Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

PHILLY CONNECTION

LA.Clippers -2.5

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

I'll be the first to admit I had my doubts about this Xavier team, but watching them play inspired ball over the past week or so has got me convinced, and has them in the perfect position against a sputtering UCLA team tonight.

One of the main differences between these two teams comes on the offensive end, where the Musketeers are as dynamic as they come. With almost 6 players averaging in double figures, and the ability to go inside (Duncan, Anderson, Brown) or outside (Duncan, Lavender, Raymond) this Xavier team can easily outpace a struggling Bruins offense.

While both teams are solid defensively, I question the Bruins ability to score on this Xavier defense. They're just as athletic, if not more, and they proved against West Virginia that their defense is the real deal. The Bruins have been anything but impressive, rallying to beat Texas A&M by 2 points, and following that ulgy win with a inconsistent effort against Western Kentucky. Bruins were sloppy in both games, commiting 33 turnovers combined, and against a solid Musketeers defense they're in real danger tonight.

Finally, match ups also dicatate a close games, as we all know guard play is essential in March. Xavier has both talent and experience in their backcourt with guards Lavender and Burrell. I've made issue about Lavender's size in the past, but I've yet to see him get taken advantage of, so I'll give the talented 5'7 senior the benefit of the doubt in this one. In the frontcourt, Kevin Love is a beast down-low, but the ability of Josh Duncan to take inside or out, will cause havoc for the Bruins star freshman center.

Bottom line, the Bruins seemingly always find a way to win, and that may be the case again tonight, but the fact of the matter remains this game will be a lot closer than the guys in Vegas want you to believe. Xavier is playing great ball right now, and the fact the Bruins have been struggling to put teams away cannot be ignored. Wouldn't surprise me in the least if UCLA loses this game outright, but we'll take the points and grab the cash with the Musketeers.

Take Xavier plus the points over UCLA in this March Mayhem Elite Eight match up.

3* XAVIER

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Bobby Maxwell


Neither one of these teams has been playing its best basketball lately, but the Blazers have at least won their last two at home and should be able to get the best of the Bobcats in this one.

Portland lost at Golden State on Thursday 111-95 as a 13-point underdog, but beat the Wizards in Portland on Tuesday 102-82 as a one-point favorite. They are figuring out ways to score points with young start Brandon Roy out of the lineup. Believe it or not, this is a good time for the Blazers as they are forced to find ways to score with the young star and it will actually help them next season when they do have everybody and center Greg Oden back from his injury.

Charlotte has lost six of its last eight (3-5 ATS) overall but got probably its most surprising win of the year Wednesday in Los Angeles, 108-95 as a 13 1/2-point underdog. It was their first road win in their last seven outings.

The Bobcats are just 12-22-1 ATS on the road this season and really just a two-man wrecking crew on offense with Jason Richardson and Gerald Wallace. If either of those guys has an off night, it makes for a long night for the Bobcats. And Portland has the guys that can match them and cut down some of their points.

Portland has won five of the last seven series matchups (4-3 ATS) and last time they were in Portland the Blazers won 127-90 as eight-point chalk last season. Look for more of the same in this one as Portland cruises to an easy win and cover.

4* PORTLAND

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

WILD BILL

North Carolina -5 1/2 (5 units)

Over 130 Xavier-UCLA (5 units)

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jack Clayton
Grizzlies

Computer Sports
LA CLIPPERS


MadduxSports
LA Clippers -2.5


Redzone Sports
Ucla


#1 Sports
Louisville


Cappers Access
Louisville
Ucla


ARTHUR RALPH COMP
Portland


Totals4u
Grizzlies/Clippers Under


Huddle Up Sports
Golden St


Joe Wiz
Grizzlies


Dr Vegas
Portland


Scott Spreitzer
Nets



Big Time Sports
Nuggets Over


MIGHTY QUINN
UCLA


Glen Mcgrew
Xavier/UCLAUnder


ATS Consultants.
Denver -7


Dark Horse Sports
Suns


Vegas Sports Pics
Xavier


Hawkeye Sports
Ucla Over

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Lock of the Day

Louisville first half

Grizzlies

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Pointwise Phone Plays

Rating 4 Xavier

Rating 4 Lousiville

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Fairway Jay

Big Drive: Xavier +6

Louisville +5.5

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Vegas Experts Tip of the Day

Phoenix Suns at New Jersey Nets

Nets fighting for their playoff lives and must rebound from last night's loss in Indiana. Big number for the Suns to cover considering the last time these teams met in New Jersey, they had to go double-OT to score a 161-157 win. Nets had won and covered two straight before the Indiana loss and are looking to avenge 116-92 January 20 loss in Phoenix.

Play on: New Jersey

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Ralph's

Super Pick: Phoenix Suns

900 GOLD KEY winner: Louisville


Ralph's Free Play Portland (NBA)

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Alex Smart

Game: Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers
Prediction: Washington Capitals

Reason: The Washington Capitals enter into this tilt against their hosts the Florida Panthers winning 7 of their L/8 overall , including 4 of their L/5 on the road, as they continue their desperate quest for a post season appearance. The Florida Panthers , who have lost 3 of their L/4 and are all but eliminated from this years play offs do not have as much to play for , thus making a very motivated Capitals team the right side this evening. Final notes & Key Trends: Washington is 5-0 L5 vs Eastern Conference foes.

