Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Thursday's Tip Sheet
By Josh Jacobs

NBA on TNT continues to roll on but with less then two dozen games left on tap, time is running out on the 2007-08 season.

Beginning at 8:00 p.m. EDT, Cleveland (37-27 straight up, 31-33 against the spread) and Washington (31-32 SU, 37-26 ATS) will square off for the fourth and final time this season.

It was back on Feb. 22 that witnessed a slim 90-89 win by the Cavaliers. The Wizards where able to cover the 3½-point spread, but with the total installed at 187½, a 4-1 run on the ‘over’ run was snapped.

In their last 10 head-to-head meetings, Cleveland has gone 8-2 SU and 4-5-1 ATS.

The big question for Washington remains; when will Gilbert Arenas be prepared to take on some minutes since leaving the hardwood in mid-November with a torn meniscus in his left knee? Reports indicate that Arenas has been cleared for light practices but a set date to return has been changing like the weather.

And with Caron Butler going through the healing motions of a tear of the left hip joint, scoring production for Washington has definitely taken a turn for the worst. Averaging 96.5 PPG in the last 10, the Wizards have been hard pressed in recent games (especially when giving up 101.8 PPG in the last five).

When playing at home versus teams with a winning record, Washington has gone 5-7 ATS for a total of a 14-13 ATS record versus teams playing with a record above .500.

Cleveland is certainly no stranger to the injury bug. Ben Wallace, Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Aleksandar Pavlovic and Eric Snow have all missed an extended period of time, suffering from a list of various ailments.

Going 4-1 ATS without Ilgauskas and 6-4 ATS with Gibson on the bench, the Cavaliers’ LeBron James has stepped up to the podium, averaging 33.7 PPG with 7.4 APG in the last 10.

In this Eastern Conference clash, pay attention to Cleveland’s 55-percent rate of exceeding 190 points and 42-percent chance of tipping the score over 195 points. Going against the grain, the Cavs have only rallied the troops to score ‘over’ the total for a total of four times in the last 10.

When installed as an underdog this season, Cleveland has gone an average 15-16 ATS in a total of 31 games this season.

Holding squads to 94.6 PPG in the last five, the Cavaliers have been able to wrangle in a 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS record in their last 10.

The ‘over’ is 13-3 in Washington’s last 16 games versus Eastern Conference opponents.

**Golden State at Phoenix**

Taking three straight head-to-head games in a row and covering two of three games, the Warriors (39-23 SU, 27-35 ATS) have outscored the Suns (42-22 SU, 29-33-2 ATS) 373-351 in their last three meetings.

With game time beginning at 10:30 p.m. EDT, Phoenix will be looking to grab its third straight win. Going 4-4 SU and ATS in their last eight home games, the Suns have been plagued by inadequate defense. At home, Phoenix has surrendered 105 PPG this season, while 108.4 PPG have been allowed in the last five.

Entering Thursday with a 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS run in its last 10, Golden State has tagged the ‘over’ seven times in the same stretch. Coming off zero days of rest, the Warriors have gone 8-7 ATS this season, while the Suns are financially in the black with a 21-15-1 ATS record coming off one-day of rest.

Something to take a look at is the 4-0 ‘over’ record in the last four head-to-head meetings. In all four contests, the total hasn’t been set to a score lower then 224 ½-points. And don’t forget that the underdog is 2-1 ATS in the last three clashes.

The only injury worth mentioning is Golden State’s Chris Webber’s knee injury. He’s missed action since Mar. 4, with the team going 3-1 ATS since the injury forced Webber to the sidelines.

While the Suns are 6-9 ATS at home when squaring off against teams playing above .500, the Warriors are 5-7 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record.

Since Shaquille O’Neal joined Phoenix in early February, the squad has gone 8-8 SU and 7-9 ATS. Twelve of the 16 games have gone ‘over’ the given total and O’Neal himself is averaging 10.5 PPG with 11 RPG in his new jersey.

On the other side of the coin, Phoenix has gone 7-2 SU and ATS when Barron Davis has exceeded 30 points or more and is 12-6 SU when Davis has dished the ball 10 times or more.

Most books have installed the Suns as 4½-point favorites, with a total set at 238½. When Phoenix has played at home this season, 30-percent of their games have gone ‘over’ 230 points. For Golden State on the road, only 23-percent of their games have gone ‘over’ the same 230 points.

The ‘over’ is 9-1 in the Warriors last 10 road contests, while the ‘over’ is 8-2 in the Suns last 10 versus Western Conference opponents.

**Overtime**

-- Opening as a three-point favorite, Sacramento will tip-off against Portland at 10:00 p.m. EDT. A total of 205 1/2 has been set for this contest.

-- While the Trail Blazers are 7-2 ATS in its last nine games, the Kings have turned bettors off with a 2-7-1 ATS record in their last 10, is 1-5 ATS in their last six playing on three or more days of rest and is 2-5 ATS in their last seven following a SU win.

-- The Kings have been impressive in nailing high scoring totals at home, going 57-percent at exceeding 205 points, 50-percent at topping 210 points and 30-percent at shooting for ‘over’ 220 points.

-- Sacramento has gone ‘over’ the total seven times in its last seven, is hitting the ‘over’ with a 6-0 frequency in its last six after scoring 100 points or more in its previous game and is 5-1-1 on the ‘over’ in its last seven Thursday contests.

-- In their last nine head-to-head matches in Sacramento, the ‘over’ is 8-1. The underdog has been dominant in recent history, going 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.

vegasinsider.com

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Big Ten - First Round
By Judd Hall

This year’s Big Ten Tournament marks the start of a five-year run it will have to be played in Indianapolis’s Conseco Fieldhouse. The Buckeyes captured their second conference tourney title last season in Chicago. However, the 13/2 odds they’re getting to repeat isn’t exactly making the betting public drink the Kool-Aid.

It’s not a big surprise to see Wisconsin listed as a 7/4 “chalk” to cut down the nets on Sunday afternoon, with the Boilermakers is a close second choice at 2/1 on Bodog.

There are just three games on Thursday, starting at 12:00 EDT. And the winners of these opening round contests will get the privilege of facing one of the Top 3 seeds in the league.

Here we go…

No. 8 Iowa vs. No.9 Michigan

We’ll call this one the battle of the brand new coaches.

John Beilein is in his first year as the head coach at Michigan (9-21 straight up, 10-18 ATS) and Todd Lickliter is making Iowa City his home after spending six seasons at Butler. Neither coach had a solid showing in their debuts in the Big Ten as evidenced by their odds to win the conference championship: Iowa (13-18 SU, 13-15 ATS) is 22/1 to win it all and the Wolverines are 28/1 to accomplish the stunner.

If you’re looking to find an edge in the head-to-head battles between these programs this year, then good luck to you. The visiting team won both tilts SU and ATS this season, while the ‘over/under’ went 1-1.

Michigan is limping into the playoffs on a three-game losing skid, failing to cover the closing number in any of the contests. I guess you’d have to expect that considering the Maize and Blue are ninth in scoring offense (63.9 points per game) and dead last in defense (68.9 PPG). The result is a side that’s watched the ‘under’ go on a 7-1 run.

The Hawkeyes may have stropped their losing streak at three matches, but they’ve got to learn how to hold onto the ball. Iowa gave the ball away 16 times to Northwestern in the regular season finale, which is right on pace with its 15.8 turnovers per game for the year. That number, by the way, is the worst amongst all Big Ten squads.

Most sportsbooks have opened up with Iowa as an one-point favorite, with the total coming in at 114.

Michigan has gone 3-12 SU and 6-9 ATS when playing on the road or on a neutral court. Meanwhile, the Hawkeyes are 3-10 SU and 7-6 ATS when away from Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Iowa has covered the spread in its last three road tests.

The winner of this matchup gets the unenviable task of squaring up with Wisconsin in the second round.

This contest will get underway at 12:00 pm EDT on the Big Ten Network.

No. 7 Penn State vs. No. 10 Illinois

Illinois (13-18 SU, 12-18-1 ATS) finished the season on a positive note, winning two of their last three regular season contests, covering the spread in both victories. Before we get all giddy over the Illini’s victories, they came against two of the more lowly clubs in the Big Ten: Iowa and Minnesota.

The Nittany Lions had their best conference record in two years, ringing up seven wins in the Big Ten. Two of those victories for Penn State (15-15 SU, 11-14-2 ATS) came against the Spartans and Hoosiers.

The visiting club won each matchup this season, with Penn State going 2-0 ATS. The Lions have been a good bet in the past five head-to-head fights, going 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS.

Illinois has failed to gather any sort of momentum all season long, winning three in a row just once. The Fighting Illini did close out the year by going 2-1 SU and ATS in their final three matches.

The Illini have been installed as eight-point favorites for this first-round matchup, with the total sitting at 120.

Illinois is 5-10 SU and 8-7 ATS when playing away from home. The Nittany Lions are horrid on the road, going 2-11 SU and 3-9-1 ATS.

No. 2 seed Purdue awaits the victor of this scuffle in the second round. Seeing as PSU is 18/1 and the Fighting Illini are 20/1 to win the Big Ten, that is as far as they’ll get.

ESPN2 will televise this game, starting at 2:30 pm EDT.

No. 6 Minnesota vs. No. 11 Northwestern

Tubby Smith and the Golden Gophers are going to get the gift that keeps on giving, a date with Northwestern (8-21 SU, 10-14 ATS) in the first round of the Big Ten playoffs. Minnesota (18-12 SU, 13-12 ATS) closed out the season on a down note, dropping three of its final four tilts heading into the postseason.

Minnesota’s offense has done well under Smith this year, scoring 70.0 PPG on offense. They’ve benefited from seniors forward Dan Coleman (12.2 PPG) and guard Lawrence McKenzie (12.0 PPG) leadership on the court, while true freshman guard Blake Hoffarber (8.8 PPG) gives hope for the future.

The Wildcats are doing what they do best leading up to the league tourney, lose. Northwestern is 1-10 SU and 5-6 ATS to close out the regular season. Perhaps that’s the reason the ‘Cats are the longshot to win the conference 100/1. They’ve seen the ‘under’ go 7-2 in their last nine games this season, giving bettors something to hang their hats on.

Most sportsbooks have listed the Gophers as 9½-point favorites for this fixture, with a total of 128.

Minnesota hasn’t been a great team on the road this year as shown by its 6-8 SU and 6-6 ATS record. Northwestern is just 3-10 SU away from Evanston this season, but an impressive 8-4 ATS.

The Golden Gophers have won the last three head-to-head matches against Northwestern, both SU and ATS. Before that, the Wildcats had gone on a 6-0 SU and ATS run versus Minnesota.

The winner of this tilt will get the chance to upend No. 3 Indiana in the next round.

Opening tip-off for this game is set for 5:00 pm EDT, with ESPN2 providing national coverage.

vegasinsider.com

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Big XII - First Round
By Judd Hall

The latest NCAA bracket projections have six teams playing for the national championship out of the Big XII. Now some of the lower seeded conference programs will make a run at disrupting the natural order by scoring an upset in one of the four first-round tourney matches.

