Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

E-Z WINNERS

NCAA

2 STAR: (751) TULANE (+2) over Marshall
(Risking $220 to win $200)

2 STAR: (737) RHODE ISLAND (-1.5) over NC Charlotte
(Risking $220 to win $200)

2 STAR: (729) SETON HALL (+10.5) over Marquette
(Risking $220 to win $200)

1 STAR: (724) VILLANOVA (+3) over Syracuse
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (733) FORDHAM (+8) over St. Josephs
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (731) ST. LOUIS (+6) over Dayton
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (725) PROVIDENCE (+8) over West Virginia
(Risking $110 to win $100)

NBA

5 STAR: (702) ATLANTA (+6) over Houston
(Risking $550 to win $500)

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Gavozzi

5* Marshall--
5*R Island--
4*Cinci--
4* Oregon St--
3*Toledo--
3*LBeach--
3*Cal Poly--
3* Portland St

NBA

3*Houston--
3* Orlando--
3*Cleveland

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Game Day

2* Providence Lasalle Tulsa Cal Riverside


Frank Rosenthal

NBA HOOPS
701 ROCKETS-5 SB
709 KNICKS-1.5 SB
OVER 194 SB
722 WARRIORS-9 SB
OVER 222 SB+

NCAA HOOPS
724 NOVA+3 SB
OVER 146.5 SB
725 PROVIDENCE+8.5 SB
730 MARQUETTE-10 SB
732 DAYTON-5.5 SB
737 RHODE ISLAND-1 SB
747 EAST CAROLINA+10 SB
752 MARSHALL-1.5 SB
761 CAL-2 SB
763 OREGON ST+19 SB

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Indian Cowboy

California -2 (POD)

I was in Vegas for 9 months years ago before leaving to start grad school. I went there to learn about writing odds, worked for sportsadvisors.com as a writer and analyst and at that time sold whowillcover.com when I left there, the website that my buddy and I started up (sold it to sportsadvisors and brandon). I came across a gent who at that time was 68, thus he is 72 now. He helped me develop a part of the spreadsheet that I have today and in many ways was my mentor. He contacted me yesterday and occsaionally give sme feed back as he does read this blog frequently as he still wagers and looks at the research I put up and essentially stated:

"Listen, your strength is your research, it always has been. Your success in the past has been the research and the spreadsheets that you created. If you want a structure to live by regarding your philosophy of betting, then do this. Research the shit out of games. Be selective, Prefer Dogs that can win outright as you always have, but don't limit yourself and do take favorites when they have a strong correlation to cover, stay away from gut feelings that is not supported by research as it is just not worth it, be confident in your picks and your hard work, don't be arrogant and stay humble, stay up beat and even keel regardless of wins and losses, and simply work hard, kick some *** and let gambling Gods take care of the rest as if you do this, I promise you things always take care of itself." Best advice I have heard in a long time as I consider him my mentor over the past few years and might even keep that as my signature just to read it every morning. Let's Roll.

The Play:

Cal is my POD today for many reasons. You remember that shaft of a game this team had against UCLA, a game this team should have won as that was a blatant foul on westbrook although I think the shot by Ship should have counted as it wasn't directly over the backboard, but I can see the argument from both sides. However, that was a clear foul on Westbrook as UCLA was actually trying to foul in that instant. California has lost 7 of their last 8 ballgames including losing to Washington earlier this year by 3 points at home on March 1st. But, this is where I will come and defend Cal. Look, this team went on the road to UCLA and lost by 1 point - against a team that is of #1 caliber. This team was cheated. This team has revenge on Washington and this team lost by 4 points to USC on the road. Thus, thi team faced USC and UCLA on back to back games and lost by a total of 5 points - what does that tell you? That tells you that this team is capable of playing solid teams and doing well. This game is in the Staples Center in the State of California where the Lakers play so that should be an advantage for this team and of course, this team did beat Cal on the road by 4 earlier this year. I like Cal here with the edge with the crowd behind them and bouncing back from their latest screw job at UCLA, as of course, if this team can lose by a total of 5 points to UCLA and USC on the road, I think they can beat a team they have already defeated on the road at home on a bounce-back. The Golden Bears are 9-2-1 ATS as favorites on neutral ground while Washington is 2-5 ATS as small underdogs. Go Golden Bears!

