MLB Tips and Trends April 8

MLB Tips and Trends April 8

MLB WRITE-UP

Terms "hot/cold pitchers" is relative, since for the next week or so, it refers to last year, Please keep that in mind.

Hot Pitchers
-- Mets won seven of last ten Perez starts.
-- Cueto allowed one run in seven IP in winning MLB debut. Suppan is 3-0, 3.10 in his last three starts.
-- Cardinals are 12-5 in last seventeen Thompson starts.
-- Jurrjens was on winning side in his last seven starts. Jimenez has 2.84 RA in his last five starts.
-- Billingsley was on winning side in six of his last eight starts.
-- Wolf was on winning side in nine of last twelve starts.

-- Matsuzaka has 2.38 RA in his two starts this season.
-- Harden has 1.80 RA in his last five April starts. Toronto won six of last eight Burnett starts.
-- Royals won six of last nine Bannister starts. Bronx won last six starts by Hughes.
-- Bedard was on winning side in 13 of his last 14 starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Moyer has an 8.10 RA in his last six starts.
-- Chacon has 7.98 RA in his last three starts.
-- Davis is pitching with thyroid cancer; Arizona lost three of his last four starts-- he begins treatment next week.
-- Giants lost four of last five Lincecum starts.

-- Orioles lost six of last eight Burres starts. Jennings was on losing side in eleven of last twelve games.
-- Rogers is 0-3, 4.68 in his last four starts.
-- Indians lost four of last five Westbrook starts. Angels won eight of last dozen Santana home starts.

Pitchers vs Teams
-- Perez was 0-2, 7.43 in three starts vs Philly last season.
-- Jimenez allowed six runs in 4.2 IP in his start vs Braves LY.
-- Davis was 1-2, 3.20 against Dodgers LY. Billingsley was 1-1, 3.65 in three starts vs Arizona last season.
-- Lincecum was 1-1, 2.70 against Padres last season. Wolf was 1-1, 4.50 against the Giants.

-- Matsuzaka was 1-1, 4.50 vs Detroit last season.
-- Bannister lost 11-5 to Bronx last September, giving up seven runs in five IP. Hughes gave up six runs in 4.2 IP in his start vs Royals LY, in game Bronx later won 16-8.
-- Burnett was 0-1, 3.21 in two starts vs Oakland LY.
-- Tampa Bay was 0-4 vs Bedard LY (3-0, 2.84).
-- Westbrook was 0-1, 3.29 in two starts vs Angels LY. Santana was 0-3, 6.35 against Cleveland LY.

Totals
-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Perez starts.
-- Under is 6-2 in Houston games this season.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Reds' last five games.
-- Four of last five Colorado games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in first seven Dodger games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Padre games this season.

-- Under was 6-3-1 in Burres road starts LY.
-- Over is 9-6 in Matsuzaka's last fifteen Fenway starts.
-- Six of first seven Bronx games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Oakland games.
-- Last three Tampa games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Cleveland games.

Hot Teams
-- Brewers started season with 5-1 homestand. Reds won four of their last six games.
-- Cardinals won five of their last six games.
-- Arizona won last four games, scoring 29 runs.

-- Orioles won last five games, scoring 30 runs.
-- Toronto won last three games, outscoring foes 23-9.
-- Angels won five of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Mets lost three of their last four games.
-- Nationals lost last five games, allowing 31 runs.
-- Rockies lost five of their last six games.
-- Dodgers are 1-3 this season in game after a win.
-- Giants lost six of their first seven games. Padres are 1-3 in the game following a win.

-- Red Sox lost last three games, outscored 23-9. Detroit is 0-6 to open the season- this is their first road game.
-- Twins lost five of their last seven games.
-- Mariners lost last four games, scoring total of fourteen runs.
-- Indians lost four of their last five games.

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Re: MLB Tips and Trends April 8

MLB Tips and Trends

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox

Tigers: Detroit's Kenny Rogers pitched well in his first start of the season but got no run support in a 4-0 loss to Kansas City last Wednesday. Rogers gave up 2 runs and 5 hits to the Royals in 6 innings with 1 one walk and 4 strikeouts, and he is 11-7 lifetime vs. Boston with a 4.81 ERA.

Tigers are 5-17 in the last 22 meetings at Boston.
The UNDER is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Red Sox (-160, O/U 9.5): Boston has won both of Daisuke Matsuzaka's starts so far this season, as he earned a win last time out at Oakland a week ago. Dice-K has allowed just 3 runs and walked 5 batters in 11 2/3 innings with 15 strikeouts this year. Opposing batters are hitting just .105 against him.

Red Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 games overall.
The UNDER is 14-6-2 in Boston's last 22 Tuesday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD


Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers

Reds: Cincy phenom Johnny Cueto lived up to his lofty billing in his major league debut, striking out 10 and getting the win versus Arizona. Cueto dominated the Diamondbacks lineup, allowing only one hit through seven innings. The knock on Cueto was he had great stuff but could be wild at times. He showed no signs of that against Arizona, not walking a single Diamondbacks batter on the day.

Reds are 4-9 in their last 13 road games.
The OVER is 24-10-1 in Cincinnati's last 35 road games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Brewers (-115, O/U 8.5): Milwaukee's Jeff Suppan pitched well in his first outing of the season versus the Cubs, allowing just six hits and two runs in 6.1 innings. Suppan is hoping to have a similar kind of performance against a team he?s traditionally struggled with. While he is 3-2 in 11 career starts versus Cincy, Suppan?s ERA is 6.05 and Reds hitters are batting a healthy .291against him.

Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 games overall.
The OVER is 9-3-2 in Milwaukee's last 14 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD


Oakland A's at Toronto Blue Jays

A's: Oakland's Rich Harden will look to continue his impressive start to the season and notch his first career victory against the Blue Jays. Harden is 0-3 lifetime vs. Toronto with a 5.59 ERA in 5 starts, but he is 1-0 in 2 starts this season with a 0.82 ERA. He has allowed 1 run and 7 hits in 11 innings with 7 walks and 15 strikeouts.

A's are 5-14 in their last 19 games overall.
The OVER is 6-2-1 in Oakland's last 9 road games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Blue Jays (-145, O/U 7.5): Toronto's A.J. Burnett will try to build off a road win against the Yankees in his first home start. Burnett pitched 6 solid innings at New York, allowing 2 runs and 5 hits in 6 innings with 1 walk and 3 strikeouts. He is 1-1 lifetime vs. Oakland with a 2.18 ERA in 3 starts.

Blue Jays are 8-1 in their last 9 games on field turf.
The OVER is 8-3 in Toronto's last 11 games following a win.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD


Cleveland Indians at LA Angels

Indians: Cleveland's Jake Westbrook will try to bounce back from a disappointing start against the White Sox in his first road start of the season. Insiders had touted a new changeup for Westbrook in Spring Training, but he ended up scattering 6 hits to Chicago in 7 1/3 innings of work last Thursday, walking 1 and striking out 3. He is 2-5 lifetime against the Angels despite an impressive 3.12 ERA.

The OVER is 8-2 in Westbrook's last 10 Tuesday starts.
The OVER is 6-2-1 in Cleveland's last 9 road games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Angels (-120, O/U 8.5): Ervin Santana was much more successful pitching at Anaheim a year ago, and some insiders believe he may be turning the corner after notching a win away from home in his first start of the season at Minnesota last Thursday. Santana was just 1-10 on the road last year and has already equaled that win total after allowing just 2 runs and 4 hits to the Twins in 6 innings of a 5-4 victory. However, he is winless during his career against the Indians with an 0-5 mark and 7.59 ERA in 5 starts.

Angels are 26-9 in Santana's last 35 home starts.
The OVER is 9-3-1 in Santana's 13 starts.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

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Trend Sheet

PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia


BALTIMORE vs. TEXAS
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Texas is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Baltimore


DETROIT vs. BOSTON
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games


NY YANKEES vs. KANSAS CITY
NY Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Kansas City's last 21 games when playing NY Yankees


OAKLAND vs. TORONTO
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 9 games on the road
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Toronto's last 20 games when playing at home against Oakland


SEATTLE vs. TAMPA BAY
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Tampa Bay's last 25 games when playing at home against Seattle
Tampa Bay is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games


CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
Cincinnati is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 11 games when playing Cincinnati


ST. LOUIS vs. HOUSTON
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


ATLANTA vs. COLORADO
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games


LA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
LA Dodgers are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Arizona
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


CLEVELAND vs. LA ANGELS
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Angels
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
LA Angels are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland


SAN DIEGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
San Diego is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Francisco
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
San Francisco is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Diego

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Re: MLB Tips and Trends April 8

MLB SHORT SHEET

National League

Philadelphia at NY Mets, 1:10 ET
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Oliver Perez (L)
Moyer: 13-3 TSR vs. division
Perez: 11-20 TSR at home working on 5 or 6 days rest

St. Louis at Houston, 8:05 ET
Brad Thompson (R) vs. Shawn Chacon (R)
Thompson: 12-3 TSR in night games
Chacon: 34-18 Under vs. division

Cincinnati at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Johnny Cueto (R) vs. Jeff Suppan (R)
Cueto: Cin 53-35 Over off a loss
Suppan: 13-4 TSR vs. division

Atlanta at Colorado, 8:35 ET
Jair Jurrjens (R) vs. Ubaldo Jimenez (R)
Jurrjens: Atl 11-1 Over Away on Tuesday
Jimenez: Col 33-17 after allowing 2 runs or less

LA Dodgers at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Chad Billingsley (R) vs. Doug Davis (L)
Billingsley: LAD 58-42 Over as favorite
Davis: 15-4 TSR in home games

San Diego at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Randy Wolf (L) vs. Tim Lincecum (R)
Wolf: 21-9 TSR on grass
Lincecum: SF 8-22 off loss by 4+ runs


American League

Baltimore at Texas, 2:05 ET
Brian Burres (L) vs. Jason Jennings (R)
Burres: Bal 5-22 Away off win by 2 runs or less
Jennings: 0-7 ATS as home favorite

Detroit at Boston, 2:05 ET
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Daisuke Matsuzaka (R)
Rogers: 12-1 TSR off BB Tigers losses
Matsuzaka: Bos 26-12 Over at home when the total is 9 to 9.5

NY Yankees at Kansas City, 4:10 ET
Phil Hughes (R) vs. Brian Bannister (R)
Hughes: NYY 8-15 off 3+ Unders
Bannister: 9-1 TSR in day games

Oakland at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Chad Gaudin (R) vs. A.J. Burnett (R)
Gaudin: Oak 18-8 off one-run loss
Burnett: Tor 18-5 Under as a home favorite of -125 to -150

Seattle at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Erik Bedard (L) vs. Matt Garza (R)
Bedard: 8-1 TSR Away if the money line is +125 to -125
Garza: TB 19-7 Over in April

Cleveland at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Jake Westbrook (R) vs. Ervin Santana (R)
Westbrook: Cle 14-2 revenging loss as road favorite
Santana: 5-13 TSR vs. AL Central

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