Sunday Service Plays

Re: Sunday Service Plays

Tony Weston

Now we turn to the American League where the Red Sox hook up with the Blue Jays in Toronto.

This should be a stellar pitching matchup as the Red Sox Josh Beckett
returns from the disabled list and jumps into the thick of things, facing
the Blue Jays and ace Roy Halladay.

Beckett went 20-7 with a 3.27 ERA last season and was untouchable in the
postseason, going 4-0 with a 1.20 ERA to help the Red Sox win their second
World Series in four seasons. And now he's called on to help Boston avoid a
sweep at the hands of the Blue Jays. Toronto blew out the Sox 10-2 on
Saturday and have outscored them 16-5 in the first two games.

Halladay was good and not great in the season opener in New York on Tuesday,
giving up three runs on seven hits in seven innings and got saddled with the
3-2 loss. And while he was dominant in Toronto, the Red Sox won both times
they faced him north of the border, 5-3 and 8-0. In fact, the Blue Jays are
just 1-5 in Halladay's last six against the BoSox.

With the way the Red Sox have gotten to Halladay and the way they have lost
the first two games of this series, look for Boston's offense to come out
focused in this one. Not many teams are going to sweep the Red Sox and I
don't see it happening in this one.

Go with the Sox on this one.


3* RED SOX (1* to 5* Scale)

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Jake Timlin

Lower then expect price today at Camden I say back the Mariners. For Seattle today was suppose to be a home coming game for Bedard, but do to an injury the Mariners now will counter with Hernandez who lets face it is just as good and thanks to facing Baltimore’s Guthrie who was bombed in this first start of the year allowing 6 runs & 9 hits in 5 1/3 innings. Well look for the Orioles righty to get roughed up today as the Mariners who are off to a slow start at the plate will wake up today. Flat out the Orioles are not as good as their early record and now facing good pitching their weakness will show. Take the Mariners behind Bedard for the road win.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Big Al

At 7:05pm ET our selection is on the Seattle Mariners over the Baltimore Orioles. When the Orioles shipped their southpaw ace Erik Bedard to the Mariners in the off-season, coupled with the departure of Johan Santana from the Twins to the Mets, Seattle now finds themselves with the best lefthanded starter in the American League. Bedard could be the upgrade that finally puts this promising Seattle squad over the top and gets them an AL West Pennant. Bedard's departure also means that young Adam Loewen will now have to carry the load as Baltimore's #1 southpaw starter so perhaps it is appropriate that his first start of the 2008 season is against Bedard's Mariner team, even if it's not against Bedard himself who will get the call on Sunday. Unfortunately, although he has loads of talent, Loewen seems woefully unprepared and experienced to lead this under-powered offense against a stacked Mariners squad as he was limited to only six games and just over thirty innings in 2007 and had a very rough time in spring training. Seattle will counter in this game with veteran righthander Miguel Batista who may be a #5 starter this year due to the arrival of Bedard and Carlos Silva (from Minnesota), but was the Mariners' wins leader in 2007 with sixteen. And the versatile Batista can fill in as a closer for the injured JJ Putz as well, and in fact he did just that last Wednesday and picked up the save against the Rangers in that game. Seattle dominated the O's in 2007, taking seven of nine games overall and four of the six games played at Camden Yards.

Seattle Mariners

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Armvin Sports

MLB
Houston Astros 178

NHL
New Jersey -130

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Cappers Access

Brewers -1- (RL)

Blue Jays

Astros

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Harris Sports
San Francisco Giants


WildBill
Detroit Tigers


Jeff Scott Sports
Seattle Mariners Under 8.5 3


USA Sports Consulting
San Francisco Giants


Insiders Sports Report
Tampa Bay/N.Y. Yankees (MLB) UNDER 9.5


TOTALS 4U
DENVER/SEATTLE UNDER 231


HUDDLE UP SPORTS
Phoenix -5'


RAZOR SHARP SPORTS
HOUSTON/LA CLIPPERS OVER 185


TV HOTLINE
COLORADO -155


BIG TIME SPORTS
CHISOX /TIGERS UNDER 9


#1 SPORTS
DENVER NUGGETS - 12


VEGAS STEAMLINE
Milwaukee/Indiana UNDER 217


MIKE WYNN
Boston w/Beckett Pk


DARK HORSE SPORTS
MLB - Florida +130


Platinum Plays
HORNETS - 6


ARTHUR RALPH
Golden State/Phoenix Over


GAMBLERS DATA
Arizona-Colorado Over 9.5


Big Time Sports
Tigers Under


Dark Horse Sports
Marlins


Bob Donahue
Rockies


TV Hotline
Rockies


Glen Mcgrew
Twins

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

JEFF SCOTT

Houston/ Clippers UNDER 184.5: The Rockets are playing excellent defense right now, allowing just 89.2 ppg over their last 5 games, including just 83.3 ppg over their last 3 games. They now take on a Clippers team that is putting up just 94.1 ppg overall and 93.1 ppg at home. The Rockets have had their own problems scoring lately, as they are averaging just 91.4 ppg over their last 5. The Under is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 games as a road favorite, while the Under is 20-7-1 in Clippers last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. This game should have little problems falling below the number.

