Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Gavazzi

4*Nevada
3*Florida St
3*Southern Illinois
3*Ohio U
3*Old Dominion

NBA
3*Phoenix

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Matty O'Shea CBB Sides Single-Dime Bet

Mount St. Mary's, Md -7 vs Coppin St

Analysis: The Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers have won five straight games by an average of 13.2 points, and 11 of their last 12 wins have all been decided by more than seven points. MeanWhile, Coppin State got off to a rotten 4-19 start before reeling off 12 wins in 13 games. The Eagles are simply not in the same class as Mount St. Mary's, and it ill show here. Bet the MountaIneers to win this one by double digits as my Single Dime NCAA Tournament Play O' the Day.

Matty O'Shea CBB Sides Single-Dime Bet

George Mason -7 vs NotreDame

Analysis: The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are a very confident and talented bunch, but I simply think they wiLl be overconfident in this game going against a team that is used to being underestimated in George Mason. The Patriots advanced to the Final Four just two years ago and will hang tough with Notre Dame in this game until the very end. Fighting Irish head coach Mike Brey was not terribly disappointed that his team lost to Marquette in the quarterfinals of the Big East Tournament, which is a clear sign that he thinks they will have a cakewalk in the first round. I like this Notre Dame team a lot, but they have a lot to prove to me when pLaying away from home. I also believe George Mason is a very dangerous foe here in this spot and should stay within the number, so bet the Patriots to cover as my Single Dime NCAA Tournament East Region Play O' the Day.

Matty O'Shea NBA Sides Single-Dime Bet

GSW -2 vs SAC

Analysis: The WarriorS have won five of the last six meetings with the Kings, including the last two played in Sacramento. Golden State is also 13-4-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings, and head coach Don Nelson realizes the team must win games like this in order to make the playoffs. "There are no bad teams in the NBA," Nelson said after the Warriors barely beat Memphis at home on SaturdaY. "There isnt anybody we cant beat and there isnt anybody that cant beat us on any given night. We didnt look much like an eighth-place team tonight, but we remain there. Were going to have to play a lot better than we played tonight and I know we will." Look for Golden State to taKe this game very sEriously and win itS fourth straight against the Kings. Bet the Warriors as my Single Dime NBA Play O' the Day.

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Gator's NBA/CBB 70% Report

NBA

Tuesday: Play Over NBA home teams when the total is 200 to 209.5 with a team that allows 92-98 points per game against a team that allows 98-102 points per game, after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more 28-4 Over since 1996 (87.5%) PLAY: LAL / Dallas OVER 209

CBB

Tuesday: Play Under CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, in a NCAA tournament game 48-10 Under last 5 seasons (82.8%) PLAY: Coppin St. / Mt St Marys UNDER 126

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GOLD SHEET LATE TELEPHONE SERVICE

STEPHEN F. AUSTIN (+9 1/2) over U Mass

OKLAHOMA STATE (+5) over Southern Illinois

RIDER (+6) over Old Dominion

NBA

GOLDEN STATE (-3) over Sacramento

PHOENIX (-4) over Portland

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CAJUN

Play: 3* Portland +3.5

Comments: With a win tonight the Suns will have won five straight a feat they have not repeated since November 30 - December 7th. They will be playing six of their next seven on the highway and attempt to keep pace with the Lakers for the top spot in the Pacific Division. Portland opened a three-game home-stand on Saturday with a 107 to 96 win over Minnesota. LaMarcus Aldridge had 26 points and 5 boards, while Brandon Roy finished with 25 points and 8 assists. Aldridge is averaging 23+ points per contest which is 6.2 points better than his season average over the last six games. Roy is averaging 24+ points which is 4.5 more than his season average during the last three games. Roy had 25 points in their last meeting with the Suns and is averaging better than 24 points a game in his last three versus Phoenix. Aldridge only had 11 points in the last meeting with the Suns and has only averaged 6 points per contest during his 5 career games versus them. We look for those numbers to improve as Roy and Aldridge have begun to play well together and so has the team around them. We note that the Blazers are 23-11 ATS when facing a team with a winning record at home over the last two seasons; they seem to get up for quality opponents. They are also 15-4 ATS when coming off a SU win and playing at home. Take this one step further and their record improves to 15-2 ATS if they also won that game ATS. If they have been having success against the spread, covering at least 4 or 5 of their last 6 contests they are a solid 8-1 ATS at home. Finally when Portland is coming in off a game where they won S/U by 10 or more points and scored at least 105 points in their last game and are now playing at home they are a perfect 14-0 ATS in that situation. Take the points here as the host takes the Kids from the Valley of the Sun right down to the wire.

