Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

2-Minute Warning = North Carolina


ARTHUR RALPH Cleve Indians


GAMBLERS DATA COMP DENVER -11

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Chuck Franklin

Sacramento at DENVER -11

The Nuggets, without a suspended Kenyon Martin, are in a must-win situation if they want to keep the Golden State Warriors from overtaking them for the eighth playoff spot in the Western Conference. Denver is a solid 31-7 at the Pepsi Center and has won nine consective home games. This will be an easy win and cover.

As well as the Kings are playing lately, they have covered the spread only three times in the last 12 road games and they are only 1-4 ATS the last five games they've played after winning by more than 10 points their previous game. Denver has covered 10 of the last 13 games overall and 16 of the last 21 home games. They are on a 5-0 ATS run when playing teams with a losing record.

This will be an absolute blowout!

3* DENVER

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

JEFF SCOTT

UCLA +2 over Memphis: The Memphis Tigers have been very impressive in the tourney, but I believe the Bruns are poised for the upset. The Bruins are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 games as an underdog, including 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5, while the Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. and 2-5 ATS their last 7 vs the Pac-10. Memphis has scored 7.4 ppg more than the Bruins this year, but UCLA has the edge in offensive FG%, overall defense and a huge edge in FT shooting. Kevin Love is the missing link for UCLA to make the Championship game and today he will help them get there.


MILWAUKEE/ San Francisco OVER 9: The 5-1 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter, while the Over is 20-7-1 in Brewers last 28 home games, plus the Over is 11-2-2 in the last 15 meetings. The Brewers have begubn this season very stron offensively, as they have scored 7rpg through their first 4 contests. The Giants won't be known for their offensive prowess this year, but they are facing a pitcher making just his 3rd career start, so they should be able to punch through a few runs. There msy not be 17 runs scored in this game, but I still see a game in double figuRes.


SOME KEY TRENDS FOR TODAY'S ACTION

NBA

Orlando is 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a S.U. loss.

Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Atlanta is 10-22 ATS in their last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The 76ers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Boston is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

The Under is 11-3 in Bobcats last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Toronto is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.

The Nets are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.

Washington is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games.

The Bulls are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 Saturday games.

The Kings are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 games as an underdog.

The Nuggets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Erin Rynning

20* UCLA + 2


Play By Play Inc.

MEMPHIS at UCLA Over 134.5

KANSAS at NORTH CAROLINA Over 159


Armvin Sports

Chicago Cubs + 110


MIGHTY QUINN

UCLA and Kansas


THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

Sacramento +11

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

DR. BOB

UCLA (+2) 2-Stars at +2 or more.
Kansas (+3) 2-Stars at +3 or more, 3-Stars at +4 or more.


2 Star Selection
**Ucla (+2) over Memphis
My ratings favored UCLA ahead of Memphis heading into this tournament and I still rate the Bruins as a better team. Memphis has certainly been impressive the last two games, but the Tigers actually apply to a negative 1-13 ATS Final Four situation that is based on their impressive recent performances. My ratings favor UCLA by a point and I’ll take UCLA in a 2-Star Best Bet at +2 points or more.

2 Star Selection
**Kansas (+3) over North Carolina
No team has been more impressive than North Carolina in this tournament, but that does not necessary bode well for them in the Final Four. Teams that covered the spread in their first 4 tournament games are 0-10 ATS in the national semifinals against teams that have not covered all 4 tourney games (since 1993), so don’t overreact to the Tarheels’ great tournament run in which all 4 games were semi-home games played in the state of North Carolina. North Carolina actually applies to a very negative 4-33 ATS NCAA Tournament situation and teams coming off a spread loss in their regional finals win (as Kansas is) are 9-1 ATS in the national semis, so don’t make too much of the Jayhawks’ close call against an underrated Davidson squad. In fact, North Carolina only beat Davidson by 4 points when they played the Wildcats back in November. My ratings do favor North Carolina by 3 ½ points, but I’ll give up some line value to make the Jayhawks a Best Bet because the situation is so strong. I’ll take Kansas in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more and for 3-Stars at +4 or more.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

