Monday Service Plays

Monday Service Plays

Jimmy The Moose

Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Angels

The Indians have played under the total in 3 of their last 4 games. After one start Carmona has an ERA of 1.29. In his first start of the season he gave up 4 hits and one ER. Saunders will be on the mound for the Angels tonight and he was stellar in his first start. He went 8 shutout innings in a 1-0 win. The under is 6-1 in Cleveland's last 7 trips to LA. The team's have played the under in 8 of the last 9 meetings overall. Play the under. Good luck - Jimmy The Moose.

Play on: Under

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VEGAS EXPERTS TIP OF THE DAY

St. Louis Cardinals at Houston Astros

St. Louis was a dynamite 12-4 away from home vs. southpaw starters a year ago and gets its first crack in that situation this year tonight against Houston's Wandy Rodriguez, who owns a 1-4 team start record and a 6.28 ERA in his career against the Redbirds. On the other hand, Cardinals starter Todd Wellemeyer has excellent value considering that St. Louis has won 9 of his last 10 starts in the underdog role. No reason to back away from the red hot birds here as Houston can't hit.

Play on: St. Louis

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Marc Lawrence

Game: Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Angels
Play On: L.A. Angels w/Saunders

Note: The Tribe continues their West Coast swing in Los Angeles when they take on Joe Saunders and the Angels this evening. Aside from the Indians' bats opening the season on a quiet note, Saunders is 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA in his career team starts against the Tribe. With Saunders in solid current form out of spring camp, look for more of the same tonight.

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VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Kansas Jayhawks + 2 over Memphis Tigers    

Kansas leads the nation with a plus 20.0 scoring margin. The Jayhawks rank third in field goal percentage, fourth in field goal percentage defense, and sixth in rebounding margin. We have to play the Jayhawks off their dominating win over AP No.1 North Carolina 84-66 on Saturday.    
   
MLB

Baltimore - 105* over Seattle (action)    

Baltimore enters on a momentum building four game win streak off winning the first three games of this series by a combined 16-10, out-hitting the Mariners 28-20.

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Jim Feist

(969) TAM Devil Rays (970) NY Yankees

You need to throw strikes against a Yankee offense that is stacked with power up and down the lineup. Tampa Bay starter Jason Hammel doesn’t. He’s thrown 19 innings against NY and has walked 10, which explains a 6.41 ERA. The Yankees go with aging starter Mike Mussina who looked washed up in the second half last season when he lost his starting job. He didn’t look good in his first start of 2008, allowing 10 base runners in 5 innings. Looks like an offensive show in the Bronx, play the Rays/Yankees over the total!

Dave Cokin

(961) ATL Braves (962) COL Rockies

"The Rockies are really scuffling right now, while the Braves are off a terrific weekend set against the Mets. Colorado should get going soon, but right now they're a fade. Glavine and the Braves rate the edge tonight."

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JEFFERSONSPORTS 1-0 yesterday

Documented records since October 6th
MLB+4.68 units (5-1 mlb run)

MLB EARLY RELEASE

SAN DIEGO UNDER 8 -120 (1 unit)

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ATS Consultants

Newsletter Plays

Monday, April 7, 2008

Over in the LA Dodgers/Arizona Game - Best Bet
Under in the Cleveland/LA Angels Game - Preferred Play

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Mighty Quinn missed with the Suns (-5) Sunday.

Today it's Memphis and under.

Supposedly he has picked the last 3 winners of the Championship game.

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WINNING POINTS

Memphis over Kansas by 10
With Kansas point guard Russell Robinson most likely a non-scoring factor, Memphis
can overplay others and dare Robinson to shoot Kansas out of the game. The Jayhawks
have no real physical edges and the longer point-guard Robinson dribbles around as the
shot-clock ticks down (nice going in that last possession vs. Davidson, you really lucked
out!) the better the Tigers’ chances to force one of Kansas’ patented Air Jordan camera
chucks that they knock down vs. lesser opponents but clang against real teams. Also,
the better to steal it (Kansas turned it over 21 times against UCLA in last year’s Elite 8
defeat) and zip the other way for an easy deuce. MEMPHIS, 80-70.