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Michael Cannon

10 Dime

VIRGINIA

Lay the big number with Virginia tonight when they host Richmond in the inaugural CBI tournament.

This is Virginia’s chance to atone for its collapse in the first round of the ACC tournament. They hung with Georgia Tech for most of the game and were tied 59-59 with 11:43 left in regulation.

Then the Cavs were held to one field goal during the next 6-½ minutes and that was the end of their chances.

Virginia has a huge advantage with guard Sean Singletary. Richmond doesn’t have anybody who can defend the senior, and I expect Singletary to treat this game as a personal showcase.

I really don’t need to mention too much about Virginia playing in the tougher conference and having the better overall talent than Richmond does. This game is basically going to come down to how much of a difference Singletary makes for the Cavs.

Take Virginia minus the points as they grab the win and cover.

5 Dime

RIDER

Take the points with Rider when they take on Old Dominion in the CBI.

Rider coach Tommy Dempsey came out right after his team lost to Siena in the MAAC title game saying he wanted to be in somebody’s tournament. He said his kids put in the hard work and he wanted them to be rewarded for it.

Dempsey will get his wish thanks to the new CBI, going against Old Dominion tonight.

Rider has a good trio of scorers in Jason Thompson, Ryan Thompson and Harris Mansell. The three average a combined 49 ppg, with both Thompson’s taking care of the inside and Mansell, who shoots better than 44 percent from 3-point range, the outside threat.

Old Dominion goes 10-deep in its rotation, but only one player averages double-digits in scoring.

I’ll side with the more accomplished scorers with Rider.

Take the points as the Broncos stay within the number.

AKRON

Take the points with Akron tonight when they travel to take on Florida State in the first round of the NIT.

Akron is as solid of a club as you’re going to see in the NIT. They just can’t seem to get over the hump in the MAC tournament.

Otherwise, this team would be a nice addition to the NCAA field of 65.

Florida State relies on its perimeter game too much for my liking, and if the outside shots aren’t falling they are eminently beatable.

The Seminoles have also been money burners at home lately, going 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11.

Take the points with Akron as they stay within the number.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

ATS Consultants


Milwaukee over Miami 103-88  Best Bet

Chicago covers over New Orleans 92-95  Preferred Play

Over in the NY/Indiana game 101-104  Preferred Play

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Seabass:

100*Insider: Suns
20* Mt St mary;
20*UMass;
20*Az St
10* Robt Morris

Comp: Detroit

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Fairway Jay

Denver +6

ANALYSIS: Nuggets off a huge home win while scoring the most points in a single game this season, 168. That blowout win triggers a historically strong situation supporting them in next game as underdog. Nuggets are a little banged-up as they hit the road for five games, but Iverson, Carmello, Camby and Kevin Martin continue to perform at a high level as the Nuggets push for a playoff spot. Detroit has it in cruise control, up 11 games in the Central division of the Eastern Conference and not able to catch Boston for top seed. Detroit was beaten by Philadelphia on this floor six days ago, and then were solid in securing back-to-back home wins over San Antonio and New Orleans. However, Detroit has a big game on deck Wednesday as they travel to Cleveland to take on a Cavs team that eliminated Detroit in the conference finals last year. Don't expect Detroit's dominance to continue here versus a hot and high-scoring Denver team that can cash us a nice 'Nuggett' of ‘green’ tonight.