No. 8 Texas Tech vs. No. 9 Oklahoma State

Texas Tech (16-14 straight up, 14-9-1 against the spread) needs a miracle to make this year’s tournament after finishing eighth in its league this season. The Red Raiders have dropped their last two road tilts SU and ATS, including a 109-51 smackdown at the hands of Kansas as 19½-point road ‘dogs on March 3. Of course, you better lose by that margin if you shoot just 29 percent (18 of 62) from the field.

The Cowboys are looking for a prayer to bring them into postseason play this year after dropping their last two games against Oklahoma and at Texas. Oklahoma State (16-14 SU, 11-11 ATS) only has itself to blame right now, ranking next to last in the Big XII in field goal percentage at 43.1. Making matters worse is the ‘Boys made 35 percent of their shots in their final two matches of the regular season.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants have listed Oklahoma State as a 3½-point “chalk” with the total coming in at 134.

Being listed as favorites has done the Cowboys well the past two seasons as they’ve gone 18-4 SU. However, they’ve made bettors sweat it out by posting a 11-10-1 record ATS.

One thing going for Okla. State is a great neutral site record this year as evidenced by its 7-2 SU and ATS record.

There’s not a lot of good things we can write about the Red Raiders facing off with Oklahoma State recently. Texas Tech is 5-9 SU and 8-6 ATS in its last 14 head-to-head meetings with the Cowboys.

No. 5 Baylor vs. No. 12 Colorado

Things look good for Baylor (21-9 SU, 13-10 ATS) to make this year’s tournament regardless of whatever happens in the Big XII playoffs. Something we’ll be assured of seeing is a high scoring affair. The Bears are second in the Big XII in scoring offense, averaging 81.3 points per game. They’re also can’t stop anyone from getting to the basket, ranking dead last in the league by giving up 73.8 PPG.

Those stats mean the Bears haven’t been a strong bet this year, particularly when tabbed as favorites. Baylor went 8-3 SU when listed as the “chalk,” but are just 5-6 ATS in that spot.

The Buffaloes are just waiting for the sweet release that the death of this season will bring right now. Colorado (11-19 SU, 14-12 ATS) has lost six of its last seven regular season contests SU, yet 4-3 ATS.

LVSC has set the Bears as nine-point favorites with the total opening at 139.

That line might not be too bad for those of you out there looking to back the Buffs. Colorado won’t shock the world as an underdog, going 5-16 SU for the season. What the Buffaloes will do is hang close enough to cover, which is proven by their 12-9 ATS mark.

Baylor has been a solid bet for in the head-to-head scuffles of these conference foes. The Bears may only be 5-5 SU versus the Buffs, but they’re 8-2 ATS in that time frame.

No. 7 Nebraska vs. No. 10 Missouri

If Nebraska (18-11 SU, 9-12 ATS) can make a strong run in the conference tourney, it’ll have a chance at making the big dance. The Cornhuskers have won four of their last six matches SU and ATS, including victories over Kansas State and Oklahoma…they also lost a tough 70-66 decision to Texas during this run.

One thing the ‘Huskers must do if they want to have a chance to win here is keep the score low. And given they lead the league in scoring defense, allowing just 60.3 PPG this season, chances are pretty good. Of course, that is easier said than done when facing Mizzou.

Missouri (16-15 SU, 8-17 ATS) isn’t even going to get a sniff of the postseason after the league playoffs are over. Despite that fact, the Tigers won their last matchup against Nebraska as four-point road ‘dogs, 86-78, on Feb. 13. Mizzou possesses the fourth best scoring offense, racking up 77.8 PPG for the year…the result is a program that’s seen the ‘over’ go 16-9 and 8-2 in their last 10 games.

The oddsmakers at LVSC made the Cornhuskers 1 ½-point favorites with the total coming in at 137…which is better than a coin flip, but not by much.

The slight edge appears to benefit Nebraska regardless. The ‘Huskers are 7-4 SU and ATS when favored by 2½-points or less since 2003. Meanwhile, the ‘over’ is 6-4-1 during that stretch.

No. 6 Texas A&M vs. No. 11 Iowa State

The Aggies don’t really need to win this match in order to make the field of 65, but it certainly can’t hurt to maybe get them a better seed come Selection Sunday. Texas A&M (22-9 SU, 12-13 ATS) would like to at least get one more win under its belt considering it lost four of its past six fixtures SU and ATS leading into the playoffs. A&M has watched the ‘under’ go 5-1 in that time frame.

Iowa State (14-17 SU, 13-11 ATS) is just as bad as advertised. The Cyclones are next to last in the league standings, thanks in part to dropping nine of their last 10 games SU of the season. At least they went 5-5 ATS in that time, otherwise it would be a complete failure to gamblers.

Texas A&M is listed as an 11½-point favorite with the total opening up at 127 with LVSC.

History is leaning towards the Aggies for this showdown as they’re 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS the last eight head-to-head meetings.

vegasinsider.com

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Pavlovic returns from foot injury
March 12, 2008

EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. (AP) -Cleveland guard Sasha Pavlovic returned from a 23-game absence because of a sprained left foot and was in the Cavaliers' starting lineup Wednesday night against the Nets.

Pavlovic was hurt Jan. 23 in a victory over Washington. Despite that long layoff, coach Mike Brown said he went with his ``gut'' in deciding to put Pavlovic right back in the lineup.

``Sometimes I'd start a guy if he was out a couple of games or something like that,'' Brown said. ``Obviously Sasha's been out longer, but you know it's just a feel and we don't have that many games to kind of sit back and ease anybody in, so it's best to throw him in the mix and let him get his feet wet as quickly as possible and see what happens.''

Brown said he wasn't told he needed to monitor Pavlovic's minutes, and he had no expectations beyond just wanting Pavlovic, averaging 7.3 points in 38 games, to play hard.

The Cavs are still without Zydrunas Ilgauskas (back) and Daniel Gibson (sprained left ankle), and Ben Wallace joined them on the sidelines with back spasms. Joe Smith started alongside LeBron James and Anderson Varejao in the frontcourt.

``You have one guy come back and you have another guy go out,'' James said before the game. ``It's been like that for us the last two, three months.''

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Caron Butler expected to return
March 12, 2008

WASHINGTON (AP) -All-Star forward Caron Butler appears set to celebrate his birthday with a return to the lineup Thursday for the Washington Wizards.

``Caron is going to be probable, so we add a little 'Tough Juice' to the lineup,'' said coach Eddie Jordan, referring to Butler's nickname. ``And we'll see how it goes.''

Butler has missed 16 straight games and 19 of the last 21 because of a hip injury. He was originally diagnosed with a strained hip flexor, but an MRI discovered a small labral tear of the left hip joint. The injury also caused Butler to miss the All-Star game.

The Wizards host LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday, which happens to be the day Butler turns 28. Jordan said Butler will start if able to play.

``I've got a nice rhythm. I've got a couple of practices under my belt. I'm not feeling any symptoms,'' Butler said after Wednesday's practice. ``It's a big day with my birthday. Things seem to be really flowing right now, so tomorrow would be a great game to come back.''

Butler returned to practice Monday. Other than some tightness in the groin after Tuesday's shootaround, he said he's been fine.

``If I wake up tomorrow and feel the same way, I'll definitely be on the court,'' he said.

Butler's return would come none too soon for the banged-up Wizards. Gilbert Arenas (knee) and Etan Thomas (recovering from heart surgery) are practicing but still aren't ready to play.

Antawn Jamison (back strain) and Antonio Daniels (sprained left thumb) were sore after Tuesday's win over Milwaukee, but both are listed as probable for Thursday. Oleksiy Pecherov is expected to return after missing one game with a sore right foot.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Washington Wizards

- The Cleveland Cavaliers and the Washington Wizards will both be trying to pick up a win on Thursday when they battle at Verizon Center.

Odds aren't yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.

The Cavaliers were upended 104-99 by the Nets last time out, as 4.5-point favorites on the road. The 203 points made it OVER the posted total of 190.5.

LeBron James tossed in a game-high 42 points and finished with 11 rebounds for a double-double in the loss.

The Wizards took control back in the fourth quarter and came away with a 105-97 victory over the Bucks on Tuesday. The Wizards covered the 6.5-point spread, and the 202 points made it OVER the game's posted total of 200.

Nick Young shot 9-for-15 from the field with 22 points and five rebounds for the Wizards, and Antawn Jamison added 23 points with eight boards in the win.

Team records:
Cleveland: 37-28 SU, 31-34 ATS
Washington: 31-32 SU, 37-25-1 ATS

Cleveland most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 8-2
Before playing Charlotte are 6-4
After playing New Jersey are 5-5
After a loss are 8-2

Washington most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
Before playing LA Clippers are 5-5
After playing Milwaukee are 7-3
After a win are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Next up:
Cleveland home to Charlotte, Sunday, March 16
Washington home to LA Clippers, Saturday, March 15

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Sacramento Kings

- The Portland Trail Blazers and the Sacramento Kings will both be gunning for a victory on Thursday when they meet at ARCO Arena.

Oddsmakers currently have the Kings listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Trail Blazers, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

Brandon Roy tossed in a game-high 27 points in leading the Trail Blazers to a 103-96 win over the Timberwolves last time out. The Trail Blazers covered the 2-point spread, while the 199 points made it OVER the posted total of 185.

Roy shot 9-for-20 from the field with five rebounds and nine assists for the Trail Blazers. LaMarcus Aldridge chipped in with 20 points in the win.

The Kings upset the Lakers 114-113 as a 14-point underdog last time out. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (221.5).

Beno Udrih scored 25 points and handed out 10 assists for Sacramento, while Kevin Martin added 21 points in the win.

Team records:
Portland: 34-31 SU, 34-31 ATS
Sacramento: 28-35 SU, 32-30-1 ATS

Portland most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 4-6
Before playing Minnesota are 3-7
After playing Minnesota are 4-6
After a win are 2-8

Sacramento most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 2-8
Before playing Phoenix are 5-5
After playing LA Lakers are 4-6
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Portland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
Portland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
Sacramento is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Portland

Next up:
Portland home to Minnesota, Saturday, March 15
Sacramento at Phoenix, Saturday, March 15

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns

- The Golden State Warriors and the Phoenix Suns will both be trying to pick up a win on Thursday when they battle at US Airways Center.

Odds aren't yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.

The Warriors jumped out to an early lead Wednesday, as they cut down the Raptors 117-106. The Warriors covered the 10-point spread at home, while the 223 points were a PUSH against the posted total of 223.

Monta Ellis led the way with 33 points and Baron Davis added 23 points and 15 assists for the Warriors.

The Suns got out to an early lead and went on to crush the Grizzlies 132-111 on Tuesday. The Suns covered the 14-point spread, and the combined score made it OVER the posted total of 223.

Amare Stoudemire scored a game-high 29 points and hauled down 13 rebounds to complete the double-double performance.

Current streak:
Golden State has won 3 straight games.
Phoenix has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Golden State: 40-23 SU, 28-35 ATS
Phoenix: 42-22 SU, 29-33-2 ATS

Golden State most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 5-5
Before playing Memphis are 6-4
After playing Toronto are 4-6
After a win are 7-3

Phoenix most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 9-1
Before playing Sacramento are 9-1
After playing Memphis are 7-3
After a win are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Golden State's last 10 games on the road
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

Next up:
Golden State home to Memphis, Saturday, March 15
Phoenix home to Sacramento, Saturday, March 15

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

NBA Today

Golden State at Phoenix (10:30 p.m. EDT). The Suns are 5-6 with Shaquille O'Neal.