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Nick Parsons "Bookie Killer"

Kansas

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Big Al Mcmordie

Game: San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: San Diego Padres

Reason: At 4:05pm ET our member selection is on the San Diego Padres over the San Francisco Giants. There are many uncertainties going into this season of Major League Baseball, and many points that even the so-called baseball experts cannot agree on. But one thing seems universally accepted to everyone who follows the game: the Giants will finish last in the NL West Division. The team that resides in one of the most beautiful cities and plays in one of the nicest ballparks has by far the worst roster of players in an otherwise extremely competitive division. The Padres will send certain first-ballot Hall-Of-Famer Greg Maddux to the mound to face youngster Matt Cain. If Cain's record last year was an incredibly dismal 7 wins vs 16 losses imagine what it will be this season with no Barry Bonds and no Pedro Feliz. Few rivalries were as one-sided last season as this one. The Padres won fourteen out of eighteen contests between these two, including ten of the last eleven games played. Now that's domination. Take San Diego.

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Stephen Nover

St Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros
PICK: Houston Astros

REASON FOR PICK: Look up home/road dichotomy and you'll find a picture of Houston left-hander Wandy Rodriguez. He's the poster child for home/road dichotomy.

The first rule of thumb in betting bases is fade Wandy on the road, back him at home. Rodriguez was 3-10 last season away from home with a 6.37 ERA.

But pitching at Minute Maid Park last year, Rodriguez was 6-3 with a 2.94 ERA. The Astros were 11-4 during his home starts in 2007.

Neither the Cardinals nor Astros project to have good seasons. St. Louis has gotten off to a surprisingly strong start. Don't expect that to continue, though, if Troy Glaus and Albert Pujols don't start showing their power. Glaus is batting .190, while Pujols has driven in one run.

The Astros are 2-5. However, they have lost four games by a total of five runs. They very well could have a winning mark.

Rodriguez was 1-1 in two starts versus St. Louis last season with a 2.40 ERA. Cardinals starter Todd Wellemeyer is still learning to pitch at the major league level. He has been exceptionally bad during three appearances at Minute Maid Park with a 14.54 ERA in 4 1/3 innings.

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Sportsbettingstats

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (3-2) at New York Yankees (3-3)

The Devil Rays come into this game after being blanked by the Yankees on Sunday 2-0. This is a new rivalry in the AL East, as both these teams were involved in a bench-clearing brawl in Spring Training, in which the bad blood between the two clubs has spilled over to the regular season. Taking the mound for the Devil Rays is Jason Hammel, who is making his first start of the season. In their last game with the Yankees the Devil Rays sputtered offensively managing only 4 hits and 0 runs. The Devil rays left 5 runners on base for the game. Taking the mound for the Yankees will be Mike Mussina (0-1, 4.76 ERA), who lost his first outing of the season against Toronto. In their win yesterday against the Devil Rays the Yankees had 9 hits, scored 2 runs and made 1 error. In that game the Yankees left 8 runners on base. The Yankees Hideki Matsui (.350 2 HR 4 RBI) homered in the game and is off to a good start for the 2008 season.

Staff Pick: Even though the Devil Rays still do not have the talent to contend in the AL East they will not be a doormat like they have been in recent years. They sent a message to the Yankees, and the rest of baseball, with their Spring Training brawl that they will not lay down for any team. The Devil Rays do have talent in their lineup with Carl Crawford, B.J. Upton, Eric Hinske, and veteran Cliff Floyd. The Yankees are off to a slow start but they are only 6 games into a 162 game season. Their starting pitching was a concern going into the season and their start has pointed to that fact. The Yankees big three of Bobby Abreu, Alex Rodriguez, and Hideki Matsui have started strong but the rest of the lineup has been struggling, especially Johnny Damon, who is only hitting .136 for the year. Mussina has to get back on track and this is the game to do it facing a Devil Ray lineup that does not have a lot of pop. Mussina rarely has 2 bad starts in a row and the Yankees have a better hitting lineup. Look for the Yanks to pounce on the Devil Rays and for Mussina to pitch a good game.

