Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Platinum Plays

Boston at Atlanta

This Saturday's game between Boston and Atlanta will more than likely be a preview of the Eastern Conference playoffs between these two teams. However, what you observe in this game will in no way be the same version of this matchup once the playoffs begin. The #1 seeded Boston Celtics (62-15) have already clinched the NBA Eastern Conference's top spot and will enjoy homecourt throughout the Eastern Conference playoffs. The Atlanta Hawks (36-42) still have some work to do as of this writing. They still haven't clinched the final playoff spot in the East and lead the Indiana Pacers by two games with four remaining.

The 2008 Boston Celtics have already broken the record for biggest improvement by an NBA team in one season and are still adding on to their 38 game improvement over 2007. General Manager, Danny Ainge, completely overhauled the roster and direction of this Celtic team by trading away young and potentially great talent to aquire established veterans Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett. Under the direction of head coach Doc Rivers, Allen and Garnett have merged their game with holdover Paul Pierce to make the Celtics once again a contender for an NBA Championship.

Make no mistake, the Hawks are an improving team and have done so mostly through the draft. When a team is in the lottery year after year, it really should start improving with the infusion of highly rated young talent. However, using the Celtics as an example, you can have all the young talent in the world, but if they don't learn to sacrifice parts of their game for the good of the team, they'll never seriously contend for a title. Veteran G Joe Johnson (21.9 ppg) leads this young Hawks team in scoring, and rookie Al Horford leads the team in rebounding with 9.6 boards per game. The Hawks made a deadline deal to bring in veteran point guard Mike Bibby, however, the results of that trade are negligible. Atlanta should qualify for the playoffs, something this team hasn't done in this century, and that's the first step towards building for the future. We'll see how far these young guys can take this franchise.

The Celtics have had the luxury of resting their veterans and getting playing time for the bench, which will play dividends down the road. The Hawks can't afford to take a night off if they hope to clinch the final playoff spot in the East. While letting Garnett, Allen and Pierce recharge their batteries for the playoffs, the Celtics just can't help but winning.

Free winner from Platinum Plays: The advanced line for this game is Boston by 7 points. The Hawks are inconsistent and will have to lay it on the line, while Doc Rivers won't want to show any secrets for the playoffs, and his team probably prefers to play the Hawks over the Pacers when the playoffs start. Platinum prediction for this game is take the Atlanta Hawks plus the 7 points and then watch the Celtics sweep them mercifully in the 1st round of the NBA Eastern Conferernce playoffs.

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ARMVIN SPORTS

NHL
BOSTON at MONTREAL Under 5

MLB
WASHINGTON NATIONALS +161

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Matt Fargo

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
Play: Chicago White Sox   

Detroit took the opener last night and at 2-8, the Tigers are still being completely overvalued. A win was nice but until this team becomes more consistent and starts putting a run together, it will be a fade. The offense is starting to come around but the last three games came against some weak starting pitching and while tonight’s Chicago starter could be lumped into that category, there are reasons he is not as explained later. The Tigers are still pressing.

The White Sox had won five straight games before dropping the last two. I can expect them to turn that around tonight at a great price on their field. They have won their last four games as an underdog and this will be the first instance of a dog price at home. The White Sox offense has cooled down but they are still averaging a solid 5.8 rpg on the season and have the chance to once again to take out Justin Verlander. Chicago has won 12 of the last 17 in this series.

The Tigers send Verlander to the hill and that is part of the reason Detroit is a road favorite. He did not pitch very well against Kansas City in his opening start, allowing four runs in six innings. He followed that up with an even worse performance against the White Sox on Sunday. Chicago has given him fits as he is 1-5 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in nine career starts against the White Sox. The Tigers are just 2-7 in those eight starts and it is obviously a mental thing at this point.

Chicago counters with Gavin Floyd who has already tamed the Tigers once this season, allowing three runs on six hits in six innings of work. Floyd came up as a huge prospect but it has not panned out. He still has a lot of potential as he has just 30 starts in his résumé. He has faced five teams three or more times in his career and has a combined ERA of 5.89 over almost 95 innings. Detroit is one of those teams but he has a 3.03 ERA in five starts against the Tigers while never losing. Play Chicago White Sox 1 Units

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

BEN BURNS

St Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants
PICK: Under

REASON FOR PICK: Wellemeyer has been a pleasant surprise for the Cardinals thus far, recording a 2.25 ERA and 1.083 WHIP. He pitched well last time out but got outdueled by Wandy Rodriguez, a game which stayed below the number. He faces another tough pitching opponent in Matt Cain today and I'm expecting another well-pitched affair. Note that Wellemeyer tossed five shutout innings, allowing only two hits, in his only previous start against the Giants, a game which also fell below the total. Including that start, the UNDER is 6-2 in Wellemeyer's last eight starts, dating back to last season.