STARS

-Monta Ellis, Warriors, scored 33 points to lead Golden State to a 117-106 win over Toronto.

-Tracy McGrady, Rockets, scored 21 of his 28 points in the second half to lead Houston to a 83-75 win at Atlanta.

-Chris Paul, and David West, Hornets. Paul had 26 points and 17 assists and West added 29 points to help New Orleans take a convincing 100-75 victory over San Antonio.

-Deron Williams, Jazz, had 26 points and 13 assists in Utah's 114-110 win against Milwaukee.

-Dirk Nowitzki, Mavericks, scored 26 points in Dallas' 118-93 win over Charlotte.

STRATOSPHERIC

The Houston Rockets became the third team in NBA history to win 20 straight games and tied for the second-longest winning streak with an 83-75 victory over the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday night. The Rockets joined the 1971-72 Los Angeles Lakers (33 straight) and 1970-71 Milwaukee Bucks (20) as the only teams to win 20 or more in a row.

BOS-TEN

Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen each scored 18 points to lift Boston to its 10th straight victory, 111-82 over Seattle on Wednesday night. The Celtics have their longest win streak since a 14-game run from March 11-April 4, 1986 and improved to 12-0 at home against the Western Conference.

HEAT EXHAUSTION

New York beat Miami 91-88 on Wednesday night to snap a seven-game losing streak. The Heat lost for the 33rd time in 36 games and extended the NBA's worst record to 11-52.

ROAD WOES

Memphis dropped its 16th straight road game and 17th of 19 overall Wednesday night, 108-86 to Denver.

SNAPPED

Dallas beat Charlotte 118-93 on Wednesday night, snapping the Bobcats' franchise-record five-game winning streak.

STRONG IN DEFEAT

LeBron James scored 42 points in Cleveland's 104-99 loss to New Jersey on Wednesday night.

SPEAKING

It may be the ugliest thing we've done, but it might have been the best one. the way we fought through it.'' - Houston coach Rick Adelman after the Rockets' 83-75 win over Atlanta on Wednesday night. The Rockets became the third team in NBA history to win 20 consecutive games

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

ACC Tourney preview
By Brian Edwards

By virtue of its win at Duke in the regular-season finale this past Saturday night, North Carolina (29-2 straight up, 20-9 against the spread) garnered the top seed in this week’s ACC Tournament in Charlotte and a likely No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament regardless of what happens this weekend.

Sportsbook.com has installed UNC as the 5/7 ‘chalk’ to cut the nets down Sunday at Bobcat Arena.
   
Duke (26-4 SU, 15-12 ATS) finished second in the ACC with a 13-3 ledger in league play. The Blue Devils await the winner of the Virginia-Georgia Tech matchup tonight. They have 2/1 odds (risk $100 to win $200) to win the league tourney.

Clemson, the third seed that will face the Maryland-BC winner Friday night, has 5/1 odds. Virginia Tech, which is the No. 4 seed but not even close to a lock to hear its name called Sunday, will face the Miami-N.C. St. survivor on Friday. The Hokies have 8/1 odds.

The ‘Canes and Yellow Jackets are both marked at 12/1, while Maryland is listed at 15/1. Wake Forest (20/1), Virginia (25/1), FSU (30/1), BC (50/1) and N.C. St. (50/1) round out the field.

Now let’s take a look at today’s quadruple-header in Charlotte.

**Wake Forest vs. Florida State**

--Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Florida State (18-13 SU, 10-17 ATS) as a one-point favorite with a total of 139. Most spots had FSU at one with a total of 138½ as of early this morning.

--Wake Forest (17-12 SU, 14-9 ATS) swept the season series from the Seminoles and has taken the cash in four straight head-to-head meetings. The Demon Deacons won 78-70 in Tallahassee as 5½-point underdogs. In Winston Salem at Lawrence Joel Coliseum, Wake captured a 74-57 triumph as a one-point ‘chalk.’

--FSU has played well down the stretch, winning four of its last five games while going 3-1-1 ATS. The ‘Noles closed the regular season with a 75-72 overtime win over Miami as three-point home favorites. Ralph Mims paced the winners with 25 points, while Jason Rich and Toney Douglas finished with 16 apiece.

--Since shocking Duke several weeks ago, Wake Forest has gone cold with four losses both SU and ATS in its last five games. Therefore, barring a run to at least the ACC semifinals and most likely the finals, the Demon Deacons are headed for the NIT.

--Wake snapped a four-game slide by spanking N.C. St. 78-67 in the regular-season finale for both squads. The Deacs cashed tickets as eight-point home favorites. Jeff Teague scored 25 points to pace the winners.

--These teams have met in the ACC Tourney three times with Wake prevailing on each occasion. The Deacs won 68-65 in 1997, 69-61 in 2003 and 78-66 in ’06.

--The ‘under’ is 15-13 overall for the ‘Noles, but the ‘over’ has hit in their last three games.

--The ‘over’ is on a 6-1 run for the Deacs and is 13-11 overall.

--Raycom’s ACC affiliates will provide television coverage at noon Eastern.

**North Carolina State vs. Miami**

--LVSC opened Miami (21-9 SU, 14-6 ATS) as a five-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 135. As of this morning, most spots had UM at 5 ½ with the total adjusted to around 139.

--In my opinion, the Hurricanes are destined to go dancing for the first time since 2002 regardless of this game’s result. But with bids getting stolen left to right – think San Diego, George Mason and to a lesser extent, Western Kentucky – UM would just assume get this ‘W’ rather than spend all of Sunday on pins and needles.

--North Carolina State (15-15 SU, 6-20 ATS) has been a money burner all year long, one of the nation’s biggest disappointments for sure. The Wolfpack haven’t tasted a victory since Feb. 5, losing eight in a row while posting an atrocious 1-7 spread record.

--When these schools met in Raleigh on Jan. 18, Sidney Lowe’s team captured a 79-77 win in overtime as a two-point ‘chalk.’ The 156 combined points obliterated the 131-point tally.

--The ‘over’ is on an incredible 18-5 run in N.C. St.’s last 23 games with a total. Also, the ‘over’ has hit in four consecutive head-to-head meetings between these teams.

**Virginia vs. Georgia Tech**

--Most spots have installed Georgia Tech (14-16 SU, 14-14 ATS) as a one-point favorite with the total in the 151-153 range.

--Virginia (15-14 SU, 13-11 ATS) has won four of its last six games, but the Cavs are even hotter for our purposes. To be exact, UVA has cashed tickets at a 6-1 ATS clip in its last seven outings.

--Paul Hewitt’s club won three of its last four games with the lone loss coming to UVA by just a two-point margin. The Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last five assignments.

--Georgia Tech owns an 11-3-1 spread record in the last 15 head-to-head meetings against the Wahoos.

--The ‘over’ is 18-10 overall for G-Tech. On the other hand, UVA has watched the ‘under’ go 13-11 overall, 7-3 in its last 10 games.

--Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET. on ESPN2.

**Boston College vs. Maryland**


--Most sports books are listing Maryland (18-13 SU, 11-14 ATS) as a 5½-point favorite with the total in the 141-143 range. The Eagles are plus 210 on the money line.

--Boston College (13-16 SU, 10-14 ATS) has lost six straight games, but the Eagles did manage a pair of spread covers during that slide. They are clearly in a transition year with program stalwarts like Craig Smith and Jared Dudley departing in the last two seasons. With that said, BC still has one of the country's premier players (just ask UNC fans) in Tyrese Rice, who has lightning quickness off the dribble and a smooth southpaw jumper. He reminds me of Kenny Anderson at Georgia Tech in the early 1990s. Rice averages 21.3 points and 5.3 assists per game. 

--Maryland is most likely on the outside of the bubble heading into Charlotte, needing a win over BC without question. More than likely, Gary Williams' team needs two wins due to four losses in its last five games. Most damaging was an unfathomable home loss to Clemson when the Terrapins blew a 20-point lead midway through the second half and ended up losing by three. Then in the regular-season finale, Maryland was clearly hung over from the previous defeat and lost 91-76 at Virginia.

--Al Skinner's team is 5-8 versus the number in 13 underdog situations.

--These teams split a pair of meetings this season with both teams winning on the others’ home floor. BC won in College Park by an 81-78 count as a six-point ‘dog way back on Dec. 9. In the rematch, the Terrapins captured a 70-65 triumph as one-point road underdogs.

--The ‘over’ is 15-9 overall for BC, while the ‘under’ has hit in four of Maryland’s last five games.

vegasinsider.com

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Pac-10 Quarterfinals
By Brad Young

A quick look at various bracket forecasts have six Pac-10 teams advancing to the NCAA Tournament barring unexpected outcomes. However, this is March Madness and the tournament has earned that moniker for many reasons. There have already been some notable upsets across the country in conference tournaments, making the bubble even tighter for teams such as Arizona, Arizona State and Oregon. The Wildcats figure on being a 10th seed in the NCAA Tournament after throttling Oregon State Wednesday night by 31 points, scoring more points at halftime than the Beavers did all game.

UCLA is only concerned about NCAA Tournament seeding right now, and could garner the West’s top seed in the West with a victory in the Pac-10 Tournament. The Bruins also boast conference and freshman Player of the Year Kevin Love. The sensational center recorded 19 double doubles this season in what is probably his lone season in Westwood.

Stanford finished second in the Pac-10 Conference, and is currently projected as a fourth seed in the Big Dance heading into this week’s action. The Cardinal finished the regular season by dropping back-to-back games against UCLA and USC, the former on a controversial call that cost them a chance for the league title. Stanford’s Trent Johnson was named league Coach of the Year after leading the school to its best record since 2003-04.

Washington State finished third in the conference, and is projected as a sixth seed for the NCAA Tournament. Southern Cal is looking at a seventh seed in the same projections, while Oregon figures on being one of the last at-large teams selected with a 12th seed. Arizona State figures to be on the outside looking in with its unsightly RPI ranking of 75. However, that’s subject to change should the Sun Devils topple Southern Cal at Staples Center.

Now let’s take a look at Thursday’s quarterfinal action in Los Angles.

**Arizona State (5) versus Southern Cal (4)**

-Caesars Palace installed USC as a five-point ‘chalk’ over Arizona State, with the total set at 125. This Pac-10 quarterfinals contest at Staples Center is scheduled to start at 3:00 p.m. ET, with FOX Sports Net providing coverage.

-Arizona State (19-11 straight up, 14-12 against the spread) has alternated SU and ATS wins and losses its last five games after upending Oregon State Saturday as a 10-point road favorite, 77-64.

-The Sun Devils are 6-7 SU and ATS away from home, dropping those affairs by an average score of 68-63.

-Southern Cal (20-10 SU, 17-10 ATS) improved to 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS its past five games after beating Stanford Saturday as a home ‘pick,’ 77-64. The Trojans had failed to cover their previous two outings.

-USC is 9-5 SU and 10-4 ATS away from home, winning those matchups by an average score of 69-63. The Trojans campus is the closest to Staples Center of any team playing.

