Sunday Service Plays

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THE VEGAS BEARD


2* Padres

2* Favorite parlay Yanks & Cards

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Spritzer
ko.................magic series
tko................lal series
tko................magic


Feist
total.......................atl under 89
inner circle................sixers
5*.................tor series
5*.....................tor


Cokin
total....................orl under 96.5
wndow.................lal
under the hat....................magic series
3*........................det

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Jeff Money

(NHL) DAL -140 (POD)
(NHL) NSH +140

(MLB) REDS -125

(NBA) LAKERS -8

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Winning Points Online

NBA

**PREFERRED
Boston* over Atlanta by 23

The Hawks are a losing team, with no playoff experience,on the road, against an opponent that won 66 games in the regular season. This isn't Golden State against Dallas,where the underdog Warriors had a winning record and their coach helped build the Dallas roster AND the coaching staff. If the Hawks are looking for the benefit of a momentum- turning call or two, they can wait until Game 3.

BOSTON 105-82


MLB

ARIZONA (R. Johnson) -140 over SAN DIEGO (Wolf)

The surging Diamondbacks trounced the exhausted Padres yesterday and the day before, and prospects for completing the sweep today are outstanding. So far in 2008 San Diego has failed to beat a lefthander (0-4, -$590 with only 2.3 runs per game), and they will be up against Randy Johnson, who was excellent in his first start (0 runs allowed in five innings). On the other hand, Arizona checks in with a 6-1 mark vs. southpaws (+$510 with 6.6 runs per game). The visiting bullpen is shot, following 22 innings vs. the Rockies on Thursday and two drubbings at Chase Field. Under the circumstances, laying the price on the favorite looks like a terrific deal.

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Seabass

Vegas Steam/Insider Under Toronto/Orlando

20* Colorado
20* Tampa Bay
20* Toronto
20* Braves/Dodgers over
20* AZ Run Line

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Wolkosky Milan

10* ORLANDO -6½
10* LA LAKERS -8½
10* ATL/BOS OVER 189

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Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections

$500,000 NBA FIRST ROUND LATE STEAM WINNER
Boston -15

$500,000 NBA FIRST ROUND BLOWOUT WINNER
ORLANDO -6.5

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Ferringo

3-Unit Play. Take Cincinnati (-130) over Milwaukee
Aaron Harang is the Reds' stopper. I don't think Cincinnati is going to get swept, and Yovani Gallardo is making his first start of the year today against a potent lineup and we don't know what he is bringing to the table. Harang is a great April pitcher and has been excellent at home for Cincinnati. The Reds are also 17-7 in his last 24 divisional starts.

2-Unit Play. Take Arizona (-140) over San Diego
Let's go to the well here with the Diamondbacks. They have been destroying left-handed pitching and they are clearly the best team in the National League. You have to drop -180 in the A.L. to play the best teams so we're still getting a bargain. Randy Johnson did not look that bad in his first start (he had an ump with a real tight zone behind the dish) and I think he will get a little extra juice playing in front of his home crowd. The Padres are hitting .175 against lefties on the year, while the D-Backs are hitting .310.

1.5-Unit Play. Take Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) over Atlanta
I don't think the Dodgers get swept here and I think the total is somewhat of an indicator that we're going to see some runs here. Mike Winters is 22-15 against the total in his last 37 games behind home plate and in a series that's lacked for offense I believe the weather (no humidity and a little wind) and the slightly overrated starters lend themselves to a higher scoring affair. Atlanta's bullpen hasn't been an issue yet in this series and I think it becomes one today as the Dodgers take a late win.

1-Unit Play. Take Florida (-130) over Washington
The home team has dominated this series and I look for the Marlins to take two of three today. Scott Olsen has been solid to this point in the season and the Marlins have won four straight of his starts. The Nationals simply are not scoring runs at a consistent enough rate and have dumped three straight starts by Odalis Perez. The Nats are on a 3-13 slide.

1-Unit Play. Take Cleveland (+105) over Minnesota
Paul Byrd has been pretty sloppy this year now that he's off the 'roids. But he is 10-3 in his career against the Twins and is 6-1 with a 2.11 ERA in his career in the Metrodome. We have an umpire (Rob Drake) with a big strike zone and I think we are backing the better hurler as well as the better team. The Indians are 15-5 in the L20 meetings.