Play on Washington (moneyline)

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Robert Ross

Game: Xavier at UCLA
Prediction: UCLA

Reason: UCLA has not played two halves in either of its last two contests. Xavier steps up in class after its Thursday night nail-biter win over West Virginia in OT. XAVIER is 22-39 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game since 1997. UCLA is 31-14 ATS in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season since 1997. Take UCLA!

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Lance's Lock

Todays play: Louisville +5'

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Rob Veno

UCLA -6

Louisville +5.5

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Frank Rosenthal

NBA HOOPS
701 SUNS-5.5 SB+
707 WARRIORS+8 SB
709 BOBCATS+6 SB
UNDER 192 SB+

COLLEGE HOOPS NCAA
714 UNC-5 SB+
OVER 154 SB
716 UCLA-5.5 SB
OVER 129 SB+

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Dr. BOB

Saturday, March 29
Louisville (+5 ½) over North Carolina
North Carolina and Louisville have both been very impressive so far in this tournament, with both teams covering the spread in all 3 games. I expect Louisville to continue their pointspread run today as they qualify in a 20-4-2 ATS round 4 situation. Louisville struggled in their pre-conference schedule without big man David Padgett (4-6 ATS), but the Cardinals are 17-6 ATS with Padgett in the lineup, including 16-4 ATS when not favored by 14 points or more and 8-1 ATS as a favorite of less than 4 points or as an underdog so theyve played well against other good teams. North Carolina is 23-10-1 ATS this season but a lot of their spread wins were against mediocre or bad teams (12-2 ATS as a favorite of 14 points or more) and the Tarheels are just 2-3-1 ATS as a favorite of less than 8 points this season. My ratings favor North Carolina by 5 points after awarding the Heels 2 ½ points for playing in nearby Charlotte. As good as North Carolina has been in the tournament so far, my math model using only the 3 NCAA Tournament games for each team also favors the Tarheels by 5 points. The only thing keeping this from being a Best Bet on Louisville is the 114-75 ATS record of teams playing in their home state in the NCAA Tournament. Ill lean with Louisville at +5 points or more. My predicted total is 153 points.

Xavier (+6) over Ucla
UCLA is just 0-5 ATS the last 3 years as a favorite of more than 3 points in round 2 or higher of the NCAA Tournament (0-2 ATS this year) and the Bruins are up against a scrappy Xavier team that is 5-0-1 ATS in all NCAA tourney games under coach Sean Miller and 6-0 ATS under Miller as an underdog of 5 points or more. My ratings favor UCLA by just 5 points and teams seeded #3 or worse are 15-5-2 ATS as underdogs in round 4 against teams seeded #2 or better since 1995. Ill consider Xavier a Strong Opinion at +6 points or more and Ill lean with the Musketeers at +5 ½ or +5 points. My predicted total is 130 1/2 points.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

WUNDERDOG SPORTS DAILY COMPS
MLB

Game: Detroit at Houston
Pick: Detroit +100

The Tigers and Astros will wrap-up a two- game series at Minute Maid Park this afternoon. It will be Nate Robertson against Shawn Chacon. The Tigers punished the Astros yesterday 10-0, which has been the theme for the Astros all spring. The 30 game spring tally for the Astros shows a bleak 225 runs allowed - more than any other team, and converts to 7.5 runs a game. Chacon has certainly made his contribution with a 7.00 ERA, allowing 29 base runners in just 18 innings. It's been a brilliant spring for Robertson as he has put together a 1.26 ERA, and we like the Tigers to take game 2.

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Insider Sports Report

4* U.C.L.A. -6 over Xavier (NCAAB)
Range -4.5 to -8

3* N. Carolina -5.5 over Louisville (NCAAB)
Range -3.5 to -7.5

3* Phoenix/New Jersey (NBA) UNDER 224
Range 226 to 222

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

1. 300,000* Louisville
2. 50,000* Warriors
3. 50,000* Trail Blazers

1. Louisville- Neither one of these teams has faced much of a challenge in their path to this clash of the Titans, but that's about to change real quick, as both teams featured here are not only excellent defensively, but playing their best basketball of the season. The difference between these two squads is minimal, which is exactly I'm taking Louisville plus the points in this match up. But let me explain further...

Wondering whether the Cardinals can slow down a Tarheels offense averaging 96 ppg over their first three tourney games? The answer is yes, and there's two reasons why: A. Louisville is fundamentally one of the best defenses North Carolina will see all year, allowing 60 ppg on 38% shooting this season. Just ask Tennessee, who scored a measly 60 points on just 33% shooting Thursday. And B. The Cardinals have the size inside to stymy the Tarheels # 1 weapon, C Tyler Hansbrough, who'll be matched up against one of the few players with as much basketball IQ as he has in senior C David Padgett. If Washington State's bigmen were able to slow Hansbrough, then so can the Cardinals excellent frontline.

