Sunday Service Plays

Re: Sunday Service Plays

John Ryan 15* NBA

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets
Pick: Lakers

Ai Simulator 15* graded play on the Lakers – AiS shows an 88% probability that the Lakers will lose this game by 4 or fewer points and also has a 70% probability of winning the game. Rebounding will be a significant factor in this game and the AiS shows that the Lakers will have at least 50 of them. Note that the Lakers are 13-4 ATS when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game this season. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 36-11 ATS since 1996 for 77% ATS. Play on road teams after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after 3 straight games where both teams scored 95 points or less. Houston has been red hot to say the least, but are quite vulnerable to a loss here. Note that Houston is 8-23 ATS in home games versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons; 4-19 ATS in home games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Houston’s offense has not been playing well over their last 3 games and they have score under 90 in 2 straight games. Note that Houston is 5-16 ATS in home games after scoring 90 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Take the Lakers

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Seattle at Denver

Denver is 19-9 ATS off a double digit win and they are 10-4 ATS on Sunday. The Nuggets are 10-3 ATS their last 13 home games vs. losing teams and they are 4-0 ATS their last 4 home games. Seattle is 5-15 ATS off two straight games where they had five or less steals. The Supersonics are 3-7 Straight Up and ATS their last 10 games vs. the Nuggets. PLAY ON DENVER

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Larry Ness

Charlotte Bobcats @ Cleveland Cavaliers
PICK: Cleveland Cavaliers

REASON FOR PICK: The East gives lots of teams a chance to sneak in at the bottom of the playoff picture. The Charlotte Bobcats were "thinking postseason" after winning five straight games (for the FIRST time in franchise history) from March 2-8. However, the team lost at Dallas 118-93 and then like EVERYONE else, lost to the Rockets Friday night in Houston. Charlotte shouldn't be ashamed of that loss though, giving the Rockets "all they wanted," before losing 89-80. Although the Bobcats were never in the game at Dallas, they did get Gerald Wallace (20.3-6.2-3.5) back, who had missed the previous eight games with a concussion. He had 14 points and five rebounds vs Dallas and then 16 points and seven rebounds vs Houston. Jason Richardson (20.9-5.1) is having an excellent season for Charlotte, shooting a career-best 40.8 percent on three-pointers this year. PG Felton (14.4-7.0 APG) has also played well and Okafor (13.6-11.1) is always solid. However, the Bobcats have few other contributors and remain (at 70.9 percent), the league's worst free-throw shooting team. The Cavs are trying to avoid a third straight loss for the first time since they lost six straight, from Nov 28 through Dec 8 (LeBron didn't play in five of those games!). Cleveland's been sloppy in back-to-back losses at New Jersey and Washington, turning the ball over 17 times in each contest. Ilgauskas (13.5-9.6) and Gibson (11.5) remain out but Pavlovic (7.6) returned in the Washington loss, scoring 16 points. I like the additions of Szczerbiak (12.2), Smith (10.8-5.5) and West (7.5) but I'm of the belief that Ben Wallace is "through." We'll see how it plays out but in the end, it's about how far LeBron (31.9-8.1-7.4) can take this team? The Cavs have never lost in six home games against the Bobcats and they NEED a win here, so why shouldn't they get it. I'm betting that the margin will be enough to cover the pointspread. Lay it with Cleveland.