MIKE WYNN

Kansas City w/Meche +105 Over Minnesota


DAVE COKIN

The Atlanta bullpen looks like a real trouble spot right now, and that's a potential difference maker as they host the Mets Saturday. John Maine had a great spring and I like it to carry over to his first regular season start. The Mets are the choice



JIM FEIST

Boston is outstanding defensively, allowing 90 ppg and 41% shooting by opponents, both tops in the NBA. They take on a Charlotte Bobcat squad that is not a great shooting team. The Bobcats appear to be tiring out offensively at the end of a long season, on an 8-3 run under the total. The Celtics won?t have any trouble shutting them down, and they are on a 9-5-1 run under the total of their own. Play the Celtics/Bobcats under the total!


Triple Threat Sports

Cleveland (Sabathia) ovee Oakland (Eveland)

Tribe played a sloppy game yesterday, throwing the ball all over the yard and making baserunning errors as well. Should be back focused here and the offense should not have a ton of trouble with Eveland, who has a 7.55 ERA in 64.1 Major League innings.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

TONY WESTON

OK, so sure the Padres got bombed last night as the Dodgers beat them 7-1 in the first game of their series opener. But through six innings the game was tied 1-1. It wasn’t until Joe Thatcher took the mound for San Diego did the bottom fall out. Officially Thatcher gave up only four earned runs, but it seemed like 15. Luckily for the Pads, Thatcher likely won’t be brought in today as Jake Peavy, arguably the best pitcher in the game today, takes the mound for San Diego. And usually when Peavy starts against the Dodgers, you can chalk it up as a win. I will.The Padres are 10-1 in Peavy’s last 11 starts against Los Angeles, they’re 6-0 in his last six home starts against the Dodgers and they’re 4-1 in the last five meetings when Peavy faces Los Angeles starting pitcher Brad Penny.Bottom line, Peavy owns the Dodgers and San Diego will get the win.

Take the Padres at home.

3* PADRES (1* to 5* Scale)

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Bobby Maxwell

24 hours ago these two teams played in Atlanta and the Hawks couldn't stop the Sixers. What will be different tonight when the series shifts to Philadelphia’ Nothing. Look for the Sixers to continue this amazing roll they're on and win this one by 10 points.Philly is 13-4 since March 1 and gotten the cash in 12 of those 17 games. They've played so well, they've earned their spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs after a lot of experts were saying this was one of the worst teams in the NBA early in the season.The Sixers are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six home games with the only loss coming to the Suns on March 28. They are on ATS runs of 12-4 at home, 23-8-1 in their last 32 overall and 36-15 on Saturdays. Credit to Maurice Cheeks for bringing this team together and making them realize that they could compete in the East.Atlanta was a chic pick to make the playoffs early in the season but it doesn't look like it's going to happen. The Hawks just can't seem to get into that final spot and always seem to shoot themselves in the foot when they get close.While I don't think he's a championship point guard, Andre Miller has definitely brought some stability and smart play to the Sixers. Look for them to get an easy win tonight over the Hawks and make it two in a row in 24 hours.

4* PHILADELPHIA


Lefty Adam Loewen starts tonight for the Orioles after going 2-0 in just six starts last season with a 3.56 ERA in 30.1 innings. He started 19 games in 2006, going 6-6 with a 5.37 ERA.Veteran Miguel Batista starts for Seattle after coming in the game against Texas on Wednesday and pitching an inning of relief and getting the save. He was 16-11 last year with a 4.29 ERA in 32 starts for the Mariners.And while the Baltimore starters have been a little shaky this season, the bullpen has been outstanding, allowing just on run in 12 innings of work. The Mariners have been horrible in the pen, giving up nine earned runs in 11 innings this season.The Orioles offense is going to be the question mark all season but they've played well so far and look for them to have another good one against Batista. If Baltimore's Ramon Hernandez, Kevin Millar and Jay Payton are hitting this can be a dangerous team. If not, they are going to be quiet.But they're hitting so far and the three combined for seven hits Friday. Let's play the Orioles to keep hitting and win this one tonight.

