Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Big Al

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over Houston, as Atlanta falls into several super systems of mine, including one that is 32-6 ATS since 1998 which plays on certain home dogs of +2 or more points off a SU/ATS loss vs. foes off 4+ SU/ATS wins. With Atlanta in off 5 SU/ATS losses, and Houston in off 11 SU/ATS wins, the Hawks fall into our 32-6 system. Also, the home team is a strong 20-6-2 ATS in this series since 1992, including 10-1 ATS off a loss and also 10-1 ATS vs. its foe if that foe is off a SU/ATS win. The Houston Rockets have been without center Yao Ming for some time now, but one of the reasons there hasn't been a drop-off has been the solid play of rookie Carl Landry (who leads all rookies this season in Player Efficiency Rating (PER)). However, Landry will miss tonight's game and that will hurt Houston. All good things must come to an end, and tonight, it's Houston's win streak. 5* NBA Game of the Month on Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my College Winners tonight, as I'm 35-11 since last year in March Madness (ranked #1 in 2007).

At 9 pm, in the Championship game of the Big Sky Tourney, our selection is on the Portland State Vikings over Northern Arizona. Both teams received byes into the Tourney semi-finals by virtue of being the top 2 seeds, so the road to the Championship game was as easy as it gets, with each team needing to win just one game. But teams not favored by more than 2 points are horrific in Title games after receiving a bye into the Semis, as they've covered just 20% of the time since 1991. This game will be played in Portland at the Rose Garden since the Vikings earned the #1 seed, and top-seeded home teams are a solid 75% ATS vs. winning teams in the Tourneys, if priced from -2.5 to -12 points. Big Sky Conference Game of the Year on Portland State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my 5* NBA Game of the Month today or my Atlantic 10 Tourney Game of the Year.

At 8:50 pm, our selection is on the Rhode Island Rams over Charlotte. Rhode Island started the year with 14 wins in its first 15 games, and was ranked in the Top 25. But the Rams finished 21-10, going 7-9 in its conference schedule. However, the beauty of the Tournaments is that it's a whole new season, and we often see re-births of teams that stumbled down the stretch. And one of the things that I like to do is play on revenging teams which are Pk'em or Favored off a pointspread loss to end the regular season. These teams are 71% ATS since 1991, and I have certain tighteners which boost our win percentage to 77% which apply to Rhode Island. The Rams fell 74-64 to Charlotte last week, so they play this game with revenge. Also, since 1992, favorites in the Atlantic 10 Tourney are 101-52 ATS, including 22-6 ATS off a straight-up and ATS loss, and then 9-0 ATS when playing with revenge off a SU/ATS loss. Atlantic 10 Tourney Game of the Year on Rhode Island. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my 5* play in the NBA tonight, or my other College Hoops winner today.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

The Fat Jack

PROVIDENCE+8 1/2

SYRACUSE -1 1/2

SAINT LOUIS +5 1/2

EVENING SELECTIONS

RHODE ISLAND -1 1/2

SMU +10 1/2

S. MISS -15

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Bryan Leonard Comp

PICK: Houston Rockets

Needless to say the Rockets are on a roll winning 19 straight games and 10 straight by double digits. They are playing the best team ball of anybody in the league. The way the Rockets are playing right now reminds us of how the Celtics started the season. Tracy McGrady who at times has been considered a selfish player has bought into what the Houston coaching staff has been selling, team basketball and defense. They haven't allowed triple digits in 17 games and counting.
While Houston is peaking defensively the Hawks are floundering. Atlanta had done a pretty good job on the defensive end until recently. In their last five games Atlanta has allowed 135 to Golden State, 116 to New Orleans, 108 to Charlotte, 94 to offensively challenged Miami and 123 to Orlando. Atlanta is 1-5 in the month of March with the lone win coming against Miami and all of the losses being by double digits. Simply put Atlanta isn't playing nearly well enough to compete with Houston. These two met about a month ago and the Rockets dominated in a 19 point victory, that wasn't as close as the final score. Houston wins their 20th in a row as they dominate the Hawks defensively.

PLAY HOUSTON

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Sports Gambling Hotline

Rhode Island vs. NC CHARLOTTE (+1') - at Atlantic City, NJ

We see the linesmakers finally got wise, and posted the price on this neutral site game down near a pick after giving the 49ers six points in their regular season road outright in Kingston 74-64.

Rhode Island may be 21-10, but most of those wins came early in the season, of late the Rams are in a free-fall, as URI has dropped 7 of their last 9 straight up, including their senior day finale clunker to NC Charlotte.

Bobby Lutz' team is up to 18-12 on the campaign thanks to wins in 3 straight, and 4 of their last 5 both SU and ATS.

With a 6-2 spread mark their last 8 games, we will back the 49ers to find gold on the boardwalk in Atlantic City tonight. Charlotte has captured 2 of the 3 conference meetings since 2006, and we like them again tonight.