Mount St Marys Under 127

Big Drive: Akron +7.5

20* Big Drive: Xavier -8.5 

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Drew Gordon

1. 300,000* Creighton
2. 50,000* Pistons
3. 50,000* Oklahoma State

1. Creighton- Love this match up for the Blue Jays, as when motivated, they've been downright nasty at home - Crushing Missouri State by 21, routing Southern Illinois by 19, and blowing out Northern Iowa by 24 - You get the idea! Their last home game was a crazy 111-110 OT win over a very motivated Bradley team, but let's make one thing clear, Rhode Island is no Bradley. But let's dig a little deeper...

Rhode Island was terrible down the stretch, losing 6 of their last 7 games SU & 8 of their last 9 ATS! They not only saw their offense take a dip (from 80 ppg to 75 ppg), but their defense completely collapsed time and again, allowing nearly 82 ppg on 47% shooting (incl. 47% from 3-point which is ridiculous) over their last 5 games!

Herein lies the problem for the Rams, because Creighton can not only light up the scoreboard at home (78 ppg on 47% shooting, 40% from 3-point), but their defense can shut you down, allowing 65 ppg on 41% shooting in Omaha this season. Rams have benefited from playing some pretty average defensive teams of late (Charlotte ranked 143rd, La Salle ranked 317th), but tonight they get a highly motivated Blue Jays squad looking to make some noise in the NIT. The fact Creighton went 15-2 SU & 8-5 ATS at home this season also helps!

Biggest edge for Creighton lies with their outstanding depth, featuring a rotation that runs 10-deep, including guards Woodfox (14 ppg L9 games) and Witter (42 against Bradley March 1st). The Rams can only dream of that kind of depth, as F Daniels and G Bitee are pretty consistent, but G Baron and F Seawright are maddeningly inconsistent. Look for the Rams to stick around early, but eventually the Blue Jays superior depth wins out.

Bottom line, coming off a tough loss to Drake, this is the perfect spot to jump all over what will be a highly-motivated Blue Jays team in this one. We've seen what Creighton can do at home when they're properly motivated, and we've also seen that the sputtering Rams play little to no defense... That's a recipe for a solid home win and cover if I've ever seen one! Creighton rolls!

Take Creighton over Rhode Island as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Pistons- You know damn well the Nuggets got the Pistons attention with their 168-point effort against Seattle Sunday, and if there's any team in the Eastern Conference that can throw a wet blanket over this red-hot Denver offense, its Detroit at the Palace, plain and simple.

To say the Pistons are solid at home is an understatment, going 26-6 SU & 19-13 ATS at the Palace this season. Their defense is one of the most suffocating in the NBA, allowing just 87 ppg on 42% shooting at home on the year! Just ask San Antonio or New Orleans how good this Pistons defense is ? Both Western Conference powers fell to Detroit over their last two games, with neither getting more than 84 points!

Granted, we expect the Nuggets to score more than that, but if history is any judge, Denver is in big trouble, having gone just 4-11 ATS over their last 11 meeting with the Pistons! Nuggets simply do not match up well with Detroit, as Iverson and Anothony will get theirs, but the rest of the roster will struggle against this defense. Martin and Camby have been rendered useless in the past by the defense of Wallace, Prince and McDyess.

Bottom line, had the Nuggets not blown away the Sonics the other night, this might have been a closer contest, but you damn well there's no way Billups and company are going to allow themselves to get embarassed like the Sonics did, especially at the Palace.

Take the Pistons over the Nuggets in this NBA match up.

3. Oklahoma State- Momentum is such a huge factor in college basketball, that there's only one way to go in this contest, and that's with Okie State. Granted, I know 3 losses in their last 4 games looks bad, but in reality, this team has grown leaps and bounds since winning at Texas A&M Febaruary 16th, and getting that road monkey off their collective backs.