Here are a list of totals based on some situational things, but mainly these plays are based on the same group of umpires that we played last Saturday (5-1 on totals) and on Wednesday (3-1 on totals). Again, I know this is a lot of action and that not all of my clients are going to get on these totals but I think that the situations warrant the plays so I'm going to toss them out there for you to do with what you like. We're 8-2 on these guys so we have to ride this out and see if this can be a year-long thing where we capitalize on these umps:

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.0 (+110) San Francisco at St. Louis
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Colorado at Houston
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 (+105) Seattle at Los Angeles Angels
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 (+100) Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Cleveland at Minnesota

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EZWINNERS NBA

5 STAR: PHILADELPHIA (+10) over Detroit
(Risking $550 to win $500)

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BeatYourBookie

NBA Basketball

100* Play Toronto (+6.5) over Orlando

Toronto is 35-16 ATS vs. Southeast Division Opponents the last 3 seasons
Toronto is 29-16 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days
Toronto is 25-11 ATS when revenging a loss by 10 points or more
Toronto is 8-2 ATS vs. Orlando over the last 3 seasons


50* Play Philadelphia (+9.5) over Detroit

Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. Central Division Opponents
Philadelphia is 25-10 ATS in road games when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points
Philadelphia is 13-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of the last 6 games


NHL Hockey Playoffs

100* Play Detroit (-155) over Nashville

50* Play Dallas (-145) over Anaheim

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Mike Jacobs

Atlanta +4.5


Frank Patron

Orlando Magic -6.5


Paul Leiner

5* Magic -7

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Mike Neri

3* Detroit Pistons

3* Los Angeles Lakers

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Paul Leiner

100* NBA Over 179 Det/Phi

10* MLB Yankees -160

10* MLB Phillies -115

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INDIAN COWBOY

Sixers +9.5 (POD)

I would love to bet Philly here, but I just get a disgusting feeling about this game similar to the Washington vs. Cleveland game for those who were on that ballgame. Philly has beat this Detroit team that last 2 times they have played them, at home and winning outright on the road, heck, they nearly covered all 4 games against the Pistons this year which shows that they face up very well to a team in a half-court type of offense. Philly comes into this game having lost their last 4 ballgames and last 4 covers, while the Pistons come into this game having won their last 4 ballgames and covers. I lean on Philly to hang tough here as this team has proven itself worthy all year, I can see them making this a tight ballgame when push comes to shove in the end, still losing, but still being able to hit the cover.

Hawks +15

The Hawks get absolutely no love here. Remember Atlanta was tied to this Boston team at home going into the 4th quarter when they were outscored by 10. Atlanta lost by 10 points on the road and covered the 10.5 spread the last time they plaed at Boston, and of course, this came off when they got beat by 20+ the first time they played them. But, the Hawks have covered back to back games against the C's since then facing a double-digit spread. I think the baby Hawks will surprise a lot of folks today and hang tough, the only thing is I lean on the first half, but this is an early playoff game for this team and jitters will be high for them similar to the Hornets, I do love the fact that the Hawks come off losing to Miami on the road in an embarassing way and this team will be focused on nation television in the early going. I see the Hawks losing by 10-12 today frankly.

Magic -6.5 -


Phillies -107

I nearly took the Phillies -1.5 today for a +155 value. Why? Look the Phillies got beat by Pelfrey on the road 2-8 at New York, tack on the fact that Eaton lost 3-4 in a no-decision against the Mets on the road as well and the Phillies look to avoid getting swept at home, these are the resaons why you would get a splendid price on the Mets today in a possible sucker wager. The Phils have a great deal of incentive to be focused today to not get swept, they have a pitcher who wants revenge and they want to beat a pitcher whom they have revenge against. I expect the Phillies to avoid getting swept today at home as Pelfrey had a great start in his last start and he is exceeding his potential and he should get roughed up tonight - Mets are 3-12 vs. a right handed starter of late and the Phillies are 8-3 in their last 11 ballgames at home vs. a right handed starter.

Pirates +146

Your going to love this pick. You can always consider the Pirates as "value" because of the heavy juice they get against them, but the fact that this team is getting outscored by a ridiculous amount of runs the first 2 games of this series which is going ot make any team upset. Pirates lost 2-3 and 1-13 in the first 2 games of the series, they are looking to avoid the sweep here, Duke has pitched well throughout this sesaon this team is trying to avoid the sweep, the lefty has a 2.89 ERA this year, although Dempster has won all 3 ballgames for his team this year, he did give up 5 walks against the Reds last time out. The Pirates remember getting dominated by Dempster the last ballgame, The Pirates only got 1 hit against Dempster at Pittsburgh in 7 inns, I think they do far better today against him. This is actually very good value today as the Pirates avoid the sweep, have a pitcher in Duke who is one of their better pitchers and the league is starting to figure out Dempster, the Pirates are 5-0 in Duke's last 5 sunday starts and the Pirates are 5-0 with Hoye behind the plate

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Chris James Sports

4* Boston Celtics

4* New York Yankees
2* St. Louis Cardinals

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Bob Akmens

3* ACTION: DETROIT / NASHVILLE OVER 5.0

3* ACTION: DALLAS -135 vs Anaheim

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Michael Cannon
NBA Playoffs: 1-1, -10 dimes

Sunday's Plays...

