Monday Service Plays

Monday Service Plays

ARTHUR RALPH

Super Pick: UNDER ATLANTA HAWKS Total NBA

900 Daily Play BEST BET: Miami Heat

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Jimmy The Moose

Game: Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings
Prediction: over

Reason: The Canucks, known for their low scoring games, have played the over in their last 2 games. THe over is 5-2-3 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 15-6-1 in the Kings last 22 home games. In their last 17 games overall the over is a profitable 11-5-1. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 7-3 in their last 10 vs. Western Conference opponents. The team's have played over the total in their last 5 meetings. Play the over.

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James Patrick Sports

Middle Tennessee State vs. South Alabama

The Sunbelt Conference semi-finals have a match-up between the Blue Raiders of MTSU and the Jaguars of South Ala. One constant in this game is that if you plan on staying in a game with South Alabama you better score a huge amount of points because they do. This puts us on our selection on Middle Tennessee Sate – South Alabama OVER the TOTAL.


Great Lakes

Atlanta at Philadelphia
Play on: Philadelphia 76ers

The 76ers are heating up going 5-1 ATS their last six games, and are 12-4 ATS in the second half of the season this year. The 76ers are also 3-0 in March this year, and are 17-13 ATS at home this year. We look for the Philadelphia 76ers to grab the home ATS Win & cover tonight.


Alex Smart

Game: New York Rangers vs. Buffalo Sabres
Prediction: New York Rangers

The Buffalo Sabres prepare to host a red hot NY Rangers team that is 9-0-3 in their L12 games. The Rangers have owned the Sabres this season, winning all 3 meetings, with their top goalie Henrick Lunqvist , posting a 1.67 GAA. With that said lets ride the momentum of the Rangers at a value price. Final notes & Key Trends: NYR are 7-2 L9 road games. Sabres have lost 8 of their L10 against Atlantic division foes. Play on the Rangers

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Vegas Sports Pics

George Mason Patriots - 3 over William & Mary Tribe    

William & Mary (17-15, 13-8) is playing in its first ever CAA champ game. George Mason (22-10, 14-6) is making its ninth CAA champ game appearance off beating third seeded UNCW 53-41 Sunday, holding the league's top scoring team 32.6 points below it season's average.    

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Dave Cokin

NJ Nets @ HOU Rockets

Take "HOU Rockets"

One of these nights, Houston will lose a little intensity and maybe even get beat. But it's an 18-0 run right now for the Rockets and they're an amazing 15-2-1 ATS in that stretch. I won't try and get in the way of that freight train, and in fact will look to cash in on the Houston express again tonight by giving the points against the Nets."

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Jim Feist

LA Clippers @ MIA Heat

Take "MIA Heat"

The Clippers have nearly twice as many wins as Miami has this season…but not lately. This is a dead LA team, one going through the motions on a 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS run. That lone victory was against the Kings – in OT. They just lost at home as a 4-point favorite to the Timberwolves, and now have to fly across the country, 3,000 miles and 3 time zones. Incredibly, the Clippers have left LA just once over their last 12 games! Miami hasn’t played many home games of late, but they get a chance here, helped by newcomer Shawn Marion. They already won at LA and should sweep the season series. A much better spot for the home team. Play the Miami Heat!! -

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Nick Jones

New Jersey Nets vs. Houston Rockets
Play: Houston Rockets

This game matches up to be a big blowout in favor of Houston. Always play on home teams like the Rockets after 5 or more consecutive wins, when this home team is also a good team winning 60% to 75% playing a marginal losing team of 40% to 49%. This trend does not align itself very often but when it does we have seen a 51-15 ATS record since 1996. Houston is 12-0 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams that are forcing less than 14 turnovers per game in the 2nd half of the season this season. New Jersey is 5-20 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. To put is in plain text, New Jersey is bad and getting worse while Houston has posted a 10-0 ATS record after 8 or more consecutive wins this season.

