Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Tony Karpinski

San Diego State vs. Florida    
Play: Florida     

SD State at Florida (College Hoops), 9:05PM ET San Diego State did have a good year overall with 20 wins and 12 losses but in a weak MWC conference they went just 9-7 which is why they are in the NIT and not the big dance. Florida the two-time defending champions went 21-11 but since they were just 8-8 in the SEC as they were just not good enough to make the cut as they look to win a championship again for the third straight year however just this time in the NIT. Look for a young Florida team to come out playing like gang busters at home in the swamp as they run past San Diego State. Pick on the Florida Gators

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Ted Sevransky

Utah State @ Illinois State
PICK: Utah State

REASON FOR PICK: Utah State ranked #1 in the nation in offensive field goal percentage – better than Kansas, better than Georgetown, better than any of the 340 other teams in college basketball. And it’s not even a close race – the Aggies were a percentage point and a half better than the Jayhawks, who ranked second in the nation in this statistical category. Quite simply, this team takes good shots on nearly every possession. Head coach Stew Morrill’s offense is extremely difficult to defend; even tougher for an opponent that hasn’t seen it before and has only a few days to prepare defensively.

Utah State was not a great road team this year by any stretch of the imagination, winning only five of their 13 road contests. But when the Aggies lost on the highway, their good shooting was enough to keep them in the game – a three point loss at San Jose St, a five point loss at Hawaii and a five point loss at Nevada in their last three road defeats. It’s surely worth noting that Utah State won their last two road games of the season by 19 points or more, showing dramatic signs of improvement in hostile environments as the season progressed. But their overall road record gives us solid value here in a game that they won’t need to win in order to cover the pointspread.

Road underdogs went 9-3 ATS on the opening night of the two ‘other’ tournaments (NIT & CBI). Home courts simply don’t mean as much in the lesser tournaments as they did during the regular season. Illinois State is still nursing a minor hangover from their NCAA snub, and, despite their 15-1 home court straight up record, they only finished 7-7 ATS at the Redbird Arena this year. Their 3-6 ATS mark at home down the stretch of the Missouri Valley campaign including an 0-4 ATS mark when laying seven points or more gives us all the confidence we need to fade the Redbirds at home tonight. Take Utah State.

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Brandon Lang

10 Dime UTEP
10 Dime UAB

5 Dime Santa Barbara
5 Dime Tulsa
5 Dime Charlotte

FREE - Cincinnati

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Winners Edge

NBA

Atlanta Hawks Pk , 2 Unitts

Detroit Pistons Pk , 2 Units

CBB

Tulsa - 4 , 3 Units

Uab + 6 , 2 Units

Florida - 10 , 2 Units

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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Pacers -6

At 6-26 SU and 11-19 ATS, Charlotte is a terrible road team.  The Bobcats come into this one having lost 4 in a row on their current road trip and the Pacers will send them back home with their tails between their legs tonight.  Charlotte is 4-12 ATS in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season and 5-13 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.  The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 4-1 in their last 5 home games against the Bobcats.  Take Indiana to defend its home court with ease tonight against a road weary Bobcats club.

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Joel Tyson

Take the points with the Niners of Charlotte when they visit Nebraska tonight in this NIT match up. The Forty Niners may have been in the big dance if it hadn?t been for their second round loss in their conference tournament to the Temple Owls. Prior to the loss however UNCC had won five straight, and should still have some momentum heading into tonight. With both teams carrying pretty much identical stats in scoring, defense and field goal percentage I look for this one to be close. Charlotte has enjoyed good success ATS over their last nine midweek games, as they have covered seven of them. Play UNCC to stay within the number.