-The home team won and covered both meetings in the Arizona State-USC series, while the Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS the previous five outings with the Trojans. Arizona State triumphed March 1 as a one-point home ‘chalk,’ 80-66, while USC prevailed Feb. 2 as a seven-point home favorite, 67-53.

**California (9) versus UCLA (1)**


-There is no overnight line or total on this contest due to Wednesday’s late finish concerning the Cal-Washington game. FOX Sports Net will provide coverage of this contest beginning at 5:30 p.m. ET.

-California (16-14 SU, 14-12 ATS) got back on the winning track after a late regular-season slide by slipping past Washington Wednesday as a 2 ½-point favorite, 84-81. That marked the third game in a row that the Golden Bears covered.

-Cal sports a 6-6 SU and 9-3 ATS road record, with the average score of those games being 76-76.

-UCLA (28-3 SU, 18-10 ATS) hasn’t played since escaping with a one-point victory over Cal Saturday as a 15-point home ‘chalk,’ 81-80. The Bruins have alternated ATS wins and losses their last five games.

-UCLA is 12-1 SU and 9-3 ATS away from home, winning those affairs by an average score of 70-61.

-The Bruins are 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS the previous six meetings with Cal. UCLA prevailed in the Bay Area Jan. 5 as a four-point road favorite, 70-58.

**Oregon (6) versus Washington State (3)**

-Caesars Palace lists Washington State as a 3 ½-point ‘chalk’ over Oregon, with the total set at 127. This contest is slated to start at 9:00 p.m. ET, with FOX Sports Net providing coverage.

-Oregon (18-12 SU, 14-13 ATS) has won its last three games SU and four consecutive ATS after disposing of Arizona Saturday as a 1 ½-point home favorite, 78-69.

-The Ducks maintain a 5-9 SU and 7-6 ATS road record, dropping those games by an average score of 74-73.

-Washington State (23-7 SU, 13-14 ATS) has alternated SU wins and losses its last five games after slipping past Washington Saturday in overtime as a 9 ½-point home ‘chalk,’ 76-73. The Cougars are just 1-3 ATS their last four games.

-Wazzu is 13-3 SU and 8-6 ATS on the road, winning those contests by an average score of 67-57.

**Arizona (7) versus Stanford (2)**

-There is no overnight line or total on this contest due to the late finish of the Arizona-Oregon State contest.

-Arizona (19-13 SU, 16-13 ATS) throttled Oregon State Wednesday night as an 18-point ‘chalk,’ 87-56. The Wildcats are now 3-1 ATS their last four games.

-Arizona is 8-7 SU and 9-5 ATS away from home, winning those contests by an average score of 70-67.

-Stanford (24-6 SU, 14-15 ATS) is currently mired in a two-game SU and ATS losing skid after falling to USC Saturday as a road ‘pick,’ 77-64. The Cardinal are just 1-4 ATS their last five games.

-Stanford is 8-5 SU and 7-6 ATS on the road, winning those affairs by an average score of 68-65.

-The Cardinal swept Arizona this year, winning both games by a combined five points. Stanford prevailed Jan. 17 as a five-point home favorite, 56-52, and Feb. 16 as a two-point road underdog, 67-66.

vegasinsider.com

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Big East - Quarterfinals
By Chris David

The first round of the Big East Tournament is in the books, with four schools advancing to Thursday’s quarterfinal round. Gamblers backing underdogs yesterday turned a profit with a 3-1 ledger against the spread, which is a little eye opening considering they were just 1-3 straight up.

The lone puppy to cash the outright money-line ticket was Villanova (+130). After trailing 28-27 at the break, the Wildcats outscored Syracuse by 20 points (55-35) in the final 20 minutes for the lopsided 83-62 victory.

Sophomore Scottie Reynolds paced the school with 22 points and led a barrage from the outside that drilled 11 3-pointers against Syracuse, including 8-of-10 in the second half.
   
A lot of cash came in on in Syracuse early, most likely because it was the first game on Wednesday’s board, plus the betting public usually sides with up-tempo teams. Unfortunately, the Orange were burned as three-point favorites and the combined 147 points barely slid ‘under’ the closing number of 148. Blame that one on Syracuse freshman Jonny Flynn, who dribbled the ball out with under 20 ticks on the clock remaining. Probably the right thing to do but when you’re chucking shots (7-of-15) the entire game, you can be assured bettors who took the ‘over’ were cursing the erratic frosh.

This matchup was tabbed as a play-in game, with the loser going home and winner moving closer to a NCAA Tournament bid. Based on the latest reports, ‘Nova is still sitting out and probably needs another victory to lock up an at-large bid, which brings us to today’s card.

**Villanova vs. No. 9 Georgetown**

Its déjà vu all over again as Villanova and Georgetown meet for the second consecutive year in the Big East quarterfinals. The Hoyas captured a 62-57 decision over the Wildcats and eventually went on to win the entire tournament.

Most books don’t believe the Wildcats have a chance against the conference’s regular season champion, opening the Hoyas as eight-point favorites. The line has dipped to seven, while the ‘over/under’ is hovering between 121 and 122.

It should be noted that the ‘under’ has gone 4-0 in the last four meetings between the two schools. Plus, the Wildcats have watched the ‘under’ go 10-1 in their last 11 games.

Villanova can reflect on a 55-53 loss on Feb. 11 to Georgetown for self confidence, especially the way the game unfolded. With the score tied, ‘Nova missed a potential game-winning hoop but the Hoyas’ Jonathan Wallace raced down the sidelines and was fouled almost 70 feet from the basket. He was given two foul shots and made both for the victory. Even if the foul wasn’t called, the game would’ve seen at least another five minutes of action in overtime. Tough to gauge who would’ve earned the win, considering both Villanova (24.6%) and Georgetown (40%) couldn’t buy a bucket from the field.

Including yesterday’s win, Villanova owns a consistent 8-8 both SU and ATS mark on the road. Georgetown is a tab better, producing a 9-4 SU and 7-6 ATS record outside the nation’s capital.

The Hoyas aren’t your prototypical bully school, often having trouble putting teams away. A large part of the close games comes from their inconsistent offense, which is averaging 69.4 points per game. Despite the troublesome attack, the defense (57.3 PPG) is outstanding in both the front and backcourt.

Georgetown is only 11-15 ATS this year, which includes a 7-11 ATS ledger in conference games. The ‘under’ has gone 17-9 in lined games with a total for the Hoyas.

Tip-off is set for 12:00 p.m. EDT, with ESPN providing national coverage.

**West Virginia vs. No. 15 Connecticut**


For the second straight game, West Virginia went through the motions and almost got caught for the second time as well. The Mountaineers earned a lackluster 58-53 victory over Providence in the first round of the Big East tournament on Wednesday. On Saturday, WVU needed overtime to notch an 83-74 win against St. John’s, who was one of the four schools in the conference that didn’t make the 12-team tournament.

If WVU brings the same effort against Connecticut this afternoon, then the Mountaineers are headed back to Morgantown and await an expected at-large bid in the NCAA Tournament.

UConn closed the regular season strong by destroying Cincinnati 96-51 as a 12-point favorite on Sunday, which was a nice rebound win after falling to the aforementioned Providence earlier in the week.

These two schools recently met on Mar. 1, with the Huskies taking a 79-71 win over the Mountaineers as 3½-point home favorites. The combined 150 points easily surpassed the closing total of 138. Jim Calhoun’s team connected on 9-of-15 (60%) treys from downtown, plus an impressive 22-of-29 (75.9%) from the charity stripe.

UConn has won 12 of the 15 head-to-head battles against West Virginia.

The Huskies (77.9 PPG) and Mountaineers (76 PPG) both have the ability to light up the scoreboard, yet the ‘over/under’ for this matchup is listed at 141. The ‘over’ has gone 4-1 in each of the schools last five games.

vegasinsider.com

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

ACC tournament picks & previews: Round 1
Covers.com

Florida State vs. Wake Forest
Tip-off: 12 p.m. ET
Odds: (+1, 112)

It’s been a strange season for the Florida State Seminoles. They got off to a good start, going 11-4 straight up in non-conference play (5-7 ATS) and then things quickly went south when the ACC schedule started. They only won three league games (and went through an eight-game skid without covering) before Isiah Swann was lost for the season with a torn ACL. Strangely, after they lost the senior guard, things turned around and the Seminoles won four of their final five games. That explains why they come into this game favored against Wake Forest even though they lost both meetings this season, including a 74-57 beating in January at Winston-Salem. Florida State is a team that is finally reaching the potential it didn’t meet during most of the season and Wake is a team that played above its head all year. Tournament time is when these things even out.

Pick: Florida State

NC State vs. Miami
Tip-off: 2:30 p.m. ET
Odds: -5½, 139

Miami head coach Frank Haith had it right when he said: ''I know (NC State’s) record doesn't speak to this, but they were picked third in our conference for a reason. They're very capable of winning three games and getting to the championship.”

After closing the season with seven straight losses, it’s hard to view the Wolfpack as a threat, but you could have said the same thing about them last year when they entered the ACC tournament ranked 10th and made it to the final, covering in all four games. They have the talent to do it again, especially with J.J. Hickson on the roster this year, a freshman averaging 14 points and eight rebounds a game.

But beware: Miami is doubly motivated in this game. Not only are they out for revenge for an overtime loss to the Wolfpack in January, but they’re also on the bubble for an NCAA Tournament berth. Still, this game will probably be closer than most people would think.

Pick: NC State

Virginia vs. Georgia Tech
Tip-off: 7 p.m. ET
Odds: -1, 153

Georgia Tech is a team that really came on at the end of the season. The only thing that spoiled a strong regular-season finish was a loss to Virginia, but don’t let that loss sway you too much. The Yellow Jackets played that game without senior point guard Matt Causey, who suffered a concussion in the previous game. Causey isn't big on in the box scores but he's the engine that makes the Jackets go. It also didn’t help that that game was played with only one day of rest after tough overtime win over Wake Forest.

The Cavaliers also finished strong, covering six of their last seven games, but outside of Sean Singletary, this team can’t match up with Georgia Tech. Singletary has taken over games this year (like the regular-season finale in which he had 26 points and eight assists) but Tech showed they can slow him down when they held him to 17 points in their previous meeting.

Pick: Georgia Tech

Boston College vs. Maryland

Tip-off: 9 p.m. ET
Odds: -5½, 143

Neither of these teams did much in their respective conference schedules, but at least Maryland put up a fight. BC got absolutely steamrolled by the rest of their ACC opponents, finishing with a 4-12 record (7-9 ATS). If Maryland was playing anyone else in this game, you’d probably have to go against them because, despite some flashes of brilliance, they’ve been inconsistent at best and horrendous at worst. But the Eagles have been consistently horrendous. Head coach Al Skinner has resorted to desperation tactics like giving the starting guard spot to freshman Corey Raji in the final four games of the season and using only eight players in their final game regular-season game. That doesn’t look good coming into the tourney.

Pick: Maryland

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Why Nova could upset Georgetown
Covers.com

If you feel the Villanova Wildcats can’t upset the Georgetown Hoyas on Thursday at the Big East tournament, you may not have seen Nova play this year.

If you have seen the Cats play, you at least have to admit you love the way they play. They are young and undersized, but they make you beat them all over the court by attacking the hoop and playing tight defense.