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WILD BILL

Tigers -170 (5 units)
Indians +130 (2 units)
Phillies -125 (1 unit)
Colorado -145 (1 unit)
Padres -145 (1 unit)
Yankees -175 (5 units)
Over 8 1/2 Royals-Twins (1 unit)
Royals +120 (4 units)

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

Tampa Bay/N.Y. Yankees UNDER 9.5

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Priceless Picks

1 Unit on Houston Rockets -8

The Clippers are awful.  We'll lay the points on Houston as the Rockets win easily by double digits.  Houston is 17-3 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season and 8-0 ATS in road games after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less over the last 3 seasons.  The Clippers are just 11-25 ATS as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and 5-17 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.  LA has lost 12 of its last 14 games and they'll go down big again tonight.  Lay the number.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Hornets -6 over Warriors

Major League Baseball
Redsox +110 over BlueJays

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Brandon Lang

15 Dime Suns

5 Dime Brewers Run Line
5 Dime Orioles

FREE PICK - Hornets and Rockies

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

ATS Consultants

Newsletter Plays


Sunday, April 6

MLB

Cleveland over Oakland - Pref.
Over in the Pittsburgh/Florida Game - Pref.

NBA

Phoenix over Dallas 113-91 ***Best Bet***
Since the Suns acquired Shaq, they started out slow, then won seven games in a row, then ran into trouble on an East coast trip. Now they are just 1.5 games behind the leaders in the West, but are in sixth place?!? The Suns have the major advantage now that Dirk Nowitzki is likely out for Dallas. Look for the Suns to pound J.Kidd and the Mavs.

Orlando over NY Knicks 109-92-Pref.
Portland covers over San Antonio 98-99-Pref.

NHL

Pittsburgh over Philadelphia - Pref.
Over in the New Jersey/NY Rangers Game - Pref.
Under in the Minnesota/Colorado Game - Pref.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Ferrall

JACKETS -140 on ML over Blues--St.Louis beat them Saturday so the jackets return the favor Sunday. The home team has won all seven games in this series this season.

SHARKS +110 on ML over Stars--San Jose isn't afraid to kick anyones ass anywhere. They are the best road team in the NHL-bar none ! Dallas is 3-8-2 in March and that's a bad sign heading in to the playoffs against Anaheim. Sharks are 18-1-2 lately and lost to LA Thurs. Dallas has lost 4 straight at home.

ANAHEIM -155 on ML over Coyotes--This one is automatic as Phoenix just wants it to end. Coyotes have dropped four of five on road recently. They are 2-7-1 since March 15th. Ducks have second best home record behind detroit in NHL. They are 27-9-4 at Honda. They don't play well against the Coyotes, but they'll kick their ass tonight

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on NY Yankees -1.5 +102 (listing Wang and Shields)

The Rays are a pathetic 9-43 in their last 52 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200 and 4-13 in their last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Rays are 3-14 in Shields' last 17 starts as a road underdog and 0-7 in Shields' last 7 starts as an underdog of +151 to +200.  The Yankees are 20-6 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series, 8-1 in Wang's last 9 starts during game 3 of a series, 5-0 in Wang's last 5 Sunday starts, and 23-6 in Wangs last 29 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200.  The Yankees have this game in the bag.  We'll play them on the run like to add value as we have them winning by at least 3 runs.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Nick Parsons Sunday

Play ON Philadelphia Flyers Money Line vs Pittsburgh @ 3 ET The Flyers played a huge game on Friday and came up big in their shutout home win over the Devils. That clinched a playoff spot for the Flyers but now they have an opportunity to move up in the playoff standings and they wont let this opportunity pass them by. If they lose this game, the Flyers will have to face the Penguins in the first round as Pittsburgh will move up to the #1 seed and the Flyers will drop to the #8 seed. If they win this game the Flyers can move up to the #6 seed and they would then match-up with the # seeded Capitals. Even though Washington has been hot, the Flyers would much rather take their chances with the Capitals than with the Penguins. This is why you can expect the Flyers to give another stellar effort like they did against the Devils on Friday. Philadelphia started out their season series with the Penguins by dominating them. However, Pittsburgh has since held the upper hand in this series and the Flyers now have revenge on their mind. With a 6-1-1 run on home ice, Philly comes into this game very confident. Note that the Penguins, as well as they have been playing, have only won three of their last nine road games and it will be enemy ice that is again the difference maker here as the Flyers have a chance to prevent their in-state rivals from notching the #1 seed.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Insider Sports Report

