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ALATEX SUPER PLAY

Wright State‏


Balfe

HEAT +5

Drexel +1

INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY

UTAH vs PHOENIX

Play: PHOENIX SUNS -5 (POD)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: Suns -5 (POD)

I like this game for several reasons. As you know I look for what I call a "tripod" of reasons as that is the final line in which I end every POD analysis with. As per this game, the Suns come off a tough loss to Denver on the road and they did respond well to the Sixers loss by going on the road and beating a decent Portland team in the Rose Garden, a very tough place to play. They actually lost by 20+ points to the Jazz on the road earlier this year back in January in a game that Steve Nash did not play as that spread was -7.5. In fact, I remember that game specifically as that was my POD and I hammered the Jazz the night before -5.5 in an early release for clients. Well, of course Nash is back and so is the addition of Shaq which has clearly not helped this team in the early going. This team has lost 4 of their last 5 ballgames and I'm sure they are feeling the heat. But, they did beat the Celtics at home fairly handily which is tough to do, they face a Jazz team that has shown an ability to hiccup on the road such as the road loss to the Clippers and Timberwolves. I like the fact the Jazz come off a blowout win over Minny at home and they did do well in their last road game at Minnesota bouncing back from a previous road loss they had to New Orleans (another POD that I had with the Hornets over the Jazz). My tripod of reasoning here is the fact the Suns have revenge from a 20+ blowout loss to the Jazz, they come back home after a tough loss to the Nuggets on the road and they have added pressure of showing that this team can win with this new framed lineup - not to mention Nash is playing this time around and the Jazz have shown weakness on the road. The Jazz are 1-7 ATS as an underdog by this margin of late and the Suns are 4-1 ATS following a straight up loss of late.

Wunderdog

Seattle at Philadelphia (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Philadelphia -10.5 (-110)

The Sixers are 10-3 in their last 13 games, moving into the thick of the Eastern Conference playoff race. They are rolling and need tocontinue to win to keep their playoff hopes alive. Seattle comes in having lost 15 of their last 17 road games. This is a big number, but the Sixers on are on a mission right now, they are clicking, and they are motivated. We think they cover it. Seattle has allowed their last five opponents to average 113.4 ppg. Philly has put up 104.8 per game over their last five. This one should get out of hand early and stay that way. Philly has won seven straight home games ATS vs. teams with weak defenses(99+ ppg allowed) and they have covered the spread in their last eight home games overall.

ATS Consultants

Golden State over Miami 108-90 Best Bet
Utah covers v. Phx 103-104 Preferred Play
Detroit over NY Knicks 103-85 Preferred Play

Over in the TB/NJ hockey game Preferred Play
Calgary over Nashville Preferred Play