Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Your Winning Picks

1. PITTSBURGH PIRATES (-105) OVER St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals have been playing way past their ability to start the year and a certain regression will be taking palce shortly. They are prime for the picking today after leaving it all out on the field yesterday against the Brewers, losing in extra innings in excruciating fashion. They flew out to Pittsburgh late last night and now have to contend with fireballing ace Buc's pitcher Ian Snell to boot. St. Louis goes with bullpen retread Todd Wellemeyer whose glass slipper is about to fall off and break into a thousand pieces. Go with the home team here.

2. COLORADO (-120) OVER Chicago
Rockies will be pounding out plenty of hits tonght against Cubs pitcher rich Hill who has struggled mightily so far this season. Hill gets into major trouble with giving up home runs and that is a certain recipe for disaster in the thin air of Coors Field. This is almost too easy as the bats of Colorado will win this one by the fourth inning.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Robert Ross

Atlanta Hawks at Boston Celtics

Young Hawks figure to play better after 15-point loss in their first playoff action in Game 1. Veteran point guard Bibby figures to be better as well. Everyone is talking about what a wipeout Game 1 was but the margin was 15 points just what the line is here.

Play on: Atlanta

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VEGAS EXPERTS TIP OF THE DAY

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers

Excellent value to jump on D'backs starter Dan Haren, who is 3-0 in his last three starts to go along with a 0.95 ERA. His team swept the Dodgers when the two NL West rivals met earlier this month, outscoring them 23-11 in the process. Haren has faced LA twice in his career, won both times, and has an ERA of just 1.50. Arizona has gone 13-3 vs. division opponents this season.

Play on: Arizona

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SportsKingz

MLB

CLEVELAND -160       
PHILLY -160         
SEATTLE -135         
ARIZONA -105         


NBA

DETROIT -10         
L.A. LAKERS -7.5     

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Brandon Lang

20 Dime - Tigers Run Line

10 Dime - Indians Run Line
10 Dime - Lakers

Free Pick - Lakers-Nuggets Over the Total

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Dunkel Index

MLB

Arizona at LA Dodgers
The Diamonbacks have won six of nine road games with starter Dan Haren picking up wins in each of his last three starts. Arizona is the underdog pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the D-backs favored straight up by 1.

Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105).

Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 23
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: St. Louis at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 14.952; Pittsburgh (Snell) 13.810
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100); Over

Game 953-954: Florida at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Miller) 13.997; Atlanta (Bennet) 15.771
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Under

Game 955-956: NY Mets at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 15.156; Washington (Redding) 13.680
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-185); Over

Game 957-958: Houston at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Sampson) 15.140; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.447
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+130); Under

Game 959-960: Philadelphia at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.190; Milwaukee (Bush) 14.863
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-145); Over

Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Hill) 15.546; Colorado (Morales) 15.520
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+105); Over

Game 963-964: San Francisco at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.924; San Diego (Maddux) 14.452
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130); Under

Game 965-966: Arizona at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 16.083; LA Dodgers (Lowe) 14.900
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105); Over

Game 967-968: LA Angels at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Garland) 15.326; Boston (Matsuzaka) 16.799
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-175); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-175); Over

Game 969-970: Texas at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Mendoza) 14.308; Detroit (Rogers) 15.813
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-155); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-155); Over

Game 971-972: Toronto at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 14.860; Tampa Bay (Hammel) 15.049
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+135); Over

Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Mussina) 14.700; White Sox (Vazquez) 16.277
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-135); Under

Game 975-976: Cleveland at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carmona) 14.988; Kansas City (Tomko) 13.427
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-145); Under

Game 977-978: Minnesota at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Bonser) 14.635; Oakland (Gaudin) 14.994
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-130); Over

Game 979-980: Baltimore at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Cabrera) 15.562; Seattle (Silva) 15.683
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-135); Over


NBA

Denver at LA Lakers
The Lakers have feasted on poor defensive teams (18-4 ATS in second half of the season) and look to take advantage of a Denver squad that is just 1-5 ATS over the last three seasons when trailing in a playoff series. The Lakers are the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has LA favored by 12.

Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-7 1/2).

Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 23
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 511-512: Philadelphia at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 114.987; Detroit 126.772
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 12; 175
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 10; 178
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-10); Under

Game 513-514: Atlanta at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 112.424; Boston 131.020
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 18 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 15; 189
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-15); Under

Game 515-516: Denver at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 118.906; LA Lakers 130.980
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 12; 233
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7 1/2; 229
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-7 1/2); Over

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Fairway Jay

20* Atlanta Hawks

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Tom Scott
   
Denver at LA LAKERS

Play ON: UNDER the total points

We understand the Linemaker's adjustments in the NBA Playoffs. They are almost always in favor of the opposite result from the previous game. Teams that lost the previous game usually take fewer or lay more points in the next game. Totals are a different story. If a game goes under the posted total, the next game will have a lower O/U line and vice versa. Sometimes the Linemaker over-adjusts. The posted total in game one of this series, for example, was 224. Today, it's 229'. That's too big of an adjustment and we're going to call him on it. Paul Gasol and Carmello Anthony shot the lights out in the first game and both the Lakers and the Nuggets were embarrassed about the number of points they allowed. We're counting on the defensive pride of both teams to hold this total down.