They line up man-to-man on defense and force you to outwork them if you want your points and points have been tough to come by against this squad lately. Ten of the last 11 Nova games have gone under the total. 

Nova continually outworked bigger Syracuse in the paint in the opening round on offense, often getting Wildcat hands on offensive rebounds first. The Cats ended up hammering the Orange, 82-63, but that score is a little misleading because Cuse gave up during the last five minutes and allowed a pile of easy Villanova baskets.

Georgetown knows all about this scrappy team too. Nova nearly pulled off the upset in their only meeting of the season when the Wildcats were robbed by a joke of a foul call with almost no time left on the clock. The foul was called in Georgetown’s end on a harmless play that sent the Hoyas to the line for an easy 55-53 win.

In any event, the Wildcats earned the cover against the Hoyas and a near victory despite shooting just 24 percent from the field and a pathetic 3-for-23 from downtown. The Cats just find ways to keep it close

Nova started the tourney at MSG looking nervous on Wednesday, but that’s expected because no player on the roster had ever started a Big East tourney game before. They settled down after about 10 minutes, backed by the play of all conference second teamer Scottie Reynolds.

Reynolds drove the hoop fearlessly and started opening things up for his team. After that, Nova was able to penetrate Cuse’s 2-3 zone and three-pointers started to drop. The play of Reynolds will likely determine how far Nova goes and he’ll need to stay both aggressive and hot from downtown.

This Nova team is more grit than flash with only two players averaging double digits per game, but it can’t be taken lightly. The Cats are smaller than most teams but they can hit the trey and they’ll force you to earn everything you get. They outrebounded much bigger Georgetown 36-30 in the earlier meeting.   

Georgetown has a similar look to Syracuse, with size all over the floor and the ability to beat you inside or outside. The Hoyas are more polished and experienced, however, which is why they finished first in the conference. 

If the Hoyas come ready to play, they should be able to win and cash in this time. That’s a big “if” though. Center Roy Hibbert and forward DaJuan Summers make a tandem down low that is just so tough for a smaller team like Nova to beat.

I don’t think fatigue will be a factor for the Wildcats because their Wednesday game was at noon and they were able to work in subs against Syracuse to stay fresh. They’ll likely need to stay hot from beyond the arc though, in order to give Georgetown a scare again.

Nova shot 11-for-20 from three-point range on Wednesday. 

Pick: Nova +7

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Today's Pac-10 tournament games

* USC (20-10) vs. Arizona State (19-11), noon -- Arizona State freshman guard James Harden announced Wednesday that he intended to return for a second college season, ensuring him another shot at the NCAA tournament if the Sun Devils fall short this year. Arizona State probably needs to defeat the Trojans to have a chance to advance to the field of 65.

* UCLA (28-3) vs. California (16-14), 2:30 p.m. -- Top-seeded UCLA has beaten California twice this season -- 70-58 at Haas Pavilion and 81-80 on Saturday at Pauley Pavilion. The ninth-seeded Bears, who beat No. 8 seeded Washington, 84-81, on Wednesday night, played Saturday's game without center DeVon Hardin, who missed the game with a hip injury. Hardin did play against the Huskies. UCLA's freshman center Kevin Love had 41 points and 20 rebounds against the Bears this season. California upset UCLA in the quarterfinals last year.

* Washington State (23-7) vs. Oregon (18-12),

6 p.m. -- The Ducks solidified their NCAA tournament bid by winning the final three games of the regular season but probably need at least an upset victory over the Cougars to advance to the field of 65. Washington State defeated Oregon by nine points in both meetings during the regular season. Both have dangerous three-point shooters; Washington State's Derrick Low averages 2.6 three-pointers a game and Oregon's Tajuan Porter 2.5.

* Stanford (24-6) vs. Arizona (19-13), 8:30 p.m. -- The Cardinal swept the regular-season games, winning 56-52 in Palo Alto and 67-66 in Tucson. The Wildcats could feel much better about their chance to make a 24th consecutive NCAA appearance with an upset over 11th-ranked and second-seeded Stanford. Cardinal forward Brook Lopez has averaged 20 points and 8.2 rebounds a game against Arizona in four games over two years.

latimes.com

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

SEC tournament is Florida's last chance

Gators have lost seven of their last 10 and are in danger of missing NCAA tournament.

Florida, the two-time defending NCAA tournament champion, is going to need a miracle simply to qualify for the field this year.

The young Gators are going to probably have to win the Southeastern Conference tournament, which begins today, for a fourth consecutive season to earn a berth to the NCAA tournament.

Stocked with freshmen and sophomores -- the Gators have no seniors and only one junior -- Florida isn't exactly entering its SEC tournament opener with Alabama on a roll.

Coach Billy Donovan's team has lost three in a row and seven of its last 10. It is the worst 10-game streak for the Gators since they went 2-8 to finish the 1997-98 season.

If Florida is going to make some noise in the next few days, the Crimson Tide is the right first opponent. The Gators have won four of their last five and 11 of their last 13 against Alabama.

latimes.com

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

BIG EAST TOURNAMENT
(at New York)

Villanova (20-11, 12-16 ATS) vs. (9) Georgetown (25-4, 11-15 ATS)


Villanova (10-9, 8-11 ATS in conference) made a big statement to the NCAA Tournament selection committee with Wednesday’s opening-round 82-63 rout of Syracuse, cashing as a 2½-point underdog. The Wildcats are on streaks of 6-2 overall and 7-2 ATS, with the only outright losses coming against NCAA Tournament locks Marquette (85-75 at home) and Louisville (68-54 on the road).

Georgetown (15-3, 7-11 ATS in conference) held off Louisville 55-52 at home on Saturday to secure its second consecutive Big East regular-season championship. The Hoyas enter the tournament riding a five-game winning streak, but they’re just 3-7 ATS in their last 10, including failing to cover as a 3½-point chalk against Louisville on Saturday.

Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Wednesday’s opening-round tournament action.

Georgetown scored a 55-53 victory over Villanova back on Feb. 11 in what proved to be one of the most controversial finishes of the entire college hoops season. With the game tied at 53, Villanova was whistled for a questionable foul with 0.1 seconds left, putting the Hoyas on the foul line, where they won the game with two free throws.

The Hoyas have won the last three series meetings, including a 62-57 victory as a 3½-point favorite in last year’s Big East tournament. Still, Villanova is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 head-to-head clashes, and the underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12.

All four of Georgetown’s losses came on the highway, where it finished 9-4 SU and 6-7 ATS, including 6-3 in Big East play (5-4 ATS). Also, the Hoyas, who won last year’s Big East tournament, are 5-2-1 in this event the last three years.

After yesterday’s win over Syracuse, the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five on the highway, starting with the spread-cover at Georgetown. The Wildcats are also on ATS streaks of 4-2 as an underdog, 5-1 after a SU win and 5-1 after spread-cover.

The under is on streaks of 10-1 for Villanova overall (9-1 in conference), 52-23 for Georgetown overall (10-3 in the last 13), 43-17 for Georgetown when coming off a victory, 42-17 for Georgetown in conference play and 4-0 in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: VILLANOVA and UNDER


West Virginia (23-9, 13-12 ATS) vs. UConn (24-7, 13-13-1 ATS)


West Virginia (12-7, 9-10 ATS in conference) struggled to put away Providence in Wednesday’s tournament opener, prevailing 58-53, but coming up short as an 8½-point chalk. The Mountaineers have won five of their last six and 8 of 11, all in conference action, but they’ve followed up a 5-1-1 ATS run by failing to cash in three of their last four.

Connecticut (13-5, 10-7-1 ATS in conference) capped its regular season with Sunday’s 96-51 blistering of Cincinnati as an 11½-point home chalk, earning a first-round bye and shaking off a stunning 85-76 loss at Providence last Thursday laying five points. The Huskies are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four starts, and they’re on a 13-2 roll in their last 15 games overall (9-5-1 ATS), with a 10-game win streak as part of that run.

Twelve days ago, UConn topped West Virginia 79-71 as a three-point home chalk in the only meeting this season between the two teams. The Huskies are 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six series clashes, all as a favorite.

The Mountaineers are on positive ATS runs of 6-3 after a pointspread setback and 20-9-1 in neutral site games, but they’re mired in pointspread funks of 1-4 in the Big East tournament, 4-10 following a SU victory and 1-3 as an underdog.

The Huskies, who went 7-3-1 ATS in their first 10 Big East games, are 3-4 ATS in their last seven conference starts. Also, UConn has gotten knocked out in the first round of the Big East tournament each of the last two years, and is 0-3 SU and ATS in its last three conference tourney games, with all three defeats coming against Syracuse.

The over is on streaks of 4-1 for West Virginia overall, 9-5-1 for West Virginia at neutral sites and 4-0 for UConn overall. Also, this year’s meeting between the schools hurdled the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


Pitt (23-9, 14-13 ATS) vs. Louisville (24-7, 17-11-1 ATS)


Pittsburgh (11-8, 9-10 ATS in conference) advanced to today’s quarterfinals after fending off Cincinnati 70-64 on Wednesday, failing to cover as an 8½-point chalk. The Panthers have followed up a three-game losing skid by winning four of their last five. However, they struggled against lately, going just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 starts, all in the Big East.

Louisville (14-4, 13-4-1 ATS in the Big East) had a nine-game winning streak halted in Saturday’s regular-season finale at Georgetown, falling 55-52 in a game that decided the Big East regular-season champion. On the bright side, the Cardinals narrowly covered as a 3½-point underdog on Saturday, improving to 9-1 ATS in their last 10 starts, all in conference action. Seven of Louisville’s nine victories during its recent win streak came by at least eight points, and five were by double digits.

In this year’s lone meeting on Feb. 24, Louisville escaped with a 75-73 road win at Pitt as a one-point pup. However, Pitt has eliminated the Cardinals in each of the last two Big East tournaments, winning 65-59 as a three-point chalk in last year’s semifinals and 61-56 as a four-point favorite in the opening round of the 2006 event.

The Cardinals are a red-hot 16-3-1 ATS in their last 19 outside Louisville and have further positive ATS trends of 14-3-1 overall, 7-1 after a spread-cover and 24-6-2 in Big East play. Meanwhile, Pitt has alternated SU wins and losses in its last four Big East road contests, but the Panthers are just 1-5 ATS in their six on the highway and 0-4 ATS in their last four as an underdog.

The over is on a 7-0 tear for Pittsburgh (4-0 “over” on the road). However, Louisville has followed a 4-1 “over” streak by staying under the total in its last two. Also, the under is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings, the lone “over” coming in last month’s clash.

ATS ADVANTAGE: LOUISVILLE


Marquette (23-8, 14-11 ATS) vs. Notre Dame (24-6, 14-13 ATS)

Marquette (12-7, 10-9 ATS in conference) opened postseason play with Wednesday’s 67-54 victory over Seton Hall, pulling away in the final two minutes to cover as an 11-point favorite. The victory came on the heels of Saturday’s 87-72 wipeout at Syracuse, and the Golden Eagles are now 7-2 ATS in their last nine lined outings (all in the Big East).