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Ted Sevransky

Los Angeles Avengers @ Arizona Rattlers
PICK: Los Angeles Avengers

We backed LA in Week 1, and we’re going to come right back with the Avengers on the road at Arizona here in Week 2. Arizona was on the lucky side to emerge victorious from their Week 1 battle at Utah. The Rattlers gave up touchdowns on Utah’s first six drives of the game before netting a couple of key stops right before and after halftime, taking advantage of Blaze turnovers. They got a one point lead in the final minute, thanks to a missed extra point. Nursing that lead, Arizona gave up the game winning touchdown, but it was called back on a penalty. Then, the Rattlers survived a game winning field goal attempt that went wide. It’s surely worth noting that Utah cut their kicker following the game. The Rattlers didn’t win the game as much as Utah lost it.

Arizona made headlines this offseason by offering their season ticket holders a money back guarantee if they don’t make the playoffs. Considering that six of the eight teams in their conference will make the postseason, and they play in the same conference with a Grand Rapids squad that’s gone 14-50 over the last four years, the Rattlers guarantee is really not that big a deal – they could easily make the postseason with a losing record. And for all the excitement of that Week 1 victory, it came against a team with a consistent history of truly ugly defensive efforts, like the one we saw last week. Let’s not forget that this Rattlers team went 4-12 last year and return only six players from that team following a complete roster overhaul. With seven rookies and seven second year players on their 24 man roster, this team is bound to have their share of troubles against better competition than what they faced last week. A team that allowed nine touchdowns a week ago is a prime candidate to give up points in bunches again this week, facing another explosive offense.

LA gave up a kick return touchdown on the opening play of the game last week, then immediately threw an interception that led to another score on their first play from scrimmage. Down 13-0, the Avengers outscored New Orleans 59-23 over the next 50 minutes before giving up a meaningless last minute touchdown. That, folks, is execution on both sides of the football, not just on offense like we saw from Arizona. LA has solid roster continuity from last year, starting at the QB position where former Texas Tech standout Sonny Cumbie has developed into a solid quarterback. Cumbie will have an attractive new weapon at his disposal this year in Timon Marshall. Marshall was amazing last year with a dismal Grand Rapids squad, single handedly keeping the team competitive for a good portion of the year with his receiving ability and special teams acumen before the Chicago Bears signed him. He’s back in the AFL now, combining with Kevin Ingram for 17 catches for 195 yards and four touchdowns last week. Look for LA to score at will against this rebuilt Rattlers defense, carrying the Avengers to a relatively comfortable victory. Take LA. Current Line LA -3, worth playing up to LA -4.

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Mike Rose

San Jose SaberCats -10.5

The defending ArenaBowl Champions got off to a rough start last week in Chicago in a game that was a tail of two halves. Chicago busted out of the gates to grab a quick 14-0 lead, but the Sabercats stayed calm, cool, and collected and got themselves right back into the game. After Rodney Wright hauled in a 6-yard TD pass from QB Mark Grieb at the 10:50 mark of the second quarter, the Sabercats astonishingly found themselves up 21-14. The All State Arena seemed to be a more tranquil place after that, but the Rush weren’t going to go down quietly. The 2nd quarter expired when K AJ Haglund nailed a 45-yard FG, and the Sabercats went into the break down a point at 28-27. They were right in it, and Head Coach Darren Arbet demanded his men got more physical in the second half to allow them to steal a win.

It didn’t happen however as they were outscored 14-7 in the third quarter and 28-13 in the final quarter. There was a very questionable call made that went against the Sabercats on what was a perceived fumble by WR James Roe, but replay made it clearly apparent that his knee was down before he lost control of the pigskin. Thankfully for the Rush, there is no instant replay in this league. Mark Grieb completed 35-of-46 passes for 353 yards and 5 TDs, but Chicago’s relentless stop unit coaxed him into throwing some errant passes that were picked off three times. They lost the turnover battle 5:2 and only converted 2 of their 6 3rd down tries. All in all, the defending champs got beat up pretty bad and will no doubt take the field against Grand Rapids in search of atonement.