Yankees 7 Devil Rays 1

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Sports Advisors

NCAA TOURNAMENT CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

(1) Kansas (36-3, 22-15 ATS) vs. (1) Memphis (38-1, 18-19-2 ATS)</b>

After pulling off impressive double-digit Final Four victories on Saturday, Kansas and Memphis hook up inside the Alamo Dome to determine the 2007-08 national champion.

Memphis continued its Tournament dominance by pounding UCLA 78-63 Saturday as a two-point chalk. The Tigers have won and cashed in three straight games, posting double-digit routs of 18 points over Michigan State, 18 points over Texas and now 15 over the Bruins. Memphis has racked up 12 straight wins (5-7 ATS) since suffering its only loss of the season, to Tennessee on Feb. 23.

Kansas battered North Carolina twice in the same game en route to an 84-66 beatdown Saturday as a three-point underdog. The Jayhawks raced to a ridiculous 40-12 first-half lead, then let Carolina within four at 54-50 in the second half before streaking to the finish. Kansas is on a 12-game SU tear, going 8-4 ATS in that span, including 4-1 ATS in the Tournament.

The Jayhawks are back in the title game for the second time this decade, having lost to Syracuse in 2003. They last won it all back in 1988. Meanwhile, Memphis has reached the final for the first time since a 1973 loss to UCLA and is searching for its first national title.

Favorites went 1-1 ATS in the Final Four, but are still 38-23-1 ATS in this year’s Tournament. In addition, NCAA title-game favorites of five points or less are on an eye-popping 10-0 SU and ATS run. Finally, 42 of 62 Tournament games this year have been decided by double digits.

Despite their recent run of success at the window, the Tigers have still cashed in just seven of their last 19 starts overall, and they’re in additional ATS ruts of 2-6 after a spread-cover and 1-7 in Monday contests. On the positive side, though, Memphis has covered three straight games for the first time since early January and is 5-1 ATS as a favorite of less than seven points, 6-1 ATS in its last seven as a Tournament chalk of up to 6½ points and 4-0 ATS in its last four against the Big 12.

The Jayhawks, who last won it all 20 years ago with Danny Manning leading the way, carry numerous positive pointspread trends into this contest, including 5-0 as a neutral-site underdog, 5-1 overall at neutral venues, 6-1 as a ‘dog of less than seven points, 7-1 as a pup of any price, 6-1 against Conference USA, 7-2 in non-conference play and 8-3 against winning teams.

Kansas coach Bill Self – in his first NCAA championship game – is 16-6 SU and 16-4 ATS in his career coming off a SU underdog victory; however, teams that covered their Final Four game by 14 or more points are 1-5 SU and ATS in title games.

Tonight marks just the second time all season that the Jayhawks have been an underdog – the first coming in Saturday’s bashing of the Tar Heels.

Memphis is pouring in 83.8 points per game in the Tournament, surpassing 77 points in all five contests on 47.9 percent shooting, while allowing 68.2 ppg on 41.7 percent shooting. The Tigers have outrebounded their five Tournament opponents by nearly eight boards per game, posting a plus-38 margin (187-149), including a 42-35 edge against the Bruins.

Kansas has ridden its defense to the final, allowing an average of 59.4 ppg in the tourney on stifling 35.3 percent shooting, with Carolina coming in just a tick over that percentage Saturday at 35.8. Offensively, the Jayhawks are averaging 75.0 ppg on sturdy 52.6 percent shooting, and they are outrebounding Tournament foes by exactly eight per game (33.8-25.8), for a 169-129 total advantage on the glass.