3* BALTIMORE

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Black Widow Sports

1* on Denver Nuggets -11

Denver is close to the finish line and they know they can’t afford to lose to the Sacramento Kings at home tonight.  The Nuggets would be the No. 8 seed in the playoffs if the season were to end today.  Denver has been dominant at home all season, especially as of late.  The Nuggets are 31-7 at home this season with a 23-15 ATS mark as well.  Denver is outscoring their opponents by an average of 11 points per game at home.  The Nuggets are scoring 120 points per game over their last 5 games, giving the Kings little hope to even compete tonight.  Denver has now won 9 straight home games with dominant wins over the Suns twice, Spurs, Warriors, Mavs and Raptors just to name a few.  Denver is 13-4 ATS versus poor passing teams, averaging less than 20 assists/game this season.  Take the Nuggets and lay the points.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Black Magic Sports

1 Unit on Minnesota Twins -111
(Listing Hernandez Only)

The Minnesota Twins will hand the Royals their second loss of the season behind Livan Hernandez Saturday.  Hernandez had a great start in the Twins’ opener this season with a 3-2 victory over the Angels.  Hernandez didn’t walk a single batter while allowing just 7 hits in 7 innings of work, showing his control is much better to start the season.  The Twins knew what they were doing when picking up Hernandez in the offseason.  Gil Meche lost his last 2 starts at Minnesota for the Royals last season.  Despite pitching decently, Meche got just 1 run of support in 0-5 and 1-3 losses respectively.  It’s the Royals’ lack of run support that keeps killing Meche and it will doom him again Saturday when Hernandez shuts down the opposition.  Meche is 3-18 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by their opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season since 1997.  Cash in with Minnesota as the favorite.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Steven Budin-CEO
SATURDAY'S PICK
100 DIME PLAY

NORTH CAROLINA

Guys, since we're up some 700 dimes in football and basketball this year, I want you to spend a little extra coin and buy down the 1/2 point in the following scenarios: This line is floating between 3 and 3 1/2 points. So if you've got North Carolina -3 I want you to buy it down to -2 1/2 so you still win if the Tar Heels prevail by three points. And if you get North Carolina at -3 1/2, buy down to -3 so you get a push with a three-point victory.

I got the call for this play early Friday afternoon and released it immediately. Checking Vegas and offshore, I saw mostly -3 and -3 1/2 with only one or two notorious "superbooks" at -4 and those places always run a half-point higher with favorites. (This shows again why you should always have more than one place to play so you can shop for the best price). Nevertheless, even at -4, North Carolina is still the play.

Naturally, if you have UNC at -3 or -3 1/2, we are putting our profit to work for us by buying a little insurance and maximizing the odds in our favor. We are in essence using the power of money - our profit of 700+ dimes - against the bookmaker.

Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Bob Balfe

Ucla

UNCKansas Under 160

SF Giants Under

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

ATS Basketball Lock Club

4 units UCLA
4 units UNC


ATS Hockey Lock Club

3 units Atlanta
3 units Over Flor-Wash

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

EZ WINNERS

FINAL FOUR

5 STAR: (813) MEMPHIS (-2.5) over Ucla
(Risking $550 to win $500)


5 STAR: (815) KANSAS (+3.5) over North Carolina
(Risking $550 to win $500)


MLB

5 STAR: (953) HOUSTON (-$120) over Chicago
(Listing Oswalt and Marquis)
(Risking $600 to win $500)

2 STAR: (963) PITTSBURGH (+$112) over Florida
(Listing Maholm and Hendrickson)
(Risking $200 to win $224)

1 STAR: (951) SAN FRANCISCO (+$163) over Milwaukee
(Listing Correia and Parra)
(Risking $100 to win $163)


BIO-RHYTHM PLAY

1 STAR: (967) TAMPA BAY (+$214) over NY Yankees
(Listing Jackson and Pettitte)
(Risking $100 to win $214)


NBA

3 STAR: (803) ATLANTA (+6) over Philadelphia
(Risking $330 to win $300)

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Ethan Law

2% SAN FRANCISCO +$165
2% OAKLAND +$140
1% SEATTLE -$110
1% SEATTLE (-1.5) +$145

SF: RHP Kevin Correia (4-7, 3.45 ERA in 2007)

at

MIL: LHP Manny Parra (0-1, 3.76 ERA in 2007)

