Wednesday Service Plays

Wednesday Service Plays

Vegas Experts

Atlanta Hawks at New Jersey Nets

Hawks recent wins were at New York against the lowly Knicks and then an upset win the next night in Washington. Even with those the club is 9-25 on the road. It is also 1-2 vs. the Nets who lost the last meeting after winning the first two so come in with revenge. Nets trail the Hawks by just a game in the Eastern Conference standings and will look to rebound off last night's 112-96 loss in Chicago. Nets have taken the last two from the Hawks here at home.

Play on: New Jersey

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James Patrick Sports

Miami Ohio vs. Tulsa

Doug Wojcek knows how to win basketball games because he played on a winning team with David Robinson at the Naval Academy. In his third year at Tulsa Wojcek’s team plays great defense and rebounds well, a combination that has led them to (9) ATS wins in their past (11) decisions. The Golden Hurricane played a lot of basketball in Memphis last weekend before falling to CUSA Champion Memphis but with (4) returning starters and in the friendly confines of the Reynolds Center we look for Tulsa to advance with a win over the Redhawks. This team has held opponents to a season low in points in (26) of (31) contests. Our Wednesday CBI Tournament selection is #670 Tulsa Golden Hurricane.


Dave Cokin

UNCC @ Nebraska

Play: Nebraska -8.5

UNCC made a nice run in the A-10 tournament last week before getting knocked out by Temple. Nebraska topped Missouri in the Big XII tourney before being sent home by Kansas. I have to think the Huskers will be the fresher entry. They're also a considerably better team and they're at home. Nebraska has a decent shot to win this event, and should get things started with a pretty easy win tonight. I'll spot the points with the Cornhuskers.


Marc Lawrence

Play On: Florida

Note: The two-time defending NCAA tourney champs play host to San Diego State in an NIT opening round contest at the O'Connell Center. A quick check of the history book shows the Gators 18-1 SU and 14-4-1 ATS in post-season play the last three years. With the Aztecs 0-15 ATS in their last fifteen losses against non-conference foes, look for Florida to get back on track here tonight.


Tom Scott

Morgan State at VIRGINIA TECH - 7:00 PM EST

Play ON: VIRGINIA TECH minus the points

Seth Greenburg was livid after being snubbed by the NCAA tourney selection committee and our scouts report that he has passed that fire on to his players. That's bad news for a Morgan State team that is 1-101 SU on the road against lined teams since 1990, allowing an average of 89 points per game. Not only do the Bears lose on the road, they get toasted with an average defeat of 28 points per game in the 101 losses. Virginia Tech has 20 consecutive home wins over non-conference opponents with an average win margin of 21 but it's Tech's 50-5 ATS log when scoring 80 or more, including 25-1 ATS when coming off a loss that has us interested here. Yes, the Hokies are angry and when they're angry, they can be merciless. Expect Greenburg and his Gobblers to eat Morgan State for dinner tonight.

PREDICTION: VIRGINIA TECH 89 - Morgan State 61

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Jimmy The Moose

Game: Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks
Prediction: San Jose Sharks

Reason: Minnesota has won their last games but prior to that had dropped 5 in a row. In their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record the Wild are 1-4. Tonight they face a Sharks team that had won 11 of their last 12 games prior to last night's game vs. the lowly Kings. In their last 8 games vs. Western Conference opponents San Jose is 7-1. In their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record the Sharks are 5-0. Minnesota is 0-6 in the last 6 meetings with San Jose. Play on the San Jose Sharks -.

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Bill Young

Birmingham vs. Virginia Commonwealth   
Take Alabama - Birmingham Blazers

1* on UAB +6 The UAB Blazers are a very talented squad that had some very nice wins this season that nearly earned them a trip to the Big Dance. UAB will notch another good win under their belt over VA Commonwealth Wednesday. UAB is 14-4 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games since 1997. UAB is a great defensive team in guarding the perimeter. The Blazers are giving up just over 32% from behind the arc on the season. VA Commonwealth is 5-14 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Take UAB and the points.