4* UNCC


Take the couple of points and back the Denver Nuggets as Allen Iverson makes his first trip back to Philly since being traded last season. The Nuggets have covered in seven of the last 10 match ups versus the Sixers, including this season?s first match up in which they won 109-96. Denver will be looking to get back on track tonight after having their three game win streak halted last night by Eastern Conference powerhouse Detroit. I fully expect the Nuggets to not only pick up the cover but pick the win up as well. Denver currently is averaging 109.00 ppg on the season, compared to Philadelphia?s 96.3 ppg. Expect the Nuggets high-octane offense to get clicking early tonight as they roll to victory.

4* DENVER

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Bobby Maxwell

We're aware Utah didn't finish the regular season on a high note, but this team surprised everyone with the way they looked in the Mountain West Conference tourney. It looked like they were back to that midseason form as they knocked off New Mexico 82-80 in OT and then play eventual tourney champ UNLV down to the wire before falling 61-55 in the semifinal.

And there is some familiarity between these two teams as Utah beat the Miners 60-54 back in 2005 and got the cover as 3 1/2-point home favorites. Utah is 5-0 (3-2 ATS) against UTEP dating back to 1998, including two wins on the Miners' home court.
UTEP was just 5-5-1 ATS on its home court this season while the Utes went 8-7-1 ATS on the highway. The Miners were 1-3 SU and ATS in their final four games of the regular season.

Utah has got the size to control the boards and control the tempo of this game. They are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 nonconference games while the Miners are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six nonconference battles.

Go ahead and play Utah to control this one from the start and hold off a late charge in the exciting CBI Tournament.

4* UTAH


How about that effort the Pistons put out on Tuesday, demolishing the Nuggets 136-120 as 4 1/2-point favorites? That's the most points Detroit has put on the board in years and it comes on the heels of Denver putting up 168 in their blowout of Seattle on Sunday.

The Pistons have now won five of six overall (3-3 ATS) and this team is absolute money on the second night of back-to-backs, going 11-5-1 ATS on the second night.
Detroit won the only meetings with the Cavs this season, winning 109-74 back in November as a nine-point home chalk. It ended an eight-game ATS streak for Cleveland in this series. And remember, the Pistons were ousted from the Eastern Conference playoffs last year by these Cavs, so there is always going to be extra motivation there for Detroit.

The Cavaliers have lost three of their last four SU and ATS and got beat in Orlando 104-90 on Monday as a 6 1/2-opint underdog. Last time they were home they couldn't even get the cash against the lowly Bobcats, winning 98-91 as 7 1/2-point favorites.

Detroit is going to put the clamps on LeBron and Co. in this one and pull out the win. Play the Pistons.

3* DETROIT

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Karl Garrett

The G-Man feels they have inflated the price on the Gators tonight, as San Diego State is quite capable of battling this young Florida edition right down to the wire in Gainsville.

That being the case, I am grabbing the points with the visiting Aztecs in this one!
SD State has won 20 games this year, and while they haven't exactly been on a tear of late, the Gators come into this one in worse shape.

Florida has lost their last 4, and 8 of their last 11 straight up, while covering only twice along the way! Those numbers have the G-Man absolutely perplexed as to how the oddsmakers can make the Gators a chalk of this amount.

This is more of a "repuatation" line than anything else, and I for one am glad to exploit it.

Take the Aztecs plus the points.

5* SAN DIEGO STATE

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Chuck Franklin

The Flyers traditionally have a very tough home court. They will be able to handle Cleveland State at the UD Arena tonight, where they are 14-3 this season. The Vikings are a .500 road team.

Although Cleveland State finished the season on a very profitable 7-1 ATS run and made it to their conference tourney final, I will predict the end of their season with this game. The Vikings are only 2-5 ATS the last seven games on the road when facing a team that has a winning record at home.

Dayton is 5-1 ATS the last six non-conference games and will win this game by double-digits.

It will be an absolute blowout!

3* DAYTON


Seattle, one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA will get blown out tonight by one of the best offensive teams in the league. The Sonics lost their eighth game in a row in humiliating fashion, allowing the Denver Nuggets the most points scored in the NBA in 17 years. The Suns average 110 points per game. The second highest average in the league. Phoenix is on a five game winning streak in which they are averaging 117.4 points per game. Shaq is fitting in just fine with the Suns.

