Monday Service Plays

Re: Monday Service Plays

Jake Timlin

500* Atlanta Hawks

No doubt an awful match up, but thanks to the Hawks being in a must win situation and Memphis still horrible I really like Atlanta minus the small road chalk tonight. After thanks to the Hawks winning 7 of their last 9 games and having won & covered 3 straight in this series what is there not to like about the Hawks laying a small number tonight? Especially given the fact that Memphis is awful this year with just 19 total wins and losers of 3 of their last 4 as the Grizzlies will be tired tonight playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Flat out tonight is Atlanta has not room for error as they continue to hold onto the final playoff spot in the East and well thanks to the Hawks playing their best basketball of the season look for Atlanta to continue their red hot run tonight as they bring home the cash. All Atlanta minus the road chalk tonight!

100* Colorado Rockies Specify both Francis & Wainwright

We last left off with the Rockies being swept in the World Series, but before those four games Colorado was the hottest team in the league winning 21 of 22 games. Well thanks to their offense in tack and their ace in Francis take the hill today look for the Rockies to start the year off with a huge road win today. After all thanks to Francis sporting a day time ERA 2.48 last year and with the lefty owning the Cardinals with a career record of 4-1 with a 2.28 ERA and a shutout in six career starts against the Cardinals I sure like the defending NL champs this afternoon.

100* Los Angeles Dodgers -1 ½ Runs

Bad last year and now in an even worst situation this season San Francisco is going to be the NL West bastard team that everyone beats up on and starting today. Sure the Giants were competitive against the Dodgers last year, but this year will be different as Los Angeles with a new boss in town and better talent will finally be able to take advantage of the Dodgers solid staff spear headed by Penny who get the ball today after a very solid 16 win season with a 3.03 ERA year a ago. Meanwhile for the Giants despite Zito ending the year strong in ‘07 the lefty is a historically a slow starter as evidence to his 0-3 record with a 9.49 ERA in three previous opening day starts. Well thanks to a new era kicking off today in Los Angeles look for the Dodgers behind Penny to blowout the Giants for an opening day Run Line winner.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Trace Adams

1000* - Bradley Braves, 500* - Denver Nuggets, 500* - Angels w/Weaver

Take the points with Bradley tonight, as the Braves big road win at Virginia in the semis is the perfect springboard for this game against a Tulsa team that barely got by Houston in their semifinal matchup to advance to the finals.

No denying Tulsa's 16-2 straight up mark at home, and their superior 11-3 home spread mark, but consider the Braves have been "brave" on the road, covering 7 of their last 9 roadies, and overall Bradley is on a 12-4 spread march their last 16 games!

This is the first of a best-of-three series (what the hell is that, by the way?!?!?), and I will look for it to be a close one.

Take the points.

1000* - Bradley Braves

The Nuggets have made their move, and are now in the 8th playoff spot in the west thanks to 5 straight wins, and wins in 8 of their last 10 straight up. The Nuggets have also covered 8 of their last 19 games, and I think they will cover again tonight at Phoenix.

The Suns have just played 4 in a row against the east conference on the road, and this is the front end of a big home-and-home for these two. Denver won the last meeting earlier this month at home 126-113 as the 7-point favorite. Denver's playing too well right now to get blown out, and Phoenix has got to be a little bit tired after 4 in a row on the road.

Nuggets to keep it close.

500* - Denver Nuggets

Livan Hernandez resufaces yet again!

Give the guy credit, as Hernandez has been doing it for years, but tonight is not the night to back this "feel-good" story.

The Twins still have position talent, but their pitching staff just has too many question marks including the aged Hernandez for me to like.

The Angels won 6 of the 9 meetings last season, with Jered Weaver going 2-0in his 3 starts against Minny, working 21 frames of 5 run ball.

Lay the small road lumber with the Halos tonight.

500* - Angels w/Weaver

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Re: Monday Service Plays

ATS Basketball Lock Club

3 Atlanta Hawks

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Re: Monday Service Plays

IndianCowboy

Game: Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers - Monday March 31, 2008 7:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Indiana Pacers -16.5 (-109) (Play of the Day)

On a personal note, I wanted to thank you for staying with me over this latest stretch. Yesterday was a sound day at 4-1 and +10 units of profit including the Twolves outright at +201 and of course the Grizzlies outright on Friday at +1133 ML. I've always said I have the best clients anyone can ever hope for and I will continue to work as hard as I can to deliver the most quality plays, with the best value and consequently ensuing profit. Not many cappers say this, but thank you for the faith you have shown in me and let's stretch this winning streak out.

