Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

John Ryan

Game: Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat
Prediction: Miami Heat

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Miami. AiS shows a 70% probability that Miami will lose this game by 4 or fewer points. True enough is the fact that this be more or less a scrimmage, but it is nevertheless a 3* Major. Miami (14-67) needs to win its finale to avoid setting the worst record in franchise history. The Heat went 15-67 in their inaugural 1988-89 season. So, yes motivation will be a factor to some extent. I also believe Atlanta will preserve most of their starters for Game 1 against Boston giving the Heat a solid chance to win in front of what few home folks may even attend this game. Take the Heat.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Larry Ness

ANA / KAN Over 8.5

The KC Royals still own the second-best team ERA (3.10) in MLB despite their 11-6 loss at Seattle last night. KC also owns MLB's top bullpen ERA at 2.50. Getting the call for KC in this game in Anaheim against the Angels is the team's big free agent signing from a year ago, Gil Meche. Meche opened with a solid effort vs the Tigers back on March 31 but in two starts since (both vs the Twins), he's struggled. He's lasted just 11.2 innings while allowing 11 hits, six walks and 11 ERs for an ERA of 8.49. That doesn't spell good news when facing an Angel lineup which leads the majors in batting (.301) and has scored the second-most runs (79). Remember, the Angels just 'killed' right-handed pitching last year, going 75-47 and that included a 31-8 mark vs righties in home night games, with the Angels averaging 6.7 RPG. The Angels have opened '08 by going 9-5 vs righties, averaging 5.2 RPG. Historically, Meche is 7-2 with a 5.13 ERA in 17 career starts against LA and while he's 6-1 in 10 career starts at Angel Stadium, he hardly deserves much credit for that lofty record, as his ERA in those 10 starts is 6.07! LA will start Jered Weaver and as I pointed out last Friday night in going against him (won with Seattle, 8-5), Weaver fell off more than most people realize last year. As a rookie in 2006, Weaver had a 2.56 ERA, while allowing just 94 hits in 123 innings. Last season, his ERA was almost a  1 1/2-runs higher (3.91) and he allowed 178 hits in his 161 innings. Against the Mariners last Friday, Weaver allowed four hits (two HRs), four walks and five ERs in just 5.2 innings. I realize that start was on the road but this total is too tempting to pass on. Go over with KC/LAA.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Erin Rynning

MLB

Playmaker: NY Mets under 8.5
Oakland under 8

NBA

Playmaker: Charlotte
Miami

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

EZWINNERS.

MLB

2 STAR: (925) TAMPA BAY (-$113) over Minnesota
(Listing Shields only)
(Risking $226 to win $200)

2 STAR PARLAY: (910) CHICAGO (-$180) and (916) LA DODGERS (-$195)
(Listing Zambrano and Penny only)
(Risking $200 to win $270)

*** BIO-RHYTHM PLAY ***
1 STAR: (902) SAN FRANCISCO (+$158) over Arizona
(Listing Zito and Webb)
(Risking $100 to win $158)

1 STAR: (911) MILWAUKEE (+$117) over St. Louis
(Listing Villanueva only)
(Risking $100 to win $117)

1 STAR: (930) KANSAS CITY (+$138) over LA Angels
(Listing Meche only)
(Risking $112 to win $100)

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ATS Basketball Lock Club

4 units Orlando
3 units Suns

ATS Hockey Lock Club

4 units Det
3 units Over Pitt-Ott

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Keith Martin Sports

Atlanta Braves

LA Angels

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Bob Balfe

Houston Astros -110

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GINA

Utah Jazz (54-27) at San Antonio Spurs (55-26)

The Spurs and Jazz would like to grab a win tonight, home-court advantage in round one is at stake for both squads. The Jazz will have a big assignment tonight. They haven't won in San Antonio since 1998 season, dropping 17 straight. Go with the home team. The home team in this series has won eight straight and the Spurs have covered the spread in their last 5 games against the Jazz at the AT&T Center.

San Antonio Spurs


San Antonio Spurs - 4
Phoenix Suns -11½

MLB

Tampa Bay Rays (6-8) at Minnesota Twins (6-8)

Minnesota has taken nine of the last 11 versus the Rays at home, 6-20 in the last 26 and will send right-hander Livan Hernandez to the hill. Hernandez held the Royals to seven hits over seven scoreless innings, allowing seven hits and just one walk in his last start for his third win in his three starts this season. He is 2-2 with a 5.77 ERA in six career starts against Tampa Bay. The Rays counter with their ace James Shields. The right-hander is 1-1 with a 6.17 ERA in two career starts against the Twins. Go with the Twins with Livan Hernandez at the helm to stiffen the Rays.