Seattle has failed to cover the spread four in a row at home, all as the underdog. They are only 2-5 ATS the last seven overall games played. Phoenix is 6-2 ATS the last eight games on the road and they have covered the spread in each of the last five games overall.

This will be an absolute blowout!

3* PHOENIX

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ARMVIN SPORTS

CBB
NC CHARLOTTE 9.5
Best Bet! TULSA -2.5


NHL
ANAHEIM 124

MINNESOTA 150

NEW JERSEY -130

WASHINGTON 115

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Paul Leiner

Dayton/Cleveland State

Prediction: 10* Over 126 Dayton/Clev St

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Chip Chirimbes

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

Tied for the second-worst record in the Western Conference, the Minnesota Timberwolves and Memphis Grizzlies meet Wednesday at the Target Center. At 16-50, Memphis and Minnesota are both one-half game ahead of Seattle for the worst record in the West, but the Timberwolves come in having won four of their last six, including a 99-90 win over the Clippers on Monday. They snapped a three-game home losing streak with their third straight win over Los Angeles. Minnesota shot 50 percent from the field, making at least half of its shots for the third straight game. Al Jefferson had 22 points and 14 rebounds and Ryan Gomes added 19 points.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Al McMordie

Morgan State Bears at Virginia Tech Hokies

Our member selection is on Morgan State plus the points over Virginia Tech. On the surface, this game doesn't look very attractive to bettors, but there is a super situation in this game that warrants our attention. The Hokies come into the contest off a string of seven consecutive pointspread covers. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on Va Tech here against an over-manned Morgan State squad. But more often than not, knee-jerk reactions are wrong. Consider that, since 1991, teams on a seven-game ATS win streak are a miserable 8-24 ATS in the post-season vs. foes which are NOT off back-to-back wins, including 0-5 when playing on their home court. Look for Morgan State to keep this game close. Take the points.

Play on: Morgan State

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BEN BURNS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

MORGAN STATE
Game: Morgan State vs. Virginia Tech
Prediction: Morgan State Reason: I'm taking the points with MORGAN STATE. While neither team is thrilled to be here, I feel that Morgan State is the 'happier' of the two clubs. The Bears expected to reach the NCAA Tournament but were upset in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference championship by Coppin State. The Hokies, who lost a pair of heartbreakers down the stretch, hoped to receive an at large invitation. It didn't happen and they're feeling 'snubbed' as a result. With that mindset, I expect it to be difficult to bounce back and be expected to beat a team by more than 17 points. The Bears are well coached as Bozeman, the MEAC's coach of the year, led Cal to the NCAAs three times. Good coaching is important when trying to motivate a team in this situation and I expect Bozeman to be able to rally his troops. He was quoted as saying: "I keep encouraging them that there are not a lot of teams that still play, 22 wins is a great season and hopefully we can add to that." NCAA or NIT, the Bears are still in the Division I postseason for the first time in school history, making this a big deal for them. Note that Morgan State is 15-2 its last 17 games and the two losses came by just three combined points. The Bears also played some quality non-conference opponents tough, as they lost by only four at both Connecticut and Miami while losing by eight at Seton Hall. The Hokies are an up and coming team and they've certainly got some talent. However, with coach Greenberg calling the selection committee: "certifiably insane," I expect there to be some distraction, as the deflated players think about "what might have been." Facing a Morgan State squad which has allowed less than 70 points in eight straight games, look for the Hokies to have their hands full, falling to 3-7 ATS the last 10 times that they were listed as home favorites of greater than a dozen points. *NIT Opening RD GOY

