Friday Service Plays

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DUKE

Best Bet* Tulsa (-2) for 3 Units
Tulsa/UTEP 7:00: Tulsa controls a 5-0 ATS run in this series and we'll stay on the Golden Hurricane here. Tulsa is continuing to get big production out of Jerome Jordan while Uzoh, Earls and Walls are stepping up big in supporting roles. Moreover, we like the way Tulsa's defense is improving (allowing 63.6 ppg last 5 games), which is vital in tourney play. On the other hand, UTEP has allowed 75 ppg in conference play; moreover, they've allowed 80.4 ppg over their last 5 games. And after UTEP scores 80+, they've had trouble (2-7 ATS). We'll jump on Tulsa here.

Purdue (-4) for 2 Units
Illinois/Purdue 6:30: Purdue HC Painter has the Boilermakers rolling in his second season and we'll look for Purdue to keep it rolling here. Purdue's defense, which is allowing a stingy 60.8 ppg, should suffocate an Illinois offense that has trouble working consistently well in a half-court set. The Boilermakers swept the season series and we don't see the Illini exacting revenge vs a still hungry Purdue squad that wants to shake their long drought of Big Ten Conference Tourney failure.

Kent State (-3') for 2 Units
Miami OH/Kent State 9:30: Kent State squashed the Redhawks twice during the regular season and should do more damage at what's now known as Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, where they have historically done very well. The Flashes are deeper and more prolific offensively than the Redhawks. And with Miami OH playing their 3rd game in as many days, they should gas out under interim HC Henderson, who doesn't have the tourney expertise Coles (heart condition leave) does, which is vital down the stretch in these tight games.

Nevada (+5) for 2 Units
Nevada/New Mexico State 10:15: New Mexico State may have the talent advantage but should come up on the short end in this tourney. Nevada covered both meetings this year and sport a 6-1 SU mark in this series; moreover, the Wolfpack sport a 6-1 ATS mark as a road dog of 3' to 6 points under HC Fox. New MX State controls a sluggish 2-3 ATS mark revenging a road loss; furthermore, NMS clanks free throws at 63.5% compared to Nevada's 72%. We'll take the points here.

Colorado (+9) for 2 Units
Colorado/Oklahoma 3:00: Back on February 9th in Colorado, the Buffaloes worked the Sooners 72-58 in what Sooners' HC Capel described as "the most embarrassing thing I've been a part of". The Buffaloes haven't forgotten that and will use it as motivation here after their double OT win over an overconfident Baylor team yesterday. The Buffaloes are 12-5 ATS in conference play and not an easy out. Colorado has a fine back-court in Roby and Hall, and now interior players: Jackson-Wilson and King-Stockton are finally showing awareness in Bzdelik's system by assisting on cutters and playing better defense. Oklahoma, on the other hand, is a mere 7-16 ATS in Big 12 action, 1-7 ATS in tournament action, and 0-2 ATS in this spread range on a neutral floor. As we mentioned yesterday, Big 12 Conference Tourney favorites' of 6 or more have been money burners (now 6-25 ATS) since 2002. We'll grab the points here.

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EZ WINNERS NCAA EVENING GAMES

5 STAR: (563) PITTSBURGH (+2.5) over Marquette
(Risking $550 to win $500)

3 STAR: (562) WEST VIRGINIA (+3) over Georgetown
(Risking $330 to win $300)

3 STAR: (583) WASHINGTON STATE (+1.5) over Stanford
(Risking $330 to win $300)

2 STAR: (556) UTEP (+2) over Tulsa
(Risking $220 to win $200)

2 STAR: BOISE STATE (+3) over Utah State
(Risking $220 to win $200)

1 STAR: (535) GEORGIA TECH (+11) over Duke
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (537) CAL IRVINE (+3) Cal Santa Barbara
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (559) NC CHARLOTTE (+2.5) over Temple
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (535) MINNESOTA (+6) over Indiana
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (567) MIAMI-OHIO (+3.5) Kent State
(Risking $110 to win $100)


NBA

1 STAR: (520) SEATTLE (+2) over Minnesota
(Risking $110 to win $100)

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Fairway Jay

New Orleans +1.5

CBB Big Drive: CS Northridge +3.5

CBB BYU -6

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Winning Points Online NCAAB.