Cain wasn't at his best last time out, losing vs. San Diego. He had a 3.48 ERA in 17 starts here last season though, so I'm willing to cut him some slack, particularly given that he went 5 2/3 shutout innings in his first start (vs. the Dodgers) while allowing only three hits. Note that Cain closed out last season by pitching seven or more innings in five of his final seven home starts, going six complete in the other two. Its also worth mentioning that he didn't allow more than three earned runs in any of those games, allowing just eight earned runs in his final 40 innings (1.80 ERA) pitched here. Additionally, note that Cain held opposing hitters to a .231 average in his 2007 daytime starts, recording a solid 3.52 ERA.

Unfortunately for Cain, he often doesn't get much run support from a Giants lineup which currently ranks last (2.5) in runs scored. While his last start finished above the total, Cain has still seen the UNDER go 12-3 his last 15 starts, dating back to last July. Having the advantage of making his first start against the Cards, look for Cain to be at his best this afternoon, improving on his impressive 'under stats.'

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

MLB DUNKEL


Colorado at Arizona   
The Diamondbacks ran their win streak to seven straight with a victory over Colorado last night and look to stretch that today behind starter Dan Haren, who picked up his first win for Arizona in his last start.  The D-Backs are the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has Arizona favored by 2.  Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-140).   Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, APRIL 12

Game 901-902: Atlanta at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Smoltz) 15.151; Washington (Lannan) 13.650
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-165); Under

Game 903-904: Milwaukee at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Sheets) 15.150; NY Mets (Santana) 15.092
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+135); Under

Game 905-906: Colorado at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Morales) 14.503; Arizona (Haren) 16.714
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-140); Under

Game 907-908: St. Louis at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 15.618; San Francisco (Cain) 14.381
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+110); Under

Game 909-910: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.736; Pittsburgh (Snell) 14.838
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Under

Game 911-912: Florida at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Miller) 14.701; Houston (Backe) 14.699
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Over

Game 913-914: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lilly) 15.038; Philadelphia 15.203
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-180); Over

Game 915-916: San Diego at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Young) 14.816; LA Dodgers (Lowe) 14.594
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+110); Under

Game 917-918: Detroit at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 13.929; White Sox (Floyd) 15.034
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+125); Over

Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Mussina) 14.899; Boston (Beckett) 15.347
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-155); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Dinardo) 15.367; Cleveland (Carmona) 14.825
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 923-924: Minnesota at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Bonser) 15.343; Kansas City (Tomko) 15.400
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-125); Under

Game 925-926: Baltimore at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Cabrera) 15.834; Tampa Bay (Hammel) 14.923
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+110); Over

Game 927-928: Toronto at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 16.317; Texas (Mendoza) 15.404
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-145); Under

Game 929-930: LA Angels at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Garland) 14.863; Seattle (Silva) 15.046
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-115); Under

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

1. 200,000* Jazz

2. 50,000* Royals

3. 50,000* LA Angels

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Ethan Law

FLA: LHP Andrew Miller (0-1, 12.91) at HOU: RHP Brandon Backe (0-1, 3.27)

Verdict: Florida 4, Houston 8

PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON HOUSTON -$130;
PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON HOUSTON (-1.5) +$155

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Cajun-Sports

NBA Super Situation Winner for Saturday


Game: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Washington Wizards

Prediction: Washington Wizards -4

Grade: THREE-Star (rated 1 to 6 units)

Reason: Washington is in a battle with Toronto and the 76ers for playoff positioning and they have both been playing well of late. With the return of Antawn Jamison who torched the Celtics on Wednesday for 27 points and the play of DeShawn Stevenson, Brendon Haywood and of course Caron Butler who is averaging 20.6 points per game we feel they have more than enough offense even if Arenas is unable to play to take down the 76ers here. They are coming off a game last night in Detroit but the Wizards have been somewhat successful playing in back-to-backs in the second game as long as they are at home. Washington also has an underrated bench which will benefit them here as they get the win and cover. Technical situations signal a formula for wagering success with Washington as well. The first says to Play On NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a straight up loss vs an opponent as a road favorite, with a team playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, 62-30 ATS since 2002. The second situation says to Play On NBA home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after covering the spread by thirty or more points total in their last three games, during the second half of the season, 50-22 ATS since 2002. Combine our technical with our situational support and it points to a Wizards win and cover so lay the short price here.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

John Ryan

St Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants
Play: San Francisco Giants   

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on SF - SF is certainly one of the worst teams – if not the worst team – in MLB, but they have a great opportunity for a win with Cain on the hill. SF is is 57-24 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in home games versus a NL team with an on base percentage of .350 or better since 1997. Skipper Bochy is 25-18 +16.9 units when facing a NL team allowing 3.3 RPG on the season. Although 4-7 on the season, the Giants are 3-2 in home games. Let’s remember though that the reason we are making any play I release is directly connected to the Ai Simulator grading. The host of systems and angles serve to reinforce the grading and are NOT the dominant reason for the play. Take the Giants.