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Larry Cook

Cincinnati vs. Bradley   
Take Cincinnati Bearcats

3* on Cincinnati +6 Cincinnati has the advantage of playing in the tough Big East Conference. They take on a Bradley team that could hardly compete in the Missouri Valley. With just a 17-15 record on the year, the Bradley Braves are extremely vulnerable against their Big East foe in the Bearcats tonight. Cincinnati went 8-5 ATS in all road games this season. Cincinnati is 13-6 ATS as an underdog this season. Cincinnati is 14-4 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season. The Bearcats love the role of the dog.

Bet Cincinnati on the road.

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Vegas Sports Pics

Cleveland State Vikings + 8.5 over Dayton Flyers    
   
Dayton (21-10) is 2-2 (SU & ATS) last four home games. Cleveland State (21-12) pulled off a solid feat this season going from a 21 loss team to a 21 win team which included a 56-52 home win over No.11 (now 29-3) Butler on 01/17. Vikings are 2-1 (3-0 ATS) last three road games.

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Big Al McMordie

Morgan State vs Va Tech
Pick:     Morgan state

Reason: At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our complimentary selection is on Morgan State plus the points over Virginia Tech. On the surface, this game doesn't look very attractive to bettors, but there is a super situation in this game that warrants our attention. The Hokies come into the contest off a string of seven consecutive pointspread covers. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on Va Tech here against an over-manned Morgan State squad. But more often than not, knee-jerk reactions are wrong. Consider that, since 1991, teams on a seven-game ATS win streak are a miserable 8-24 ATS in the post-season vs. foes which are NOT off back-to-back wins, including 0-5 when playing on their home court. Look for Morgan State to keep this game close. Take the points.

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Ross Benjamin

San Diego St. @ Florida
Pick: Florida –9.0

Reason: Any NIT home favorite of 8.0 or more that is off BB SU losses the last coming in the conference tournament at a neutral site as a favorite, and has a .550 or better winning percentage is 7-0 SU and ATS since 1990. The favorite has won those 7 games by an average of 18.0 points per game.

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San Diego State Aztecs (20-12) at Florida Gators (20-11)

San Diego State comes into the first round of the NIT Tournament after losing to BYU in the semifinals of the MWC Conference tournament, while Florida loss to Kentucky 75-70 in the SEC Tournament in their last game. The Aztecs played great in the first half of the season but fell apart in the second half losing 8 of their last 14 games, but still won 20 games. Florida's fall from grace has been well publicized, as they are the first school since Kansas in 1989, who had probation problems, to miss the NCAA Tournament after being the National Champion the previous year. Florida lost 8 of their last 11 games and will miss the Big Dance for the first time since 1998. Coach Billy Donovan recently booted the team out of their practice facility and banned the team from wearing the team colors or anything with a Florida logo. Florida has talent, as they are led by two tweener players in G/F Nick Calathes (15.7 ppg) and F/C Marreese Speights (14.4 ppg). In their last loss, which probably cost them an invite to the Big Dance, Marreese Speights was the high scorer for the Gators with 20 points. In that game the Gators shot 25/52 for a field goal percentage of 48.1% and out rebounded Kentucky 33-22. On defense the Gators played poorly allowing Kentucky to shoot 28/48 for a field goal percentage of 58.3%. San Diego State is led by their frontcourt with 4 Forwards averaging at least 10 ppg. Their go to guy in their loss to BYU was Forward Ryan Amoroso with 18 points. In that game the Aztecs shot 22-53 for a field goal percentage of 41.5% and were out rebounded by BYU 31-25. On defense the Gators held BYU to 21/47 shooting for a field goal percentage of 44.7%.

Staff Pick: It will be interesting to see how the Gators respond to their late season collapse and recent barring from their practice facility. Will it be a wake up call? It will be hard for the team to get fired up for the NIT, considering they are two-time defending National Champions. San Diego State has no real backcourt to speak of, as their leading scorer in the backcourt is averaging only 7.6 ppg. Florida has a much better team, but if they play like they did at the end of the season this game will be close. Look for the youngsters of Florida to wake up and get back on track and crush the Aztecs. Here's another prediction: if the Gators can break out of their funk and win the NIT look for them to be a challenger for the National Title next season.