Notre Dame (14-4 in conference) nabbed a bye as the conference’s second seed by finishing the season on a 3-0 run (2-1 ATS), including Saturday’s 67-60 win at South Florida as a five-point favorite. The Fighting Irish have won 11 of their last 13, including six of the last seven, and they’re on a 5-1 ATS roll, all in Big East play.

These two teams split their regular-season matchups this year, but Marquette took the cash both times. The Golden Eagles posted a 92-66 home rout laying 6½ points on Jan. 12, then lost 86-83 on the road but covered as a 4½-point pup on Feb. 9.

The Golden Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last eight neutral-site contests (3-0 this year) and 6-1 ATS in their last seven on the highway. However, they’re 0-3 ATS in their last three as an underdog.

The Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last seven as a visitor (all in Big East play), including 3-0 ATS in the last three. Also, Notre Dame has cashed in three straight Big East tournament games.

Marquette stayed under the total in last night’s game against Seton Hall, ending a 3-0 “over” streak overall and a 7-0 “over” streak on the road. Also, the over is 19-8 in the Eagles’ last 27 neutral-site contests. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has followed up a 13-1 “over” run by staying under the number in its last two. However, the over is still 7-1 in the Irish’s last eight outside of South Bend, and both of this year’s meetings with Marquette sailed over the posted price.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


ACC TOURNAMENT
(at Charlotte, N.C.)

Virginia (15-14, 13-11 ATS) vs. Georgia Tech (14-16, 14-14 ATS)


Georgia Tech (7-9, 9-7 ATS in conference) rebounded from a five-game losing skid (1-4 ATS) at the end of February to win three of four both SU and ATS, including Saturday’s 86-78 road win at Boston College as 2½-point underdogs. The Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last four.

Virginia (5-11, 8-8 ATS) went 4-2 SU (5-1 ATS) to finish the season and crushed Maryland 91-76 in the regular-season finale on Sunday as a 1 ½-point favorite. The Cavaliers won two of their last three road games – cashing in all three – with the lone loss coming in Miami by a bucket, 95-93, as a seven-point pup.

The ‘Jackets have won seven of the last 10 series clashes both SU and ATS dating back to 2002, and they’re 11-3-1 ATS in the last 14 head-to-head battles. However, the schools split the year’s season series with the road team getting the SU and ATS triumph in each outing, as Georgia Tech scored a 92-82 OT win in Virginia as 4½-point ‘dogs on Jan. 27 and the Cavaliers returned the favor on March 3, winning 76-74 as 4½-point pups.

Georgia Tech is 0-5 ATS in its last five neutral-site contests, while Virginia is 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven on neutral sites.

The under is on runs of 7-3 for Virginia overall, 7-1 for Virginia on Thursday and 3-1 in this rivalry. However, the over is 12-5 in Georgia Tech’s last 17 overall, including 11-5 in ACC play.

ATS ADVANTAGE: GEORGIA TECH


Boston College (13-16, 10-14 ATS) vs. Maryland (18-13, 11-14-1 ATS)


Boston College (4-12, 7-9 ATS in conference) ended the season with a thud, losing six straight (2-4 ATS) and 12 of 13 (4-9 ATS). The Eagles haven’t won a game in almost a month, last tasting victory against N.C. State on Feb. 14, winning 82-65 as four-point home favorites.  Four of Boston College’s six straight losses have come by eight points or more, including Saturday’s 86-78 home setback to Georgia Tech as a 2½-point chalk.

Maryland’s NCAA Tournament hopes have faded thanks to a 1-4 SU and ATS slump to end the regular season. On Saturday, the Terps (8-8, 8-7-1 ATS in conference) got drilled by Virginia in their finale 91-76 as a 1½-point road ‘dog. Prior to its current 1-4 ATS slump, Maryland had gone 5-0-1 ATS.

The road team swept the season series this year, with B.C. getting an 81-78 win at Maryland on Dec. 9 as six-point pups and the Terps returning the favor on Feb. 6 with 70-65 victory as a one-point road chalk. Since 2005, Boston College is 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in head-to-head matchups.

The Eagles are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as an underdog overall, but they’re on positive pointspread streaks of 13-6 as a pup of less than seven points, 9-3 on Thursdays, 8-2 at neutral sites and 5-1 as a neutral-site underdog. Meanwhile, Maryland is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite, 11-5 ATS in its last 16 after a defeat and 5-2 ATS in its last seven on Thursdays, but at neutral sites, the Terps are on ATS nosedives of 0-4 overall and 1-5 as a chalk.

The under is 6-3 in the Terps’ last nine overall, 16-7 in their last 23 as a favorite and 6-2 in the Eagles’ last eight as an underdog.   

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON COLLEGE


BIG 12 TOURNAMENT
(at Kansas City, Mo.)

Missouri (16-15, 8-17 ATS) vs. Nebraska (18-11, 9-12 ATS)

Missouri (6-10, 4-12 ATS in conference) ended the regular season on a six-game ATS slide (2-4 SU), including Saturday’s 75-66 loss at Oklahoma catching seven points. The Tigers won just four of their last 11 games, and they were even worse against the number, going 2-9 ATS, all in conference play.

Nebraska (7-9 SU and ATS in conference) halted a two-game SU skid by ripping lowly Colorado 68-49 Sunday as an 11-point home chalk for its second straight spread-cover. The Huskers finished a mediocre season in strong fashion, going 5-1 ATS in their last six starts (4-2 SU), including a 65-59 upset win at Texas A&M as a 10½-point pup.

These two teams tend to like close games and overtime, as six of the last 10 clashes have been decided by five points or less, and two of the last three went to OT. The road team won and cashed in each meeting this season, with Nebraska prevailing 66-62 getting 4½ points on Jan. 30, and Missouri earning an 86-78 overtime win as a four-point pup two weeks later, stopping the Huskers’ 4-0 SU and ATS series run.

The Tigers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 Thursday outings, but the pointspread trends are all negative from there, including: 8-21 overall, 18-37-1 in the Big 12, 2-5 in neutral venues, 1-4 after a SU loss and 0-5 after a non-cover. The Huskers are 4-1 ATS against winning teams, 4-1 ATS at neutral sites and 9-4 as a favorite of less than seven points, but they are 2-5 ATS on Thursday, 3-8 ATS after a spread-cover and 4-11 ATS after a SU win.

For Missouri, the over is on streaks of an 8-2 overall, 8-1 at neutral sites, 5-1 after a SU loss and 21-5-1 when the Tigers are an underdog. The over is also 19-7 when Nebraska is favored by less than seven points. Finally, the over/under has alternated the last six in this series, with last month’s overtime battle soaring over the 139-point posted price.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


Iowa State (14-17, 13-11 ATS) vs. Texas A&M (22-9, 12-13 ATS)


Texas A&M (8-8, 7-9 ATS in conference) got drubbed by Kansas 72-55 on Saturday as a five-point home underdog, continuing its roller-coaster ride during the season’s second half. In their last 15 games, the Aggies went 7-8, starting with a three-game losing streak, followed by a five-game win streak and an other three-game skid, then alternated wins and losses in their last four games. The one constant over that stretch: the straight-up winner cashed in all 15 contests.

Iowa State (4-12, 9-7 ATS in conference) fell just short in Saturday’s home game against Kansas State, losing 73-69 but getting the cash as a 4½-point home ‘dog. The Cyclones are on a terrible run entering the postseason, having lost five in a row (3-2 ATS) and nine of their last 10 (4-5 ATS), all in conference.

Texas A&M is on a 4-1 run in this series (5-0 ATS), including a 69-51 road rout on Feb. 5 as a six-point chalk in the only meeting this year. Three of A&M’s wins during its five-game win streak against the Cyclones were by 16 or more points. Finally, the favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven matchups.

The Cyclones are mired in ATS slumps of 2-6-1 at neutral venues and 1-5-1 ATS as a neutral-site underdog. Conversely, the Aggies are on positive pointspread runs of 9-2 at neutral sites, 4-1 as a neutral-site favorite, 11-5 after a SU loss and 9-4 as a favorite of 12 points or less.

The over is on 6-1-1 in Iowa State’s last eight overall and 13-3-1 in its last 17 at neutral venues. But for Texas A&M, the under on streaks of 5-2 overall, 6-1 as a favorite and 5-1 at neutral sites. Also, the last two series meetings have stayed below the posted total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TEXAS A&M


SEC TOURNAMENT
(at Atlanta)

Alabama (16-15, 10-15 ATS) vs. Florida (21-10, 11-11 ATS)

Two-time defending national champion Florida (8-8 SU and ATS in conference), playing its way right out of this year’s NCAA Tournament, dropped its last three games, including a 75-70 setback Sunday at Kentucky as a three-point pup. The Gators failed to cash in all three contests and are just 3-7 SU and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 starts, all in conference play.

Alabama (5-11, 7-9 ATS in conference) knocked off 16th-ranked Vanderbilt 78-73 in overtime Saturday as a two-point home favorite, moving to 3-1 ATS in its last four games (2-2 SU). The Crimson Tide, however, went 4-6 SU and ATS in their last 10 SEC contests.

These two teams met just once this season, with Florida taking a 90-83 road win Jan. 8, cashing as a 3½-point underdog to halt Alabama’s two-game ATS run in this series. Florida has won eight of the past 10 meetings (6-3-1 ATS), including a 68-62 win as a one-point favorite in the 2005 SEC tournament. Finally, the underdog is cashed in the last three battles.

The Crimson Tide are stuck in ATS ruts of 6-14 after a victory, 3-8 as an underdog, 2-5 as a pup in neutral-site game, 1-5 on Thursdays and 1-6 after a spread-cover. Meanwhile, the Gators are 0-4 ATS in their last four as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last seven against winning teams, but 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 at neutral venues, including 20-8-1 ATS as a favorite.

The under is 8-3 in Alabama’s last 11 an underdog, but otherwise the over is on streaks for the Tide of 7-0 on Thursdays, 4-0 at neutral sites and 7-3 after a SU win. Meanwhile, for Florida, the over is on streaks of 6-2-1 overall, 9-1 after a SU defeat, 7-2 on Thursdays and 4-1 at a neutral site.

ATS ADVANTAGE: FLORIDA and OVER


Georgia (13-16, 12-13 ATS) vs. Ole Miss (21-9, 11-14 ATS)


Mississippi (7-9, 6-10 ATS in conference) is looking to bolster its NCAA Tournament case in an immediate rematch with Georgia, having whipped the Bulldogs 76-62 Saturday as a 1½-point road underdog for its third straight victory (2-1 ATS). The Rebels are 4-2 SU and ATS in their last six contests, all in SEC play.

With Saturday’s loss, Georgia (4-12, 7-9 ATS in conference) ended the regular season on a 1-6 freefall and has followed up a 4-0 ATS run by going 1-4 against the number in its last five. Going back to January, the Bulldogs are just 2-11 (5-8 ATS), all within the SEC.

Mississippi has won and covered the last two in this rivalry, snapping a 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS run by Georgia. In last year’s lone meeting, the Rebels rolled to a 67-49 home win as a three-point chalk. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven matchups.

The Rebels are on a host of negative ATS runs, including 5-11 against losing teams, 3-7 as a favorite, 2-5 after a SU win, 2-8 on Thursday and 1-4 after a spread-cover. Likewise, the Bulldogs are on pointspread declines of 2-5 at neutral venues, 7-19 as an underdog and 1-4 as a neutral site ‘dog.