As per this play, this might be my only play tomorrow. In fact, it likely will be despite the fact I like the Grizzlies a good bit tomorrow, the over in that game as well and and possibly the Wizards when the line comes out, but I am likely just to take it easy on the card today as there are plenty of action in the NBA to come in the coming weeks and if I do make an additional play it would be for just 1 unit on the Wizards ML tomorrow. But, we will see what the line comes up as but if it is at a 2:1 price, I will likely take it. I am hoping for 2.4 or better. Back to this game, long story short here, how would you feel if you were one of the few teams that have lost to the Heat this year. Well, the Pacers know what it feels like. In fact, the Pacers beat this team by a bucket this year before losing outright on the road in their last game to them. The Pacers are making a late run and they have been playing well of late and scoring points with ease. The Pacers come off a nice win over the Nets, they get O'Neal likely back today and will be fired up about that, they have revenge, the Heat have scored 69 and 62 points against the Celtics and Pistons in their last 2 ballgames, the Pacers have scored a 100 or more in their last 8 ballgames and I will take the Pacers here with the revenge for a 20 point win or more at home to give their fans something to cheer about when all is said and done. The Heat do come off a terrible game, but I think the Pacers keep pouring it on from start to finish as these teams do not like each other. The Pacers have covered their last 4 at home and their last 4 against teams with a winning % of .400 or lower, meaning they are winning the games they are supposed to against the weaker teams in the league.


Game: Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz - Monday March 31, 2008 9:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Washington Wizards +9 (-109) (Normal)

It's the liberty that my clients give me which allows me to take the shots that I'd like. I mentioned yesterday in my research that if the Washington line was around 6 or 6.5 I would simply take a shot on the Moneyline for a unit along with the Pacers and call it a day. However, given that the line is 9, of course, I would take the ATS and given that the Moneyline is +371, it only makes sense that I take this as I took the Wizards on the moneyline in their last game with the Lakers for +241 - so why would i not take it here at +371. Look the Wizards are an excellent team. They nearly won outright at L.A., they have revenge on the Jazz who beat them on the road in their last game by 9 (that was a game the Wiz were banged up in), now this team has Butler back, the Jazz are likely to have AKirilinko and Brewer likely to sit out or miss considerable minutes today, the Wizards come off a loss as do the Jazz, but the Wizards have revenge and frankly, more scoring options than the Jazz with Daniels, Stephenson, Jamison, Butler and Haywood. I think this line is a bit of a ripoff here as this is a game that the Wiz can win outright as they have won 8 of 10 straight up, I understand that Utah is 32-4 at home, but this is a game that Utah can lose outright as the Wiz are a very competitive team including on the road - remember they won at Orlando and the Magic with revenge and the Magic haven't loss many games on the road, this is about building a bankroll and units, and I have done that in the NBA and this is the same philosophy that one must use for Baseball as well, the Wizards are 4-0 ATS as underdogs of this margin and this team was competitive on the road in the west coast road trip without Butler, they can certainly be competitive with him off a loss, the Jazz are 0-4 ATS as favorites by this margin. I will gladly take a shot on the moneyline as well as this is likely to come down to the wire and a shot here or a foul call there and the +371 ml also has a chance to cash. The Pacers still remain as my POD.


Game: Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz - Monday March 31, 2008 9:00 pm
Pick: 1 unit(s) MONEYLINE: Washington Wizards +371 (Normal)

It's the liberty that my clients give me which allows me to take the shots that I'd like. I mentioned yesterday in my research that if the Washington line was around 6 or 6.5 I would simply take a shot on the Moneyline for a unit along with the Pacers and call it a day. However, given that the line is 9, of course, I would take the ATS and given that the Moneyline is +371, it only makes sense that I take this as I took the Wizards on the moneyline in their last game with the Lakers for +241 - so why would i not take it here at +371. Look the Wizards are an excellent team. They nearly won outright at L.A., they have revenge on the Jazz who beat them on the road in their last game by 9 (that was a game the Wiz were banged up in), now this team has Butler back, the Jazz are likely to have AKirilinko and Brewer likely to sit out or miss considerable minutes today, the Wizards come off a loss as do the Jazz, but the Wizards have revenge and frankly, more scoring options than the Jazz with Daniels, Stephenson, Jamison, Butler and Haywood. I think this line is a bit of a ripoff here as this is a game that the Wiz can win outright as they have won 8 of 10 straight up, I understand that Utah is 32-4 at home, but this is a game that Utah can lose outright as the Wiz are a very competitive team including on the road - remember they won at Orlando and the Magic with revenge and the Magic haven't loss many games on the road, this is about building a bankroll and units, and I have done that in the NBA and this is the same philosophy that one must use for Baseball as well, the Wizards are 4-0 ATS as underdogs of this margin and this team was competitive on the road in the west coast road trip without Butler, they can certainly be competitive with him off a loss, the Jazz are 0-4 ATS as favorites by this margin. I will gladly take a shot on the moneyline as well as this is likely to come down to the wire and a shot here or a foul call there and the +371 ml also has a chance to cash. The Pacers still remain as my POD.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Nick Parsons