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Kelso

Chairmans = 10 units Charlotte +7.5
Best Bet = 5 units Sacramento -3.5

Tourney

10 units Ark -8 v. Georgia
5 units NCarolina -5.5 v. Clemson
3 units Illinois +7 v. Wisconsin

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Larry Ness Las Vegas Insider's

REASON FOR PICK: (North Carolina is a 5 1/2-point favorite). This is Clemson's 55th year in the ACC and just its SECOND ACC tourney final (last came in 1962). It is the only charter member of the ACC to never win the league tournament title. Clemson has never been to a Final 4 or ever finished a season ranked in the AP top-10. Oliver Purnell, who owns a solid coaching resume, is in his fifth year at Clemson (94-64) and last year led the Tigers to the championship game of the NIT, where they lost to West Va. The Tigers beat Duke on Saturday (78-74), ending a 22-game losing streak to the Blue Devils and now who do they get in the ACC final? The Tar Heels of North Carolina. It's safe to say the Tar Heel basketball program has finished among the AP's top-10 more than a few times, won an ACC tourney title or two (this marks their 29th ACC final) and also owns four national titles. Now after the Duke win, Purnell said his team would take a great deal of confidence into Sunday's game with North Carolina, because of the team's two regular season meetings. I guess he knows what he's talking about but I remember Clemson blowing great opportunities to win both games. Carolina won at Clemson 90-88 in OT (on Ellington's three-point with .3 seconds left) and then at home in double-overtime, 103-93. That win marked North Carolina's 53rd straight home win over Clemson. Now this isn't Chapel Hill but Charlotte is not exactly a neutral court! More to the point, while the Tigers are coming off their HUGE win over Duke, the Tar Heels almost got upset by Va Tech. Carolina won 68-66, when Tyler Hansbrough nailed a jumper with .8 seconds left. So what else is new? Hansbrough (23.1-10.3) had 26-9, after getting 22-6 in Friday's win over FSU. He's topped double digits in all 33 games this year, including topping 20 points, in 25 games. PG Lawson(12.4-5.2 APG) is not quite 100 percent. He missed six games from Feb 6-24 and after a 1-of-7 (five points) game yesterday, is averaging just 7.4 PPG (37.5 percent shooting) in the five games since his return. However, the Tar Heels don't lack depth on the perimeter. Ellington (16.5-4.3) has been terrific (scored 36 and 28 points in the two wins over Clemson) plus there's swingmen Green (11.6-5.2) and Ginyard (7.5-4.5). The 6-6 Rivers (14.3-6.3) and Middleton (11.7-4.1-3.9) form an excellent backcourt for Clemson plus the 6-7 Booker (11.1-7.5) and the 6-9 Mays (11.0-6.9) are quality frontcourt players. Two freshman guards, Oglesby (10.5) and Stitt (8.5), who have played well all year, sure didn't yesterday, going a combined 3-of-13, scoring only nine points. Carolina has way too much depth for Clemson plus owns all the "big game" experience. The Tar Heels are 31-2 and an outstanding 20-10 ATS (three non-lined games), which is a terrific mark considering the high lines they've faced. Carolina has won 10 straight entering this game, winning seven times but double digits. All things considered (site included) and this is a cheap number. Las Vegas Insider on North Carolina (8*).