**PREFERRED
Alabama over Mississippi State by 4

Mississippi State doesn't get many turnovers and will make their share. Alabama always plays pretty good defense without fouling. Mississippi State's coaching staff wins no awards. They were probably expecting Florida, not the team they beat twice in the regular season, with a head coach Gottfried who has a major hate on MSU head coach Stansbury and staff. The Mississippi State point guard Jamont Gordon will vapor-lock as the pressure mounts. He can't elevate as well as other guards who try to penetrate. Alabama knows that as well as anyone else. Nobody needs to leave their feet to defend against him. His ability to score on the drive ain't that good. Defend the 3, make some, and win the game, probably a lower-scoring game than the posted Total of 141 would seem to suggest. ALABAMA, 69-65.

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AJ Apollo

3* South Carolina +12.5 vs. Tennessee

3* West Virginia +3 vs. Georgetown

3* Minnesota +5.5 vs. Indiana

3* Miami Ohio +3.5 vs Kent State

3* Washington State ML +115 vs. Stanford

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Kelso late games

Chairmans
10 units Hornets +10.5 v. Houston
Best Bets
5 units Jazz +7 @ Celtics
4 units Detroit -3 v. Spurs
3 units Hornets +1.5 v. Lakers

Tourney

50 units Stanford -2 v. Washington State
5 unitsGeorgetown -3.5 v. WVU
5 units Miss St -3 v. Alabama
5 units Utah St -3 v. Boise

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Josh Dean

400* W. Virginia & Utah

200* Minn (CBB)

100* Illinois

Free Pick: USC/UCLA UNDER

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Spritzer

insider..................cal sb
insider.......................xavier
conf usa goy......................tulsa
gom...............................purdue
ko............................mich st
ko.......................g'town
tko.........................tex
tko...................temple
tko...........................kent
tko acc gow.................virg tech
3 star.............north car
3 star........................indy
ko......................celtics
tko...................spurs
tko........................hornets5 star................bobcats

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Cokin

fat man plays.........mich st, minny
system play................wets virg,boise
champ club.....................texas
window........................byu
under the hat...................xavier
3 star..................akron
3 star.................utep
window.......................celtics
under the hat.......................spurs
3 star.....................lakers

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Feist

goy...................tulsa
steam...............gtech
steam.......................utah st
steam.....................uc irv
steam.....................colgate
5 star..................minny
4 star...................vandy
total.................hornets under
platinum..........................lakers
inner circle....................pistons
5 star...................celtics

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Dr. Bob

NBA

3 Star Selection
BOSTON (-7 ½) over Utah
14-Mar-08 04:35 PM Pacific Time
Boston has started playing the suffocating defense that they started the season playing, as the Celtics have allowed 40% shooting or less in 9 consecutive games. That spells bad news for a Utah team that has struggled on the road (14-21 ATS) and lost by 6 to the Celtics in Salt Lake City, where they are normally so good. Boston applies to a very good 158-67-6 ATS home favorite momentum situation and the Celtics raise their level of play when facing capable teams. In fact, Boston is 29-11-1 ATS when not favored by 10 points or more, including 11-2-1 ATS at home and 20-4-1 ATS if facing an opponent coming off a win. My ratings favor Boston by 9 points and I’ll take Boston in a 3-Star Best Bet at -8 points or less and for 2- Stars at -8 ½ or -9 points.
3-Stars at -8 or less, 2-Stars at -8 1/2 or -9.

COLLEGE

3 Star Selection
Purdue (-4 ½) over Illinois
14-Mar-08 03:30 PM Pacific Time
Purdue’s inexperienced (6 of top 7 scorers are 1st year players), but talented team took some time to adjust to Division 1 basketball, but the Boilermakers had figured it out by the time conference season rolled around in January. Purdue went 15-3 in the Big 10 and 14-4 ATS and the Boilers remain underrated. Illinois has been overrated most of the season and my ratings using conference games only favor Purdue by 7 ½ points - and the Boilermakers beat Illinois by margins of 7 points and 8 points. However, Illinois lost a good number of close games and Purdue won a lot of close games and my margin analysis favors the Boilermakers by 6.2 points in this game, which I think should be the fair line in this case. Either way, the line value favors Purdue, as the oddsmakers continue to incorporate Purdue’s early season games (when they were struggling) in their ratings. Purdue also applies to a 127-57-5 ATS conference tournament situation while Illinois applies to a negative 55-121-5 ATS situation. Those angles overlap quite often and the result is 40-12- 2 ATS when they do, so Purdue is in a good spot to sweep the season series. I’ll take Purdue in a 3-Star Best Bet at -6 points or less and for 2-Stars at -6 ½ points.
3-Stars at -6 or less, 2-Stars at -6 1/2.