Gators 73 Aztecs 57

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WINNING POINTS

Wednesday, March 19
*Philadelphia over Denver by 1
The Nuggets rolled past the 76ers, 109-96, at home in early January. Philly is playing
much better lately, winning 11 of its last 14 games through the first week of this
month. PHILADELPHIA 109-108.

*Orlando over Washington by 8
This would set up as a revenge spot for the Wizards, but Washington is too shorthanded to pull the upset. The Magic buried the Wizards on the road two weeks ago,122-92. ORLANDO 109-101.

**PREFERRED
*Toronto over Miami by 17
The Raptors destroyed the Heat in Miami, 114-82. Toronto proved that large victory
wasn’t a fluke, sailing to a 108-83 win two weeks ago also at Miami. The Raptors
achieved that victory without Chris Bosh. It’s apparent the Heat just doesn’t match up
well to Toronto. This is Toronto’s only home matchup during a seven-game span. So
they should be motivated. Miami, on the other hand, is playing its fourth game in six
days. TORONTO 112-95.

*Indiana over Charlotte by 1
The Bobcats are in serious contention for an Eastern Conference playoff spot. No, this isn’t a rebroadcast of Orson Wells doing “War of the Worlds.” Charlotte actually put itself in this unheard of position by winning five straight times – all in underdog roles – through March 11. INDIANA 106-105.

*New Jersey over Atlanta by 1
The Nets were averaging just 86.6 points per game during their last five games heading into Week 2 of this month. Atlanta had gone ‘under’ in 19 of its first 31 road
matchups. NEW JERSEY 92-91.

*Minnesota over Memphis by 6
The safest play in basketball has become fading the Grizzlies. They had failed to cover in 10 of their last 11 games through March 10. At least the Timberwolves have a future. MINNESOTA 98-92.

**PREFERRED
*New Orleans over Houston by 11
This is one revenge angle we do want to play. The Rockets were blazing hot when they defeated the Hornets in Houston 11 days ago for their 18th straight victory, 106-96. Tracy McGrady was on fire, hitting 17-of-27 shots from the field while scoring 41 points. The Hornets were missing David West, their second-leading scorer and
rebounder, who was out with an ankle injury. The Rockets hosted the Lakers on
Sunday and followed that up with a home contest last night against the Celtics. That’s
not exactly easing into this matchup. NEW ORLEANS 104-93.

*Cleveland over Detroit by 2
This should provide a good test to see how far the Cavaliers have come following their huge trades. They catch Detroit playing its fourth game in six days and second in two nights. CLEVELAND 99-97.

Phoenix over *Seattle by 5
Phoenix has beaten Seattle in all three meetings this season. However, the Sonics have covered all three games and each game has gone ‘under’ the total. PHOENIX 102-97.

Golden State over *Los Angeles Clippers by 8
The Clippers had covered only two of their last nine matchups through March 9. This
is their first game back from a five-game road swing. GOLDEN STATE 114-106.

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CAJUN

Play: 3* Washington +8

Comments: The Magic have won and covered both meetings versus the Wizards this season and in the last affair completely blew them out 122 to 92 at the Verizon Center back on March 5th. One significant difference in this meeting is Orlando will have to deal with Caron Butler and his 21 points and 7 rebounds per game because he was injured and not active in the last meeting. It’s also possible that Gilbert Arenas will make his long awaited return in this game but how effective he will be will be a question only time can tell. The one positive for the Wizards in their previous meetings with the Magic is they have been able to hold Dwight Howard in check, holding him below his season averages in every category. This is a situation where the Magic having just defeated this Wizards team in dramatic fashion may take them for granted and not give an all out effort, NBA teams have been known to take a night or two off from time to time and this is the perfect spot for them to let their guard down. We know that Orlando after playing their last two games at home and now involved in a contest with a line range of 7 to 10 points are only 16-31-1 ATS. If the won their last 3 games SU and are now facing a division opponent they are 0-5 ATS. If the Magic went Under in their last game at home they are 143-183-6 ATS. Washington has proven to be a money maker for their backers when they are coming off 4 games where they went Over the total, if they are now installed as a conference road dog of 7 to 10 points they are a perfect 6-0 ATS. We have another strong technical set for Washington, if they are off a SU loss at home and the game went Over the total and are now facing a division foe with a line range of 7 to 10 points they are a solid 105-66-3 ATS. If they are installed as an Underdog in that role the record stands at 75-43-3 ATS and if they are on the highway the record is 66-38-2 ATS. If Washington has gone Over the total at home their last four times to post and are now facing a division opponent with a line range of 7 to 10 points the Wizards are a perfect 5-0 ATS their last 5. Washington has 'covered' seven of its last eight on the road and 19 of 26 off a straight up loss. Take the generous points here as the Wizards cash the winning ticket on Mickey Mouse tonight.