REASON FOR PICK: Can the third time be the charm for Texas? The Jayhawks have beaten the Longhorns the last two years in the Big 12 title game. Texas has now made the Big 12 final for the fourth time in the last five years but let's also note that the school has yet to win a Big 12 championship game in FIVE previous tries. I don't believe that streak will end today, either. Texas owns a superb guard duo in Agustin (19.9-3.0-5.6) and Abrams (16.1) plus two excellent frontcourt players in the 6-7 James (13.2-10.7) and the 6-10 Atchley (9.6-5.2). Guard Mason (6.8-4.3) completes the starting lineup which is an outstanding one but the Longhorns have little depth. It's made worse by the injury to 6-7 freshman Johnson, who had been playing well after getting a late start to the season (was not cleared to play medically until after Jan 1). This will the third game in three days (for both teams) and look at the minutes played by the Texas starters. Abrams leads the way with 38.5 per game, followed by Augustin (36.5), James (34.5), Mason (33.5) and Atchley (30.0). Kansas has as much frontline talent as Texas, plus agets excellent contributions from guard Collins (9.5) and the 6-11 Kaun (7.3-3.8) off the bench. In the Jayhawks win over Nebraska, Collins had 13 points and Kaun nine, while in yesterday's win over A&M, Collins had nine, Kaun five and 6-11 freshman Aldrich added six. The Kansas starters are the 6-9 Arthur (13.2-6.1) and the 6-8 Jackson (11.8-7.0) up front joined by a terrific perimeter trio. The 6-6 Rush (12.2-5.0) is the leading scorer (he's off a career-high 28 points vs A&M) plus there's Chalmers (12.1-4.5 APG) and Robinson (7.7-4.2 APG). Speaking of the Kansas starters, they played poorly against Nebraska (11-30 for 36.7 percent) but were terrific vs A&M (21-37 for 56.8 percent). Kansas is playing with revenge from a Feb 11 loss in Austin (72-69), where the Jayhawks were 5 1/2-point favorites (I had Texas in that one, by the way!). I note that because while Kansas City is not Lawrence, it's been a "second home" to the Jayhawks for decades, and it's a HUGE edge. The opening number on this game was also Kansas minus-5 1/2 and I believe that's NOT a proper adjustment. Expect Kansas to roll in this one (after two so-so efforts the last two games), as the Longhorns "run out of gas," late. Oddsmaker's Error on Kansas (8*)

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Larry Ness Oddsmaker Error

Kansas

REASON FOR PICK: Can the third time be the charm for Texas? The Jayhawks have beaten the Longhorns the last two years in the Big 12 title game. Texas has now made the Big 12 final for the fourth time in the last five years but let's also note that the school has yet to win a Big 12 championship game in FIVE previous tries. I don't believe that streak will end today, either. Texas owns a superb guard duo in Agustin (19.9-3.0-5.6) and Abrams (16.1) plus two excellent frontcourt players in the 6-7 James (13.2-10.7) and the 6-10 Atchley (9.6-5.2). Guard Mason (6.8-4.3) completes the starting lineup which is an outstanding one but the Longhorns have little depth. It's made worse by the injury to 6-7 freshman Johnson, who had been playing well after getting a late start to the season (was not cleared to play medically until after Jan 1). This will the third game in three days (for both teams) and look at the minutes played by the Texas starters. Abrams leads the way with 38.5 per game, followed by Augustin (36.5), James (34.5), Mason (33.5) and Atchley (30.0). Kansas has as much frontline talent as Texas, plus agets excellent contributions from guard Collins (9.5) and the 6-11 Kaun (7.3-3.8) off the bench. In the Jayhawks win over Nebraska, Collins had 13 points and Kaun nine, while in yesterday's win over A&M, Collins had nine, Kaun five and 6-11 freshman Aldrich added six. The Kansas starters are the 6-9 Arthur (13.2-6.1) and the 6-8 Jackson (11.8-7.0) up front joined by a terrific perimeter trio. The 6-6 Rush (12.2-5.0) is the leading scorer (he's off a career-high 28 points vs A&M) plus there's Chalmers (12.1-4.5 APG) and Robinson (7.7-4.2 APG). Speaking of the Kansas starters, they played poorly against Nebraska (11-30 for 36.7 percent) but were terrific vs A&M (21-37 for 56.8 percent). Kansas is playing with revenge from a Feb 11 loss in Austin (72-69), where the Jayhawks were 5 1/2-point favorites (I had Texas in that one, by the way!). I note that because while Kansas City is not Lawrence, it's been a "second home" to the Jayhawks for decades, and it's a HUGE edge. The opening number on this game was also Kansas minus-5 1/2 and I believe that's NOT a proper adjustment. Expect Kansas to roll in this one (after two so-so efforts the last two games), as the Longhorns "run out of gas," late. Oddsmaker's Error on Kansas (8*).