For Georgia, the over is 14-6 in its last 20 neutral-site contests, but the under is 5-0 in its last five against winning teams. The under is also 5-1-1 in Mississippi’s last seven overall and 5-0 in the last five head-to-head battles between these schools

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

ATLANTIC-10 TOURNAMENT
(at Atlantic City, N.J.)

Dayton (21-9, 11-14 ATS) vs. (10) Xavier (26-5, 13-14 ATS)

Xavier (14-2 in conference, 6-10 ATS) rolled to the regular-season Atlantic 10 championship, winning it by three games over second-place Temple. The Musketeers closed the regular-season on an 18-2 run, but went just 9-10 ATS in lined games. However, they have cashed in four of their last six, including Saturday’s 86-61 rout of Richmond as a 16½-point home chalk.

Dayton (9-8, 6-11 ATS in conference) needed overtime to knock off Saint Louis 63-62 on Wednesday, failing to cover as a six-point chalk. The Flyers have bounced back from a 3-8 SU slump to win four in a row (2-2 ATS). However, they’re just 4-11 ATS in their last 15, all in Atlantic 10 action. Also, they haven’t advanced past the second round of the A-10 tournament since the 2003-04 season.

Xavier swept the season series from the Flyers, rolling to a 69-43 victory as an 11-point home favorite on Jan. 24, then going Dayton exactly one month later and pulling out a 57-51 win as a 4½-point road chalk. The Musketeers are 5-0 SU and ATS against Dayton the last two years, including a 72-51 rout as 10-point favorite in last year’s Atlantic 10 Tournament. The favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.

The Musketeers went 6-2 in A-10 road games this season (3-5 ATS), and they also went 2-0 SU and ATS in their two neutral-site contests. They’re also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 conference tournament games. Meanwhile, Dayton has followed up a five-game SU and ATS road losing skid with three straight wins in foreign venues (2-1 ATS). However, the Flyers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight A-10 tournament contests.
Both meetings between these schools this season stayed under the total, and last year’s conference tournament matchup also remained low. Also, Xavier enters the tournament on a 10-5 “under” streak, but Dayton has topped the total in five of its last seven, including the last three in a row.

ATS ADVANTAGE: XAVIER and UNDER


Charlotte (19-12, 17-10-1 ATS) vs. UMass (21-9, 14-12-1 ATS)

UMass (10-6, 8-7-1 ATS in conference) had a bye in the first round of the A-10 tournament and enters the league tournament riding a six-game winning streak (5-1 ATS). On Saturday, the Minutemen barely kept their streak alive with a 67-63 victory at George Washington, coming up short as a 5½-point road chalk.

Charlotte (10-7, 11-5-1 ATS in conference) ran its SU and ATS winning streaks to four in a row with Wednesday’s 75-73 upset victory over Rhode Island as a two-point underdog in opening-round tournament action. The 49ers, who ended the regular season with a win over Rhode Island on Saturday, are on a 7-2 ATS roll.

In the lone meeting between these schools this season, UMass prevailed 86-79, pushing as a seven-point road underdog.

The Minutemen have won three straight road games (3-0 ATS) during their current winning streak, boosting their A-10 road record to 5-3 SU and ATS. Also, UMass is 2-0 SU and ATS on neutral courts. However, it is 0-4 SU and ATS the last four years in the Atlantic 10 tournament, including last year’s 74-71 opening round overtime loss to Saint Louis as a seven-point favorite.

The 49ers are now 11-2 ATS as an underdog this season, but despite last night’s win, they’re still just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 neutral-site contests (2-2 SU and ATS this year). Also, prior to the last two wins over Rhode Island, Charlotte had lost three straight A-10 contests on the highway (1-2 ATS).

Charlotte has followed up a 4-1 “over” streak by staying low in its last two, while UMass is on a 3-1 “under” streak. However, this year’s meeting topped the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


BIG TEN TOURNAMENT

(at Indianapolis)

Illinois (13-18, 12-18-1 ATS) vs. Penn State (15-15, 11-14-2 ATS)

Penn State (7-11, 7-10-1 ATS in conference) upset Indiana 68-64 in overtime Sunday as an eight-point home pup. The Nittany Lions have won three of their last four (2-2 ATS) to reach .500 for the season.

Illinois (5-13, 8-10 ATS in conference) topped Minnesota 67-58 Saturday laying five points at home to win and cover for the second time in its last three starts. The Fighting Illini, however, are just 3-7 SU and ATS in their last 10 outings, all in Big Ten play, with the SU winner cashing in every game.

Penn State is on a 3-0 ATS run in this series (2-1 SU), winning both of this year’s meetings by scores of 68-64 as an eight-point road underdog and 52-51 as a five-point home pup. The Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight meetings, all as an underdog.

The Illini are on ATS slides of 5-11 at neutral venues, 7-23 after a SU win, 2-7 as a neutral-site chalk, 1-4 after a spread-cover and 1-6 on Thursday.

The Nittany Lions are 6-2 ATS in their last eight as a neutral-site ‘dog and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 against losing teams. On the downside, Penn State is stuck in ATS slumps of 5-11-1 as an underdog, 1-4 after a victory and 0-5 after a spread-cover. In fact, the Lions haven’t cashed in back-to-back games since opening Big Ten play 2-0 SU and ATS.

The under is on streaks of 4-0 for Illinois overall, 42-20-2 for Illinois after a victory, 9-4 for Penn State overall (3-0 last three) and 8-3 when Penn State is an underdog.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


PAC-10 TOURNAMENT
(at Los Angeles)

Arizona State (19-11, 14-11-1 ATS) vs. USC (20-10, 17-11 ATS)

USC (11-7 SU and ATS in conference) closed the regular season on a 5-1 surge (4-2 ATS), including Saturday’s 77-64 upset win as a one-point road underdog. However, the only loss during the Trojans’ 5-1 run came at Arizona State on March 1, an 80-66 setback as a two-point road underdog.

The Sun Devils (9-9, 10-7-1 ATS in conference) alternated SU wins and losses in their last six contests, and they’re 3-1-1 ATS in their last four, including Saturday’s 77-64 rout of Oregon State as a 9½-point chalk. Arizona State is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five on the highway.

These two squads have alternated wins and losses their last six clashes, but the Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in the last five. The non-cover came in a 67-53 loss at USC as a 6½-point road ‘dog on Feb. 2. Finally, the underdog has cashed in eight of the last 10 series meetings.

The Trojans are on a 34-16 ATS run against teams with a winning record and 4-1 in their last five as a chalk, while Arizona State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS win and 1-4-1 ATS in its last six on Thursdays.

The under is on runs of 21-8 for Arizona State as an underdog, 21-10 for Arizona State in Pac-10 play and 10-4 for ASU in Thursday tip-offs. On the opposite side, for the Trojans, the over is on runs of 5-1 overall, 22-7 in Pac-10 play and 11-5 when they are favored by less than seven points.

ATS ADVANTAGE: USC


California (16-14, 15-12 ATS) vs. (3) UCLA (28-3, 18-10-2 ATS)

UCLA (16-2, 12-6 ATS) won its final seven games to capture its third straight Pac-10 regular-season title and earn a first-round bye. However, the Bruins’ final two wins over Stanford (77-67 in overtime on Thursday) and Cal (81-80 on Saturday) came with a side of controversy, as two apparent officials errors allowed the Bruins to steal the victories. Ben Howland’s team, which never came close to covering as a 15½-point home chalk against Cal, has alternated ATS wins and losses in its last six games.

Cal (7-12, 9-10 ATS in conference) snapped a five-game losing skid – and in the process earned this rematch with UCLA – by holding off Washington last night 84-81, barely cashing as a 2½-point chalk. Despite winning just once in its last six games, Cal is 5-2 ATS in its last seven contests, including 4-1 ATS as an underdog.

In addition to Saturday’s controversial victory over Cal, UCLA beat the Bears 70-58 as a four-point road chalk. However, last year, Cal eliminated the Bruins in this round of the Pac-10 tournament, scoring a stunning 76-69 overtime victory as a 15-point chalk. In fact, the Bruins have been bounced in the opening round of this event three of the last four years.

UCLA, which is playing this game down the road from campus at the Staples Center, are 3-0 in neutral-site games this season (1-1-1 ATS). Meanwhile, Cal is 9-3 ATS on the highway this year and 3-0 ATS as a double-digit ‘dog.

The over is on runs of 22-6-1 for Cal overall, including 14-1 in the last 15 (all in Pac-10 play), and 10-5 for UCLA overall. However the Bruins have stayed under the number in four straight contests away from Pauley Pavilion.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CAL and OVER


Oregon (18-12, 14-11-3 ATS) vs. (21) Washington State (23-7, 15-14 ATS)


Washington State (11-7, 8-10 ATS in conference) won six of eight down the stretch, edging rival Washington 76-73 on Saturday but failing to cash as 9½-point home favorites. The Cougars are 1-3 ATS in their last four after going 4-0 ATS in their previous four.

The Ducks (9-9, 9-7-1 ATS in conference) kept their NCAA Tournament hopes alive by winning three straight games to end the regular season, topping Arizona 78-69 as a 1½-point home chalk on Saturday. Oregon is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four overall and 3-1 ATS in its last four on the highway.

Washington State ended an eight-game losing streak to the Ducks by sweeping the season series this year, winning 69-60 at home on Jan. 20 but failing to cash as 9½-point favorites, then going to Oregon and winning 62-53 as one-point pups. Oregon has dominated the series otherwise, going 8-2 SU and ATS in the last 10 clashes.

Oregon is 9-3-1 in its last 13 at neutral venues, but 1-4 ATS in its last five as a ‘dog of less than seven points and 1-4-1 ATS in its last six on Thursdays. At the same time, though, Washington State is mired in pointspread slumps of 1-4 as a chalk and 1-4 at neutral sites.

The under has been the play in each of the last three head-to-head meetings and is 5-1 in Washington State’s last six overall and 41-19 in Oregon’s last 60 Thursday tip-offs. However, the over is 8-3 in the Cougars’ last 11 neutral-site games.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Arizona (19-13, 16-13-1 ATS) vs. (11) Stanford (24-6, 14-16 ATS)


Stanford (13-5, 8-10 ATS) in conference saw its dreams of a regular-season Pac-10 title go up in smoke in Thursday’s heartbreaking 77-67 loss at UCLA as an 8½-point underdog. After that defeat, the Cardinal had little left in the tank for Saturday’s game at USC, falling 77-64 as a one-point road favorite. Prior to the two defeats, Stanford had won four in a row and 11 of 12.

Arizona (9-10, 10-9 ATS in conference) routed Oregon State 87-56 last night, easily cashing as an 17½-point favorite. Despite the win, the Wildcats are still just 4-7 in their last 11 contests (5-6 ATS). They’ve also alternated SU and ATS wins and losses in their last five games on the highway, and the winner has cashed in each of their last eight road outings.

These teams played a couple of nail-biters this year, with Stanford coming out on top in both contests, winning 52-46 but failing to cover as a 7½-point home favorite on Jan. 17 and 67-66 as a 1½-point road underdog on Feb. 16. Prior to this year, Arizona had won six in a row against the Cardinal, and it is still 4-2 TS in the last six clashes. Finally, the underdog has cashed in 17 of the last 19 series meetings.