Tonight’s game will be the first of the season for Grand Rapids as they were the lone team off last week. The new look Rampage have a new leader at the helm that goes by the name of Steve Thonn. He was the offensive coordinator for the Georgia Force, who averaged a whopping 62.9 PPG in 2007. They rebuilt their roster through Nashville and Austin folding. The secondary looks rather impressive, headed up by Ahmad Hawkins, who broke the AFL record with 13 INTs in 2007. The offense seems patchwork, but if anyone can build an offense from the ground up, it’s Steve Thonn.

San Jose is an 11-point road chalk with the ‘total’ set at 106 for this match-up. In the eight games played between these two clubs, San Jose has won 7 of them SU and gone 6-2-1 ATS. The Sabercats have won 4 of its L/5 road games SU, and they’re a solid 9-3-1 ATS its L/13 road contests.

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Arthur Ralph
George Mason


Scott Spreitzer
Spurs


Huddle Up Sports
Nets


Glen Mcgrew
Trailblazers


Joe Wiz
Nets
Sixers


Big Time Sports
Canucks-Kings Over


Bob Donahue
Rockets


Sportscapping
Nuggets

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Ted Sevransky

San Jose -8

ANALYSIS: San Jose won the Arena Bowl last July, without a shadow of a doubt the best team in the AFL down the stretch of the regular season and into the postseason. They return almost everybody on both sides of the football, clearly a serious contender to be the first AFL team to repeat as champions since the Tampa Bay Storm in ’95 and ’96. And we’re getting an optimum spot to support an elite level team this week, following their truly dismal showing on national TV this past Monday Night, in which the Sabercats made one mistake after another on both sides of the football. That awful showing gives us tremendous line value here in a game they should win by two touchdowns or more.

San Jose quarterback Mark Grieb is one of the best in the league, but he sure didn’t look it against the solid Chicago Rush defense. Grieb lost a mishandled snap from center. He threw three interceptions as part of a five turnover game from the Sabercats. This is not likely to happen twice in a row, especially considering the sharp dichotomy of defenses that he’s facing. Chicago is a very good defensive team; Grand Rapids was dead last in the league in points allowed last year and appear no better in 2008. Meanwhile, San Jose ranked #2 in the AFL in points allowed last year, allowing less than 50 points in ten of their final 12 games last year, with everybody back on that side of the football. Yet the Sabercats were awful defensively on Monday Night, repeatedly blowing coverages downfield, allowing one big play after the next. Again, facing an offensively challenged Rampage squad, we can expect those mistakes to be corrected in a hurry.

San Jose beat Grand Rapids by 25 last year, and they’ll come into this game with something to prove following that awful showing. In a league with no preseason, the Rampage are at a decided disadvantage this week, the only team in the league without a game under their belts following a Week 1 bye. The Rampage lost their best playmaker, Timon Marshall, to LA. In fact, their top SIX receivers from last year have all moved on to greener pastures. Their quarterback, disgraced former Florida State star Adrian McPherson, has struggled mightily with his accuracy throughout his disappointing AFL career. And the Rampage have replaced five of their eight starters on defense as well. This team has no homefield edge whatsoever, with minimal crowds at the Van Andel Arena. They’re 14-50 SU over the last four seasons, arguably the worst franchise in the league. Grand Rapids lost five games by double digit margins at home last year, a trend that we can expect to continue on Sunday. Take San Jose.

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Carlo Campanella

Portland Trail Blazers at Cleveland Cavaliers

Portland has won 4 of their last 6 games, including 2-0 SU & ATS in their last two games. They head to Cleveland for the third game of a 6 game road trip following a big 120-114 victory in New York. While Cleveland is much better than the Knicks, expect Portland to keep up their winning ways as they match-up well against the Cavs, splitting the last two meetings, 1 game each, including a 1-point loss back on January 30. Take the points as we find these Blazers at 10-2 ATS after scoring 105 points or more and 15-4 ATS after at least back-to-back wins this season!

