Tuesday Service Plays

Tuesday Service Plays

The Sports Advisors

NATIONAL LEAGUE

L.A. Dodgers (4-3) at Arizona (5-2)

The two favorites in the N.L. West continue their three-game series at Chase Field, with the Dodgers’ Chad Billingsley (0-0, 3.86 ERA) finally set to make his first start of 2008 when he opposes veteran Arizona lefty Doug Davis (0-1, 4.91).

The DBacks pounded out a 9-3 victory on Monday, their fourth straight win. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles has alternated wins and losses in its last six contests. Despite last night’s setback, the Dodgers are still 8-4 in their last 12 games in the desert.

Billingsley was scratched from his scheduled start against the Giants on Wednesday because of pending rain, but he did come into the game in relief and gave up two hits and a run in 1/3 of an inning, with L.A. eventually losing 2-1. The righthander also appeared in relief in Friday’s 7-1 win in San Diego, allowing just a hit in two scoreless innings.

Billingsley began 2007 in the Dodgers’ bullpen before entering the rotation in mid-June, and he went 8-5 in 20 starts, giving up three earned runs or fewer in eight of his final nine outings, with Los Angeles winning six of his last eight starts.

Last year on the road, Billingsley went 8-3 with a 2.59 ERA in 24 games (11 starts), including 2-0 with a 4.26 ERA at Chase Field. In his brief career, Billingsley is 4-1 with a 2.36 ERA against the DBacks (4-0, 2.70 ERA In Arizona).

Davis got yanked after just 3 2/3 innings on Thursday in Cincinnati, yielding three runs (two earned) on four hits and six walks, losing 3-2. Still, Arizona is 13-5 in Davis’ last 18 trips to the mound. Also, Davis, who is making his final start before taking time off to undergo surgery for thyroid cancer, went 8-3 at home last year despite a beefy 4.75 ERA.

Davis has flat-out dominated L.A. in five career starts, giving up just four earned runs in 34 2/3 innings (1.04 ERA), but he’s just 3-2. All four earned runs came in a September outing in Dodger Stadium last year, with the DBacks losing 7-4. Prior to that, Davis had surrendered one unearned run in four starts against the Dodgers spanning 30 innings.

The under is 9-3 in Billingsley’s last 12 starts, 3-1-1 in his five career starts against the DBacks and 3-1-1 in Davis’ five career outings against the Dodgers.

Last night’s contest easily topped the total. However, the under is still 4-2 in the last six head-to-head meetings, 12-6 in the D’Backs’ last 18 overall, 5-2 in their last five at home, 5-2 for the Dodgers this season, 4-2 in the Dodgers’ last six on the road and 9-4 in their last 13 against N.L. West competition.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Oakland (3-4) at Toronto (4-2)

Rich Harden (1-0, 0.82) seeks his third quality start of the season of the season when he leads the A’s against A.J. Burnett (1-0, 3.00) and the Blue Jays in the opener of a three-game series at the Rogers Centre.

Toronto is coming off a three-game weekend sweep of the defending-champion Red Sox, outscoring Boston 23-9 in winning all three games by at least three runs. Meanwhile, Oakland hits the road after taking two of three from Cleveland over the weekend, holding the Indians’ potent lineup to just six runs.

The road team won seven of the nine series meetings last year, with the A’s sweeping a three-game set in their only trip to Canada. Going back to 2006, Oakland is on a 5-1 run at the Rogers Centre.

The oft-injured Harden has been outstanding through his first two starts, both of which came against the Red Sox, including a game in Tokyo. The hard-throwing righthander has allowed just a run on seven hits with seven walks and 15 strikeouts over 11 innings. However, he failed to register a decision on Wednesday against the Red Sox, pitching five scoreless innings with the A’s eventually losing 5-0.

Harden is 0-3 with a 5.59 ERA in five starts against the Blue Jays, most recently facing them in 2005. In two outings in his native Canada, he’s 0-2 with a 10.61 ERA. On the bright side, the A’s are 37-16 in Harden’s last 53 starts overall and 5-1 in his last six outings on foreign turf.

