Friday Service Plays

Re: Friday Service Plays

Info Plays

3* on Xavier -6

Xavier will punish St. Joe’s after losing to this squad the last time these teams met up.  St. Joe’s will not be beating the best team in the Atlantic-10 in back-to-back games.  This is too tall of a feat to ask.  Xavier has won 11 of their last 12 games overall and have not forgotten this loss they suffered just over a week ago today.  Xavier is 11-3 ATS in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.  Xavier is 44-26 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent since 1997.  They excel in this tournament format.  Bet Xavier in the Atlantic-10 Tournament.

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King Creole

UTEP vs Tulsa

Analysis: BOTH Teams are off DOG wins yesterday in Round One action of the Conference USA Tourney. It's pretty rare for a #7 seed to be favored in a Semi-Final game.... and the database tells us to go the other way.

Since 1990, SEMI-FINAL favorites who are seeded at #5 or worse are 7-18 ATS when playing of BB SU wins (Tulsa).... 2-12 ATS when playing off a SU underdog win.... and 1-7 AT taking on any hot opponent playing off 2+ SU wins in a row (like UTEP).

I also checked into the very rare situation of BOTH teams playing each other after BOTH have won outright as an underdog. In ALL Conference Tournament action, favorites are 18-32-2 ATS when BOTH Teams are playing off a SU underdog win. The numbers downgrade to 1-6-1 ATS if the favorite (in this case TULSA) is 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 games.... and also won their last game by DOUBLE DIGITS (like Tulsa).

Play UTEP

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Ron Meyer

Chalkboard.....Virginia Tech
Coaches Consensus.....Utah State
Live Dog.....Ohio State
Playbook.....Tulsa

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A-Play

Private Players Club.....West Virginia
Major Shocker.....Texas A+M
Heavy Hitter.....Illinois
Vegas Hotline.....NC Charlotte
Chip Shot.....Miami Florida
Double Play.....Minnesota (NBA)

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Pure Profit

Consensus.....Wisconsin
High Roller.....BYU
Power Play.....CS Fullerton
Diamond.....Purdue
Back Room.....Vanderbilt
Money Move.....76ers

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Marc Lawrence

Triple dime conference tournament game of the year

Mississipi St.

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Dave Malinsky

6* top of the ticket

Purdue

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PPP/Gavozzi night card 3/14

5*Miss St
5*Kentucky
4*Clemson
4*Purdue
3*Xavier
3*GTown

NBA
3*Houston
3*Dallas

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David Chan

Utah Jazz +8

OVER 139.5 AL/MISS ST

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LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR)

LA LAKERS vs NEW ORLEANS OVER 208 (NBA)

PHILADELPHIA +3 (NBA)

UTAH vs ORLANDO OVER 117.5 ( ARENA FOOTBALL)

CHICAGO vs GRAND RAPIDS OVER 111 ( ARENA FOOTBALL)

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Gator's NBA/CBB 70% Report

NBA

Thursday: Play Against NBA road teams in a game involving two teams with a winning percentage of 60% to 75%, in March games 36-9 ATS the last 5 seasons (80%) PLAY: Detroit -3

CBB:

Friday: Play Under CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less after one or more consecutive overs, in a game involving 2 teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season 34-8 Under since 1997 (81.0%) PLAY: Wash St./Stanford UNDER 115

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Arthur Ralph

Over Lakers/New Orleans


JB

Jazz

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MTI

The Pacers are 0-15 ATS (-8.9 ppg) after a win at home in which Troy Murphy was not the Pacers' high scorer and the Mavericks are 8-0 ATS (12.9 ppg) when seeking revenge for a road loss in which Dirk Nowitzki had a double-double. Consider taking the Mavs.

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BeatYourBookie.

NCAA Basketball

100* Oklahoma State (+7.5) over Texas
(12:30 P.M. EST)

Texas is 1-8 ATS when playing 2nd game in 8 days
Texas is 0-3 ATS over the last 3 games
Oklahoma State is 6-1 ATS over the last 7 games

50* Play Miami (pick) over Virginia Tech
(2:20 P.M. EST)

Miami is 10-2 ATS when playing on a Friday this season
Miami is 15-7 ATS in all games this season
Virginia Tech is 2-10 ATS when the line is between +3 to -3


Bonus NCAA Games

10* Play West Virginia (+2.5) over Georgetown


NBA Basketball

50* Play Houston (-12.5) over Charlotte
(8:30 P.M. EST)

Charlotte is 4-13 ATS vs. Southwest Division opponents
Charlotte is 4-13 ATS coming off a loss by 10 points or more
Charlotte is 9-18 ATS as a road underdog this season

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Dave Malinsky 4* play

GAME: Utah Jazz @ Boston Celtics Mar 14, 2008 7:30PM

PICK: under

REASON FOR PICK: 4* UTAH/BOSTON Under

They have the wrong range here, but it is nothing new – the Celtics are still not being appreciated for their defensive work, despite the fact that we are this deep into the season. Absolutely no team in the NBA has been better on that end of the court, and in the current 10-0 run, the longest win streak for the franchise in 22 years, things are being taken to an even higher level. They have allowed just 38.0 percent shooting in that span, and Kevin Garnett acknowledges the key to the run - “Defensively, I think we are very fundamentally sound right now. We are connected and talking more than ever.”

Now that defense has both the proper preparation time and ample rest to be at their best tonight, having only had easy wins over the 76ers and Sonics over the last five days. And it also means playing it “their way” on offense, which means settling into a half-court flow. With Garnett, Paul Pierce and Ray Allen on hand, why not? They are comfortable taking the clock deep before shooting, knowing that the strategy also helps them to balance the floor and get back on defense. That particularly matters tonight, given the way that Deron Williams can create plays in the open court.

Note that these two shot 50.3 percent in their first meeting, including 15-33 from 3-point range, and could only reach a 202 in a Celtic win at Salt Lake City. That speaks volumes about how far out of line this one has been set. In a playoff atmosphere we do not expect the shooting to be anywhere near the first go-round, and that gives us plenty of room to work with.

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Jeffersonsports

NCAA HOOPS
TULSA over 139.5

NBA
SAN ANTONIO UNDER 175.5

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ER Sports

Play: Minnesota Timberwolves

Simply, two bad teams battle in Seattle tonight with the Timberwolves playing the Sonics. The Sonics face a rough spot, while returning home from a long and winding seven-game road trip. With little to zero home court edge nowadays in Seattle, this closely sets up as another road game for the Sonics. The Sonics were clearly out of gas, while short on depth to begin with as they allowed an average of almost 115 points in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are still trying, winning two of their last three games. They recently lost point guard Sebastian Telfair, and I like the move to Randy Foye able garner more minutes. They’ll be playing with revenge, while losing to the Sonics as a seven-point favorite on March 2. Finally, the Timberwolves should be able to dominate inside against an undersized front line for the Sonics. Al Jefferson and Craig Smith should be able to have their way on the inside, which is key to winning this game. The Sonics are out of gas, as the T’Wolves get the win.

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