For Memphis, the over is on a 6-0 tear in Tournament play (5-0 this year, all as a favorite) and is 6-1 in its last seven in non-conference action. However, the under for the Tigers is on streaks of 7-1 against the Big 12 and 5-1 on Mondays. Meanwhile, Kansas sports under streaks of 7-0 in the Tournament (5-0 this year), 9-2 at neutral sites, 7-2 overall and 22-8 outside the Big 12, although the over is 4-1 in the Jayhawks’ last five Monday tilts.

ATS ADVANTAGE: KANSAS


NATIONAL LEAGUE

L.A. Dodgers (4-2) at Arizona (4-2)

The Diamondbacks open their home campaign at Chase Field with newly acquired Danny Haren (0-0, 4.50 ERA) on the hill against veteran Dodgers righthander Esteban Loaiza (0-1, 3.38).

Arizona finished a three-game sweep in Colorado Sunday with a 5-2, 10-inning victory, going 4-2 on the road in the opening week of the season. Meanwhile, Los Angeles comes into this one having taken two of three in San Diego over the weekend, including a 3-2 Sunday victory when the Dodgers scored a ninth-inning run off Padres closer Trevor Hoffman.

The Dodgers won the season series against Arizona last season 10-8, and they have gone 8-3 in their last 11 trips to the desert.

Haren gave up three runs on four hits in six innings of work in his first start on Wednesday in Cincinnati, as the DBacks blew a 5-3 ninth-inning lead and fell 6-5. Against the Dodgers, Haren is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA in two appearances, including one start.

Loaiza’s only appearance this season came in relief Wednesday when he threw 2 2/3 innings against the Giants after a rain delay and got tagged with the loss, giving up one run on two hits. For his career against Arizona, Loaiza is 0-4 with a 6.05 ERA in seven career starts spanning 38 2/3 innings.

The under is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings, 12-5 in the D’Backs’ last 17 overall and 9-3 in their last 12 against National League West competition. Conversely, the over for the Dodgers is on streaks of 10-2 in the opening game of a series and 20-7-2 when they play on Mondays.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Cleveland (3-3) at L.A. Angels (4-3)

The Indians send young phenom Fausto Carmona (1-0, 1.29 ERA) to the mound at Angel Stadium in Anaheim to face southpaw Joe Saunders (1-0, 0.00).

The Tribe snapped a three-game losing streak with Sunday’s 2-1 victory in Oakland, salvaging the final game of a three-game set against the A’s. Good news for Indians’ fans is they are on streaks of 16-5 against a southpaw starter, 24-7 as a favorite and 25-9 when Carmona has toed the rubber.

Los Angeles fell 10-4 at home to the Rangers on Sunday, dropping two of three over the weekend to its division foes. The Angels have gone 22-10 in Saunders’ last 32 starts and 13-6 when he takes the hill in front of the home fans.

These teams split 10 games last season, with the Angels taking four of the last six – all in Anaheim.

Carmona shut down the White Sox on Tuesday, allowing just one run on four hits in seven innings of a 7-2 Cleveland victory. He went 19-8 with a 3.06 ERA in 32 starts (215 innings) last season. Carmona has never started against the Angels, but he has pitched 5 2/3 innings of relief, allowing no runs and four hits.

Saunders completely baffled the Twins on Wednesday, tossing four-hit ball over eight shutout innings on just 80 pitches. He was 8-5 with a 4.44 ERA in 18 starts last season covering 107 1/3 innings last year. Against the Tribe in his career, Saunders is 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA in 13 2/3 innings of work.

The under is 8-1 in the last nine series clashes and 7-4-2 in the Angels’ last 12 overall. The under is also 11-3 in Carmona’s last 14 road outings and 5-2 in his last seven when facing teams from the A.L. West. However, the over is 6-1 in the Angels last seven as a home ‘dog.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

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Tony Mathews

Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies

Selection: Atlanta Braves -105

Explanation: We will side with the Atlanta Braves as they face-off against the Colorado Rockies in Monday's MLB contest.