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

USA Sports Consulting
Georgia +8


Maddux Sports
Kansas -5.5


Totals4u
Mavs-Heat Under


Jim Feist
Raptors


Razor Sharp Sports
Illinois-Wisc Over


Joe Wiz
Atlanta
Seattle


Dave Cokin
Rockets


Mike Wynn
Raptors-Kings Over


Handicapper World
Illinois Huge
Georgia Regular


Steve Janus
Raptors + 3.5


Redzone Sports
North Carolina


Vegas Steamline
Cavs


Scott Spreitzer
Lakers


TV Hotline
Clemson-N Carolina Under


Bob Donahue
Cavs


CappersAccess
Clemson
Kansas
Georgia


Psychic Sports
Sacramento Under


THE SHARPSHOOTER
TORONTO +3.5


#1 Sports
DALLAS MAVERICKS


Vegas Steamline
Cleveland -7


Dr. Vegas
Houston -4.5


PAUL LEINER
10* Over 136 Texas/Kansas


Mr. A
Houston Rockets - 4
Cleveland Cavaliers - 7½


Johnny Guild
North Carolina Tar Heels -6
Texas Longhorns +5.5


Glen Mcgrew
Bobcats


Sportscapping
Lakers + 4


Computer Sports
Seattle Sonics


Allsportspicks
Raptors-Kings Under


Huddle Up Sports
Sacramento


NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE COMP
Arkansas -8


Beat The Odds
Seattle

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Milwauke at Seattle
Pick: Milwauke +111

Brew Crew has found a winning formula this spring with a balance of some good prospects and veterans. Ben Sheets and Felix Hernandez get the starts, each hung 0's on each other in a prior spring meeting. Brewers follow with Brian Shouse (3.60) and Seth McClurg (4.50). Mariners will follow with three pitchers off of surgery in Rhodes, Lowe, and Reitsma, so expect them to be throwing lots of fastballs just building arm strength at this point. Brewers at 12-6, have had success on spring road and we'll back them to win this one late.

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LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR)

NEW YORK vs PHILADELPHIA
Play: PHILADELPHIA -16.5 (ARENA FOOTBALL)

TAMPA BAY vs NEW ORLEANS
Play: NEW ORLEANS +11 (ARENA FOOTBALL)


ATLANTA vs NEW YORK
Play: NEW YORK KNICKS +2 (NBA)

TORONTO vs SACRAMENTO
Play: TORONTO +3.5 (NBA)

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Seabass

20 Georgia
20 Wisconsin
20 Pistons
20 Knicks
20 Cleveland Under
300 Texas

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Cajun-Sports

Game: Charlotte Bobcats vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -7.5

Rating: Two-Star

Selection:CHARLOTTE BOBCATS +7.5

Analysis: Quicken Loans Arena will be the site of tonight?s clash between the hometown Cavaliers and the visiting Bobcats from Charlotte. Quicken has not been kind recently to the host as the Cav?s have posted a record of only 12-19 ATS their last 31. Although a recent win streak where the Cavs won 4 of their last 5 against the number has made that overall ATS number not appear so bad. The team they welcome in tonight has proven to be a money maker in this arena even though they do not win SU they get the cash. The Bobcats have lost their last 6 trips here straight up but they have posted a record of 4-2 ATS. That is the number we are most concerned with and it appears with the improvement lately with the Bobcats we should get the money once again. The Bobcats with the ATS win on Friday night in Houston improve their ATS record to a solid 7-1 their last 8 times to post. On the technical front we note that the Bobcats off two SU losses are 69-46-3 ATS when installed as an underdog. If they are a conference underdog the record stands at 43-26-2 ATS. If the Bobcats lost SU and went under the posted total and are now installed as a conference underdog they are 30-8-2 ATS, if they also won against the spread they are 15-0-1 ATS. Fundamental?s backed by solid technical support signal a play on the Bobcats tonight. Take the points here as Charlotte continues to cash ATS checks at Quicken Loans Arena.