Charlotte Bobcats (Don't have a line on this game)

There is no line on this game, but I will gladly take Charlotte as hopefully as a 7.5 or better dog, although I would hope that this line is possibly even up to 9 given Dallas's big win over New York. However, why would New York not get thumped when essentially their top 4 scorers are out and Dallas of course is looking for big wins at home given that their team is actually worse now that it was before in my opinion. Charlotte played a very tight ballgame but lost the game and the cover the last time they played the Mavs at home but the Bobcats believe it or not are in a playoff hunt having won 5 straight games including a big road win against Washington and even were competitive against the Celtics losing by 8 easily falling within the huge double-digit 17 point cover that game. Follow me here: Charlotte won by 12 against the Raps at home, 20 on the road at Minny, 9 against GS at home, 15 against ATL at home and 3 points on the road outright at Washington. Why can they not stay competitive in this game given their latest rounds of blowout wins and outright wins especially playing with revenge on what is likely to be an inflated Mavs line given their big win over the Knicks recently. Give me the points in a game that the Bobcats will be competitive and who knows, could win this game outright. The Bobcats have covered their last 6 ballgames.

76ers +9

What I like most about this game is the fact that the Sixers come off a loss to the Celtics by 15. This is a good Sixers team and actually one of the better teams in the East as proven by their covering 6 of their last 8 ballgames. Yes, they lost to the Celtics, but the C's were drilling teams on the road, just take a look at the Memphis game. This team beat Phoenix outright on the road, they beat the Clippers by 26 on the road, Milwaukee by 22 on the road and have lost to the Pistons by scores of 86-78 and 83-78 twice this year. This is a game that I think the Sixers will play very hard and stay within the inside cover and this was nearly my POD today as the Bobcats were as well, but I think the Sixers hang very tough today and compete for the outright at Detroit.

Cincy Bearcats +9

Any time I can get a team coming off getting spanked by 40 points, I will take them the next game on the spread. This includes the Bearcats who play in a competitive Big East Conference facing a Pittsburgh team away from home and a Pitt team that the Bearcats lost to Cincy on the road by 3 points and beat them by 6 points at home. Cincy lost by 45 points on the road to Uconn but they had a delay at the airport and consequently that really affected this team's preparation for that game not to mention that Uconn is a solid team this year. I look for the Bearcats to be fired up for this game, they do have revenge of course and nearly beat Pitt twice this seaso including on the road even if Pitt had revenge of their own from the previous loss earlier this year, Pitt has not been dominant on the road such as barely winning at 'Cuse, West Virginia, Marquette, Uconn and Notre Dame. Is Cincy as good as those teams I just mentioned, no. But, they have had success against Pitt both times they played them at home and on the road and come off the worst loss in the school's history in the conference play if I am not mistaken. They should be fired up today.

Dayton -5.5

This is the game that goes off at Noon eastern today so which is roughly an hour and a half from now and and one of the first games that I put up realizing that it goes off early. Look Dayton is a top 60 team, a very good team that has beat St. Louis by scores of 63-36 and that was after beating them 68-57 earlier in the year. Let me take you into the psyche of this St. Louis team. This is the same team that scored 20 points at George Washington for the game, although they made me look silly when they beat St. Josephs on the road recently. But, after that game this team lost to St. Bonny a top 250 team at home by 20 points and then one would expect them to bounce-back but they then went on the road to get drilled by Duqunsne by 27 points. So, if this team did have some heart it would have been in that game. I think Dayton comes out playing well today as they come in winning thier last 3 ballgames including a 12 point win over St. Josephs who is a top 60 team recently and their previous successes will bode well for them as I believe they will do very well here and their offense is more consistent than St. Louis as well. Go Flyers!

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Chris James Sports Night Plays

4* GOW California

3* Golden State


JB

3* Charlotte

2* Philly

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Malinsky 5*

CAL


Spritzer

big east mismatch gom Marquette


Lenny Del Gino Revenge GOY

Rhode Island

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ange80805 wrote:


any michael cannon today??

Michael Cannon

25 Dime –

MARSHALL

Take Marshall tonight over Tulane in the first round of the Conference USA tournament.

Tulane may have ended its eight-game losing streak in its last game, but it was an unimpressive 77-75 home win over lowly East Carolina.