On the offensive end, Louisville may not have the firepower the Tarheels have, but they've got more than enough balance to make up for it. The emergence of F Earl Clark is huge, who's led the Cardinals in scoring in all 3 tourney games despite coming off the bench! Other than him, Padgett, Williams, Caracter, and Palacios make up one of the deepest and most talented frontline in the college game. And as we saw against the Vols, the Cardinals guards are rock-solid, with Smith and McGee contributed 13 points apiece!

Finally, one of the best examples of what can happen when you pressure this Tarheels team can be seen in their match ups with Clemson. Yes, Clemson, a team known for pressuring the basketball with a multitude of traps and presses. North Carolina played Clemson 3 times this season and for all the talk about their "ultra-efficient" offense, Carolina averaged almost 20 turnovers per game in those 3 contests. Not only is Pitino's defense similar, but it possesses better personnel than the Tigers, and it'll show tonight.

Bottom line, underestimate this Cardinals squad at your own risk, as they're coming off a trouncing of an excellent Tennessee team, and have all the pieces necessary to beat this North Carolina team outright here tonight. We'll take the points, but make no mistake, the Tarheels are in for the fight of their tourney, and going against a surging Louisville team that's 17-6 ATS since the New Year and 3-1 ATS as a dog, isn't my idea of a smart bet. In the end, count on Louisville to grab the cash in this one!

Take Louisville plus the points over North Carolina as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Warriors- This is exactly the kind of match up the Warriors love, facing another high-octane offense, that plays little to no defense... So why would you side with the Nuggets in this one? Yes, we all know the Warriors are sitting a 1/2 ahead of the Nuggets for the 8th and final Western Conference playoff spot, but that gives just as much motivation to Golden State as it does Denver, so you pretty much disregard that factor as its an even motivator.

Just look back at their recent match ups this season, in both games either: A. The Warriors won outright at Denver 105-95 Or B. The Warriors still kept it close, despite losing at home 124-120... What I'm trying to show you is the difference between these two teams is marginal at best, because neither plays any defense.

Speaking of defense, over their last 5 games, both teams are allowing an average of about 107.5 ppg. This doesn't bode well for Denver as the chalk, because clearly the Warriors want to run, and Denver will allow them to do it. Also, don't be too impressed by the Nuggets 4-game winning streak SUATS... If you look at the competition, Memphis, New Jersey, Toronto, Nowitzki-less Dallas, it just isn't anything to write home about.

Finally, match ups are a problem for the Nuggets, as the backcourt of Davis and Ellis can take advantage of the defensively inept Carter and Iverson. Iverson used to be a decent defender, but age and his love of offense has gotten the best of him. In the frontcourt, we'll give Denver a slight edge, but Jackson can be just as dangerous as Carmelo, while Camby and Martin can be maddeningly inconsistent at times.

Bottom line, I just don't see that much difference between these two teams, especially when you consider what's at stake in this match up. With just a 1/2 game separating these two teams, neither one can afford to lay an egg here, and I expect a high-scoring contest, coming down to the waning moments... Either way, we grab the cash!

Take the Warriors plus the points over the Nuggets in this NBA match up.

3. Trail Blazers- Its easy to say: "No Brandon Roy equals no win for Portland," but that would be short-sighted in this match up, as the Bobcats are anything but consistent on the road, while the Blazers play their best ball at the Rose Garden.
I know its been a struggle for these Blazers of late, but let's not get carried away.

They're still a much better team than the Bobcats, who've won just 8 games on the road all season, going 12-22-2 ATS away over that span. Sure, they beat the suddenly struggling Lakers (who lost to Memphis at home yesterday) at the Staples Center, but don't let one win erase a season's worth of road woes.

Biggest disparity between these two teams is defense, the Blazers have it, while the Bobcats could care less. Charlotte, allows 103 ppg on a ridiculous 48% shooting when they travel this season, and despite the Blazers recent troubles, they've been able to score points at home, averaging 103 ppg over their last 4 at the Rose Garden (3-1 SU & 2-2 ATS).

Remember guys, we're talking about a Bobcats offense that scored just 96 points in their win (but no cover) against the Sonics in their last one... The same Sonics defense that allowed a mind-boggling 168 points to the Nuggets two weeks ago! If the Bobcats had issues scoring in Seattle, just wait until they match up against this Portland defense tonight.

Finally, while Charlotte is not even in contention, at the very least the Blazers can make a nice run at the final playoff spot... Of course they won't get it, sitting 6.5 games back from Denver, but its a solid motivational factor for a team that will be on the upswing next season with Oden in the mix. The last thing the Blazers want is to finish the season tail-spinning, especially if they start losing to teams like Charlotte at the Rose Garden. In the end, Portland's defense makes the difference, en route to solid Blazers home win and cover in this one.

Take the Trail Blazers over the Bobcats in late NBA action Saturday.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

2-Minute Warning = North Carolina

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