Burnett was solid in his debut at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday, holding New York to two runs on five hits in six innings en route to a 5-2 victory. The Blue Jays are 6-2 in Burnett’s last eight trips to the hill going back to last August, including 3-1 at home, where the righthander went 6-3 with a 3.19 ERA In 12 starts in 2007.

Burnett dominated the A’s in two starts last year, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run and four in each contest. However, he allowed three unearned runs in a 4-1 home loss on August 22, but bounced back in a 6-2 victory at Oakland five days later. For his career, Burnett is 1-1 with a 2.18 ERA in three starts versus the A’s.

The under is 4-2 in Burnett’s last six starts overall, 2-0-1 in his three starts against Oakland, 5-2 in Harden’s last seven overall and 3-1 in his last four outings against Toronto. Conversely, the over was 6-2-1 in the nine series meetings last year, 20-8-1 in the last 29 head-to-head battles at the Rogers Centre and 6-2-1 in Oakland’s last nine on the highway.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE

NBA

Atlanta (36-41, 36-40-1 ATS) at Indiana (33-44, 36-40-1 ATS)

The Pacers, who trail the Hawks by three games for the eighth and final Eastern Conference playoff berth, face a virtual must-win situation tonight when they host Atlanta at Conseco Fieldhouse.

Indiana is coming off Sunday’s 105-97 home win over Milwaukee, coming up just short as a 9½-point favorite. The Pacers have won four of their last five (3-2 ATS), with three of the wins coming at home (2-1 ATS). However, a loss tonight all but eliminates Indiana from playoff contention.

The Hawks, who are seeking their first playoff berth since 1999, have caught fire at the right time, going 6-1 in their last seven, including Friday’s 92-85 upset victory at Philadelphia as a five-point road underdog. That win came 24 hours after Atlanta lost 109-104 to the 76ers at home. The Hawks are 8-5 ATS in their last 13, including 4-2 ATS on the road.

The home team is 5-0 SU and ATS in the last five meetings in this rivalry, including 2-0 SU and ATS this year. Atlanta won 107-95 as a 2½-point chalk on Dec. 26, while Indiana returned the favor eight days later with a 113-91 rout as a 2½-point favorite. The straight-up winner has cashed in each of the last 10 meetings, and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six.

The Hawks are mired in pointspread slumps of 2-9 on Tuesdays, 2-5 after a SU win and 1-4 after a non-cover. Meanwhile, the Pacers re 5-2 ATS in their last seven at home and 5-2 ATS in their last seven after a day off. However, they have failed to cash in four straight Tuesday outings.

Atlanta had a six-game “over” streak snapped when Saturday’s game at Philly stayed under the number. However, the over is still 10-3 in the Hawks’ last 13 outings overall and 5-2 in their last seven on the highway. Also, the over is 3-1 in the last four series meetings (2-0 in Indiana). Conversely, the Pacers have stayed under the total in each of their last four contests.

ATS ADVANTAGE:               INDIANA and OVER


Utah (51-26) at New Orleans (54-22)

Two of the five Western Conference teams that have already punched their playoff tickets clash at the New Orleans Arena, where the Hornets look to extend a five-game winning streak and halt Utah’s three-game run.

New Orleans broke open a close game late in the fourth quarter against Golden State on Sunday, rolling to a 108-96 victory as a five-point home chalk. Not only have the Hornets won five in a row (3-0-1 ATS), but they’re 17-4 in their last 21 overall (15-5-1 ATS), including 11 straight home wins (10-1 ATS).

Like the Hornets, Utah is on a nice run, having won three in a row and six of seven, though every victory has come at home, including Friday’s 90-64 beatdown of San Antonio as a three-point favorite. The last time the Jazz went on the road, they suffered a 110-103 loss at Minnesota as a 5½-point road chalk, dropping to 16-22 on the highway this year (15-23 ATS).

The Hornets’ second victory during their current 17-4 run came against Utah at home on Jan. 29, a 110-98 rout as five-point chalk. That snapped New Orleans’ four-game losing skid to the Jazz, who had won the first two meetings this year by scores of 110-88 as a 3½-point home favorite and 99-71 as a 6½-point home choice.

The host is 4-0 in the last four series meetings (3-0-1 ATS), the SU winner is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 clashes and the favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five.

The Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last five on the highway, but they’re 8-1 ATS in their last nine against the Southwest Division and 7-0 ATS in their last seven when coming off three or more days’ rest.

New Orleans is on a bevy of positive ATS streaks, including: 36-16-1 overall, 21-7 at home, 34-19 as a favorite this year, 37-18 against the Western Conference, 17-8-1 when playing on one day of rest, 5-0-1 on Tuesdays and 6-1 against the Northwest Division.

The under is 4-1-1 in the last six series meetings and 4-2-1 in the Hornets’ last seven at home. However, the over is 5-1 in Utah’s last six overall, 22-15-1 for Utah on the road this year and 6-3 in the Hornets’ last nine overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW ORLEANS

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Scott Spreitzer

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets

Jamie Moyer takes on Oliver Perez in a battle of southpaws. Perez has been absolutely horrible in home day starts, posting a 6.95 ERA in his last 10 tries. As a member of the Mets and Pirates, his teams are just 5-12 and he owns a 6.96 ERA in April starts. He'll face a lineup that clobbered lefties in day action last year, posting 6.9 RPG away from home. Veteran Jamie Moyer has posted big-time numbers in the month of April over the last three seasons and he owns a 2.62 ERA in his last 11 starts against the Mets. I'm taking the underdog Phillies on Tuesday afternoon.

Play on: Philadelphia

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Vernon Croy

Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox (MLB)    
Play: Boston Red Sox 1 Unit

Take Boston here Tuesday afternoon since they have the better pitcher on the mound and Detroit will continue to struggle even with Rogers on the mound who has a 3-6 record and an ERA of 5.45 against the Red Sox. Matsuzaka has pitched solid over his two starts this season with an ERA of just 2.31 while striking out 15 hitters and I look for him to remain strong against Detroit Tuesday afternoon. Boston is 34-19 the last 3 seasons when playing with a day off and their opponents are hitting just .219 as a team against them this season. Make sure you get on my 20 Unit MLB Bookie Buster for Tuesday night.

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Marc Lawrence

Play On: Cleveland w/Westbrook vs Santana

Note: Tribe sends Jake Westbrook up against Ervin Santana and the Angels in Los Angeles Tuesday night knowing Westbrook owns a sharp 3.12 ERA in eight career team starts against the Halos. On the flip side, Santana is 0-5 lifetime with a 7.59 career ERA against the Indians. With Westbrook off a fine spring camp, look for the Tribe to get back in the win column here tonight.


James Patrick Sports

Reds vs. Brewers

The Red Hot Brew Crew gets a look at the Reds young phenom Cueto in this match-up and with veteran Suppan on the hill for Milwaukee we look for #905 Reds-Brewers UNDER the TOTAL as our Tuesday selection.

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Jimmy The Moose

Game: Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies
Prediction: over

Reason: The Suns have played the over in 4 of their last 5 games vs. a team with a SU losing record. The over is 6-2 in their last 8 vs. Southwest Division opponents. In their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 the over is 13-6-1. Memphis has played the over in 5 of their last 6 games. The over is also 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a SU winning record. The over is 4-1 in their last 5 as an underdog. The over is 4-1 in the Suns last 5 trips to Memphis and 4 of the last 5 meetings overall have easily played over the total. Don't expect much D in this high scoring game tonight. Play the over.

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Vegas Sports Pics

Baltimore (Burres) + 130* over (at) Texas (Jennings)    

Baltimore on a five game win streak is off to its best start in ten years. Burres allowed three runs or less in 10 of 13 starts last season. Jennings went 2-9 with Houston last season.    

   
St. Louis (Thompson) + 105* over (at) Houston (Chacon)    
   
St. Louis went 12-5 in 17 Thompson starts last season, including a 7-4 home win over the Astros, Thompson allowing one run on four hits over six innings. Cardinals had their five game win streak snapped losing at Houston 5-3 Monday.

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Karl Garrett

Atlanta at INDIANA -3

The G-Man has gone 13-3 with his free plays the last 16 days, and tonight the G-Man is going with the Pacers minus a few at home over Atlanta.

With 5 games left to play, the Pacers find themselves 3 games behind the Hawks for the 8th and final playoff spot in the East Conference.