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Triple Threat Sports

Wisconsin over Illinois

Badgers basically won the Big 10 tournament with yesterday's win, as they now simply have to go through the formality of beating an Illinois team that took advantage of a very soft draw to get here, and even with that could have lost each of those games. Ryan's team won by doubles in both prior meetings and should complete the sweep pretty easily here

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Tony George

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets    
Play:Los Angeles

Can the Streak end? YES. LA is the team who can do it. They are on fire on offense at 112 ppg their last 5 games and 108 ppg on the season. With Gasol in the line-up, the Lakers are complete and Kobe is having a great season and better than T-Mac up top. The key for LA is the frontcourt with Odom who has played much better ball, and Gasol who can and will get some cheap ones in the paint. LA has covered the last 2 in this series and is 6-2 ATS the last 8.

Free Play on the Lakers.

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Scott Rickenbach

AFL 1* (regular play) New Orleans VooDoo (+) vs Tampa Bay Storm

Simply too many points for the Storm to be laying on the road here. After two tough tests to start the season (a road game and then a home game versus Georgia), we could easily see a letdown for Tampa Bay in this match-up. It would not be hard for the Storm to look right past a VooDoo team that many have projected to be one of the worst teams in the league this season. Of course this means we are getting great line value with a team that proved last week (win over Orlando) that they are capable of not only competing in, but winning, their home games.

New Orleans got a surprisingly solid performance from Danny Wimprine at QB last week while Steve Bellisari was out with an injury. Bellisari is expected back today but, as evidenced last week, the VooDoo are in good hands with either signal caller. New Orleans already has five interceptions on the season and yet, they have not turned the ball over once this season. Taking good care of the ball, playing opportunistic defense on the other side of the ball, it all adds up to a very dangerous home dog! The Storm have been impressive in their first two games but now could get caught looking ahead to their upcoming showdown with Philly that is coming up in two weeks. This is a very difficult spot for Tampa Bay to maintain their focus based on their upcoming schedule. The Storm will find that the VooDoo are much better than ‘advertised’ in what should be a very tight ballgame Sunday. Play New Orleans plus the points as a regular selection.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Arthur Ralph

Super Picks Sunday Arkansas

900 GOLD KEY Sunday winner Texas

Free Pick: Wisconsin

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BEN BURNS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL|

ARKANSAS
Game: Georgia vs. Arkansas
Prediction: Arkansas Reason: I'm laying the points with ARKANSAS. The Razorbacks come off a pair of tough games the past two days. That's nothing compared to what the Bulldogs have endured though as they come off a pair of upsets just yesterday alone. That's obviously a very brutal schedule and I definitely look for fatigue to be a factor this afternoon. I expect that to be particularly true vs. an extremely physical Arkansas team. The Razorbacks held a 34-22 rebounding edge over the Volunteers yesterday, that included 13 at the offensive end. That led to a 14-6 edge in second-chance points. The Razorbacks also had a 44-34 scoring edge in the lane. They're now 15-5 SU the last 20 times they faced an opponent which had previously beaten them on the road, which is worth noting as they lost at Georgia earlier. As Tennessee coach Bruce Pearl lamented: "You can’t win championships getting beat on the boards like we did." Arkansas' previous tournament opponent (Vanderbilt) knows the feeling. That's because the Hogs outscored the Commodores by a 50-20 margin in the paint while outrebounding them by a whopping 45-24 count. I expect that type of physical dominance to be too much for the beleaguered Bulldogs and for this one to turn into a rout. *Tourney Blowout GOY

NORTH CAROLINA
Game: Clemson vs. North Carolina
Prediction: North Carolina Reason: I'm laying the points with NORTH CAROLINA. Beating Duke is always quite an accomplishment and the Tigers should be proud of themselves. However, defeating Duke and North Carolina on back to back days is an entirely different matter, particularly as the Tar Heels are even better than the Blue Devils right now. Indeed, the Tar Heels are ranked #1 and have won 10 straight games, including an 8-point win at Duke. The Tar Heels got their "wake-up call" yesterday when the Hokies took them down to the wire. The last time a team played them close like that was when they beat Virginia by only one point on 2/12. The Tar Heels evidently didn't care for that as they responded by winning their next game by 39 points. The Tar Heels have won eight straight in this series and seven of those eight victories have come by a minimum of seven points, six coming by double-digits. Look for them to "bounce back" from yesterday's near upset with a convincing "statement" victory this afternoon. *Main Event