NBA

NEW ORLEANS
Game: Houston Rockets vs. New Orleans Hornets 
Prediction: New Orleans Hornets Reason: I'm playing on NEW ORLEANS. The Rockets streak finally came to an end last night. When teams are involved in such an extended winning streak like that, they're on a real emotional high the entire time. The longer the streak, the harder they typically "crash" (experience an emotional letdown) after the streak comes to an end. I expect that to be the case here. The Hornets, who beat Chicago by 11 points last time out, lost twice to the Rockets during "the streak." That's worth noting as we find them at 19-11-1 ATS the last 31 times that they faced an opponent which defeated them in the previous meeting. They're also 20-10-1 ATS the last 31 times they were coming off a double-digit victory. The Hornets, who had last night off, rallied from a double-digit deficit to beat the Bulls last time out. Look for them to build off that effort as they earn an important victory over their division rival this evening.

CLEVELAND
Game: Detroit Pistons vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers Reason: I'm playing on CLEVELAND. The Cavs will have major payback on their minds as the Pistons embarrassed them 109-74 at Detroit back in November. The Cavs are a different team now though and they're playing with a lot more confidence. They're also playing on their homecourt after having had last night off, while catching the Pistons off a game vs. Denver last night. Note that the Cavs are 65-43 SU the past three seasons when facing an opponent which defeated them in the previous meeting and that they're 3-0 SU/ATS the last three series meetings here at Cleveland. Looking back further and we find them at 9-3 ATS the last 12 times these teams met here. Addtionally, note the Lebron left in the second quarter of the earlier game. Despite the November loss, the Cavs are also a profitable 33-19-3 ATS during that stretch when facing a divisional opponent. I expect Lebron and co. to view this as a "statement game" and for them to deliver a huge effort.

INDIANA
Game: Charlotte Bobcats vs. Indiana Pacers
Prediction: Indiana Pacers Reason: I'm laying the points with INDIANA. If it wasn't completely "official" already, the Bobcats should have lost all hope of making the playoffs on Monday. Playing a "must win" game against Memphis, the team which had the fewest wins in the West, the Bobcats were outscored 56-30 in the second half. They're now five games behind eighth-place Atlanta and they've got three other teams in between them. Coach Sam Vincent described the Bobcats as: "out of gas." That's no surprise considering that this evening's game will be their sixth straight on the road. Afterwards, they return home for one game (vs. Miami) before immediately heading out to the West Coast for four games. After returning home from that trip, they'll play a home and home series against the Raptors, sandwiched by a game vs. the Cavs. In other words, they have no hope of making the playoffs. The players know this and I expect it to translate into a poor defensive effort tonight. That should spell trouble against an Indiana team which is still very much alive in the playoff race and which has scored 110 or more points in three of its last four games. The Pacers, who are two games ahead of the Bobcats and who have a signficantly easier remaining schedule, come off a momentum-building double-digit win over the Knicks. Mike Dunleavy scored 36 points and Danny Granger added 26 with 11 rebounds. While Indiana's last six victories have all come by a minimum of seven points, Charlotte's last six losses have all come by a minimum of eight points. Look for the Pacers to put up big points once again, avenging a pair of earlier losses at Charlotte and improving to 19-9 ATS the last 28 times they were listed as home favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range.