Well we are less then one week into the young baseball season but one thing is already clearthe Giants just stink. We could certainly be much harsher in our words choices when we describe actually how bad this team appears to be, but we need to keep in the back of our minds that these terrible teams will in all likelihood also be our best money-makers when the season is all said and done. The reason these bad teams are money makers is the fact that the odds makers will continue to adjust and over inflate in the lines against the bad team creating some wonderful betting value for the opportunistic and educated bettor. We all witnessed what happened yesterday when Milwaukee thrashed San Francisco 13-4 in yesterdays game and as soon as that game became final I immediately circled todays contest as a possible play on for San Francisco. The as expected the opening line came out in this contest, and not to my surprise they made Milwaukee a -$190 chalk for the second game in the series. While Im not even going to try to make a case comparing these teams from an offensive standpoint, we cannot ignore the very fact that on paper, San Francisco does come into today with a fundamental edge with todays listed starting pitchers and we also can take solace in the fact that even the very worst teams in the league will still win 45-55 games on the season. Milwaukee will send left-hander Manny Parra to the hill today. Parra who is taking the spot of injured left-hander Chris Capauno started off this spring in impressive fashion (when most of the everyday players were not playing) posting an impressive 2-0 mark with a 0.54 earned run average. But after surrendering 10 hits and eight runs in 3 2/3 innings against Kansas City, Parra had another rough outing against Colorado, surrendering four first-inning runs and five overall in just three innings of work. At a minimum, that inconsistency is not the type of confidence building performance any bettor should consider especially when you consider he is a young pitcher, with relatively no big league experience and you have to lay almost 1-2 on your money! As bad as San Francisco was last season (and this season) they are at their best against left-handers where they averaged close to 5 runs per game last season. San Francisco will counter with a young right-hander in Kevin Correia who has never opened a Major League season in a starting rotation until now. However, unlike Parra, he has significantly more big league experience as he earned his shot by finishing an impressive 3-1 with a 2.54 ERA in eight starts at the conclusion of last season. In slightly more than three years in the Majors, Correia has made 27 starts and has allowed three earned runs or fewer in 22 of them! Thats simply remarkablewhat minute what is the line on this game? The -$190 price tag installed on this Milwaukee team is completely unjustified especially when you consider that the true line should be somewhere in the neighborhood -$115. My score forecasting models have San Francisco scoring between 3-5 to 4 runs and Milwaukee to score between 3.7-4.2 runs. Despite the fact that my models have Milwaukee winning this game but about 0.3 of a run, we cannot ignore the value we are getting today, which makes this play almost a no brainer.

Aside from the obvious and egregiously high line set in this contest, this selection is also not without some technical support in favor of San Francisco. I uncovered a total of 38 trends favoring both sides in this contest and San Francisco trends outnumbered Brewers by almost 2-1. Some highlights of some of the more powerful technical numbers show that the Giants are an impressive 23-16 +$1010 against good offensive national teams (that score more then 4.8 runs per game) over the last 2 seasons and San Francisco wins those games by an average of 1.1 run per game. The Giants also seem to relish the role of being a substantial underdog as they are 38-35 +$1840 as an underdog of +125 to +185 over the last 3 seasons. The average score in those contests was San Francisco 4.9, opponent 4.6. Meanwhile, the Brewers seem to struggle against poor teams as they are a poor 80-96 -$3200 when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. San Francisco is also 18-8 +$1430 in all games since 1997 where todays starting pitcher has taken the hill and they have won those games by an average of 1.2 runs per game. Correia also saw his team go 18-8 +$1430 in games played on a grass field since 1997. If we factor in every trend I uncovered favoring both teams, we conclude that historically San Francisco has about a 68% chance to win this game. You dont have to put a gun to my head when I am given that kind of historical backing. Take the Giants and pray they can score 4-5 runs against the young and inexperienced left-hander (which is their average over the last 3 seasons against left-handers) because that should be all they will need!

