting .295 against them this year and are 48-21 at home against lefties. Both teams can put up runs in a hurry and the two hurlers on the mound aren’t exactly aces. Mark Hendrickson has been running hot, but I think his luck is going to change. The ‘Over’ is 39-16-1 in Milwaukee’s last 56 against a left-handed starter, 15-7 in the last 22 meetings, and 21-10-1 in Florida’s last 32 against a team with a winning record.

2-Unit Play. Take Atlanta (+100) over New York Mets

The Mets just do not hit right-handed pitching. They are an incredible 5-17 in their last 22 against a righty starter. They are not the better team here and the Braves are 9-4 in Tim Hudson’s last 13 starts against the Mets. He is 5-2 in his career in Shea Stadium and I think the Braves are the better team here. Atlanta is hitting .316 in day games this year and I just trust their sticks a bit more in a game that should see some runs.

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Philadelphia at Pittsburgh
1-Unit Play. Take #909 Philadelphia (-135) over Pittsburgh

Our two pitchers have a combined ERA of nearly 15.00, we have an umpire behind the plate that only calls strikes at a 58-percent rate while issuing 10 walks per game, and we have more ‘over’ trends between these two clubs than you can imagine. We may get some rain, which would make things interesting, but I think we’re going to see another shootout between these two mediocre pitchers and solid hitting clubs.

Matt Morris has been getting absolutely lit up this year and is a blind fade play until he gets one win. He has an ERA of nearly 10.0 and has looked awful. Things could get a lot worse today against a hot Phillies lineup and with a tight strike zone from the ump.

Here are some totals plays for anyone looking for extra action. I've actually been hotter with my totals than my sides recently, so I want to give you the best chance to make money that you can. Enjoy:

Take ‘Over’ 8.0 Cincinnati at San Francisco
Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Minnesota at Texas
Take ‘Under’ 8.5 (+100) Toronto at Kansas City
Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Atlanta at New York Mets
Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Houston at St. Louis

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Spritzer
insider..........................jazz
ko east conf playoff goy...............bos
tko........................denv

Feist
total..........................orl over 03
platinum.......................jazz
inner circle...................lal
5*...............................magic


Cokin
under the hat...........................denv
3*............................................hous

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Mr. A's

NBA

Toronto Raptors - 3

Boston Celtics - 8½


MLB

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers are coming off an 8-7 win over Colorado, their fourth win in their last five games. Los Angeles sends Brad Penny to the hill tonight, hoping to win back to back games. The right-hander has won his last two outings and is 12-2 with a 2.92 ERA in 21 career starts against the Rockies. Colorado struggles continue, dropping five of their last six games. They will counter with Mark Redman. The southpaw allowed four runs and six hits over five innings in a lost 9-5 to Philadelphia in his last start on Monday. He is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in two career starts against the Dodgers.

Take the LA Dodgers at home with Penny on the mound, who is 3-2 with a 2.67 ERA in five starts this season, 0.77 ERA in his last two outings.

Los Angeles Dodgers - 175

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Gina

MLB

Chicago Cubs (15-8) at Washington Nationals (8-16)

The Chicago Cubs have played well at Wrigley Field and so has Carlos Zambrano, but not on the road. They have lost their last two games away from home, four of their last six and have dropped seven of its last ten in Washington. Zambrano is 5-2 with a 3.42 ERA in 10 career appearances, including eight starts against Washington. Even so, the Nationals have won their last two games, but are just 3-6 in their last 9 at home and left-hander Matt Chico has been horrible. Chico has given up 11 runs over nine innings in his last two starts and the Nationals have lost his last four. Go with the Cubs. Chicago lost to Washington 5-3 on Friday night, but is 6-2 in its last 8 versus the Nationals and have won six of their last 8 games overall.

Chicago Cubs - 165

NBA

(1) Los Angeles Lakers (2-0) at (8) Denver Nuggets (0-2)

The Nuggets played awful in the first two games, crushed by the Lakers and now need a vital win, down 0-2. Thankfully for them, they are back in Denver. The Nuggets have won 11 of their last 12 at home and is 33-8 at the Pepsi Center this year. Home court could give them the lift needed to compete with Kobe and his crew. They have taken five of the seven at home against the Lakers. Expect a close high scoring battle. Denver will have to pick up the pace and play forceful this evening in their house. Go with the home team

Denver Nuggets


Toronto Raptors - 3
LA Lakers/Denver Over  230

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Sean Michaels 25 DIME RELEASE