PREDICTION: TOTAL POINTS SCORED = 218

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Chris Jordan

Take the Red Sox on the Run Line, as they will continue to blast teams thanks to their powerful lineup and stellar pitching rotation.

2* RED SOX


Hot Lock sports

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates

St. Louis Cardinals +102

Cards are 10-4 L 14 road games and 40-16 L 56 meetings with the Bucs.  Managers edge here, pitching matchup even, Cards at home, better offensive lineup, short price here, St. Louis for 3 units

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THE POWER INDEX

NBA

Detroit* 7 over Philadelphia
Boston* 14.5 over Atlanta
L.A. Lakers* 6.5 over Denver

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Big Al

NBA

Atlanta (first round goy)
Detroit

MLB

Oakland

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Matt Fargo

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
Play: New York Yankees   

This line is somewhat baffling and the reason is the opposite of what I normally see. The Yankees are a very healthy underdog here and it is rare to see it they are a very public team are most always are in the chalk role. New York won the opener of this series on Tuesday and has now won six of the last seven meetings in this series with the White Sox. The Yankees have won two straight to move back over .500 and have some good momentum right now despite the absence of Alex Rodriguez.

Chicago is sitting at a solid 11-8 but after a 5-2 start, it gone an average 6-6 since then. The White Sox are 4-4 at home and like the entire season, they just are not hitting the ball. Chicago is batting .247 on the season including .246 at home and just .239 over its last 10 games. This is the first time in eight meetings that the White Sox have been favored and the last time it was Mark Buehrle against Tyler Clippard and that one made sense. This one does not.

The pitching matchup is what is driving this line but digging deeper shows it is not the correct way to go. Mike Mussina is struggling there is no doubt but the two bad games came against the Red Sox, a team that he has notoriously been horrendous against. Since 2005, Mussina is 2-5 with a 7.00 ERA in 12 starts against Boston. Against the White Sox, it is a different story as he is 5-2 with a 3.83 ERA over the same timeframe. This includes a 3.70 ERA in four starts in Chicago.

Javier Vazquez has been on fire to start the season, going 3-1 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. However, like the Red Sox are Mussina’s nemesis, the Yankees are his. He is 1-3 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in four career starts against New York. He has tossed three straight quality outings and there is some debate whether he is part of the lower tier that I prefer to go against in such situations. Based on his 4.43 ERA over the previous four years, I don’t think this is a re-birth but just a good run that is about to end. Play New York Yankees 1.5 Units

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Jack Clayton

Brewers


MadduxSports

LA Lakers -7.5


HUDDLE UP

Philadelphia/Milwaukee Over


RAZOR SHARP

TORONTO -145


COMPUTER SPORTS

SEATTLE M'S-130


TV HOTLINE

CLEVELAND -145


TOTALS 4 U

TWINS/ATHLETICS UNDER


EASY MONEY SPORTS

BALTIMORE +125


MIGHTY QUINN

Pistons


THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

Denver/LA Lakers Under


MIKE WYNN

San Francisco +135


Play By Play Inc.

PHILADELPHIA/DETROIT Over


ARMVIN SPORTS

ST LOUIS CARDINALS


Vegas Insider Capping

New York Yankees +124


ARTHUR RALPH

Wed Boston Celtics


PRIORITY SPORTS INFO

Boston -170


Scott Spreitzer

Cardinals


Glen Mcgrew

Yankees/ Chisox Over


Joe Wiz

Pistons Under
Pirates


HotLocksports

St. Louis


floridabookybusters

White Sox


Beat Your Bookie

Boston

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Insider Sports Report

4* Arizona (Haren)/L.A. Dodgers (Lowe) UNDER 8
Range 8.5 to 7.5

3* Philadelphia/Detroit (NBA) OVER 178
Range 176.5 to 180

3* L.A. Lakers -7.5 over Denver (NBA)
Range -6 to -9

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Josh Dean

Hou/Cinci UNDER 9.5 [A]

Chi/Col UNDER 10 [A]

LA/Bos UNDER 10 [A]


1*= A 2*= 4*= C

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Chicago Cubs -102
(listing Hill and Morales)

The Cubs are on fire having won 5 straight and 8 of 9 and a visit to Coors Field does not figure to slow down their red hot bats.  The Cubs are 13-3 in their last 16 overall and they are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.  With the way the Cubs have been crushing lefties, I expect them to crush Morales tonight.  The Cubs are 6-1 in Hill's last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record, 8-1 in Hill's last 9 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5, and 10-3 in Hill's last 13 starts overall.  The Rockies are just 3-10 in their last 13 games following a loss and 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Plus, the Cubs have won 6 of the lst 8 meetings.  Take Chicago.

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David Malinsky 4*

Atlanta Hawks @ Boston Celtics
PICK: Under

Every once in a while in sports we will get what we call a “Perfect Result”. That was the case in cashing a 4* Under ticket in the first game of this series Sunday night. The final score was close enough to the number that there has been no adjustment in the marketplace, and that means the chance to come right back again.