If you ask us, the Rams are out of gas, and NIT-bound!

Play on NC Charlotte in this one.

3* NC CHARLOTTE

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

ATS Lock Club

5 units Marshall
4 units Wyoming
3 units California

NHL

4 units over Car -Chic
4 units Anaheim

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

JEFFERSONSPORTS

West Virg under 139

Duquesne-6

Dayton under 115

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Kelso

5 units Villanova +2 v. Syracuse

4 units Central Mich -6 v. N Ill

3 units St. Joes -7.5 v. Fordham

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BEN BURNS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

SETON HALL
Game: Seton Hall vs. Marquette
Prediction: Seton Hall Reason: I'm taking the points with SETON HALL. The fact that the Pirates stumbled down the stretch has caused the general public to want to avoid and/or go against them here. I believe that's given us excellent value and that the current line is too high. Despite a 3-game losking skid to end the regular season, this is still a relatively solid Seton Hall team, one which won 17 games on the season. The Pirates are also a team that rarely gets blown out away from home. Looking at their last 10 road games and we find that only three of those games resulted in double-digit losses and that they were only beaten by more than 14 once during that 10-game stretch. That includes a 5-point loss at Marquette. Granted, the Golden Eagles did blow them out when the teams met at Seton Hall. However, in addition to that result causing more people to jump on the Marquette bandwagon here, it should also provide the Pirates with some added motivation. Note that the Pirates are 3-1 ATS the last four times that they faced a team which defeated them by 20 or more points in the previous meeting. Its also worth mentioning that they've gone a healthy 18-12 ATS the last 30 times that they had failed to cover the spread in their previous three games. Marquette, which lost its final two Big East games, has gone just 4-11 ATS in first round tournament games and 3-12 ATS its last 15 conference tournament games. During that stretch, the Golden Eagles are also a dismal 1-6 ATS when listed as neutral court favorites in the -9.5 to -12 range. I expect them to have their hands full once again as the Pirates, who averaged greater than 77 ppg during the regular season, give them a much tougher game than expected. *Contrarian GOW

FORDHAM
Game: Fordham vs. St. Josephs
Prediction: Fordham Reason: I'm taking the points with FORDHAM. Considering the close nature of the games that both these teams have played recently, I feel that this afternoon's line is too high. Fordham comes off a momentum-building 69-62 win over St. Bonaventure. That victory, which clinched a berth in this tournament, marked the Rams' ninth straight game which was decided by seven points or less. St. Joseph's comes in off a double-digit loss at Dayton. That dropped the Hawks to 2-4 SU/ATS their last six games with neither of those two victories coming by more than seven victories. Its also worth noting that three of the last five meetings in this series have been decided by six points or less. The Rams have under-achieved this season. However, they've got five seniors on the team, all of whom play major roles on the team. I believe that they're better than their record indicates and I expect them to give a massive effort here. Note that Fordham also closed out last year's regular season with a 7-point victory (vs. Temple) as a home favorite. The Rams followed up that victory by seeing their conference tournament opener come down to the wire, eventually earning a 2-point win over Richmond. They'd go on to lose by four vs. Rhode Island in the next round. Including those results, the Rams have seen all six of their games, which were played in March of 2007 and March of 2008, decided by seven points or less. Look for the Hawks to get a lot more than they bargained for, as they fall to 1-7 ATS the last eight times that they were favored by eight points or less. *A-10 GOY

VILLANOVA
Game: Syracuse vs. Villanova
Prediction: Villanova Reason: I'm taking the points with VILLANOVA. Georgetown, Louisville, Notre Dame, Connecticut, West Virginia, Marquette and Pittsburgh are all likely to be going "dancing," regardless of how they fare in this tournament. However, both Syracuse and Villanova desperately want to be the eighth team selected from the Big East. That makes this is an absolutely huge game. As Villanova coach Jay Wright said: "...it's an awesome game, I think it's a play-in game for the NCAA Tournament." Both teams come in having won their last two games and both have identical 9-9 Conference records. The teams split the two meetings too, with each wining on the other's home floor. Villanova won 81-71 at the Carrier Dome back in January while Syracuse returned the favor with a 87-73 victory at Villanova a couple of weeks later. At the time, the Wildcats weren't playing well defensively, as four of five opponents scored 77 or more points. However, since that stretch, the Wildcats have really improved on that side of the ball, as they've held eight of their last nine opponents to 70 points or less. Those nine opponents managed to average just 62.55 points per game. Conversely, the Orange have allowed six of their last seven opponents to score 70 or more points. Those seven opponents averaged a whopping 77.29 points per game. In the win at Syracuse, the Wildcats used their speed and attacked the basket. That led to the Orange getting into foul trouble, including leading scorer Donte Greene, who was called for his fourth foul with 17:04 left and the score tied at 40. It was all Villanova from that point. Look for the Wildcats to use their speed and attack the basket aggressively again today, in attempt to again get Syracuse in foul trouble. Behind a big game from Scottie Reynolds and co, I expect the Wildcats to score the minor upset, moving on to get another crack at Georgetown at the same time tomorrow and improving to 6-2 ATS the last eight times they were listed as "neutral" court underdogs of three points or less. *Main Event