Memphis Grizzlies +3

Certainly it is understood why the Hawks are listed as road chalk here. Atlanta has won three straight games and is battling hard to secure a playoff spot in the weaker Eastern Conference. Contrast this with a Grizzlies team that is just 19-54 on the season and hasn't thought about the postseason in a long, long time as theyve already been eliminated for weeks. All of the above said, the fact remains that nothing is ever as easy as it may appear on the surface. The Grizzlies have actually been playing some inspired basketball and they will battle hard all the way with the Hawks here. Also, note that Atlanta is just 9-27 on the road this season and just snuck out a home win over the Knicks yesterday. The Grizzlies were off yesterday as they just returned home from a West Coast road trip. Memphis lost to the Clippers on Saturday night to wrap up the road trip but they simply came out flat after beating the Lakers on the same floor the night before. That win over the Lakers made the Grizzlies 4-3 in their last seven games. Note that the Grizzlies last eight games, before the loss to the Clippers, were all quite competitive. Memphis went 4-4 in those 8 games with only one loss by more than four points! The Grizzlies continue to compete hard and they would love nothing more than to play the role of spoiler against Atlanta on Monday night. Grab the points here but no points should be needed as Memphis should get the outright win.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

WUNDERDOG

Game: Texas at Seattle
Pick: Seattle -1.5 runs +130

Texas certainly hasn't been much on the road, as they had the fewest wins in all of baseball on the road last season with just 28. Kevin Millwood certainly didn't aid that cause as the Rangers did not win a road game started by Millwood after the middle of June. That was nine consecutive starts. Eric Bedard won 12 of his last 13 starts last season for a team that didn't swing the bats very well, yet 10 of those 13 games were won by two runs or more. Amazingly, of Bedard's 13 wins last season every single one of them was by two runs or more. He now has a much more dependable lineup to produce even more runs. With the futility of Millwood and the Rangers on the road combined with the success of Bedard, we will play the runline in this one with the host Mariners.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Frank Rosenthal

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL MONDAY EARLY LEADS

BREWERS-105 SB
PADRES-155 SB
ROYALS+185 SB
YANKS UNDER 9 SB
TRIBE-170 SB

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Winning Points

***BEST BET
Toronto* over Charlotte by 15

Raptors catch a bad team at a good time. Charlotte concluded a West Coast road trip on Saturday night and after the long flight home, don't have enough time to regroup and recoup. The Bobcats are giddy off three straight wins to conclude that trip with a 3-1 record -- laurels to rest on for a while. When they reach down to find some of that energy, they won't be finding it. TORONTO, 108-93.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Great Lakes

3*ATL Hawks

2*Heat

2*Mavs

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The Shark

2*Rockies

2*Cubs

2*Astros

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Nevada Boys

2*Braves

2*Mets

2*Yanks

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Re: Monday Service Plays

James Patrick

3*Atl Hawks

2*Raptors

2*Utah

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Lovell

20* Angels -140

10* was Tor +145

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Re: Monday Service Plays

ATS FINANCIAL

3 Units Dallas Mavs


ATS MARCH MADNESS

3 Units Tulsa

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Re: Monday Service Plays

BeatYourBookie


NCAA Basketball

100* Tulsa (-5.5) over Bradley

(8:00 P.M. EST)

Tulsa is 11-2 ATS as a home favorite this season

Tulsa is 8-2 ATS when playing in the month of March this season

Tulsa is 8-0 ATS in non-conference home games



NBA Basketball

50* Play Indiana (-16.5) over Miami

(7:00 P.M. EST)

Miami is 9-20 ATS coming off a road loss

Miami is 9-21 ATS when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points

Miami is 5-19 SU vs. Indiana at home

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Re: Monday Service Plays

VEGAS-RUNNER

STL CARDINALS -110 (2*)....this was one of the first plays that we liked for this afternoon and its nice to find out a little while later that the Sharps also went ahead and Steamed it...just hope that we can get off to the type of MLB Season we had the last 2 because even though as the Season progresses we have more data to analyze....so do the oddsmakers and sometimes its early on that you can really do some damage and find some Value because you may not see lines like this after a month or so...

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Paul Bovi /Panorama Sports

Charlotte Bobcats +2 at home versus the Toronto Raptors

I am going with the desperate team here that is surging with confidence off of 3 straight road wins out west, one of those being the Lakers. The Bobcats have 45 losses and trail the Hawks by 5 games in their quest to be expunged by the Celtics in the first round. A loss here would put the kabosh on any chance since they must also overtake the Nets, Bulls and Pacers. The Raptors spread their defensive legs against the Hornets on Sunday as New Orleans shot 60% from the field in besting Toronto by 7, though the final score was not indicative of victors’ domination. The Bobcats are rested and desperate and should manage to keep their hopes on a respirator.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Scott Delaney

30* BRADLEY

The Braves were hoping to make it a third-straight 20-win season, they were hoping they’d run through the Missouri Valley Conference schedule and tournament and eventually get to the postseason. And when I say postseason, of course I am talking about the Big Dance.

Instead, an injury-plagued season put a damper on Bradley’s plans. Fortunately, an inaugural, start-up tourney called the College Basketball Invitational has breathed life into a team that had so much potential, and still has something to prove.

Three straight wins in this event have bumped the win total to 20, and now the Braves have their sight set on this best-of-3 championship series. And an outright win tonight means Bradley need only win at home in order to take home the championship to salvage what was somewhat of a disappointing regular season. I’ll take the points with the boys from Peoria, and bank on a tight game tonight.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Gambler's Data

Dodgers-180 5*
Mets rl-112 4*
Braves-148 3*
Padres under 7 3*

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