The Atlanta Braves will use starting pitcher Tom Glavine. We like what we saw in Tom Glavine's first start of the season. Tom Glavine might of pitched only 5 innings, however, allowed only 1 single run. We see Tom Glavine pitching another solid game today!

The Colorado Rockies will use starting pitcher Aaron Cook. Aaron Cook struggled in his first start of the season. Aaron Cook went 6 innings while allowing 4 runs. We see Aaron Cook struggling once again today.

We don't mind the fact that the Atlanta Braves will be playing on the road. That's because Tom Glavine is a solid road pitcher. In fact, the Atlanta Braves are 21-9 in Tom Glavine's last 30 road starts.

Take the Atlanta Braves

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MATT RIVERS

For Monday take the Rays in New York.

Yesterday the Yankees skunked me 2-0 as I had James Shields and the visitors from Tampa Bay but I am still going back to that well here with the pesky Rays.

Tampa is not that bad at all and I am not really that high on the Yankees right now. Of course Arod, Jeter, Abreu, Posada and the getting older by the day Yankees can bash around Jason Hammel but Mike Mussina is no Cy Young right now himself with that 85 mph fastball and Carl Crawford and the fellas will definitely get their licks in here and have a great shot to take three of four in this series.

Joe Girardi's team is still obviously the better of these two teams and I would be crazy to try and dispute that but they are not hitting that much at all and over the past few seasons have been fairly terrible in the month of April.

Hammel will give up some runs but Crawford, Carlos Pena, Johny Gomes, BJ Upton and the talented boys from Tampa should get to the old man Mussina and help light up the scoreboard as well.

Early September of last season Hammell threw five quality innings against the Bombers allowing just one run in striking out seven. If he can do anything close to that then we are in great shape. If he doesn't then we still have a chance going up against the Moose and that's enough for me at this price.

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Bobby Maxwell

It's the home opener for Arizona so the place will be packed and rocking as this team puts up its NL West championship banner and blasts the hell out of the Dodgers and Esteban Loaiza.

Plus the D'Backs get to show off newly acquired Danny Harren on the mound after he pitches good but not great in his first outing of the season on the road in Cincinnati. Haren allowed three runs on four hits in six innings in a 6-5 loss to the Reds but he got a no-decision. The former A's star was the All-Star starter last season for the AL and is 1-0 withi a 2.70 ERA in his career against the Dodgers.

Loaiza is making his first start of the season for the Dodgers. He appeared in relief on Wednesday and got tagged with the loss against the giants. He pitches just 2.2 innings and gave up a run on two hits. But this veteran must hate the Arizona environment as he's 0-4 in the desert in seven career starts with a 6.05 ERA.

Arizona is on a bit of a roll having just swept National League champion Colorado over the weekend. They got a 5-2 win on Sunday to sweep the Rockies in Colorado in their opening homestand.

Haren is out to impress in front of the home fans in this one and Loaiza is going to get swarmed by the D'Backs bats. Play Arizona in this one as the D'Backs blow out the Dodgers in the Phoenix desert.

4* ARIZONA

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Karl Garrett

Tonight I am counting on some runs at Yankee Stadium. Thus far the Yanks have played UNDER the total in 5 of their first 6 games of the campaign.

Have to expect that to change tonight, as Mike Mussina is likely to give up a few runs once again. Mussina should not be in the starting rotation, and he did give up 3 runs in his first start of the season last time out.

Hammel is making his first start of the year, and he did have an over 6 ERA for the season last year.

No doubt about it, the runs will add up tonight as we finally get an OVER at Yankee Stadium.

1* OVER

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Play By Play Inc.

CBB
KANSAS at MEMPHIS Over 145.5


Armvin Sports

MLB
Washington Nationals -127


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