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

BEN BURNS
NBA

ATLANTA
Game: Houston Rockets vs. Atlanta Hawks
Prediction: Atlanta Hawks Reason: I'm taking the points with ATLANTA. Recent results have given us excellent value with the home underdog here. Houston comes in on an epic run and has covered the spread in 11 straight games. The Hawks, on the other hand, have lost five of six and have failed to cover in each of their last five. That being said, the Hawks did win their most recent home game and they've been highly competitive here all season, going 19-12. That's almost identical to Houston's 19-11 mark on the road. Its true that the Rockets haven't missed a beat since Yao Ming went down. However, it's also true that they were upset here last season and that they've lost five of their last six trips here. They were favored in both 2006 and 2007 but lost those two games by a combined 17 points. Looking back further and we find that the Rockets are just 2-9 their last 11 trips to Atlanta and that both the victories came by single-digits. This is a big game for the Rockets as they've pulled within a game of the spurs for the division lead. Its even bigger for the Hawks though as they're currently occupying the eighth and final spot in the East and desperately need to right the ship. Look for them to give a huge effort tonight, continuing their homecourt success in this series and earning (at least) the cover. *Best Bet

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

INDIAN COWBOY

ST. LOUIS vs DAYTON

Play: Dayton -5.5

Only early game on the card Three night plays will be posted later

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Scott Sprietzer
direct line.......................e mich
ko.................................st joes
tko................................wyoming

Jim Feist
inner circle...................fordham

Dave Cokin
fat man plays.................wyom,w.virg
window.........................wyoming

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Rob Veno CBB

Pittsburgh Over 128.5

Tulsa Over 136 -110 

Blue Chip: California -2.5

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Knicks -1.5 over Heat

College Basketball
Fordham +8 over St. Joes
Providence/West Virginia Over 138

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Savannah Sports

3 Units Miami-Ohio Over 128

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DOC'S

4 Unit Play. #728 Take Pittsburgh -8 ½ over Cincinnati (7:00 pm ESPN) The Big East Tournament opens up today and we will attack game three of four on Wednesday. The Bearcats have lost five straight games and cannot wait for this season to end. Pittsburgh cannot afford a loss to Cincy to keep their tournament hopes alive and they will take this one by double digits.

4 Unit Play. #737 Take Rhode Island -1 ½ over Charlotte (8:50 pm A-10 Network) The Rams have lost six of their last seven games, but will turn it around on Wednesday in the nightcap of the A-10 Tournament in Atlantic City. The Rams have been an outstanding neutral site squad this year currently 5-0 and win No. 6 will come tonight. They shot terrible in their last game against Charlotte but will make amends for that tonight and move onto the quarterfinals of the A-10.

4 Unit Play. #740 Take Eastern Michigan -2 over Ball State (12:00 pm) This is a play against Ball State, as they have lost four of their last five games and have been one of the worst teams in the MAC all season long. This is a rubber match and since the Cardinals beat the Eagles once this season, they will not take them lightly on Wednesday. State will have no answer for Carlos Medlock and thus the Eagles will cruise to a much needed victory.

4 Unit Play. #764 Take Over 130 ½ in Oregon State vs Arizona (11:30 pm FSN) The Kevin O’neil era will live on for one more day, but we will not worry if Arizona can cover this inflated number and just collect with the over. Arizona still plays an up-tempo style and not much defense and that will allow them to reach the eighties in points and the Beavers will find the sixties.

4 Unit Play. #768 Take Sacred Heart -1 ½ over Mount St. Mary’s (7:00 pm ESPN 2) This is a home for the Pioneers and that will be enough to propel them into the Big Dance. Sacred Heart has already won once @ Mount St. Mary’s this season and will complete the quinella on Wednesday in Fairfield. The Mountaineers finished two games behind the Pioneers in the standing and the winner of this game will be lucky to avoid the play-in game. The Pioneers shot poorly in this last outing, yet still won the game and expect a much better effort on Wednesday behind Brice Brooks and company.