2 Star Selection
Duke (-11) over Georgia Tech
14-Mar-08 04:00 PM Pacific Time
Duke applies to a solid 69-23-3 ATS conference tournament bounce- back situation that is based on their loss to North Carolina in their regular season finale and Georgia Tech applies to a negative 13-46-1 ATS letdown situation. My ratings favor Duke by 10 ½ points, but I’m willing to give up a bit of line value based on the situation. I’ll take Duke in a 2-Star Best Bet at -11 points or less and for 3-Stars at -10 or less.
2-Stars at -11 or less, 3-Stars at -10 or less.

4 Star Selection
Mississippi State (-5) over Alabama
14-Mar-08 04:30 PM Pacific Time
Alabama has always been an inconsistent team in 10 seasons under coach Mark Gottfried and the Crimson Tide are due for a poor outing after winning their last two games. Alabama is only 42.8% ATS after a win under Gottfried (68-91-2 ATS) and the Tide are just 11-22 ATS in road or neutral conference games after consecutive wins. Mississippi State won the two regular season meetings with Alabama by 10 points and by 7 points and the Bulldogs apply to a very strong 70-17 ATS conference tournament situation. My ratings using conference games only for each team favor Miss State by 6 ½ points, and I’d get 7 ½ points using all games for the entire season. Miss State won 12 of their 16 conference games by 5 points or more and Alabama is an average SEC team, so odds are good that the Bulldogs can win this game by at least 5 points given the good situation that they are in. I’ll take Mississippi State in a 4-Star Best Bet at - 5 points or less, for 3-Stars from -5 ½ to -7 points and for 2-Stars at -7 ½ points.
4-Stars at -5 or less, 3-Stars from -5 1/2 to -7 points and 2-Stars at -7 1/2.

3 Star Selection
UC Santa Barbara (-3) over UC Irvine
14-Mar-08 05:30 PM Pacific Time
Irvine beat UCSB both times in the regular season but Santa Barbara is the better team and the Gauchos qualify in a 50-11-1 ATS conference tournament revenge situation tonight in addition to a 131- 41-4 ATS situation that is 21-1-1 if the play on team also has the revenge motive. My ratings favor UCSB by 3.2 points, so the line is fair, and I’ll take UC Santa Barbara in a 3-Star Best Bet at -3 or less and for 2-Stars at -3 ½ or -4 points.
3-Stars at -3 or less, 2-Stars at -3 1/2 or -4 points.

2 Star Selection
Indiana (-5 ½) over Minnesota
14-Mar-08 06:00 PM Pacific Time
Minnesota is a decent team, but the Golden Gophers play their best against inferior teams while struggling on a relative basis against good teams. Minnesota was 0-7 straight up against the Big 10’s top 4 teams, losing those games by an average of 9.6 points and rating at a bit more than 3 points worse than their overall rating in those games. The Gophers are 9-4 ATS as a favorite this season, but they are only 2-9 ATS as an underdog of less than 10 points and Minnesota applies to a negative 55-121-5 ATS situation. Indiana has struggled a bit in 5 games since head coach Kelvin Sampson resigned, but they did beat Minnesota by 14 points just 12 days ago (the Hoosiers also won by 5 points at Minnesota). Losing to Penn State in their regular season finale should have the Hoosiers focused for this game and Indiana applies to a very strong 70-17 ATS conference tournament situation tonight. My ratings favor the Hoosiers by 5 ½ points in this game with G Jamarcus Ellis sitting out for disciplinary reasons. I’ll take Indiana in a 2-Star Best Bet at -6 points or less.
2-Stars at -6 or less.

3 Star Selection
Clemson (-8 1/2) over Boston College
14-Mar-08 06:30 PM Pacific Time
Clemson applies to a very good 70-17 ATS conference tournament situation and my ratings favor the Tigers by 10 points in this game. Clemson whipped BC by 22 points in their only previous meeting this season and they should win this one easily too. I’ll take Clemson in a 3-Star Best Bet at -10 points or less and for 2-Stars at -10 ½ points.
3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars at -10 1/2 points.