The Cardinal have followed up a 5-0 ATS streak by going 2-6 ATS in their last eight, including 1-3 ATS on the highway. Also, Stanford has been eliminated in the opening round of the Pac-10 tournament each of the last two years and is 1-3 ATS in this event over the past three seasons. Meanwhile, Arizona is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 neutral-site games and 7-3 ATS as an underdog of seven points or less this season, but 2-3 ATS in its last five Pac-10 tournament games.

Stanford has topped the total in eight of its last 10 overall, including five straight on the road, this after a 14-2 “under” streak. Also, the over is 9-1 in the last 10 series meetings, including 2-0 this year. Finally, Arizona has followed a 5-0 “under” run by hurdling the posted price in its last two.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ARIZONA and OVER


NBA

Golden State (40-23, 28-35 ATS) at Phoenix (42-22, 29-33-2 ATS)


The streaking Warriors, who have won seven of their last 10 overall and three straight against the Suns, head south to Phoenix for a key Western Conference matchup at the US Airways Center.

After completing a 3-1 SU and ATS road trip, Golden State made a quick pit stop at home last night and topped Toronto 117-106 as a 10-point home favorite, its third consecutive win and cover. It’s the Warriors’ first three-game ATS winning streak since they covered four straight from Nov. 26 to Dec. 2, a stretch that began with a 15-point home win over the Suns.

Golden State, which leads the NBA in scoring, has put up at least 104 points in 27 consecutive games, but it has surrendered 100-plus points 20 times during this 27-game stretch.

Phoenix has put together two solid home games, beating the Spurs 94-87 on Sunday as 1½-point ‘dogs and then blowing out Memphis 132-111 on Tuesday as a 13½-point home chalk. The Suns had gone 2-5 SU and ATS prior to Sunday and still find themselves in sixth place in the Western Conference playoff race, just 1½ games ahead of Golden State, which is occupying the eighth and final playoff spot.

Golden State is 3-0 SU in the last three series battles (all at home) and 5-2 ATS in the last seven. However, the home team has dominated this series, going 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10, including 5-0 in the last five (3-2 ATS). In both meetings this season in Oakland, the Warriors prevailed 129-114 on Nov. 26 as a 4½-point favorite and 120-118 on Feb. 13, failing to cash as three-point favorites.

The Warriors are on ATS streaks of 9-3 on Thursdays, 4-1 as a ‘dog and 4-1 when playing on back-to-back nights, but they’re 0-4 ATS in their last four divisional games. Meanwhile, the Suns are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 as a home chalk.

The over has been the play in the last four series clashes, and is 18-5 in the Warriors’ last 23 overall, 9-1 in the Warriors’ last 10 road games, 7-1 in their last eight as an underdog and 9-2 in their last 11 on Thursday. Also, the over is 11-3 in Phoenix’s last 14 overall and 8-3 in its last 11 against the Western Conference.

ATS ADVANTAGE:               OVER

Gamtimepicks.com

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

Big East Tournament
Quarterfinals
New York, NY

Villanova vs. Georgetown, 12:00 ET ESPN
Villanova: 7-1 Under as an underdog
Georgetown: 14-7 Under as a favorite

West Virginia vs. Connecticut, 2:20 ET ESPN
West Virginia: 3-7 ATS vs. Connecticut
Connecticut: 6-0 Over off win by 15+ points

Pittsburgh vs. Louisville, 7:00 ET ESPN
Pittsburgh: 8-0 Over after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6
Louisville: 15-31 ATS on neutral court

Marquette vs. Notre Dame, 9:20 ET ESPN
Marquette: 10-3 ATS on neutral court
Notre Dame: 13-5 Over vs. conference

ACC Tournament
Opening Round
Charlotte, NC

Florida State vs. Wake Forest, 12:00 ET
Florida State: 6-0 Under revenging SU loss as favorite
Wake Forest: 0-6 ATS off 3+ Overs

North Carolina State vs. Miami Florida, 2:20 ET
North Carolina State: 1-12 ATS after playing as an underdog
Miami Florida: 8-2 ATS as favorite

Virginia vs. Georgia Tech, 7:00 ET ESPN2
Virginia: 4-16 ATS at Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech: 8-1 Over revenging SU Loss as favorite

Boston College vs. Maryland, 9:20 ET
Boston College: 3-11 ATS playing with revenge
Maryland: 13-5 ATS off SU loss

Atlantic 10 Tournament
Quarterfinals
Atlantic City, NJ

Dayton vs. Xavier, 12:00 ET
Dayton: 13-6 Over if playing only their 2nd game in a week
Xavier: 11-3 ATS on neutral court

St. Joseph's vs. Richmond, 2:20 ET
St. Joseph's: 13-6 Under as favorite
Richmond: 6-0 ATS off conference loss

LaSalle vs. Temple, 6:30 ET
LaSalle: 10-0 ATS off conference win by 3 points or less
Temple: 12-3 ATS vs. conference

Charlotte vs. Massachusetts, 8:50 ET
Charlotte: 8-2 ATS playing with revenge
Massachusetts: 0-3 ATS off road ATS loss/SU win

Big Ten Tournament
Opening Round
Indianapolis, IN

Michigan vs. Iowa, 12:00 ET
Michigan: 7-1 Under off home loss
Iowa: 1-9 ATS in tournament games

Illinois vs. Penn State, 2:30 ET ESPN2
Illinois: 0-6 ATS off a home win
Penn State: 13-23 ATS as underdog

Northwestern vs. Minnesota, 5:00 ET ESPN2
Northwestern: 6-0 Under Away playing with double revenge
Minnesota: 11-2 Under off BB Unders

MAC Tournament
Quarterfinals
Cleveland, OH

Eastern Michigan vs. Western Michigan, 12:00 ET
Eastern Michigan: 29-50 ATS revenging road loss
Western Michigan: 2-10 ATS in tournament games

Central Michigan vs. Akron, 2:20 ET
Central Michigan: 3-0 Over in March
Akron: 0-3 ATS on neutral court

Toledo vs. Kent State, 7:00 ET
Toledo: 1-5 ATS after allowing 60 points or less
Kent State: 37-18 ATS vs. conference

Miami (Ohio) vs. Ohio, 9:20 ET
Miami (Ohio): 5-1 Over off BB wins
Ohio: 8-2 ATS off cover as DD favorite

Big 12 Tournament
Opening Round
Kansas City, MO

Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech, 12:30 ET ESPN2
Oklahoma State: 12-3 Under revenging road loss
Texas Tech: 8-1 ATS off ATS loss

Colorado vs. Baylor, 3:00 ET ESPNU
Colorado: 7-1 Under off BB conference losses
Baylor: 6-0 ATS on neutral court

Missouri vs. Nebraska, 7:00 ET ESPNU
Missouri: 0-6 ATS in March
Nebraska: 1-13 ATS after playing as a home favorite

Iowa State vs. Texas A&M, 9:20 ET ESPN2
Iowa State: 8-0 Over on neutral court
Texas A&M: 6-0 ATS after playing as an underdog

SEC Tournament
Opening Round
Atlanta, GA

South Carolina vs. LSU, 1:00 ET
South Carolina: 12-3 ATS in tournament games
LSU: 4-12 ATS off road loss

Auburn vs. Vanderbilt, 3:15 ET
Auburn: 16-4 ATS off ATS loss
Vanderbilt: 10-22 ATS off road game

Alabama vs. Florida, 7:30 ET
Alabama: 5-18 ATS off home win
Florida: 19-6 ATS on neutral court

Georgia vs. Mississippi, 9:45 ET
Georgia: 7-17 ATS an underdog
Mississippi: 10-2 ATS off DD road win

Conference USA Tournament
Quarterfinals
Memphis, TN

Tulsa vs. UAB, 1:00 ET
Tulsa: 12-3 Under in conference tournament games
UAB: 17-3 ATS after allowing 90+ points

UTEP vs. Houston, 3:30 ET
UTEP: 11-3 Over in tournament games
Houston: 4-13 ATS revenging road loss

Tulane vs. Memphis, 7:00 ET CSTV
Tulane: 9-2 ATS on neutral court
Memphis: 17-7 Under off cover as DD favorite

Southern Mississippi vs. Central Florida, 9:30 ET
Southern Miss: 35-15 ATS vs. conference
Central Florida: 23-9 ATS off ATS loss

WAC Tournament
Quarterfinals
Las Cruces, NM

Hawaii vs. Boise State, 2:00 ET
Hawaii: 1-8 ATS in March games
Boise State: 9-1 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite

San Jose State vs. Utah State, 4:15 ET
San Jose State: 0-6 ATS in March games
Utah State: 13-1 OVER after DD win

Fresno State vs. Nevada, 8:00 ET
Fresno State: 1-14 ATS after a conference game
Nevada: 78-50 ATS against conference foes

Idaho vs. New Mexico State, 10:15 ET
Idaho: 13-5 ATS in road games against conference opponents
New Mexico State: 39-60 ATS as a home favorite

Mountain West Tournament
Quarterfinals
Las Cruces, NM

Colorado State vs. BYU, 3:00 ET
Colorado State: 1-9 ATS in March
BYU: 38-19 ATS as DD favorite

Air Force vs. San Diego State, 5:30 ET
Air Force: 9-2 UNDER off a home win against a conference rival
San Diego State: 0-6 ATS in road games revenging a loss

TCU vs. UNLV, 9:00 ET
TCU: 5-18 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog
UNLV: 12-5 ATS as a favorite

Utah vs. New Mexico, 11:30 ET
Utah: 4-15 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs
New Mexico: 16-1 ATS after DD win

Pac 10 Tournament
Quarterfinals
Los Angeles, CA

Arizona State vs. USC, 3:00 ET FSN
Arizona State: 15-6 UNDER as a road underdog
USC: 11-2 ATS after playing a home game

California vs. UCLA, 5:30 ET FSN
California: 13-1 Over playing with revenge
UCLA: 7-0 ATS off SU win/ATS loss

Oregon vs. Washington State, 9:00 ET FSN
Oregon: 10-2 ATS in conference tournament games
Washington State: 16-30 ATS in road games after having won 2 of their last 3

Arizona vs. Stanford, 11:30 ET FSN
Arizona: 2-8 ATS off cover as DD favorite
Stanford: 16-5 Over vs. Arizona

Big West Tournament
Quarterfinals
Anaheim, CA

UC Riverside vs. CS Fullerton, 9:00 ET
UC Riverside: 5-1 ATS playing with same season revenge
CS Fullerton: 6-18 ATS off road conference win

Cal Irvine vs. Pacific, 11:20 ET
Cal Irvine: 2-8 ATS on neutral court
Pacific: 1-5 ATS off road win

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.13

mvbski wrote:


--The ‘over’ is on an incredible 18-5 run in N.C. St.’s last 23 games with a total. Also, the ‘over’ has hit in four consecutive head-to-head meetings between these teams.

These two gems have combined for 41 points for the first half.  :-[

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44286
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
274888
Average Posts Per Hour:
4.0
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3455
Newest User:
Johnny Galloway
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
1919

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com