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Arthur Ralph

Super Picks NC Charlotte

900 GOLD KEY winner SAN DIEGO STATE

Free Play: UAB

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Black Magic Sports

1 Unit on Indiana Pacers -6

The Indiana Pacers are playing for too much to lose this game tonight.  Indiana has a great shot at making the postseason and they aren’t about to let Charlotte spoil their party tonight.  The Bobcats are one of the worst road teams in the league, losing to the lowly Memphis Grizzlies their last time out by 18 points.  Charlotte is 6-26 in all road games this season, going 11-19 ATS in those games.  Charlotte is 5-13 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season.  Charlotte is 28-43 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.  Charlotte is 4-12 ATS in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.  The Bobcats have lost 4 straight road games by at least 7 points a piece heading into this one.  Cash in with Indiana as the favorite. 

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Black Widow Sports

1* on UAB +6

The UAB Blazers are a very talented squad that had some very nice wins this season that nearly earned them a trip to the Big Dance.  UAB will notch another good win under their belt over VA Commonwealth Wednesday.  UAB is 14-4 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games since 1997.  UAB is a great defensive team in guarding the perimeter.  The Blazers are giving up just over 32% from behind the arc on the season.  VA Commonwealth is 5-14 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.  Take UAB and the points.

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InfoPlays

3* on Cincinnati +6

Cincinnati has the advantage of playing in the tough Big East Conference.  They take on a Bradley team that could hardly compete in the Missouri Valley.  With just a 17-15 record on the year, the Bradley Braves are extremely vulnerable against their Big East foe in the Bearcats tonight.  Cincinnati went 8-5 ATS in all road games this season.  Cincinnati is 13-6 ATS as an underdog this season.  Cincinnati is 14-4 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season.  The Bearcats love the role of the dog.  Bet Cincinnati on the road.

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Tony Mathew's

Matchup: UC Santa Barbara vs. Mississippi

Selection: Mississippi -13

Explanation: We will side with Mississippi as they face-off against UC Santa Barbara in Wednesday's College Basketball contest.

The Mississippi offense should be able to control this game from start to finish. Mississippi (at home) is scoring an average of 84.3 points per game, while UC Santa Barbara (on the road) is scoring an average of only 67.9 points per game. As you can see, Mississippi has the much better defense.

Mississippi has played great basketball at home this season. In fact, Mississippi is 15-2 when playing at home this season.

Take Mississippi -13!

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Scott Rickenbach

Note: This is an opinion play only, not a star rated play. However, this is a solid situation and, for more solid situations, don't miss Scott's guaranteed picks tonight! Wednesday's Free Pick is on the Cleveland Cavaliers (+) vs Detroit @ 8 ET – A nice “watch and win” situation with this big Central Division showdown being televised on ESPN. One key here is the scheduling situation as the Pistons are coming off of a big home win over Denver last night. That makes this a back to back situation for the Pistons and it’s also Detroit’s third game in four nights. That makes this a tough spot for Detroit as the Cavaliers are rested (third game in four nights BUT had yesterday off) and the Cavs are seeking revenge from a blowout loss at Auburn Hills earlier this season. Cleveland star LeBron James was forced to leave that late November game early on due to an injury. The Cavs went on to lose the game by 35 points and, needless to say, Cleveland is fully focused on making amends for that loss today behind a now healthy James.