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PPP

4*Lassale
4*UTEP
3*Providence
3*St Joes
3*Colorado St

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Accu-Picks

4*Calif
4*Syr
4*W Virg
4*St Joe
3*Wym
3*Mia Oh
3* Char--NBA

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Larry Ness

Rhode Island -1.5 vs Charlotte

Are the Rams dead? I guess one could argue so. On Jan 2 Rhode Island was 14-1 and ranked No. 22 in the nation but lost at No. 17 Dayton, 92-83. The Rams won the rematch with the Flyers on Feb 2 (82-70) and looked like an NCAA 'lock' at 19-3. Then the 'bottom' fell out. Rhode Island finished the year on a 2-7 slide (1-6-1 ATS) and only a A-10 tourney title will get the Rams 'dancing' this year. However, I'm sticking up for Jim Baron's team and give them a great shot to win the A-10 tourney. Let's take a closer look at the team's 2-7 'collapse.' The Rams lost a two-point game at U Mass and suffered a three-point OT loss at Temple. In close home losses to Xavier and St Joe's, the Rams saw the Musketeers shoot 54.0 percent and the Hawks shoot 62.2 percent. Are you kidding me? Baron's an excellent coach and in his son Jim (13.9) and Bitee (12.0-4.5 APG), he's got an excellent guard duo. In the 6-8 Daniels (18.8-6.7) he's got one of the A-10's best forwards. Also, Rhode Island's frontcourt is the deepest in the league, with the 6-8 Seawright (9.3-8.4), swingman Cothran (7.7), the 6-6 Ulmer (7.3-4.9) and the 6-6 Mbang (6.5-4.7) all joining Daniels. Charlotte cannot match that type of depth or talent in its frontcourt with the 6-7 Mack (12.9-5.1), the 6-7 Coley (8.5-5.7), 6-6 freshman Wilderness (8.4-4.9) and the 6-10 Jones (3.4-3.1) trying to keep up. Goldwire (18.8-4.4) is a terrific guard and four other perimeter players combine for just under 20 PPG, giving Charlotte and edge in depth on the perimeter. However, Charlotte depends way too much on its three-point shooting, owning the lowest percentage of two-point scoring in the entire conference. Case in point was last Saturday's season-finale for both teams, when the 49ers won in Kingston over the Rams, 74-64. In that game, Charlotte made 12-of-25 three pointers with Goldwire scoring 34 points (6-of-13 on three pointers) and Mack scoring 19 points (6-of-7 on three pointers. Meanwhile, the Rams shot an abysmal 33.9 percent for the game, including 3-of-21 from behind the three-point line. Jim Baron likely couldn't have hand-picked a better opponent for his team's first game in this "must-win" tourney. Can Rhode Island "run the table?" That's for later. For now, expect the Rams to return the favor from last Saturday, winning by 10 points or more! A-10 Tourney GOY 20* Rhode Island.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Rocky Atkinson

California -1.5 vs Washington

California is 6-1 ATS on Wednesday last 3 years. California is scoring 77.5 points per game overall this year. Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Wednesday games. CALIFORNIA is 15-5 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. CALIFORNIA is 14-5 ATS in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons. CALIFORNIA is 13-5 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons. CALIFORNIA is 7-1 ATS in road games after 3 consecutive conference games this season. CALIFORNIA is 7-1 ATS in road games after one or more consecutive overs this season. CALIFORNIA is 23-10 ATS in road games off a road loss against a conference rival since 1997. CALIFORNIA is 22-10 ATS in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997. CALIFORNIA is 15-5 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog since 1997. CALIFORNIA is 30-16 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road underdog since 1997.

CALIFORNIA is 9-2 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. CALIFORNIA is 12-4 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 2 seasons. CALIFORNIA is 9-1 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 5-15 ATS off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog since 1997. California really played good ball in their final 2 games despite 2 straight up losses. The dropped one at Southern Cal by only 4 points and then went into UCLA to lose by only 1 in a game they should have won SU. We'll play California for 3 units tonight!

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Johnny Guild

Memphis Grizzlies (15-48) at Denver Nuggets (37-26)

The Denver Nuggets have lost their last two games, both on the road, playing poor defense. But, Denver will be back on their home court tonight where they have played very good. They have won three straight at home and are 25-7 this season. The Nuggets are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games and should be able to hammer the gloomy Grizzlies. Memphis has lost 17 of their last 19 games overall and are a ghastly 4-26 on the road this season, going 12-17-1 against the spread. The Grizzlies have not been successful against the Nuggets, especially in Denver, just 3-21 all-time. Memphis is 3-10 ATS in the last 13 clashes versus the Nuggets, 1-5 ATS in the last six at the Pepsi Center.

The Grizzlies are surrendering an average of 106 points per game and will have difficulties stopping Iverson and Anthony on their home court. Take the Nuggets at home. Denver is 2 1/2 games behind Golden State and wins are vital to seize the No. 8 and final playoff spot in the Western Conference.

Denver Nuggets - 15.5


CBB

Buffalo (10-19) vs Miami (OH) (15-14) Miami (OH) Red Hawks - 9.5

Seton Hall (17-14) vs. No. 24 Marquette (22-8) Marquette Golden Eagles -10.5

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