Looking at the bigger picture, the Cowboys won 6 of their last 9 games SU, going 7-1-1 ATS over that span. Not only that, but they ended their 19-game road losing streak in the process. Even more so, they started to gel as a team, as young guns like freshman F James Anderson learned to play with veterans like PG Byron Eaton and F Marcus Dove. Overall this is a much better basketball team than we saw early on, and they get very favorable match up in this one.

Of course, winning at Carbondale isn't easy, but in this particular match up, the Salukis may be in trouble. First off, this Southern Illinois offense is average at best, scoring just 62 ppg on the season. But what really causes problems are the match ups, with the Cowboys frontline of Anderson and Dove tailor-made to guard Salukis forwards Falker and Shaw. Not only that, but the Cowboys have superior depth in the frontline, ensuring plenty of fresh bodies to wear on the Salukis two best scoring threats.

Finally, while I'm not saying the Cowboys win outright, I am saying they keep this game close enough to cover. Salukis defense is great, but their offense doesn't have the firepower necessary to pull away in this contest. Falker and Shaw will have trouble in this match up with the Cowboys forwards, and that in and of itself is the key to beating the Salukis. In the end, Cowboys are playing great ball right now, and it pays off tonight!

Take Oklahoma State plus the points over Southern Illinois in this NIT match up.

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Frank Rosenthal

NBA Hoops
Bucks-9
Over 201
Bulls-5
Under 201
Celtics+5
Lakers Under 210.5
Kings Under 230.5
Blazers+4
Under 211

College Hoops
Umass-8.5
Ohio St-13.5
Akron+7.5
Ok St+5.5
Maryland+2.5
Arizona St-17

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Wunderdog CBB Plays

Game: Rider at Old Dominion
Pick: 2 units on Rider +225 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 4.5)

This game kicks off the College Basketball Invitational - a new single elimination tournament to be held on the home courts of the higher seeds. This is Rider's first tournament game since the NIT in 1998. They lost to Siena in the MAAC Tournament but they are no slouches. They had a excellent season, tying for the best record in the MAAC. They bring a 23-10 record into this one (12-8 on the road) and have the MAAC Player of the Year in Jason Thompson. ODU is just 17-15 overall in contrast. They have just one double-digit scorer on the team and no one that can compaer to Thompson. We think this is anyone's game and as such we'll take the dog for the nice moneyline payout.


Game: N C Asheville at Ohio State
Pick: 3 units on N C Asheville +14 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

At 7'7" Kenny George gets all the attention on this Asheville team, but this team has some players. He is however a difference maker. NC Ashville lost only to Eastern Tennessee State, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Winthrop with him playing. He had 14 points, 11 rebounds and four blocks against NC, and 7-13 and four against Tenn., as well as 16-13 and three vs. SC, a game they won. They played at two of the top teams in the country in Tennessee and North Carolina and held their own, dropping both by less than this pointspread. Ohio State got off quickly at 12-3, but really slid and finished just 7-10. Disappointed on being a bubble team that was left out in the cold means getting up for UNC Ashville might be quite a chore, so we will ride the dog here.


Game: Coppin State vs. Mount St. Mary's
Pick: 4 units on Coppin State +7 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

Mount St. Mary's surprised everyone with three easy wins to earn the right to open the NCAA Tournament against Coppin State. They were 1-4 against these teams in the regular season. All three teams they beat shot as poorly as they have all season, and much worse than the Mountaineer's allowed all season. Good defense? Bad offense? Probably a combination of the two. Coppin State opened the season 2-19 against D-1A teams and was arguably was the worst team in the country. The only blemish since then was to regular-season conference champion Morgan State by four points on the road. They finished the season superb at 12-1, and it was the biggest turnaround in NCAA history! They still have a losing record, but consider the fact that Oakland and Michigan entered the play-in game at 12-18 in 2005 and won. Florida A&M at 14-16 won the play-in game in 2004. NC Ashville at 14-16 won the play-in game in 2003. Siena at 16-18 won the play-in game in 2002. The record may say 20 losses, but this is a confident, completely different team that has lost just once, and by less points than this in their last 13. We would not be shocked if they win here, so we will grab the points.