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MONEYLOCKOFTHEDAY

JUNIOR'S PICK
New York Yankees -108


DIGGER'S PICK
Atlanta Hawks -5


HAWKER'S PICK
Cincinnati/Pittsburg - Over 9.5

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DCI

NHL

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals
Game 2, best-of-7
MONTREAL 3, Boston 2

Western Conference Quarterfinals
Game 2, best-of-7
ANAHEIM 3, Dallas 2
DETROIT 3, Nashville 2

NBA

WASHINGTON 98, Philadelphia 95
Boston 99, ATLANTA 93
INDIANA 108, Charlotte 101
MEMPHIS 105, Minnesota 102
MILWAUKEE 100, New Jersey 98
UTAH 116, Denver 109
New Orleans 105, SACRAMENTO 101
Dallas 97, PORTLAND 93
GOLDEN STATE 115, L.A. Clippers 101

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THE POWER INDEX

NBA

Boston 4 over Atlanta*
Washington* 3 over Philadelphia
Indiana* 6 over Charlotte
Memphis* 4 over Minnesota
Milwaukee* 1? over New Jersey
Utah* 6.5 over Denver
Dallas 3 over Portland*
New Orleans 2.5 over Sacramento*
Golden State* 13.5 over L.A. Clippers

NHL

Detroit* (-151) .5 over Nashville (+151)
Montreal* (-173) 1 over Boston (+173)
Anaheim* (-109) even with Dallas (+109)

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#1 SPORTS

HOUSTON ASTROS - 125


HUDDLE UP

Milwaukee/NY Mets under 7


TV HOTLINE

BOSTON -160


RAZOR SHARP

MINNESOTA/MEMPHIS UNDER the total of 216


TOTALS 4 U

REDS/PIRATES OVER 8 1/2


COMPUTER SPORTS

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES-4


THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

Take Detroit (Verlander) -135


ARTHUR RALPH

Arizona D'Backs


NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER

DETROIT -135 OVER WHITE SOX


DR VEGAS

Texas +135 over Toronto


TRACE ADAMS

Florida-Houston OVER


JAKE TIMLIN

Arizona Diamondbacks


MIKE WYNN

Minnesota +4


BIG TIME SPORTS

A's/INDIANS OVER 9


SCOUT

Pittsburgh  -115


MIGHTY QUINN

76ers.


Paul Leiner

5* Mets -140


Sharp Sports Advisors

CHICAGO WHITE SOX +125


Platinum Sports Investing Club

Brewers/New York Mets Under 7.5


MadduxSports

Wizards -3.5


HotLocksports

Braves/Nationals Under 9


Global Handicapping

Atlanta/John Smoltz -1.5


Buck ShotBoys

Minnesota/Kansas City Over 9


Florida Booky Busters

Boston Bruins


RedZone Sports

Red Sox/Yankees Over


Scott Spreitzer

Yanks/Red Sox Over


INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

Atlanta/Washington UNDER 9


Joe Wiz

Astros


Bob Donahue

Pacers


Computer Sports

Grizzlies


NICK JONES

Memphis Grizzlies -4


Rocco Spacamuro

Cincinnati + 105


Jack Clayton

Denver Nuggets


EW SPORTS

Toronto Blue Jays -145


2-Minute Warning

BALTIMORE (CABRERA) over Tampa Bay (Hammond)


Todays Picks

Stars +175


Guaranteed Sports Pick 

Angels +110 


Mike Neri Sports 

White Sox +125 


Donald Tran

Arizona Diamondbacks -145


EW SPORTS

Toronto Blue Jays -145

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Trev Rogers

Brewers +125

STL Cards +103

Reds +100

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

ATS Basketball Lock Club

3 units Washington


ATS Hockey Lock Club

6 units over Dall-Ana

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Arthur Ralph

Super Pick NY METS W/Santana

900 Silver Bullet Toronto w/Holladay

Free play Arizona D Back's

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Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
TWolves +4 over Grizzles

Major League Baseball
Astros -135 over Marlins
Backe/Miller


Savannah Sports

2 Units on Washington Under 8.5
2 Units on CWS Over 9.5

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Dave Malinsky 4* play

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
PICK: over

We have already been able to cash a couple of 6* tickets here in Chase Field this week as the market comes up short of properly evaluating what it means to have the dome opened (not only do we get a '9' here, but you should be able to lay -105), and in a rare home game under the open daytime skies we are ready to play again, although the pitching matchup does force us to back the * rating down to a regular play.

Franklin Morales was razor sharp against the Diamondbacks on Sunday, not allowing a run and giving up just two hits over six innings. But that was on a day in which the first pitch temperature was 49 degrees at Coors Field. Now not only do the Arizona hitters get another crack at him, which means some familiarity with his stuff, but they also get to do it under the best hitting conditions for any game in the Major’s so far this season (when we combine temperature and ball park). Let’s look for them to get much better swings this time, and for some of that right-handed power to catch up to him.

We backed Danny Haren as a 4* against the Dodgers earlier in the week, and we must respect his chances to perform well on the first look for N.L. hitters - the expected Colorado starters today have only 17 career at-bats against him. But Haren does get a lot of fly ball outs, and has already allowed three home runs in 12 innings this season. He can be good here, but not dominating enough to get us out of this one at the price being offered.

We do not need anything near a slugfest to cash this ticket - if each team gets to four runs we can not lose. That is not asking much at all on a hot day (first pitch should be around 83 degrees) in which it will feel like mid-July to the hitters.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

do you guys ever get akmens plays? especially baseball. just wandering. thanks for the help.
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