Play on: Portland

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Vegas Experts

LA Clippers at Miami Heat

Two terrible teams with nothing to play for matchup tonight in South Beach as the Heat host the equally hapless Clippers. Do not expect a defensive struggle. Miami has allowed an average of 114.8 PPG over the last week while Los Angeles is only slightly better at 108.3 PPG. Four of the last five meetings between the teams have gone Over the total and we find Miami at 18-7 Over this season if coming off a road loss. Take the Over.

Play on: Over

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Matt Fargo

Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs    
Play: San Antonio Spurs     

You would think public backing would be on the Spurs to rebound after two straight losses but that is not the case as action is pretty much split down the middle. The number may look big at first glance but the Spurs are in great position despite playing on the road yesterday. San Antonio returns home after two straight losses on the road at Denver and at Phoenix. That first defeat makes this a quick turnaround for a revenge game. The Spurs had won 11 straight prior to the weekend.

The Spurs are just 4-9 ATS in the second game of a back-to-back set but this situation is a little different. When playing the first game on the road and the second game at home, San Antonio is a perfect 4-0 in the home game, winning by an average of 9.5 ppg. On the season, San Antonio is 26-5 at home, losing to Phoenix, Toronto, Detroit, New Orleans and Cleveland. The Cavaliers are the only one of those five that is under .500 on the road. Tonight’s opponent is six games under .500 away from home on the season.

The Nuggets have surely been an up and down team recently. They are just 5-6 over their last 11 games but it is their play on the road that is keeping them out of the playoff picture as of right now. Denver has lost five of its last six games on the road and going back further, it is 5-11 in its last 16 games away from home. Of those five wins, two came in overtime including a victory at Miami while two others came at Memphis and Seattle, two teams with no chance of making the postseason.

San Antonio has won and covered three straight against the Nuggets at home, all of which have been relatively in the same price range. Denver has won both meetings at home this season meaning the Spurs need the win to even the season series which is significant as they have not lost a season series to them since 1987-88. Denver is 9-15 against the league’s top tem teams and that includes a horrific 1-11 record in road games, the lone win coming at Dallas way back on December 6th.

Of those 11 losses, 10 were by doubles digits and the 11 were by an average of 19.4 ppg. San Antonio is 30-13 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last two seasons while Denver is 3-9 ATS as an underdog of six or more this season alone. With Denver’s win Friday, the favored team has covered 23 of the last 31 meetings in this series. Look for the Spurs to step up yet again tonight as the Nuggets continue their awful play against the NBA elite on the road.

Play San Antonio Spurs 1 Unit

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Scott Rickenbach

OVER the total (107) in Arizona vs Los Angeles 

The Avengers rolled a New Orleans team last week that is now appearing to be a little better than most expected. After knocking off the Predators yesterday, the VooDoo showed they certainly aren't going to lay down for teams this season. That said, what the Avengers did in dismantling the New Orleans defense last week was quite impressive. Los Angeles should not have any problems accomplishing the same here as they face an Arizona defense that is still trying to adjust to a major offseason overhaul. Until the Rattlers defense gets their personnel 'all on the same page', the struggles are going to continue for Arizona.

The key here that points us to the over rather than the side in this game is that the offense of Arizona did impress last week and that's why we fully expect this to be a back and forth high scoring affair! Without Siaha Burley, many thought the wide receiving unit of the Rattlers would be a big problem to open up the season. However, Arizona got some nice production from WRs Kevin Nickerson, Trandon Harvey, and Jerrian James last week against the Blaze. Also, QB Lang Campbell was very effective in finding his talented wideouts. Granted the Avengers defense is better than that of the Utah defense that the Rattlers faced last week. However, don't discount the home field edge helping Arizona to sustain some drives that otherwise might come up empty on the road.

Arizona knows that their best chance to win this game is with an explosive offensive performance. The Rattlers know it is going to take some time for their defense to gel and that the defense is also going to be tested greatly by an Avengers offense that could be one of the most explosive units in the league. That said, the Rattlers will be emphasizing offense in this match-up and simply hoping for a key turnover or two on the other side of the ball. In other words, an offensive 'slugfest' should erupt in Arizona tonight as these two teams trade blows (scoring strikes) throughout the contest. Play OVER the total in Arizona as a regular selection.