2 Star Selection
Kentucky (-3 ½) over Georgia
14-Mar-08 06:55 PM Pacific Time
Georgia managed to upset Mississippi yesterday but that overtime win could make it tough for the Bulldogs to have the energy to beat a Kentucky team that has caught fire in conference play after struggling to adapt to new coach Billy Gillespie early in the season. The Wildcats started the season 7-9 straight up but they’ve won 11 of 13 games since then and my ratings using conference games only favor the Wildcats by 7 points in this game. Kentucky beat Georgia twice in the regular season, by 5 points and by 6 points, and they should get the sweep today given that the Bulldogs apply to a negative 39-77-3 ATS situation that is based on yesterday’s upset win. The best part of that situation doesn’t apply but there is more than enough line value to make the Wildcats a play. I’ll take Kentucky in a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less.
2-Stars at -4 or less.

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Aquu Picks

4* Bobcats, Purdue, Utah St, Indiana
3* S. Carolina, Gtown


Will Cover

4* Utah St - 3


Triple Crown

5* GOM - Chic -3
3* und 203 Utah
3* Dall - 12

4* Gtown -3
3* Vand -1
3* Akron -2
3* Utah St -2

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Powerplaywins

Lakers/Hornets over 210

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Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections

500,000 UNIT MAC TOURNAMENT PLAY OF THE YEAR

568 Kent -3.5

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THE GOLD SHEET'S LATE TELEPHONE SERVICE

Colleges: Top Choice (1½ units) UC IRVINE +3 over UC Santa Barbara

PURDUE -4½ over Illinois

MISSISSIPPI STATE -5 over Alabama

UNLV -5 -Home over Utah

NBA: HOUSTON -10 -Home over Charlotte

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Sports Bank

500* Tournament Mismatch Game Of Month

Cal Santa Barbara

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Ben Burns' Latebreaking NHL Best Bet *7-2 L9!

I'm playing on BUFFALO. Its true that the Hurricanes are hot while the Sabres are not. However, I still like the Sabres here. All games are important to Carolina right now. That being said, the Hurricanes' recent streak has given them some breathing room and they could be "patting themselves on the back" a bit here. The Sabres, on the other hand, are basically in "must win" mode as they've fallen back to ninth spot in the standings. Yes, the Sabres are dealing with several injury issues. However, so are the Hurricanes and with so much on the line, I expect the Sabres to rally around their fallen teammates. Yes, the Hurricanes looked impressive in shutting out Chicago in their last game. They haven't fared too well when coming off a shutout win over the years though. In fact, they're a money-burning 20-35 (-22) the last 55 times that they were coming off a shutout victory. During the same stretch the Sabres have gone a profitable 136-95 (+33.9) when coming off a loss by two goals or more. Yes, the Hurricanes beat the Sabres recently. That was at Carolina though. The last meeting here at Buffalo resulted in a 8-1 win for the Sabres. In fact, the Sabres are a perfect 4-0 the last four meetings here, winning by a combined margin of 19-7. Look for them to be the hungrier team tonight as they overcome the injuries and continue their home ice success in this series. *Best Bet

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Re: Friday Service Plays

John Ryan

Orlando Magic vs. Miami Heat
Pick: Miami Heat

Ai Simulator 5* graded play on the Miami Heat - A really am not that surprised to see this graded play come on the radar screen. The loss of Wade all but sends a clear signal that the Heat season is over. Keep in mind, however, that the remaining players are mostly fighting for their NBA lives and scouts are always watching. Plus, the mine has been inflated with the public sentiment so NEGATIVE on the Heat. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 28-7 ATS for a remarkable 80%. Play on home dogs of 10 or more points after 5 or more consecutive losses and is now facing an opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins. Take the HEAT. Ryan lost a heart breaking 10* Monster play as Washington won the game but failed to cover the skinny line. Despite that loss, he is still hitting 60% ATS over the L30 days with NBA premium plays. This 5* Monster DOG is quite strong and is backed by an 80% 12-year winning system. Get the system and the play and pay when the 5* wins ATS.

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The Killer Move's

10* Houston

10* Charlotte/Houston OVER

10* Toronto/Denver OVER

10* Cal Irvine/UC Santa Barbara UNDER

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