The Pistons have been red hot but have been helped by their schedule as they’ve just completed a five game homestand. Note that Detroit is just a mediocre 4-3 in their last 7 road games. Cleveland has also been struggling on the road but the story at home has been quite different. At the Quicken Loans Arena, the Cavaliers have now won 7 straight games. They will remain red hot here as, after a loss at Orlando Monday, yesterday’s off day helped the Cavaliers in preparing for the Pistons.

Cleveland will certainly be fired up tonight as the loss to the Magic, coupled with this being a big revenge game for the Cavs, will mean full intensity is brought to the floor by the Cavaliers. The Cavs are a different, and much deeper team, than they were when they faced the Pistons in late November. We feel they have improved their team chemistry with the trades. Also, let’s not forget how much trouble the Pistons had with LeBron in last spring’s postseason. Now James has an even better supporting cast (since the big trades) and the Cavaliers wlll get the job done on their home floor tonight. Play Cleveland plus the points.

Alex Smart

Game: Utah St. vs. Illinois State
Prediction: Illinois State

Illinois State (24-9 ) is one of my personal considerations for one of the dark horses that are capable of NIT Tournament championship run . Here tonight against a Utah State program (24-10), that despite of playing great hoops at home, as is evident by a 17-0 mark, were a sub par road team, notching just 5 wins in 13 opportunities for a lowly .384 win %. Ilinois State was 15-1 at home this season, winning by an average margin of 12.2 PPG and according to my own power rankings should walk away with this tilt . Final notes & Key Trends: The Redbirds are 20-8 ATS in their L28 non conference affairs. Play on Illinois State as home favorites

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Indiancowboy Comp Pick

Philadelphia 76ers -3

Ah, you see say, "IC, the Nuggets got pounded yesterday by the Pistons and there is no way they lose today". It is true the Nuggets got pounded yesterday, but the Nuggets also pounded a very proud Sixers team at home in Denver by a score of 109-96. The Sixers remember have won 8 of their last 10 ballgames and frankly, have made me some considerable cash. The Sixers are the same team that beat Detroit on the road outright - which Denver failed to do last night, they beat Chicago on the road by coming back 40-20 in 4th quarter, covered their last 8 of 10, beat the Spurs at home and beat Phoenix on the road. This is one of the top 5 teams in the East in my opinion and because of their defense, they can resort to even being top 3 - why do you think they beat the Pistons? And remember, they beat the Magic at home with revenge as well and in fact, jumped all over them in the first half. You could say the Nuggets are a great team - they are, but that's at home - on the road, they are very questionable, losing to the Bucks, Spurs, Utah, Houston, Chicago and Orlando. In fact, the are 12-20 on the road. It's the Sixers defense, their revenge, and the fact they are rested will make the difference in my opinion as the Nugs are 0-6 ATS when playing on 0 days rest and the Sixers are 8-0 ATS when playing a team with a losing road record.

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Tom Freese

Phoenix at Seattle

Phoenix is in a 121-70 ATS System that says to Play On road favorites after scoring 105 or more points in three straight games. The Suns are 4-0 ATS after scoring 100 or more points in their last game and they are 6-2 ATS their last 8 road games. Seattle is 8-19 ATS home when playing with double revenge and they are 9-19 ATS off a road loss. The Supersonics are 0-4 ATS their last 4 games as home dogs. PLAY ON PHOENIX -

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Jim Feist

DEN Nuggets - PHI 76ers

Take "PHI 76ers"

It’s not your imagination: Denver continues to be one team at home, and a very different team on the road. They just had a 3-game win streak…all at home. Denver started 12-19 SU, 14-17 ATS on the road and this is a difficult scheduling spot, playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. It’s the second of a back to back road spot after playing at Detroit Tuesday. Philadelphia is rested and on a 7-1 SU/ATS roll. Denver is 0-6 ATS its last 6 in the second of a back-to-back spot, getting beat by an average of 16.8 ppg! A great spot for the home team. Play the 76ers! -

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