OVER pacers/bobcats
Game: Charlotte Bobcats vs. Indiana Pacers
Prediction: over Reason: I'm playing on Indiana and Charlotte to finish OVER the total. If it wasn't completely "official" already, the Bobcats should have lost all hope of making the playoffs on Monday. Playing a "must win" game against Memphis, the team which had the fewest wins in the West, the Bobcats were outscored 56-30 in the second half. They're now five games behind eighth-place Atlanta and they've got three other teams in between them. Coach Sam Vincent described the Bobcats as: "out of gas." That's no surprise considering that this evening's game will be their sixth straight on the road. Afterwards, they return home for one game (vs. Miami) before immediately heading out to the West Coast for four games. After returning home from that trip, they'll play a home and home series against the Raptors, sandwiched by a game vs. the Cavs. In other words, they have no hope of making the playoffs. The players know this and I expect it to translate into a poor defensive effort tonight. They should be better offensively than they have been recently though, as the Pacers allow a whopping 105.7 points per game. The Pacers always like to push the tempo and they'll definitely be looking to do so against a road-weary opponent. The Pacers have seen the OVER go 7-2-1 their last 10 games, scoring 110 or more points in three of their last four. Additionally, they've seen the OVER go 15-7-1 the last 23 times they played a game with an over/under line of 210 or greater, including 8-2 in 10 home games with a total of 210 or greater this season. Meanwhile, we also find the OVER at 4-0 this season when the Bobcats have played a game with an over/under line of 210 or greater. Its also worth noting that the Bobcats have seen the OVER go 37-20-1 (65%) the past three seasons after having lost three or more consecutive games, including an 11-5-1 mark this season. Look for those numbers to improve with defense becoming a forgotten word for the evening. *Blue Chip

SONICS
Game: Phoenix Suns vs. Seattle SuperSonics
Prediction: Seattle SuperSonics Reason: I'm taking the points with SEATTLE. This is a very tough spot for the Suns to be laying this many points. Not only are they coming off a late win at Portland last night but they've got a trio of huge games (Boston, Houston, Detroit) on deck. In other words, it will be easy to look past the lowly Sonics. That will prove costly though as, despite losing SU, the Sonics have played the Suns tough in all three of this season's previous meetings. In fact, each of those games was decided by eight points or less and Seattle was a perfect 3-0 ATS, holding the Suns below their regular scoring average in each game. The Suns were favored by 12 in the lone meeting here at Seattle and they won by 'only' seven. Including that result, the Suns are just 5-11 ATS the last 16 times that they were listed as road favorites in the -9.5 to -12 range, including a 1-6 ATS mark in that role the past three seasons. In addition to the fact that they are playing with "triple revenge," the Sonics should be highly motivated to bounce back from an extremely embarrassing (168-116!) loss at Denver a few nights ago. Note that they're 15-12 ATS on the season when coming off a double-digit loss. Denver's 168 points were the most given up in regulation this millennium and the Sonics are determined to give a much better effort this evening. Coach P.J. Carlesimo: "Once it's over, it's over You don't forget about it, but you don't dwell on it either. We can carry it forward or we can put it behind us. I think we'll put it behind us." Star rookie Kevin Durant agrees that Seattle can and will bounce back: "That was very tough to handle, but we put that behind us. We came in today and had one of our best practices of the year. We practiced very hard, competed all practice. That's something we needed to do to build up for tomorrow against the same type of team. I think we'll be alright." Look for a big effort from Durant and co. as they give the Suns a tougher game than expected once again, improving to 8-1 ATS the last nine series meetings. *Western Conf. Game of the Week

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Madduxsports
Utah State +8.5


Mighty Quinn
Illinois State -8.5


RedZone Sports
Washington/Valpo over


ARTUR RALPH
UAB



GAMBLERS DATA
Orlando -7.5


Razor Sharp Sports
NC Char/Nebraska Over


Jim Feist
Sixers


Cappers Access
Dayton
Calif


Totals4u
Hawks/Nets Under


Dave Cokin
Nebraska


Joe Wiz
Atlanta
UC Santa Barbara


TV Hotline
Bradley


Scott Spreitzer
Dayton


Huddle Up Sports
Pacers


Glen Mcgrew
Pistons


Bob Donahue
Hornets


Vegas Steamline
Grizzlies

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Matt Fargo

Phoenix Suns vs. Seattle Supersonics
Play: Seattle Supersonics   

Seattle was absolutely embarrassed in its last game at Denver as the Nuggets ran up the score in the 52-point loss. Denver put up 107 shots so while simply a good shooting night is the excuse it is giving, the Nuggets clearly rubbed it in. The Sonics wish it was Denver visiting tonight but the Suns will have to do to try and recover from that defeat. Coming off a loss like that is going to motivate any team and on the flip side, the Suns might be coming in a little overconfident after seeing that Denver explosion.