Game: Houston at Nevada
Pick: 2 units on Houston +180 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 3.6)

Houston has beaten Nevada six of the seven times they have met. We like their chances at the upset win here to make it seven of eight. Houston has the offense to keep with the Wolfpack and should be in this game till the end. The Cougars are 12-3 the past three seasons vs. teams like Nevada that don't pressure much (those that force under 15 turnovers per game). Over the past two seasons they are 17-6 following an ATS loss. Under Tom Penders, this team is 15-5 off a loss to a conference rival. They are also 8-1 after allowing 75+ points in two straight games under Penders. Finally, Penders is 11-1 SU in games coached followinga loss by 3 or fewer points. We'll back Houston for the upset win.


Game: Akron at Florida State
Pick: 3 units on Akron +7.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Zips had NCAA Tourney aspirations, but fell to Kent State in the Conference Final. Kent State was simply the better team, besting the Zips three straight times on the season. The Zips can score and hit FTs. When playing on other teams' courts this season they were a strong 7-4 ATS. Florida State lost four of their last eight on their home floor which is more losses than they sustained at home since '04-'05 when they went home early. Truth be told, this is a lousy State team. They lost both Swann and Breeden, which took away some scoring and depth that helped lead to a 7-10 finish on the season. The Zips are plenty capable of winning here and should hang close inside the number.


Game: Rhode Island at Creighton
Pick: 2 units on Rhode Island +250 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 5)

Rhode Island is a 21-win team that cracked the Top 25 this season. They finished poorly but well enough to land a bid to the NIT. They get a Creighton team that have a 1-4 mark in home NIT games. The Rams can score with the best of them, averaging 80.8 ppg on 47% shooting. If they are on, there is no reason they can't win this game. They are 9-1 this season in non-conference games and 6-2 in tournament games the past two seasons. Rhode Island for the upset win.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Sports Monitor

MATCHUP: L.A. Lakers Lakers (45-21) at Dallas Mavericks (44-23)

THE LINE:
The Mavericks are -5.5 and the total is 205.5 points

TRENDS: The Lakers have covered 12 of their last 16 road games.Dallas has covered their last five games.

GAME SUMMARY: The Mavericks will look to end a six-game slide againstteams in the West playoff picture on Tuesday when theyhost the Los Angeles Lakers, who've lost two straight and will likely be without injured center Pau Gasol.

SPORTS MONITOR PREDICTION: Dallas 108 Lakers 98

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Special K

Stephen Austin

NC Ashville

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Rocco Vincintore Guaranteed Selections

1000* CBI FIRST ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR

Nevada -4

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

JEFFERSONSPORTS

NCAA HOOPS
S. ILL-5
MINNESOTA-2.5

NHL
LA+160

NBA
HOUSTON-4.5

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

SCOTT SPRIETZER

direct line...................nc ash
direct line......................uri over 50
direct line................brown
ko......................steph austin
tko...................nevada
3*........................okla st
ko.........................pistons
tko........................mavs
tko.........................rockets
5*.......................nets


DAVE COKIN
fat man play...............old dom
window.................mt st mary
under the hat.............brown
3*........................okla st
3*...................nets


JIM FIEST
steam.......................nc ash
steam.....................rmorris
steam..............................fla st
steam....................................richmnd
personal best............................richmnd(realeasing it twice)
platinum....................uri
inner circle...................okla st
5*..........................akron
5*.........................mt st marys
4*..........................brown
personal elite.....................pistons
total................................heat over 97.5
total...............................suns over 09
personal best......................nets
inner circle........................bucks
5*........................gold st
4*........................suns

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