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BEN BURNS

NBA

UNDER Bobcats/Cavs
Game: Charlotte Bobcats vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Cleveland and Charlotte to finish UNDER the number. This total is several points higher than it was for either of this season's earlier meetings, which I feel provides us with excellent value. The Bobcats, who managed only 80 points (89-80 loss) in their most recent game, have seen the UNDER go 7-3 this season after scoring 85 points or less in their previous game. They've also seen the UNDER go 4-2 on Sunday games this season and 9-5 their last 14 Sunday games overall. With Lebron James' "star power," the Cavs play on Sundays significantly more often than do their guests. Like the Bobcats, they've also shown a tendency to play low-scoring games on the "Lord's Day." In fact, the UNDER is 14-6 the last 20 times that they played on a Sunday and a highly profitable 66-31-2 their last 99. The Cavs have been involved in some relatively high-scoring games on the road recently. However, the UNDER is a perfect 4-0 their last four home games and 6-1 their last seven. The only game that finished above the total during that seven-game stretch came vs. defensively-challenged Memphis. That game still only snuck above the number though and the Cavs held the Grizzlies to only 89 points. The other six games had an average combined score of exactly 180 points with all six falling below the number by a minimum of nine points. The most recent game here saw just 168 combined points scored (88-80 win vs. Portland) and stayed below the total by roughly 20 points. I look for this evening's final score to be lower than expected once again. *Blue Chip

KNICKS
Game: Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks
Prediction: New York Knicks Reason: I'm taking the points with NEW YORK. All games are really important for the Hawks, as they're right in the middle of the playoff race. However, while they've been solid at home, the Hawks have been terrible on the road. That being said, I don't believe that they should be laying points away from Atlanta, not even against the 'lowly' Knicks. Indeed, Atlanta has lost six straight road games. All six losses came by a minimum of six points and the last five all came by double-digits. Looking back further and we find them at 1-13 their last 14 on the road and 2-19 their last 21. They've also lost 13 of their last 14 visits to New York, including each of their last three. The Knicks lost but covered at Atlanta a couple of weeks ago. They followed that up with losses against several top tier teams (Hornets, Cavs, Pistons, Blazers, Mavs) before stepping down in class and beating Miami in their most recent game. That victory gives them some much needed confidence and I expect it to boost their overall morale. This is another winnable game and I expect the positive momentum to carry over from the Miami victory. After leading New York to that win, Jamal Crawford stated: "We're not going to the playoffs, but we’re going to try to finish strong." With a chance to do some "spoiling," look for Crawford and co. to step up with a huge effort, improving to 7-1 ATS the last eight times they were a host in this series. *Best Bet

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BEN BURNS

NHL

UNDER Flyers/Penguins
Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Flyers and Penguins to finish UNDER the total. The Penguins erupted for seven goals in their last game. However, they'd scored two or less in two of their previous three games and it's also worth noting that they've seen the UNDER go 13-9 when coming off a win by two goals or more and a profitable 16-11 after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Flyers lost 3-2 vs. Boston yesterday. That brought the UNDER to 4-1 their last five games and 9-4 their last 13. The last time that they played the second of back to back games (3/12 vs. Toronto) they lost by an identical 3-2 score. For the season, the UNDER is a profitable 10-5-1 when they've played a road game with an over/under line of six or greater. I feel that the number is generous and I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair this afternoon. *total of the week

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The Fat Jack

KANSAS -5 1/2

WISCONSIN UNDER 112 1/2

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