25 Dime –

LAKERS

Take the Lakers minus the points over the Nuggets in their Game 1 matchup at Staples Center.

Los Angeles is 15-2 SU against Denver in Staples since it opened in 1999. They shouldn’t have any problem improving on that mark today.

The Lakers certainly benefited from the addition of center Pau Gasol. They went 22-5 with him in their lineup and his presence only makes Kobe Bryant that much more dominant.

I love Kobe’s drive and competitiveness, which in my opinion is second to none in the league. Since Gasol was brought on board, you just knew this Lakers team was going to be a force in the West.

The Nuggets don’t exactly have any playoff success to build on in recent years, as they’ve been eliminated 4-1 in the first round each of the last four years.

The Lakers balance and star power will be too much for Denver to overcome here.

Take the Lakers minus the points for the win and cover.


10 Dime –
ROCKIES (With Jimenez as listed pitcher)

Take the Rockies as the small road dog today over the Astros.

Colorado is rolling right now. They’ve won four straight and will be going for the sweep this afternoon over Houston.

It’s funny, but that 22-inning marathon they played Thursday night against the Padres seems to have jump started this team after a lackluster start.

The Astros are the polar opposite of the Rockies right now. They’ve lost three straight and are off to their worst start since 1983.

Ubaldo Jimenez will get the start for Colorado and he’s had some control issues, but I expect him to settle down and revert back to the form that saw him help the Rockies to the World Series last year.

Shawn Chacon will start for Houston and he hasn’t received much run support in his three starts.

Take the Rockies for the road win.


INDIANS (With Byrd as listed pitcher)

Take the Tribe for the road win this afternoon over the Twins.

Cleveland starter Paul Byrd has been money against the Twins, especially in the Metrodome.

The right-hander is 10-3, with four straight wins, against the Twins in his career and is 6-1 with a 2.11 ERA in nine starts at the Metrodome.

Minnesota has struggled offensively, scoring only 69 runs, ranking ahead of only Kansas City in the AL.

Twins starter Scott Baker is just 2-4 with a 4.35 ERA in seven career starts against the Indians.

Take the Tribe as they grab the road win.

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Vegas Insider Capping

NBA Playoffs
15 units Los Angeles Lakers/Denver Nuggets Under 223.5
10 units Detroit Pistons -9.5

Arena Football
10 units Chicago Rush -15

MLB Sunday 4 Pack
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles
Pettitte (2-1 3.38 era) vs Trachsel (1-2 5.65 era)
10 units New York -170
10 units New York -1.5 run line -110

Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox
Millwood (1-2 2.42 era) vs Wakefield (1-0 3.18 era)
10 units Total Under 10.5

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Wolf (1-2 1.42 era) vs Johnson (0-0 0.00 era)
10 units Total Over 8.5

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Bryan Leonard

4* Arizona over San Diego
The Diamondbacks continue to dominate the league and today's pitching matchup looks to be a perfect fit for the host. San Diego will send lefty Randy Wolf to the mound and the Diamondbacks have pounded lefties to the tune of a .311 batting average and scoring 6.84 runs per game this season. In the last four home games against San Diego Arizona has scored 37 combined runs. They hit Wolf well last year when he was with the Dodgers as they posted a .311 batting average to go along with a .467 slugging percentage.

While the Arizona offense has been red hot the Padres sticks are ice cold. San Diego has managed just 2 total runs or less in 7 of their last 10 games. Only twice did they score more than 3 total runs in those games. San Diego is hitting just .177 vs left-handed pitching this year averaging just 1.97 runs per game. Now they must take on the most intimidating lefty in baseball in Randy Johnson. In the last 10 games in Chase Field the Padres have averaged just 2.7 runs per game against this Arizona pitching staff. That simply won't get it done against these red hot hitters.

PLAY ARIZONA

3* New York at Philadelphia Under
Mike Pelfrey has been the starter of the future for New York for the past few seasons. Last time out he showed glimpses of why the brass is so excited about his future. He held the Nationals scoreless in a seven inning stint. His prior start showed promise as he held this Philadelphia lineup to just 2 runs in 5 innings of work. According to the Met's management he is gaining confidence each time out which was really his only drawback to his success. In his only start against the Phillies a year ago he held them to a .200 average and a .304 on base percentage.

Philadelphia counters with Adam Eaton who has pitched well this year allowing just 3 earned runs in each of his 3 starts including a game earlier against these Mets. Last year in four starts against New York he held them to a .253 batting average. The Mets have struggled vs right-handed starters this season producing a .238 batting average.

We don't expect either starter to go deep in the game which puts more pressure on the bullpens. But thus far each bullpen has been very good holding the opposition in check. In the five meetings between these two this season no game has exceeded tonight's posted total of 10. With scoring coming at a premium in night games at Shea Stadium we will look for a low scoring affair.

PLAY UNDER

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