Verdict: San Francisco 5, Milwaukee 3
PLAY 2% ON SAN FRANCISCO +$165


CLE: LHP C.C. Sabathia (0-0, 8.44 ERA)

at

OAK: LHP Dana Eveland (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

These are the types of games that we will ride most of the season and we will ultimately turn profit despite the fact that we will ultimately lose more then we win over the course of the season. Although we have not gotten off to the same start we had last season, you need to understand our goal and that is to simply identify the selections that not only have the most value, but games in which also have the best chance of squeaking out a win given the price. Whenever the line is set at -$150 or higher, we know that going into these wagers that we are expected to have less than a 50% chance to come away with the win. But thats where I tend to excel and that is to identify selections with a high line value and ones that give us the best chance to win. With that said, we are going to turn our attention to playing against the Cleveland Ace left-hander C.C. Sabathia when he faces off against a relatively unknown Athletics hurler in Dana Eveland. Eveland was one of the top prospects acquired from the Dan Haren-to-Arizona trade and rest assured this guy has the potential to be a very solid big league hurler. This will be his first start of the season and he coming in off a very impressive and confidence building spring training season. In his last start of the spring, Eveland allowed only one earned run on three hits with three strikeouts in 6 inning of work. Overall, the youngster posted a 1.20 ERA in 15 spring innings along with a tidy 14:4 strikeout to walk Ratio. I also took a look back at Evelands minor league career, which shows that when he was healthy he has been dominant at every level. In his minor league career his career numbers are impressive, 2.61 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and a .98 strikeout Rate. Now some would believe that having to face the AL Central winners is not a good spot for his first outing of the season, but I nevertheless believe that Eveland should find success against this Indian team that despite showing a profit in road/night games against left-handers +$330; they are nevertheless a team who has struggled offensively averaging just over 4 runs per game in this setting. Cleveland will counter with their Ace left-hander in C.C. Sabathia. Sabathias resume cannot be questioned nor will I even attempt to try to convince you that he is not one of the top pitchers in the American League if not all of baseball. However, he is off a very surprising first outing who let a 7-2 lead disappear against the offensively challenged White Sox this past Monday. In just 5.1 inning of work, the Cleveland left-hander allowed five runs on six hits. What was alarming about that performance is the fact that Chicago went into that contest averaging only 3.1 runs per game against left-handed pitching. In comparison tonight opponent, Oakland had done their best work against left-handed pitching where they were 12-8 at home against the left-handers with an offense that averaged over 5.5 runs per game! It also helps when you consider that Sabathia has historically not performed well when pitching against Oakland as his 2-5 mark against Oakland and his high ERA of 5.98 and a WHIP of 1.596 indicates. Sabathia has even performed worse at McAfee Stadium where he is 1-3 with a whopping 7.17 ERA. Indeed, the Indians team record in all games he started against Oakland is a poor 4-8 -$380 units.

I have spent the last couple of hours crunching my numbers in this contest and for the life of me am trying to figure out why the odds maker set the line at only -$160 for the visitor. Now I have preached in every analysis I have written to date that I look for value in the line, but here I am finding myself almost doing the exact opposite as I set the line here in the neighborhood of -$190. So my natural inclination would almost be to take Cleveland in the dark based on the value of the line. But something I have learned in now my eight year of handicapping games is that in order to win year in and year out you have to continually change the way that you handicap in order to stay ahead of the odds makers. To be sure, I walked away from my computer (took a hour break) because I was worried that I was over analyzing this selection. In the end, I decided I was going in the right direction and we are going to stick with my original gut reaction in this contest. The reason, we know the betting public is enamored betting the favorites and specifically Ace pitchers of the best teams. My theory is that the odds makers are setting this line and begging for public money on Cleveland. Perhaps what we know, and they dont is the fact that Oakland seems to struggle against the lesser opponents they face throughout the season as over the past three seasons Oakland is 10-9 +$150 in all games against Cleveland. Oakland has performed even better at home game against Cleveland where they are an impressive 6-3 +$250 over the last 3 seasons. Getting to some team trends, Cleveland is a poor 3-10 -$1280 in road games when playing against a team whose winning percentage is less then 38% over the last 3 seasons. Cleveland is also a miserable 3-10 -$1200 in road games against American league teams who score less than 4.2 runs per game over the last 3 seasons, where they are losing by an average of over 2 runs. In comparison, Oakland has excelled against some of the better teams in the league as they are 50-31 +$2750 against teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The athletics are also 55-46 +$2070 against teams who out score their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game over the last 3 seasons. Clevelands manager also has some negative technicals worth mentioning as the Cleveland skipper is 61-73 -$2080 when playing on Saturday contests; 14-23 -$1640 in road games against opponents with weak offenses who score 4.2 runs or less per game as the manager of the Indians. Some very powerful stuff especially considering the nice underdog price we are getting on the home team. Take the As and pray!