This is not a good spot for the Suns anyway. Phoenix is coming off a win last night at Portland and that game was extremely physical. It was the biggest home loss for the Blazers this season, and Phoenix led by as many as 18 points. After this game, the Suns have games against Houston, Detroit and Boston so getting out of here with just a win is what they are looking for. Overlooking this Sonics team is a danger as well and even though the Suns are playing extremely well, this is the NBA we are talking about.

Phoenix has owned this series as it has won the first three meetings this year but by no means was any of those victories blowouts. Seattle covered all three of those games as the losses came by just seven, eight and four points. Most encouraging is the reports out of Seattle. The Sonics had one of their best practices of the season on Tuesday and that is exactly what you need to hear coming from a young team that cannot get caught up in that Denver loss. Seattle is a respectable 5-6 in its last 11 home games

Seattle falls into a very solid contrarian situation. Play on home underdogs of 10 or more points that are coming off three or more consecutive losses, a team that has won fewer than 25 percent of its games going up against a team with a winning record. This situation is 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1996. Seattle has covered seven of the last eight in this series while the Suns are a miserable 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 11 points or more. Play Seattle Supersonics 1 Unit

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Philly Connection

Charlotte/Nebraska Under

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EZ WINNERS

NBA GOY

10 STAR: (636) NEW ORLEANS (-4.5) over Houston
(Risking $1100 to win $1000)

The Rockets 22 game win streak was ended last night by Boston. It will be interesting to see how Houston handles the difficult schedule that they have ahead of them, but I think tonight is a great spot to play heavily against them. The Rockets have been playing with great emotion and feeding off of the home crowd and have did not have a flat spot during their 22 game winning streak. I don't think they were flat in last nights loss, as the game was tied at halftime. They simply ran out of gas and could not handle the inside presence of Boston. I think that flat spot will happen tonight when they travel to New Orleans to play the Hornets. There are several other reasons that I like the Hornets tonight.

1. This is a double revenge game for New Orleans. After winning the first meeting between these two teams this season, the Hornets have dropped two straight meetings including a 20 blowout the last time that they played in New Orleans.

2. The Rockets struggle to score. Houston is not a great offensive team and they have struggled to score points, especially in the second half in their last two games against the Lakers and Celtics. That should continue to happen in this game as the Hornets are a top 5 defensive team and I'm sure they will be focused on a strong defensive effort after allowing the Rockets to score 100 and 106 points in their last two losses to Houston. During their win streak the Rockets shot the lights out from three point land. I don't see that happening tonight with tired legs on the road.

3. This is a back to back game for Houston and their third game in four nights. T-Mac, Rafer, Battier and Scola have all played big minutes recently. This usually leads to a low energy game.

4. Houston is only 2-5 against the spread after a loss by 10 or more points this year and only 1-8 against the spread after scoring 85 points or less in the previous game.

5. I have even ran biorhythms on this game (like I do for pitchers in baseball) and the entire Houston starting 5 is at their lowest physical biorhythm cycle. This means that they are more likely to lack energy and tire faster then usual. Once again, back to back and third game in four nights. Chris Paul, by the way is at the highest possible biorhythm peak. He should have a huge game.

There is also a very strong trend in Hornets games this year. If you can pick that straight up winner of the game you would also pick the spread winner 90% of the time. The point spread has only been a factor in 7 out of the Hornets 67 games this season and in the 45 games that New Orleans has won they have covered the spread in 40 of those games! I don't see the Hornets losing a third straight game to Houston under these conditions tonight, so I'll lay the points here for my NBA GOY!

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Josh Dean

300* Tulsa

100* Boston (MLB)

100* Denver

Free Pick: Seattle

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