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WINNERS EDGE

Atlanta Hawks +9.5 , 2 units

Boston Celtics -6 , 2 units

NJ Nets + 13.5 , 1 unit

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DOC'S

4 Unit Play.Take San Diego +7 over Gonzaga
A rare occurrence could happen on Monday, as the Toreros try and send three teams to the tournament from the WCC from the first time in their existence. San Diego is no slouch and finished the conference season 11-3 with no bad losses and did defeat St. Mary’s twice. They also played Gonzaga tough losing by a combined 14 points in their two games and will take this one to the wire as well. This would be big money for the conference if they can get three teams in the tournament and that will give the Toreros the extra little edge, especially when playing on their home court.


4 Unit Play.Take Siena -2 ½ over Rider
The MAAC Championship is on the line tonight with the two best teams in the conference fighting it out for the one bid into the big dance. Both teams split this season with each squad winning in hostile territory, but the big three of Ubiles, Franklin, and Hasbrouck will propel the Saints to a victory, especially since the game is being played in Albany. Rider has struggled to put away too bad teams and this time their luck will run out and we pick up 4 big units in the process.


4 Unit Play.Take Elon +17 over Davidson
The Southern Championship takes place in Charleston, South Carolina when the Wildcats look to remain undefeated and punch their tournament ticket to the big dance. The Phoenix will not get blown out of this game, as they have played them tough in both games this season. They lost to Davidson by just two points at home and ten points on the road and they are getting way too many points on Monday. The score will be kept in the sixties giving us the cash, as the Phoenix loss straight-up but easily cover the pointspread.

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STRIKE POINT SPORTS

3-Unit Play. Take Rider +2.5 over Siena

With a trip to the Big Dance on the line, this MAAC title game goes to Rider. These two split their regular season meetings, each winning on the other's home court. The difference, however, is that Rider scored a 14-point win at Siena, while the Saints only came away with a three-point victory on the Broncs' court. And the real advantage in this match-up is Rider's Jason Thompson. One of the country's best unknown combo scorers and rebounders, Thompson dropped 32 and 18 in his team's semi-final win on Sunday. He'll be too much for Siena, and Rider will clinch a bid to the NCAA Tournament.

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FERRINGO

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 148 Rider vs. Siena
1-Unit Play. Take Rider (+2.5) over Siena
I think the total is a bit high for two teams playing in their third game in three nights. This is also a championship game and both teams are going to be less inclined to take chances and force bad shots. I think that Rider's advantage underneath with the Thompson boys is enough to propel them to the victory here. If the rebounding margin is more than seven going our way then it should be an outright winner. Siena has been playing well, but they are also playing on borrowed time after last night's fortunate Loyola choke.

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take George Mason (-3.5) over William & Mary AND Take Gonzaga (-1.5) over San Diego
In the history of the CAA Tournament no team has ever won four consecutive games to win the championship. Mason came close last year, but even they didn't cover in the title game. I think William & Mary is emotionally spent, and the veteran Patriots will roll back to the NCAA Tournament tonight.

I think that San Diego's playing on its home court is the best and worst thing that could have happened to them. How much sleep do you think the Torreros got last night after upsetting St. Mary's and getting themselves one game away from an automatic berth? I'm sure the campus is buzzing, but that just puts more letdown pressure on an S.D. team that has to be exhausted after its grueling road to the title game. Look for a strong game out of Jeremy Pargo and a big first half out of the Zags.

1-Unit Play. First Half: Take Gonzaga (-4) over San Diego

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Frank Rosenthal

NBA Hoops

502 Magic-9.5
Over 209
507 Clippers+3
Under 191
510 Mavs-13.5
512 Spurs-6.5
513 Nets Under194

College Hoops

516 George Mason-8
Over 115
522 Sd+7
Under 128
525 Elon+17.5

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