That’s hardly an encouraging sign for the Green Wave going against an improved Marshall squad.

Thundering Herd first-year coach Donnie Jones spent the previous 11 years coaching under Billy Donovan in Florida, so give a bid edge in that department to Marshall.

The Thundering Herd also has a pair of young forwards in Tyler Wilkerson and Tirell Baines who should have their way against Tulane’s slow, foul-prone frontline of David Gomez and Robinson Louisme.

I also like Marshall’s top scoring guard Mark Dorris to bounce back from his poor shooting effort in a 63-58 home loss against Southern Miss last Saturday.

Tulane point guard Kevin Sims has been bottled up in both previous meetings with Marshall, and there’s no reason to think he’s going to break out tonight.

Take Marshall at this gift of a price as they grab the win over Tulane.

10 Dime –

CHARLOTTE

Take Charlotte tonight over Rhode Island in the first round of the A-10 tournament.

These two met last Saturday and I cashed in with the 49ers as a 30 Dime Best Bet for my clients. Charlotte won that game outright, 74-64 as a 6 ½-point road dog.

There’s no reason to think the results will be any different this time around.

Charlotte continues to surge down the stretch, having won and covered four of its last five.

Rhode Island has been the complete opposite of Charlotte, losing seven of its last nine games after a promising 14-1 start.

Charlotte has tightened its perimeter defense down, holding the Rams to 3 of 21 shooting from beyond the arc last Saturday.

On the other side, the Rams had all kinds of trouble with 49ers senior guard Leemire Goldwire, who had 34 points in the last meeting, including 6 of 13 from 3-point range.

If the Rams concentrate all their efforts on defending Goldwire, the 49ers can still counter with Lonnie Mack, who hit 6 of 7 from beyond the arc on Saturday.

Take Charlotte as they grab the cash again tonight.

5 Dime –

SYRACUSE

Take Syracuse over Villanova this afternoon in the first round of the Big East Tournament.

Villanova has been an up-and-down team this year, and while Syracuse has suffered from a spate of injuries and late-game collapses, it’s hard to argue with coach Jim Boeheim’s track record in recent Big East tournament play.

The Orange are an astonishing 8-1 SUATS in the last three conference tournaments, and with this game listed as basically a pick, I’ll side with Syracuse here.

The backcourt combination of Jonny Flynn and Donte Greene has the ability to break down the best defenses in the Big East, and there’s no reason to think they won’t be successful in this matchup.

Villanova has a shaky interior defense and I don’t expect them to contain the penetration of Flynn and Greene, even with the return of Casiem Drummond from an ankle injury.

Add to the fact Syracuse is very comfortable playing in Madison Square Garden, which almost qualifies it as a home game for the Orange.

Take Syracuse as they grab the win over Villanova.

DUQUESNE

Take Duquesne minus the points over LaSalle in the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament.

Normally I would be hesitant to lay such a number with the Dukes, but LaSalle’s defense has completely disappeared in consecutive losses to Rhode Island, Massachusetts and Temple, allowing 92 ppg during that slide.

That’s a bad omen going against the ultra high-tempo game that Duquesne likes to play.

The Dukes hit 56 percent from the floor in scoring 101 points in their February win at Tom Gola Arena. The way LaSalle is going right now, it wouldn’t surprise me if Duquesne duplicates that feat tonight.

Take Duquesne minus the points as they grab the win and cover over LaSalle.

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI

Lay the big number with Southern Miss in the first round of the Conference USA tournament.

Rice is the first C-USA team to lose all of its regular season games in conference history.

They have zero chance tonight at pulling off the upset and a minute chance at staying within the number.

The Owls have been decimated by injuries and were down to a mere six scholarship players in last week’s games. To make matters worse, they lost leading scorer Rodney Foster who broken his hand prior to their March 5 loss to East Carolina. That means head coach Willis Wilson will be forced to give three walk-ons more minutes tonight then they probably should have seen all season long.

Southern Miss has won seven of its last 10 and is getting good production from its backcourt. The Golden Eagles won by 18 at home over Rice back in January despite only making 2 of 14 shots from beyond the arc.

Lay the big number as Southern Miss grabs the win and cover.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

JEFFERSONSPORTS

Duquesne over 161.5
Tulane over 129
Cal Irvine over 126.5

NBA
Boston-17
Cleveland over 189

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