5* Seattle (Bedard) -130 over Baltimore (Guthrie)
Range -115 to -150

4* Texas (Padilla)/L.A. Angels (Garland) UNDER 9.5
Range 10 to 9

3* Dallas/Phoenix (NBA) OVER 216.5
Range 215 to 218.5

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

ETHAN LAW

Well we came up one run short in our selection yesterday on this Giants team and I think its very fair to say that nobody will be betting on them in this contest and most people will being playing this game on the run line. I would also not be surprised if this is one of the more heavily bet games of the day because on paper, this one is a total mismatch. As I stated in yesterdays analysis, this is a Giants team that is just terrible from what we have seen. Without the presence of Barry Bonds in the line-up it is a team that has virtually no offensive threat and has arguably the very worst line-up in the entire MLB. But I will reiterate what I said yesterday, because it is very important that you understand the reason for this selection. However, even the very worst teams in the league are often the best money makers because the odds makers will continue to adjust and over inflate in the lines against the bad team creating some wonderful betting value for the opportunistic and educated bettor. We all witnessed what happened Friday when Milwaukee thrashed San Francisco 13-4 and they are fresh off a 5-4 win on Saturday. To make matters worse, everybody was waiting for them the face a left-hander given the fact that Milwaukee absolutely decimated left-handed pitching last season (where they averaged a whopping 5.6 runs per game last season) and they get to take their licks against Barry Zito, a pitcher who the Brewers killed last season as he lost both of his starts to them while recording a 12.54 ERA, his highest against any club. To make this game even more one-sided is the fact that Milwaukee is sending their Ace to the hill in right-hander Ben Sheets who has absolutely dominated this San Francisco team in his career as he has posted a miniscule 2.68 ERA against them. From all of this one thing is clear, from the average handicapper and the public, this game is a total mismatch. However, this mismatch does NOT WARRANT the posted line set in this contest as I almost fell off my chair when I saw that the line opened with Milwaukee as a -$220 favorite, which has since been bet up to -$230 & -$240 in some shops. That fantasy line is nowhere near what the true line in this contest should be and that is in the neighborhood of -$145 to -$150.

Despite everything I have stated above, there is some (albeit not much) support to those of us who will play this selection based upon the value of the line. First, the Milwaukee right-hander will be working on an extra day of rest because Brewers manager Ned Yost elected to leave his five starters in order despite some off-days. Although I was unable to find Sheets records when pitching with an extra day of rest, I can say for certain that these pitchers are very habitual. Once you disrupt that, we often see some flat performances even from the very best hurlers in the league. Moreover, for as bad as the Giants were last season, they were nevertheless a club that excelled in day/road games against right-handers as it was the only situational setting where their offense came alive as they averaged an impressive 5.3 runs per game. We also know that the San Francisco left-hander does his best work on the road as he does own an impressive .580 career road winning percentage with 58 wins to 42 loses. As we articulated yesterday, San Francisco performed admirably against some of the better offensive teams in the national League (scoring 4.8 or more runs per game) as they were 14-9 +$930 over the last 2 seasons, and their average margin of victory is a surprising 1.3 runs per game. We also can revisit the fact that Milwaukee seems to be at their worst against teams with a losing record as they are 81-96 -$310 over the last 3 seasons. Thats pretty powerful stiff when you consider we are getting better then 2:1 on our money.

Verdict: San Francisco 6, Milwaukee 5
PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON SAN FRANCISCO +$215

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

EZ WINNERS

2 STAR: (917) BOSTON (-$103) over Toronto
(Listing Beckett and Halliday)
(Risking $206 to win $200)

2 STAR: (904) CLEVELAND (+$124) over Oakland
(Listing Lee and Blanton)
(Risking $200 to win $248)

*** BIO-RHYTHM PLAY ***
1 STAR: (902) FLORIDA (+$112) over Pittsburgh
(Listing Vanden Hurk and Snell)
(Risking $100 to win $112)

1 STAR: (904) CINCINNATI (+$118) over Philadelphia
(Listing Volquez and Myers)
(Risking $110 to win $118)

1 STAR: (911) HOUSTON (+$185) over Chicago
(Listing Backe and Zambrano)
(Risking $100 to win $185)

1 STAR: (925) TEXAS (+$153) over LA Angels
(Listing Padilla and Garland)
(Risking $100 to win $153)

NBA

2 STAR: (503) DALLAS (+6) over Phoenix
(Risking $220 to win $200)

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