Raptors -3

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Stan Sharp

Toronto/Orlando under 203

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

GATOR REPORT

NBA 70% Super Situations (NBA Record 20-11 ATS +790 Units)

NBA Saturday: Play On NBA favorites after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 90 points or less 2 straight games
39-10 ATS last 5 seasons (79.6%) PLAY: Boston -8


MLB 70% Super Situations (MLB Record 3-2 +90 units)

MLB Saturday: Play Against MLB (NL) home teams with a team that averages 4.3 to 4.8 runs per game against a starter with an ERA= 5.20 to 5.70, with a bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season 30-8 since 1997 (78.9%) PLAY: Philadelphia -127

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

THE GOLD SHEET'S LATE TELEPHONE SERVICE

Houston-Utah UNDER

Cleveland-Washington UNDER

NEW ORLEANS over Dallas

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Winning Points Online

CHICAGO CUBS (C. Zambrano) -165 over WASHINGTON (Chico)

We're laying a fat price on the road team in this one,but the situation could not be any more favorable.Carlos Zambrano has looked very sharp in his five starts for the surging Cubs (2.57 ERA) and he's squaring off against an inept Washington offense that is only 3-10 (-$470) vs. righties, averaging a mere 3.2 runs per game in those contests. The visitor is already 6-1 vs. lefties (+$510 with 8.0 runs per game) and now gets to tee off against Matt Chico and his 6.04 ERA. Best start in years for Chicago, look for them to notch another easy victory today.


**PREFERRED
Toronto* over Orlando by 11

The Raptors protect the ball better than anyone in the NBA except for Detroit (which didn't prevent Detroit from turning it over 25 times at Philly last night, but that's another story). The Raptors are also the second-best free-throw shooting team in the playoffs, with Orlando having the worst team percentage at the foul line. Their point guard Jameer Nelson is beginning to suffer not only from back spasms, but from over-exposure. TORONTO, 107-96.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Scott Rickenbach

Georgia @ Arizona
PICK: Georgia

Each of these teams is coming off of a loss last week but the Force lost on a touchdown with just a few ticks left on the clock while the Rattlers got crushed by 24 points even though they were at home. Arizona just can’t put it together yet this season. Even though QB Lang Campbell is back, the Rattlers just don’t have enough playmakers on offense and their pass protection is also continuing to struggle. Arizona will not be able to match the Force score for score in this one as Georgia has the better defense and also has an offense that is starting to gel. The Force had quite a roster turnover heading into this season and it took awhile for the players to all get on the same page. Now that the Georgia players have had a chance to get more experience with one another the offense has improved greatly.

Force QB Chris Greisen has a number of weapons to work with on offense and he’s done a solid job of moving the ball around and finding the open man. This is a crucial game in terms of the playoff picture as both teams currently sit at 3-4 on the season. We have much more faith in the Force offense than we do in that of the Rattlers and Campbell can be rattled by a solid pass rush. We do believe that Georgia’s defensive line is going to be a problem for Arizona all game long. On the other side of the ball, the Force will continue their scoring surge. They’ve now scored 202 points in their last three games and the “fun” continues on that side of the ball on Saturday night. Play Georgia minus the points as a regular selection..

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

LEE KOSTROSKI

Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PICK: Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia offense has been too hot to ignore and this is a decent price in a favorable pitching match-up. Philadelphia has scored nearly six runs per game in the last eight contests even with key injuries in the lineup. The Phillies have hit 38 home runs through the first 23 games, by far the best in the majors. Philadelphia also walks a lot and gets extra opportunities with good speed in the lineup.

Philadelphia won four of six meetings with the Pirates last season and Kyle Kendrick delivered a great performance in a win over Pittsburgh last season. Kendrick has pitched well enough in 2008 but he had a nightmare outing in New York which his team committed four early errors leading to six unearned runs and he also struggled at Coor’s Field as many pitchers do. Kendrick went 10-4 last season and he has proven he can be successful at this level.

Matt Morris has made four terrible starts for the Pirates this season and the veteran may not get many more chances. Pittsburgh is 0-4 in his starts this season and he has allowed 25 runs in less than 20 innings pitched. Morris owns just eight strikeouts this season demonstrating his lack of dominance against opposing hitters. Philadelphia will also have a huge bullpen advantage as the Phillies currently have the #1 unit in the NL while opponents are hitting .282 against the Pittsburgh bullpen.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Doc's NHL

4* Detroit/Colorado Over 5

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44307
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
275175
Average Posts Per Hour:
3.5
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3458
Newest User:
Johnny Galloway
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
2040

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com