Indy has won their last pair, and 7 of their last 10 straight up to give themselves a chance at catching Atlanta. The Hawks to their credit have won 6 of their last 7 straight up, but they are just 16-22 against the spread this season on the road.

Series numbers show the home team has won and covered the last 5 meetings, and 7 of the last 10 overall.

With very little wiggle-room left for Indiana, the G-Man looks for them to step up, and deliver this Tuesday evening.

4* INDIANA

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Jim Feist.

PHX Suns and MEM Grizzlies.
Take "PHX Suns"

Memphis is a team with no defense and little depth. Those are major problems against uptempo teams that run right at you. It happened two games ago, as Golden State blew out the Grizzlies by 31 points. It.5's happened twice already against this Phoenix Suns team, losing by 14 and 21 points. The key here is: Does Phoenix have anything to play for Yes, they are locked in a tight battle for playoff positioning with the Jazz and Rockets. A third straight blowout by the superior Suns is on tap. Play the Phoenix Suns!

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Dave Cokin.

CIN Reds and MIL Brewers.
Take " CIN Reds".

Johnny Cueto was phenomenal in his awesome effort against the Diamondbacks, and I'll look for him to keep it going Tuesday at Milwaukee. Suppan and the Brewers won't be pushovers by any means, but I'm going to be on the Cueto bandwagon for at least his first trip around the league, so the Reds are the choice."

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VEGAS EXPERTS TIP OF THE DAY

Utah Jazz at New Orleans Hornets

New Orleans has the homecourt edge here, which is worth noting considering that these teams have met three times this season and the home team has won by 28, 22, and 12. Having been off since Friday, Utah may be lethargic here. They are also 0-8 against the spread on the road if coming off three or more home games. The last two time the Jazz have hit the road, they lost to New Jersey and Minnesota. New Orleans is very sold in the home favorite role, having covered 22 of 35 times this year.

Play on: New Orleans

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Players of America

1* LA Dodgers -115

1* Seattle Mariners -108

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Al McMordie

Angels vs. Cleveland Indians

Cleveland's offense is off to a slow start while Ervin Santana is lights out pitching at home in Anaheim.  Back the Angels behind Santana tonight when they host the Indians.

Our Tuesday night MLB selection is on the Angels at home in Anaheim over the Cleveland Indians.

So far in this young season, the Angels and Indians are two teams heading in different directions, at least from a hitting perspective.  The Angels lead the American League and are the only squad with a team batting average over .300.  The Indians meanwhile are hitting .075 points below the Angels at a paltry .226.  Cleveland's aforementioned average, OBP, and slugging are second-to-last in the league (only Oakland is worse).

Veteran right-hander Jake Westbrook was a victim of that anemic hitting in his first start as he pitched well but did not get anything to show for it as the Tribe was beaten by the White Sox 2-1.  It seemingly doesn't get any easier for Westbrook as he travels to a place where he has not been successful lately, having been on the losing end in each of his last three starts in Anaheim (one in each of the last three seasons).

There haven't been many more dominant starters in their team's home ballpark than Angels right-hander Ervin Santana.  At home, the Angels are an amazing 26-9 in Santana's last 35 home starts.  Tonight he should add to that total against a weak-hitting (at least for now) Cleveland team.  Take the Halos.

Pick: Angels -114

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Jack Clayton
Lakers/Blazers Over


Mighty Quinn
Reds


RedZone Sports
Tigers


ARTHUR RALPH
Milwaukee Brewers


GAMBLERS DATA
Baltimore over 11


MadduxSports
Portland +8.5


PRIORITY SPORTS INFO
BOSTON -160


CAPPERS ACCESS
Mets
Rangers

Joe Wiz
Seattle
Hornets


Totals4u
Sonics/Mavs Over


Glen Mcgrew
Angels


#1 Sports
Sonics


Bob Donahue
Nuggets


Razor Sharp Sports
Hornets Under


Lance's Lock
Reds

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Insider Sports Report

4* San Diego (Wolf) -115 over San Francisco (Lincecum)
Range +105 to -135

3* N.Y. Yankees (Hughes)/Kansas City (Bannister) UNDER 9.5
Range 10 to 9

3* Utah/New Orleans (NBA) OVER 212
Range 210 to 214

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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Chicago Bulls -9

The Bulls have the Heat's number going 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series.  The Heat are 9-22 ATS in their last 31 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 16-41-2 ATS in their last 59 vs. Eastern Conference, and 15-36 ATS in their last 51 home games.  The Bulls are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Miami has lost 7 straight games now and injuries to key players have this Heat team looking like a D-League squad out on the floor.  Miami wants to get the first pick in the draft and avoid injury to key players by resting them.  Lay the points here as the Bulls win easily.