Verdict: Cleveland 3, Oakland 5
PLAY 2% ON OAKLAND +$140


SEA: RHP Miguel Batista (16-11, 4.29 ERA in 2007)

at

BAL: LHP Adam Loewen (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Well guys I am extremely disappointed in the pitching change made, changed and then changed again. in retrospect we should have just cancelled the play, but in the end I have no excuses. Nevertheless, tonight is definitely a pitching match-up we can take advantage of with Baltimore throwing their left-hander. The very fact that we lost our selection last night on Seattle does give us some additional value to tonights play so I really hope we can get back what we lost in this match-up. Tonight Seattle will send right-hander Miguel Batista Washburn to the hill and that isnt very good news for this Baltimore team as they have struggled mightily against right-handers last season where they posted a poor 50-66 mark -$810. To make matter worse they did most of their losing in their home ballpark where they were a poor 25-32 -$860 against right-handers and their offense managed only 4.5 runs per game. The fact that Baltimore struggles when matched-up against a right-hander isnt in and of itself a reason to warrant a selection, but I want to make something clear, Seattles starting pitcher is not your typical number 5 starter. Indeed, despite being classified as their #5 starter, Batista was the staff leader in wins last season with 16, and the right-hander had a team-leading 18 quality starts in '07. Batista has also been on the clubs most profitable hurlers as Seattle is 38-27 +$1630 in all games he started over the last 2 seasons. Batista has also performed admirably on the road as Seattle has won 20 of 32 games in which he started +$1400 over the last 2 seasons. Batista is also an impressive 25-13 +$1330 when playing on Saturday since 1997 and his teams average margin of victory is 1.8 runs per game. Baltimore will counter with left-hander Adam Loewen, whose presence on the mound is fantastic news for Seattle backers as he is an inexperienced pitcher, pitching in just his second major league outing and he must face a Seattle team that absolutely decimated left-handed pitching in all setting last season where they posted an impressive 28-13 mark +$1730 with an offense that averaged over 5.2 runs per game! Although not much is known with this rookie, we do know that in his only other major league outing he allowed an average of a whopping 15.6 runners to reach base per nine innings. That's over a third more then his counterpart.

Moving to the technical aspect of this selection I uncovered 42 trends with an average winning percentage of 71% for Seattle; and only 9 trends with an average winning percentage of 56% that would favor Baltimore in this situational setting. To say the above is technical domination is perhaps the understatement of the year. Since there are so many of them, I will simply highlight the more important ones before we lock up this selection. First, we can bet with confidence that Seattle has had their way with Baltimore as they are 13-7 +$420 over the last 3 seasons and even more impressive they are 7-3 +410 at Camden Yards over the last 3 seasons after last night loss. Then we turn our attention to team trends on Baltimore and their inability to succeed in the role of an underdog as they are a horrific 74-141 -$3790 as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons where they are losing by an average of 1.5 runs per game. Even more egregious, is the fact that Baltimore is get this 6-27 -$1830 as a home underdog of +115 to +175 over the last 3 seasons where they are losing by an average of 2.5 runs per game!!!!! WOW! Lets hope last night was a deviation and Seattle return to form in a bog way tonight!

Verdict: Seattle 9, Baltimore 2
PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON SEATTLE -$110;
PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON SEATTLE (-1.5) +$145

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Euler wrote:


Any IndianCowboy?  Thanks.

Not yet but I will post when I see it.  wink

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Delaney's "RED ALERT"

100* MEMPHIS

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Rocketman

Opinions - UNC, UCLA

3* Buffalo Sabres
3* Padres
3* Mariners

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
45943
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
290941
Average Posts Per Hour:
3.3
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3771
Newest User:
John
Members Online:
1
Guests Online:
2374

Online: 
Blade

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com