Minnesota Twins + 110

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L Ness

Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays
Over Baltimore

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Will Sykes

3* Seattle/Golden State Under 232

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Jeff Money

CARDS -125 (POD)

BRAVES -135

YANKS UN 9 -130

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LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT

Play: LVTR POWER PLAY: PITTSBURGH vs LA DODGERS OVER 8
Penny is 0-2 with a 6.00 era in his last two starts and Maholm is 0-1 with a 4.36 in his two starts this season. If we dig deeper, Malholm is 0-2 when starting against LA with an era of 6.50 and a WHIP of 1.721. The Over is 6-1-1 in Pittsburgh road games. Take this Over as today's Power Play.
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): WASHINGTON vs NY METS


Play: NATIONALS / METS OVER 9
Maine is 0-1, 4.50 in two starts this season. Chico is 0-1, 5.56 in two road starts this season. When each pitcher faces each others team, the era's rise up further as Chico is 2-2 when starting against NY with an era of 6.20 and a WHIP of 1.919 while Maine is 3-2 when starting against Washington with an era of 5.21 and a WHIP of 1.237.
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR):COLORADO vs SAN DIEGO


Play: SAN DIEGO PADRES (LIST GERMANO)
Germano has a 0.69 era in two starts. Redman is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two starts this season. Redman has failed to pitch a full 6 innings giving up 8 runs and 16 hits in less than 11 total innings. He is only filling in for the 5th pitching position for the Rockies. Take the Padres with confidence tonight.

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ATS Lock Club - Baseball

4 Units - Tampa Bay
4 Units - Seattle

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AAA Sports

Atlanta Braves at Florida Marlins - Under 9

Note: This has been one of my favorite plays for a very long time and that is when Tim Hudson steps onto the mound. His games are 6-1 UNDER the last 7 and 5-0 UNDER the last 5 while on the road. He is a damn good thrower and off to another great start for his Braves. In 21 innings thrown he has spotted the opposition just 12 hits and only 2 bases on balls. What makes him so good is his ability to keep the ball down in the strikezone and his very good control that does not allow for many additional runners. Because he does these things so well, he rarely gives up a dinger. That is a good thing at this park and perhaps why he is 4-0 with a 1.87 ERA in five starts at Dolphin Stadium. He has been successful verses this team as he is 6-1 with a 2.28 ERA in 10 starts against Florida. Of course he is pretty tough on just about everyone he throws at so this comes to no surprise to me. He is more than likely going to give us some quality innings and probably a lot of them as he usually does. These Marlins are hitting the ball this year but will be hardpressed to do well verses Tim. That gives us a good jumpstart on accomplishing our goal tonight. This park can get windy and we are expecting those tonight but they are primarily coming either in from leftfield or left to right across the diamond. At best the winds will not be a factor for this contest. The Marlins first thrower today has been up and down throughout his career, but mostly up this year with reasonable numbers and less hits given per innings thrown. While he has not beaten the Braves, in two starts versus Atlanta, he does have a 4.15 ERA. That is good enough for me to pull the trigger with an Atlanta team that is 9-2 UNDER their last 12 road games. The Homeplate Umpire is a bit of a concern as he has demonstrated to me that his zone is a bit too wee but both starters have better than average control. Marlins bats have cooled a bit, scoring just 5 times over 3 games and they will face their toughest opponent tonight with Mr Hudson. It takes 10 to beat us tonight and more times than not, that is not going to happen.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Wayne Root

Chairman Brewers
Millionaire Mariners
No Limit Yankees

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Winning Points Online

MLB

NY YANKEES (Wang) -155 over BOSTON (Buchholz)

Tonight's game is a rematch of a game that was played 5 days ago in Boston where Chien-Ming Wang pitched a complete game surrendering just two hits.In fact he has just given up 3 earned runs in total this season. He will be opposed by Clay Buchholz who has shown some promise this season but should be no match for a New York team who seems to have found a groove.Derek Jeter has returned to the lineup for the Yanks and has 5 hits in their last 2 games, and has seemed to spark a dormant offense. We expect the Yankees to take the young Buchholz to school tonight.

NBA

**PREFERRED
Dallas* over New Orleans by 14

The game we were waiting for has materialized with a situation attached to it, although not in the manner expected. The original thinking was that Dallas had to win to prevent New Orleans from being #1, therebyavoiding a First Round match-up of #2 Lakers vs. #7 Mavericks.

Instead, Dallas must win to ensure the #7 spot, avoiding a fall to #8 and a First Round match-up with #1 LA, and cementing an instant re-hook with #2 New Orleans that would begin over the weekend.

The Hornets stayed on their home floor for a half-hour after last night's win against the Clippers, celebratingtheir division title with their fans. Would Hornets' head coach Byron Scott mind losing tonight's second of back- to-backs off the division title, and making the First Round match-up with Dallas happen? Well, Jason Kidd plays on Dallas, and Scott despises Kidd (and vice-versa from their time as fake head coach and chief basket-clanger in New Jersey), the overrated bum who thinks he should run the teams he plays for. It's destiny for these two clowns to be forced to look at each other and think bad thoughts six or seven times in the next two weeks.

DALLAS 105-91

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ChicagoSportsConnection

CHICAGO BULLS -6.5 vs Toronto

Bulls trying to avoid a 50 loss season......Raptors locked in to 6th playoff spot....will rest players in 2nd Half.


SEATTLE +100 @ Oakland

A's playing in Chicago yesterday made me take a hard look at this one.A's were on an 8 game road trip and we like betting against a home team returning from a long trip.Seattle has won 5 of 8 and are swinging the bats well.Oakland has struggled at the plate in L3.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Gambler's Data

1* Dodgers
1* Angels
1* Mets

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