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Paul Leiner

25* NBA Over 202 LAL/Port
10* Blue Jays -130
5* Brewers even

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Chip Chirimbes

NEW YORK KNICKS

If recent history is any indication, the Pistons might be able to get a little more rest against New York (21-56). The Knicks have not won in Detroit since an 89-82 victory on March 27, 2002. The Pistons won 98-86 in the only meeting this season at The Palace of Auburn Hills on Nov. 21. The Knicks ended a five-game losing streak on Sunday, beating the Magic 100-90. Rookie Wilson Chandler scored a season-high 23 points, nearly four times his season average entering the game (5.9).

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Matt Rivers

CINCINNATI REDS

I fully admit that this game is not the epitome of a value as the Brewers are clearly superior to the Reds and playing on the road is never great but I am going to take my chances with this possible next wonderkid in Johnny Cueto. I do not expect Dusty Baker's young hurler to be as unreal as he was in that first start where he struck out 10 and looked like Cy Young against Arizona but if this kid is half of what they are now saying then I cannot help but back him at a price where he is not a heavy favorite. Who knows, maybe this guy is overrated and overvalued because of that initial outing but Jeff Suppan really does not scare me, even with that great first start, and I'll back the fairly impressive Reds. Cincinnati has jumped out of the box very well this season. They had won four of five before being shut down a bit by a stud in Cole Hamels and overall should be feeling pretty good about themselves. Griffey, Dunn, Patterson and Phillips have a ton of potential and this team has a great shot to win this game. I like Ned Yost's team as Ryan Braun and Prince Fiedler should be stars for years to come and Bill Hall, Ricky Weeks, JJ Hardy and others are very good as well but I will give Cueto some love here. If he is overvalued and it turns out this was the wrong side then I learned my lesson. But if this is the next great thing then we are getting a steal!

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Bobby Maxwell

3* LA ANGELS -125

The Indians have lost four of their last five after opening the season with two straight wins. And the Angels are coming into this one off one of the most amazing wins you’ll ever see. Los Angeles beat Cleveland Monday when the Angels blew a 2-1 lead in the ninth when closer Francisco Rodriguez gave up three runs to fall behind 4-2. But a dramatic grand slam homer off the bat of Torii Hunter in the bottom of the ninth got the win and cover. He also homered in the eighth to give the Angels the lead. Our guy Ervin Santana (1-0, 3.00 ERA) starts for the Angels and comes off a Thursday debut in Minnesota when he gave up two runs on four hits in a 5-4 Los Angeles win. Now he is back on the mound in Anaheim where he has dominated the last two seasons. Santana is 25-9 with a 3.14 ERA in his last 43 starts in front of the home crowd. This guy has been a cash cow in Anaheim the last few years. Jake Westbrook (0-1, 2.45 ERA) goes for the Tribe and in his first effort he gave up two runs over 7.1 innings against the White Sox in a 2-1 loss. Look for the emotion from Monday’s loss to carryover to Tuesday’s game and the same to be true for the Angels. They stay in the game behind the strong start from Santana.

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Spports Gambling Hotline

3* PHOENIX SUNS -11½

We believe the Suns will come out in a fiesty mood tonight, as they blew a 13-point 4th quarter lead at home on Sunday against the Dallas Mavericks, getting outscored 27-9 in the 4th to absorb a hurtful loss. Memphis has been playing decent basketball to close this lost season out, as they have split their last 10 games straight up, but they have failed in 3 of their last 4 when getting points. Phoenix has big road games at San Antonio, and Houston the next couple of nights, so expect them to take no prisoners in this "gimme" game. The Suns have won the last 7 series meetings, covering the last pair, and 4 of the last 5, and we will ride the Suns once again to dominate the season series against the Grizzlies. Play on Phoenix.

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