Our first breakdown told the tale - the Celtics are the best defensive team in the league, which can frustrate a young Atlanta squad that scores best when out in the open floor, and can break down in half-court settings. And part of that defensive excellence stems from the fact that they get to set up properly so often, via their own offense running half-court sets and managing game flows. When you have the Garnett-Pierce-Allen trio you do not have to worry about shooting early in the clock, since you can always find good looks any time you need them, and that creates a special symmetry to everything that this team does on the court. The longer you work on offense the better able you are to get back on ‘D”, and since using up the clock on offense does not reduce the chances to find a good shot, it is a natural fit.

The Hawks are not good enough to do anything about that flow. They will spend this series having to react, rather than cause, and the Celtics are not going to be in any hurry at all - for them it is all about getting the ‘W’, with the margin of little consequence, and there will also be a focus on keeping the legs of their veterans fresh for the tougher challenges ahead. If anything, keeping those legs fresh actually played to our advantage in a major way in terms of the value for this game - after taking full command through three quarters, with the game sitting on a 128, their reserves saw plenty of action down the stretch, and that led to a loose 57-point fourth quarter, one that saw 14 points scored in the final 2:20. That helps to keep this line right where we want it.

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Ferringo

3.5-Unit Play. Take Toronto (-145) over Tampa Bay
The Blue Jays are 13-3 in Roy Halladay’s last 16 games against the Devil Rays, including a 6-0 mark in his last six outings in Tampa. Halladay is also 22-10 in his career off of five days’ rest. He’s thrown back-to-back complete games, which is the only reason that this game isn’t rated much higher, but I think that extra day off will help compensate. The Jays are 41-10 with Halladay on turf, 44-19 in his 63 divisional games, and 50-14 backing him against a team with a losing record. They have won 70 percent of his last 88 starts (61-27). I will take a 70-percent chance at a payday any day of the week. His counterpart, Jason Hammel, is 0-5 at home with a 6.39 ERA. We should have both Alex Rios and Vernon Wells in the lineup today. I think the Jays respond to their manager's outburst after last night and put up eight runs in a nice win.

2.5-Unit Play. Take Cleveland (-145) over Kansas City
The oddsmakers have completely screwed this one up. Just like they did yesterday. Basically, they’re buying the hype. Everyone has been dogging Fausto Carmona and C.C. Sabathia while applauding the Royals. The trouble is that the Indians are a much better team than the Royals, and Carmona has beaten them four consecutive times. In fact, the Indians are 24-8 against the A.L. Central and 14-3 in Carmona’s last 17 divisional starts. They won 15-1 yesterday. It’s clearly going to be closer than that, but I don’t expect any quarter to be given by the Tribe. Carmona has had one bad start this year. Other than that he’s given up just two earned runs in 20 innings against lineups like Detroit and Los Angeles.

1.5-Unit Play. Take San Diego (-115) over San Francisco
The Padres are 4-0 when facing the Giants with Greg Maddux versus Matt Cain and 7-0 in their last seven starts against Cain and 7-0 against him in Petco Park. The Dads are 11-3 overall in the last 14 meetings and are 10-4 in Maddux’s last 14 starts. Matt Cain is a very strong young pitcher. But the Giants are 9-30 in his last 39 starts. There is snake bitten, and then there is 9-30.

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 (+105) Philadelphia at Milwaukee
The Brewers smoke left-handed pitching, posting a 20-8 home record against southpaws and a 38-15 ‘over’ mark against lefties overall. The ‘over’ is 21-10 in Milwaukee’s last 31 home games and is 38-18-1 in Philadelphia’s last 57 games with a total between 7.0 and 8.5. Both bullpens have been train wrecks and both offenses have some pop. I can see this one starting slowly in the first few innings but then erupting late to go over.

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Minnesota at Oakland
The ‘under’ is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams and 7-2 in the last nine in Oakland. We have Chuck Meriwether and his huge strike zone behind the dish, which should help. These two teams are deliberate. They don’t have a lot of pop and neither scores a ton of runs.

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 (+100) New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox
We have a strikeout pitcher on the hill (Javy Vasquez) and a strikeout umpire behind the plate (Bill Miller).

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Milwaukee Brewers +129
(listing Bush and Hamels)

The Brewers are showing great value in the home dog role tonight.  First off, I don't see Hamels being dominant against a team which feasts on lefties.  The Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter and 47-19 in their last 66 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Phillies are also just 1-7 in their last 8 meetings in Milwaukee.  The Brewers are a phenomenal 8-1 in Bush's last 9 starts as a home underdog and 6-1 in Bush's last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The Brew Crew have the edge tonight.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

FRANK ROSENTHAL

NBA PLAYOFFS
512 PISTONS-10 SB
OVER 178 SB
514 CELTICS-15 SB
516 LAKERS-7.5 SB
UNDER 230 SB+

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
955 NYM-200 SB
957 ASTROS+135 SB
959 PHILLY-135 SB
964 PADRES-140 SB
969 RANGERS OVER 10.5 SB
971 JAYS-135 SB+
974 CWS-130 SB+
979 Balt +110 SB

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